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Forecast

Butlers Gorge (42.2722°S, 146.2667°E, 671m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Late thunder 11°
    late thunder
    Chance of rain: 60%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    7:13am EST 7:45am EST 4:50pm EST 5:22pm EST
    NOW
    4.8° Feels Like: 2.1°
    Relative Humidity: 95%
    Dew: 4.1°
    Wind: W 7km/h
    Gust: 7km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure: &nbsp;
  3. Today Weather

    Butlers Gorge
    Now
    1.7°c
    Feels Like:
    0.0°
    Wind:
    N 0km/h
    Gusts:
    0km/h
    Humidity:
    100%
    Late thunder
     
    Min
    11°
    Max
    Today in Butlers Gorge
    Partly cloudy. Medium chance of showers in the W, slight chance elsewhere. Snow possible above 1400 metres. Winds N/NW 15 to 20 km/h becoming light in the middle of the day. Daytime maximum temperatures between 6 and 11.
    Tomorrow
    Thunderstorms
    Min
    Max
    Cloudy. Medium chance of showers. Snow possible above 1200 metres. Light winds. Overnight temperatures falling to between minus 1 and 3 above zero with daytime temperatures reaching between 7 and 10.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

    There are no current warnings for Butlers Gorge

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Partly cloudy. Medium chance of showers in the W, slight chance elsewhere. Snow possible above 1400 metres. Winds N/NW 15 to 20 km/h becoming light in the middle of the day. Daytime maximum temperatures between 6 and 11.

    Forecast for Butlers Gorge (42.2722°S, 146.2667°E, 671m AMSL)
      Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed
    Summary Late thunder Thunderstorms Possible shower Possible shower Frost then sunny Frost then sunny Mostly cloudy
    Minimum -1°
    Maximum 11° 10° 11°
    Chance of rain 60% 60% 90% 70% 5% 20% 70%
    Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm 5-10mm 1-5mm < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm
    UV index Low Low Low Low Low - -
    Frost risk Moderate High High High High High Moderate
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 0
    (km/h)
    2
    (km/h)
    0
    (km/h)
    3
    (km/h)
    9
    (km/h)
    17
    (km/h)
    15
    (km/h)
    13
    (km/h)
    1
    (km/h)
    1
    (km/h)
    3
    (km/h)
    5
    (km/h)
    7
    (km/h)
    11
    (km/h)
    Wind direction NNW NW E SE W WNW WSW WSW NNW WNW N N NNE N
    Relative humidity 96% 72% 94% 79% 89% 82% 92% 85% 91% 70% 88% 69% 84% 68%
    Dew point 4°C 5°C 2°C 4°C 1°C 2°C 2°C 3°C 1°C 3°C 1°C 4°C 2°C 4°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Butlers Gorge Rain Forecast


    Butlers Gorge 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    24
    LOW
    25
    LOW
    26
    HIGH
    27
    LOW
    28
    29
    LOW
    30
    HIGH
    Jul 1
    LOW
    2
    HIGH
    3
    LOW
    4
    LOW
    5
    MEDIUM
    6
    MEDIUM
    7
    LOW
    8
    9
    MEDIUM
    10
    MEDIUM
    11
    LOW
    12
    MEDIUM
    13
    MEDIUM
    14
    HIGH
    15
    HIGH
    16
    LOW
    17
    MEDIUM
    18
    MEDIUM
    19
    MEDIUM
    20
    MEDIUM
    21
    HIGH
    22
    MEDIUM
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jun24

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the southwest Indian Ocean, Western Australia, the south Pacific, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 30 June to 4 July, 21 July to 25 July, and 25 July to 29 July. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 22 June to 26 June. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 29 June to 3 July, 3 July to 7 July, and 21 July to 25 July.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Butlers Gorge Rain Forecast


    Butlers Gorge 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    2021
    2022
    7
    5
    5
    6
    7
    5
    6
    7
    4
    6
    3
    5
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Jun 15

    ENSO status: Neutral. IOD status: Neutral, although during the past three weeks it has been negative. SAM status: Positive. The El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is currently neutral, which is predicted to continue until at least October. The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is currently neutral. although the last 3 weekly values have been negative.The negative value would need to continue for another 5 weeks for a negative IOD to be declared. While a negative IOD has not been officially declared, the negative weekly value may enhance rainfall across central and southern Australia. A negative IOD is forecast during winter or early spring by 3 out of 5 climate models. However, the confidence in the IOD forecast at this time of the year is low, specifically because the models are showing a range of outcomes from mid winter onwards. During winter, much of the Australia is likely to be wetter than normal, apart from far southern WA and SA, southern VIC and much of TAS. The weekly negative IOD valuesmay be influencing this outlook, potentially feeding moisture into cold fronts sweeping across central and southern Australia. Therefore a normal to above normal snow season is forecast. Springs rainfall at this stage is forecast to be above normal for much of the Australia, apart from western TAS. Again, the negative IOD values may be playing a role in this outlook.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Butlers Gorge Rain Forecast


    Butlers Gorge 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    24
    LOW
    25
    LOW
    26
    HIGH
    27
    LOW
    28
    29
    LOW
    30
    HIGH
    Jul 1
    LOW
    2
    HIGH
    3
    LOW
    4
    LOW
    5
    MEDIUM
    6
    MEDIUM
    7
    LOW
    8
    9
    MEDIUM
    10
    MEDIUM
    11
    LOW
    12
    MEDIUM
    13
    MEDIUM
    14
    HIGH
    15
    HIGH
    16
    LOW
    17
    MEDIUM
    18
    MEDIUM
    19
    MEDIUM
    20
    MEDIUM
    21
    HIGH
    22
    MEDIUM
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jun24

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the southwest Indian Ocean, Western Australia, the south Pacific, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 30 June to 4 July, 21 July to 25 July, and 25 July to 29 July. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 22 June to 26 June. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 29 June to 3 July, 3 July to 7 July, and 21 July to 25 July.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Butlers Gorge Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Sunday
    Jun 20
    -1.2 °C 9.8 °C
    0.2 mm
    Monday
    Jun 21
    -2.5 °C 8.3 °C
    0.0 mm
    Tuesday
    Jun 22
    -4.0 °C 8.5 °C
    0.2 mm
    Wednesday
    Jun 23
    -2.1 °C 9.4 °C
    0.2 mm
    Thursday
    Jun 24
    4.1 °C 5.0 °C
    2.2 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Butlers Gorge minimum temp history (42.2722°S, 146.2667°E, 671m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 12.6° 02/06/2021 Coldest this month -4.0° 22/06/2021
    Hottest on record 18.3 04/06/1963 Coldest on record -13.0 30/06/1983
    Hottest this year 29.0° 11/01/2021 Coldest this year -5.4° 12/05/2021
    Long term average 7.8° Long term average 0.2°
    Average this month 9.9° Average this month 2.3°
    Hottest June On Record Avg. max. temp. 10.0° 1967 Coldest June on record Avg. min. temp. -3.3° 1989
    Butlers Gorge rainfall history (42.2722°S, 146.2667°E, 671m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 25.6mm 08/06/2021 Total This Month 89.6mm
    21.0 days
    Long Term Average 149.9mm 21.5 days Wettest June on record 548.6mm 1952
    Driest on record 24.3mm 1950
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for Australia

  16. Year to Date

    Butlers Gorge Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Jun 729.7mm 109.8 day(s)
    Total For 2021 648.4mm 101.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2020 744.8mm 114.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 39.0mm Apr11
    Lowest Temperature -5.4°C May12
    Highest Temperature 29.0°C Jan11
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Butlers Gorge Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 18.9 18.8 16.6 13.2 10.1 7.8 7.1 8.0 10.2 12.6 14.8 16.8 12.9
    Mean Min (°C) 6.4 6.2 5.2 3.4 1.8 0.2 -0.3 -0.1 1.0 2.4 4.0 5.5 3.0
    Mean Rain (mm) 94.0 80.8 101.6 141.2 162.2 149.9 177.9 185.2 168.2 159.2 136.7 125.6 1670.9
    Mean Rain Days 15.2 13.2 16.9 20.2 22.8 21.5 24.0 24.3 22.3 21.3 19.5 18.3 238.4