Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology, Queensland
Final Flood Warning For The Bremer River And Warrill Creek
Issued at 03:07 PM EST on Friday 15 November 2024
Flood Warning Number: 11
FLOODING ALONG THE BREMER RIVER BETWEEN FIVE MILE BRIDGE AND WALLOON EXPECTED TO EASE BELOW MINOR FRIDAY EVENING
FLOODING IS NO LONGER OCCURRING ON WARRILL CREEK AT AMBERLEY
River and creek levels continue to slowly ease during Friday afternoon along the Bremer River and Warrill Creek catchments.
There remains a chance of further showers and a thunderstorm during the remainder of Friday and across the weekend. The situation will continue to be monitored.
Warrill Creek:
River levels have eased along the lower reaches of Warrill Creek.
The Warrill Creek at Amberley is currently at 3.56 metres and falling, below the minor flood level (4.00 m).
The Warrill Creek at Amberley will remain below the minor flood level (4.00 m) Friday afternoon.
Bremer River:
Areas of minor flooding continue to slowly ease along the lower reaches of the Bremer River during Friday afternoon, where the flood peak is downstream of the Walloon area.
The Bremer River at Rosewood is currently at 3.84 metres and falling, below the minor flood level (4.00 m)..
The Bremer River at Rosewood will remain below the minor flood level (4.00 m) Friday afternoon.
The Bremer River at Five Mile Bridge is currently at 4.12 metres and falling, above the minor flood level (3.50 m)..
The Bremer River at Five Mile Bridge is expected to fall below the minor flood level (3.50 m) early Friday evening.
The Bremer River at Walloon peaked at 6.08 metres around 10:30 am Friday 15 November and is currently at 5.60 metres and falling, above the minor flood level (5.00 m).
The Bremer River at Walloon is expected to fall below the minor flood level (5.00 m) Friday evening.
The Bremer River at Ipswich is currently at 2.82 metres and falling with the tide, below the minor flood level (7.0 metres).
The Bremer River at Ipswich will remain below the minor flood level (7.00 m) during the remainder of Friday as floodwaters continue to slowly arrive.
Flood Safety Advice:
Remember: If it's flooded, forget it. For flood emergency assistance contact the SES on 132 500. For life threatening emergencies, call Triple Zero (000) immediately.}
Current emergency information is available at www.qld.gov.au/alerts
Next issue:
This is a final warning, no further warnings will be issued for this event.
Latest River Heights:
Western Ck at Grandchester Alert,0.55,Steady,03:02 PM FRI 15/11/24
Bremer R at Rosewood Alert-2,3.81,Falling,02:37 PM FRI 15/11/24
Bremer R at Rosewood Alert,3.84,Falling,02:57 PM FRI 15/11/24
Bremer R at Five Mile Br Alert,4.12,Falling,03:01 PM FRI 15/11/24
Bremer R at Walloon TM,5.75,Falling,02:00 PM FRI 15/11/24
Bremer R at Walloon Alert,5.60,Falling,02:59 PM FRI 15/11/24
Warrill Ck at Kalbar Weir HW Alert,74.79,Falling,02:47 PM FRI 15/11/24
Warrill Ck at Greens Rd Amberley Alert,3.56,Falling,02:56 PM FRI 15/11/24
Bremer R at Ipswich Alert,2.82,Falling,02:53 PM FRI 15/11/24
This advice is also available by dialling 1300 659 210. Warning, rainfall and river information are available at www.bom.gov.au/qld/flood. The latest weather forecast is available at www.bom.gov.au/qld/forecasts.
Forecast
Tallebudgera Valley (28.1386°S, 153.4071°E, 12m AMSL) set as my default location ›
-
My MLA
-
Current condition
TODAY21° 26° Chance of rain: 70% Likely amount: 1-5mm First
lightLast light Sunrise Sunset 4:19am EST 4:45am EST 6:17pm EST 6:43pm EST NOW20.9° Feels Like: 22.6° Relative Humidity: 97% Dew: 20.4° Wind: S 11km/h Gust: 13km/h Rainfall since 9am: 1.2mm Pressure: 1018.3hPa -
Today Weather
Tallebudgera ValleyNow22.8°cFeels Like:21.6°Wind:E 24km/hGusts:24km/hHumidity:82%21°Min26°MaxToday in Tallebudgera ValleyPartly cloudy. High chance of showers, most likely in the morning and afternoon. The chance of a thunderstorm. Light winds becoming SE 15 to 20 km/h early in the morning then tending E 15 to 25 km/h in the morning. Overnight temperatures falling to between 17 and 21 with daytime temperatures reaching the mid to high 20s.Tomorrow20°Min27°MaxPartly cloudy. Slight chance of a shower in the morning. Light winds becoming E/NE 15 to 20 km/h in the morning then becoming light in the evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 16 and 21 with daytime temperatures reaching the mid to high 20s. -
Radar
-
Popup Radar
-
Warnings
-
7 day forecast
Today: Partly cloudy. High chance of showers, most likely in the morning and afternoon. The chance of a thunderstorm. Light winds becoming SE 15 to 20 km/h early in the morning then tending E 15 to 25 km/h in the morning. Overnight temperatures falling to between 17 and 21 with daytime temperatures reaching the mid to high 20s.
Forecast for Tallebudgera Valley (28.1386°S, 153.4071°E, 12m AMSL) Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Summary Minimum 21° 20° 20° 21° 20° 19° 19° Maximum 26° 27° 28° 26° 26° 26° 26° Chance of rain 70% 20% 80% 80% 70% 90% 90% Likely amount 1-5mm < 1mm 5-10mm 10-20mm 5-10mm 10-20mm 1-5mm UV index Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme Fire Danger Rating No Rating Moderate No Rating Moderate - - - Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 16
(km/h)23
(km/h)17
(km/h)21
(km/h)22
(km/h)30
(km/h)21
(km/h)26
(km/h)23
(km/h)25
(km/h)24
(km/h)31
(km/h)26
(km/h)29
(km/h)Wind direction ESE ESE ENE NE N NNE SSW SSE S SE SSE SSE SSE SSE Relative humidity 78% 73% 69% 67% 67% 71% 83% 78% 75% 77% 74% 76% 73% 70% Dew point 20°C 19°C 19°C 19°C 19°C 20°C 21°C 20°C 19°C 20°C 19°C 20°C 18°C 18°C -
28 Day Rainfall forecast
-
12 Month Rainfall Forecast
Tallebudgera Valley Rain Forecast
Tallebudgera Valley 12-month Rainfall ForecastNovDecJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct20242025878877873664105012 - 34 - 78 - 910Well below normalBelow normalNear normalAbove normalWell above normalIssue Notes - Issued Oct 1
ENSO status: La Niña Watch. IOD status: Neutral. SAM status: Negative. Trending slightly negative. The El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is in a La Niña Watch, meaning there is approximately a 50% chance of a La Niña developing this year. Overall, models are now starting to look more like La Niña, with more widespread ocean cooling occurring in the South Pacific, helped by the consistently strong trade winds. While these are good signs that La Niña is starting to develop, a declaration would likely happen no earlier than November, meaning this is more likely to be a late and weaker event if it does eventuate. A La Niña typically increases rainfall over northern and southeastern Australia during spring, but has little effect for southwestern WA. The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is in a neutral phase and is now unlikely to develop into either phase this spring. Conditions are closer to a negative IOD at the moment, so there may be some minor increases in the frequency of northwest cloudbands impactingAustralia. A neutral IOD tends to bring a small increase in spring rainfall for southwest WA, but has little effect elsewhere. The Southern Annular Mode (SAM) is in a negative phase, continuing on from the initial sudden Stratospheric Warming (SW) events over Antarctica since mid-July. These events increase the chances of negative SAM events, but are having a lesser effect moving forward in October. A negative SAM increases the frequency of cold fronts. During spring, this increases rainfall over western Tas and southern Vic, but decreases rainfall over eastern Australia. Rainfall outlooks are showing close to average for most of the country during October, with a higher chance of above average rainfall for northern and eastern Australia, increasing further into November and December. Models are also hinting that rainfall is more likely to arrive in the form of showers and thunderstorms, rather than broad rainbands, meaning rainfall in practice will likely be hit-and-miss for most of Australia thisspring.
-
Popup - Daily historical
-
Long range rainfall forecast
-
Past 5 Days
Tallebudgera Valley Past 5 Days
This MonthMinimum Maximum Rainfall Monday
Nov 1121.8 °C 26.8 °C 27.2 mmTuesday
Nov 1221.7 °C 26.4 °C 51.6 mmWednesday
Nov 1318.5 °C 26.6 °C 4.4 mmThursday
Nov 1419.1 °C 28.0 °C 10.4 mmFriday
Nov 1520.3 °C 28.1 °C 0.0 mmLegend -
Almanac
Almanac
Tallebudgera Valley minimum temp history (28.1386°S, 153.4071°E, 12m AMSL) MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE Hottest this month 29.5° 09/11/2024 Coldest this month 16.9° 01/11/2024 Hottest on record 37.9 28/11/1995 Coldest on record 9.3 17/11/2006 Hottest this year 32.0° 03/02/2024 Coldest this year 2.1° 20/07/2024 Long term average 26.2° Long term average 18.1° Average this month 27.6° Average this month 20.7° Hottest November On Record Avg. max. temp. 27.7° 2009 Coldest November on record Avg. min. temp. 16.6° 2003 Tallebudgera Valley rainfall history (28.1386°S, 153.4071°E, 12m AMSL) RAINFALL Wettest This Month 51.6mm 12/11/2024 Total This Month 127.2mm
7.0 daysLong Term Average 120.7mm 12.5 days Wettest November on record 356.8mm 2008 Driest on record 12.8mm 2019 -
Year to Date
Tallebudgera Valley Year To Date
Average Rainfall To Nov 1362.6mm 143.9 day(s) Total For 2024 1639.4mm 163.0 day(s) Total To This Day 2023 861.6mm 122.0 day(s) Wettest Day 114.0mm Oct10 Lowest Temperature 2.1°C Jul20 Highest Temperature 32.0°C Feb 3 -
Popup - Radar
Weather Radar for Australia
Australia Radars
- Adelaide
- Adelaide Airport
- Adelaide Sellicks
- Albany
- Alice Springs
- Bairnsdale
- Bowen
- Brewarrina
- Brisbane
- Brisbane Airport
- Brisbane Marburg
- Broadmeadows
- Broome
- Cairns
- Cairns Airport
- Canberra
- Carnarvon
- Ceduna
- Coffs Harbour
- Dampier
- Darwin
- Darwin Airport
- Emerald
- Esperance
- Eucla
- Geraldton
- Giles
- Gladstone
-
Popup - Monthly historical
-
Climatology
Climate History
Tallebudgera Valley Climatology
Tallebudgera Valley Long-Term Averages
Long-Term Averages Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann Mean Max (°C) 28.5 28.4 27.5 25.6 23.2 21.2 20.7 21.8 23.5 24.8 26.2 27.5 24.9 Mean Min (°C) 21.1 20.9 19.9 17.0 13.9 11.3 10.2 10.5 13.4 16.0 18.1 19.9 16.0 Mean Rain (mm) 167.2 187.0 201.4 157.1 133.7 125.8 75.4 57.3 44.0 93.0 120.7 157.7 1519.8 Mean Rain Days 15.3 16.4 18.5 15.7 14.9 12.8 10.4 8.2 8.4 10.8 12.5 14.0 157.5