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Forecast

May Downs (21.6339°S, 148.5473°E, 225m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TOMORROW
    Possible shower 24° 37°
    possible shower
    Chance of rain: 60%
    Likely amount: 1-5mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    5:37am EST 6:00am EST 6:43pm EST 7:06pm EST
    NOW
    24.5° Feels Like: 29.5°
    Relative Humidity: 89%
    Dew: 22.6°
    Wind: N 0km/h
    Gust: 0km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 4.2mm
    Pressure: 1010.3hPa
  3. Today Weather

    May Downs
    Now
    26.4°c
    Feels Like:
    32.5°
    Wind:
    N 0km/h
    Gusts:
    0km/h
    Humidity:
    89%
    Possible shower
     
    24°
    Min
    37°
    Max
    Today in May Downs
    Partly cloudy. Medium chance of showers, most likely in the afternoon and evening. The chance of a thunderstorm, with possible heavy falls from the late morning. Light winds becoming E/NE 15 to 25 km/h in the early afternoon. Overnight temperatures falling to 20 to 25 with daytime temperatures reaching the low to high 30s.
    Tomorrow
    Possible shower
    24°
    Min
    37°
    Max
    Partly cloudy. High chance of showers in the southwest, medium chance elsewhere. The chance of a thunderstorm. Winds NE 15 to 25 km/h turning E 20 to 30 km/h early in the morning. Overnight temperatures falling to the low to mid 20s with daytime temperatures reaching 29 to 35.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Partly cloudy. Medium chance of showers, most likely in the afternoon and evening. The chance of a thunderstorm, with possible heavy falls from the late morning. Light winds becoming E/NE 15 to 25 km/h in the early afternoon. Overnight temperatures falling to 20 to 25 with daytime temperatures reaching the low to high 30s.

    Forecast for May Downs (21.6339°S, 148.5473°E, 225m AMSL)
      Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu
    Summary Possible shower Possible shower Possible shower Possible shower Mostly sunny Possible shower Possible shower
    Minimum 24° 24° 23° 23° 23° 23° 23°
    Maximum 37° 34° 32° 32° 33° 35° 33°
    Chance of rain 60% 60% 80% 70% 70% 90% 90%
    Likely amount 1-5mm 1-5mm 10-20mm 1-5mm 5-10mm 10-20mm 5-10mm
    UV index Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme - - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 10
    (km/h)
    18
    (km/h)
    22
    (km/h)
    26
    (km/h)
    23
    (km/h)
    25
    (km/h)
    18
    (km/h)
    18
    (km/h)
    15
    (km/h)
    15
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    9
    (km/h)
    8
    (km/h)
    9
    (km/h)
    Wind direction E E E E E E E E E ESE E E NNE ESE
    Relative humidity 67% 42% 67% 52% 77% 66% 80% 67% 78% 58% 77% 54% 81% 67%
    Dew point 23°C 22°C 22°C 22°C 23°C 25°C 24°C 24°C 24°C 24°C 24°C 23°C 24°C 26°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    May Downs Rain Forecast


    May Downs 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    21
    MEDIUM
    22
    MEDIUM
    23
    HIGH
    24
    HIGH
    25
    HIGH
    26
    HIGH
    27
    28
    29
    Mar 1
    LOW
    2
    LOW
    3
    LOW
    4
    LOW
    5
    6
    7
    LOW
    8
    LOW
    9
    10
    11
    LOW
    12
    LOW
    13
    14
    15
    16
    17
    MEDIUM
    18
    19
    20
    21
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Feb20

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 8 March to 12 March, 13 March to 17 March, and 21 March to 25 March. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 29 February to 4 March, 4 March to 8 March, and 10 March to 14 March. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 5 March to 9 March, 13 March to 17 March, and 21 March to 25 March.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    May Downs Rain Forecast


    May Downs 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    2020
    2021
    8
    4
    8
    6
    8
    7
    7
    8
    7
    6
    2
    7
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Feb 12

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Trending neutral Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific remained stable throughout January with the Nino3.4 index registering a value of 0.4 as per December. On the other hand, the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of 1.3 in January. The current outlook suggests warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the austral autumn, cooling even further by mid 2020. Six out of eight international models continue to maintain a warmer than average equatorial Pacific Ocean through the first half of the year, none of these reaching El Nino thresholds. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains neutral, which is what you will expect for this time of the year. All six international models maintain neutral IOD values until the austral winter, with indications we could see another positive event late winter/spring. However, the skill of the models is low at this time of the year. In terms of rainfall across Australia, the current outlook favours average-to-below average rainfall for parts of inland NSW and Qld for the end of summer and autumn. This however, excludes any extreme weather events such as tropical cyclones or East Coast Lows. Across the north, the North Australian Monsoon (NAM) had its latest onset on record in early February at Darwin (by its technical definition) with the current prognosis suggesting another below average wet season for northern Australia. The northern half of the country however, could see a wet end to the wet season compared to the season thus far. Looking further ahead, with no significant signature from ENSO, there are no significant climate drivers tilting the balance towards a drier or wetter end of autumn/winter.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    May Downs Rain Forecast


    May Downs 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    21
    MEDIUM
    22
    MEDIUM
    23
    HIGH
    24
    HIGH
    25
    HIGH
    26
    HIGH
    27
    28
    29
    Mar 1
    LOW
    2
    LOW
    3
    LOW
    4
    LOW
    5
    6
    7
    LOW
    8
    LOW
    9
    10
    11
    LOW
    12
    LOW
    13
    14
    15
    16
    17
    MEDIUM
    18
    19
    20
    21
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Feb20

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 8 March to 12 March, 13 March to 17 March, and 21 March to 25 March. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 29 February to 4 March, 4 March to 8 March, and 10 March to 14 March. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 5 March to 9 March, 13 March to 17 March, and 21 March to 25 March.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    May Downs Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Sunday
    Feb 16
    24.4 °C 36.8 °C
    1.2 mm
    Monday
    Feb 17
    24.1 °C 35.5 °C
    0.0 mm
    Tuesday
    Feb 18
    24.0 °C 35.9 °C
    0.0 mm
    Wednesday
    Feb 19
    23.5 °C 36.9 °C
    0.0 mm
    Thursday
    Feb 20
    24.9 °C 38 °C
    0.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    May Downs minimum temp history (21.6339°S, 148.5473°E, 225m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 34.5° 12/02/2020 Coldest this month 21.7° 09/02/2020
    Hottest on record 37.3 23/02/1956 Coldest on record 18.0 16/02/1996
    Hottest this year 34.6° 19/01/2020 Coldest this year 20.1° 18/01/2020
    Long term average 30.1° Long term average 23.2°
    Average this month 32.1° Average this month 24.3°
    Hottest February On Record Avg. max. temp. 31.6° 2006 Coldest February on record Avg. min. temp. 21.9° 1951
    May Downs rainfall history (21.6339°S, 148.5473°E, 225m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 27.2mm 09/02/2020 Total This Month 69.4mm
    11.0 days
    Long Term Average 355.1mm 17.5 days Wettest February on record 1287.8mm 1958
    Driest on record 65.2mm 1998
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for QLD

  16. Year to Date

    May Downs Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Feb 676.1mm 33.9 day(s)
    Total For 2020 311.0mm 28.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2019 403.6mm 26.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 133.0mm Jan26
    Lowest Temperature 20.1°C Jan18
    Highest Temperature 34.6°C Jan19
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    May Downs Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 30.3 30.1 29.3 27.7 25.3 23.1 22.6 23.7 25.9 28.3 29.6 30.8 27.2
    Mean Min (°C) 23.1 23.2 22.0 19.4 15.7 12.9 11.3 11.8 14.7 18.1 20.5 22.2 17.8
    Mean Rain (mm) 321.0 355.1 270.6 168.1 92.4 65.2 35.4 34.1 26.1 35.2 83.7 132.8 1614.0
    Mean Rain Days 16.4 17.5 16.6 14.5 12.1 10.3 8.2 6.7 5.4 5.9 8.4 10.9 125.2