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Forecast

Mackay (21.1434°S, 149.1868°E, 20m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Sunny 20° 31°
    Chance of rain: 5%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    4:51am EST 5:15am EST 6:20pm EST 6:44pm EST
    NOW
    28.9° Feels Like: 26.1°
    Relative Humidity: 54%
    Dew: 18.7°
    Wind: NNE 30km/h
    Gust: 33km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure: 1009.9hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Mackay
    Now
    29.4°c
    Feels Like:
    29.2°
    Wind:
    N 20km/h
    Gusts:
    26km/h
    Humidity:
    57%
    Sunny
     
    20°
    Min
    31°
    Max
    Today in Mackay
    Hot and sunny. Winds N/NW 15 to 20 km/h tending N/NE 20 to 30 km/h in the middle of the day. Daytime maximum temperatures 31 to 37.
    Tomorrow
    Mostly sunny
    20°
    Min
    31°
    Max
    Hot. Partly cloudy. The chance of a thunderstorm inland, in the afternoon and evening with little or no rainfall. Winds N 15 to 20 km/h becoming light before dawn then becoming NE 15 to 25 km/h in the middle of the day. Overnight temperatures falling to between 16 and 20 with daytime temperatures reaching 31 to 37.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

    There are no current warnings for Mackay

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Hot and sunny. Winds N/NW 15 to 20 km/h tending N/NE 20 to 30 km/h in the middle of the day. Daytime maximum temperatures 31 to 37.

    Forecast for Mackay (21.1434°S, 149.1868°E, 20m AMSL)
      Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue
    Summary Sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Sunny Sunny Mostly sunny
    Minimum 20° 20° 21° 21° 21° 21° 21°
    Maximum 31° 31° 31° 31° 31° 32° 32°
    Chance of rain 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 10% 5%
    Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm
    UV index Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 16
    (km/h)
    20
    (km/h)
    4
    (km/h)
    17
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    13
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    11
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    9
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    Wind direction N NNE NNE NE NE ENE NE ENE NE NE N NE ENE ENE
    Relative humidity 58% 56% 59% 58% 58% 57% 59% 57% 58% 55% 59% 60% 63% 59%
    Dew point 19°C 21°C 18°C 21°C 20°C 21°C 20°C 21°C 19°C 20°C 20°C 22°C 21°C 22°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Mackay Rain Forecast


    Mackay 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    13
    LOW
    14
    15
    LOW
    16
    17
    18
    19
    20
    21
    22
    23
    24
    25
    26
    27
    28
    29
    30
    Dec 1
    2
    3
    4
    5
    6
    7
    8
    9
    LOW
    10
    LOW
    11
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Nov13

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, Western Australia, eastern Australia, New Zealand, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 30 November to 4 December, 5 December to 9 December, and 9 December to 13 December. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 22 November to 26 November, 3 December to 7 December, and 17 December to 21 December. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 9 December to 13 December.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Mackay Rain Forecast


    Mackay 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    2019
    2020
    4
    4
    5
    5
    5
    7
    7
    9
    8
    8
    9
    7
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Nov 8

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Positive Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific warmed up slightly over the past few weeks. As a reflection, the Nino3.4 index lingered between 0.5 and 0.7 throughout the month of October. The Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -5.6 during the past month. The current outlook consensus suggests warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the coming months, but remaining within neutral values. Five out of eight international models maintain a warmer than average Pacific Ocean through the end of 2019 and first quarter of 2020, however, none of these reaching El Nino thresholds. The IRI ENSO forecast continues to suggest less than 40% of another El Nino developing over the next 12 months, with a neutral ENSO the most likely outcome. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains strongly positive, with the highest positive value since the early 2000s. All six international models maintain a strong positive event until December. In terms of rainfall, there is little variation to the outlook issued last month. The climate outlook for October continues to favour below average rainfall for most of Australia, in particular the eastern half of the continent. During Positive IODs, central and southeastern Australia tend to see a reduction in rainfall during spring, due to a reduction of moisture streaming from the northwest. For northern Australia, the current outlook is for a late onset of the wet season across the Northern Territory and Queensland. Thus far, Darwin and South Eastern Qld have seen the onset of the wet season this year though a week later than usual. Further south, a negative trend in the Southern Annular Mode (SAM) will continue to enhance frontal activity over the far south during October and early. This is likely to offset the Positive IOD in far southern Victoria and western Tasmania, which could see average-to-above average rainfall during October and early December. Looking further ahead, with no significant signature from ENSO, there are no significant climate drivers tilting the balance towards a drier or wetter summer. The current outlook suggest neutral odds.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Mackay Rain Forecast


    Mackay 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    13
    LOW
    14
    15
    LOW
    16
    17
    18
    19
    20
    21
    22
    23
    24
    25
    26
    27
    28
    29
    30
    Dec 1
    2
    3
    4
    5
    6
    7
    8
    9
    LOW
    10
    LOW
    11
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Nov13

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, Western Australia, eastern Australia, New Zealand, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 30 November to 4 December, 5 December to 9 December, and 9 December to 13 December. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 22 November to 26 November, 3 December to 7 December, and 17 December to 21 December. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 9 December to 13 December.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Mackay Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Saturday
    Nov 09
    16.6 °C 35.9 °C
    0.0 mm
    Sunday
    Nov 10
    15.0 °C 30.1 °C
    0.0 mm
    Monday
    Nov 11
    14.3 °C 30.3 °C
    0.0 mm
    Tuesday
    Nov 12
    17.1 °C 29.7 °C
    0.0 mm
    Wednesday
    Nov 13
    17.0 °C 32 °C
    0.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Mackay minimum temp history (21.1434°S, 149.1868°E, 20m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 35.9° 09/11/2019 Coldest this month 14.3° 11/11/2019
    Hottest on record 36.6 22/11/2008 Coldest on record 12.8 22/11/1956
    Hottest this year 35.9° 09/11/2019 Coldest this year 3.8° 12/08/2019
    Long term average 29.6° Long term average 20.5°
    Average this month 30.6° Average this month 18.2°
    Hottest November On Record Avg. max. temp. 31.5° 2008 Coldest November on record Avg. min. temp. 18.3° 1996
    Mackay rainfall history (21.1434°S, 149.1868°E, 20m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 0.0mm 01/11/2019 Total This Month 0.0mm
    0.0 days
    Long Term Average 83.7mm 8.4 days Wettest November on record 446.6mm 2008
  15. Popup - Radar

  16. Year to Date

    Mackay Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Nov 1486.9mm 122.0 day(s)
    Total For 2019 896.8mm 87.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2018 768.6mm 92.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 72.2mm Apr25
    Lowest Temperature 3.8°C Aug12
    Highest Temperature 35.9°C Nov 9
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Mackay Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 30.3 30.1 29.3 27.7 25.3 23.1 22.6 23.7 25.9 28.3 29.6 30.8 27.2
    Mean Min (°C) 23.1 23.2 22.0 19.4 15.7 12.9 11.3 11.8 14.7 18.1 20.5 22.2 17.8
    Mean Rain (mm) 321.0 355.1 270.6 168.1 92.4 65.2 35.4 34.1 26.1 35.2 83.7 132.8 1614.0
    Mean Rain Days 16.4 17.5 16.6 14.5 12.1 10.3 8.2 6.7 5.4 5.9 8.4 10.9 125.2