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Forecast

Low Isles (16.383°S, 145.5606°E, 0m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Thunderstorms 26° 32°
    Chance of rain: 90%
    Likely amount: 20-40mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    5:42am EST 6:05am EST 6:57pm EST 7:19pm EST
    NOW
    26.9° Feels Like: 34.1°
    Relative Humidity: 99%
    Dew: 26.7°
    Wind: SE 2km/h
    Gust: 7km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 5.8mm
    Pressure: 1008.6hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Low Isles
    Now
    26.3°c
    Feels Like:
    31.4°
    Wind:
    ESE 6km/h
    Gusts:
    7km/h
    Humidity:
    90%
    Thunderstorms
     
    26°
    Min
    32°
    Max
    Today in Low Isles
    Cloudy. Very high chance of showers and areas of rain. The chance of a thunderstorm with possible heavy falls. Light winds becoming NE 15 to 20 km/h in the morning then becoming light in the middle of the day. Daytime maximum temperatures 27 to 32.
    Tomorrow
    Thunderstorms
    26°
    Min
    32°
    Max
    Cloudy. Very high chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm, with possible heavy falls in the north. Light winds. Overnight temperatures falling to the low to mid 20s with daytime temperatures reaching around 30.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Cloudy. Very high chance of showers and areas of rain. The chance of a thunderstorm with possible heavy falls. Light winds becoming NE 15 to 20 km/h in the morning then becoming light in the middle of the day. Daytime maximum temperatures 27 to 32.

    Forecast for Low Isles (16.383°S, 145.5606°E, 0m AMSL)
      Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue
    Summary Thunderstorms Thunderstorms Thunderstorms Thunderstorms Thunderstorms Thunderstorms Thunderstorms
    Minimum 26° 26° 26° 26° 26° 26° 26°
    Maximum 32° 32° 33° 33° 33° 33° 33°
    Chance of rain 90% 90% 80% 90% 90% 80% 90%
    Likely amount 20-40mm 20-40mm 20-40mm 20-40mm 10-20mm 5-10mm 10-20mm
    UV index Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 16
    (km/h)
    19
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    15
    (km/h)
    24
    (km/h)
    29
    (km/h)
    23
    (km/h)
    27
    (km/h)
    21
    (km/h)
    26
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    18
    (km/h)
    9
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    Wind direction NNE ENE ESE SE SE SE SE SE SE ESE S ESE SSE E
    Relative humidity 86% 72% 85% 71% 82% 67% 81% 69% 81% 69% 79% 65% 78% 67%
    Dew point 26°C 26°C 25°C 26°C 25°C 26°C 26°C 26°C 25°C 26°C 25°C 25°C 24°C 26°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Low Isles Rain Forecast


    Low Isles 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    29
    HIGH
    30
    MEDIUM
    31
    MEDIUM
    Feb 1
    MEDIUM
    2
    MEDIUM
    3
    HIGH
    4
    HIGH
    5
    6
    7
    LOW
    8
    LOW
    9
    HIGH
    10
    MEDIUM
    11
    HIGH
    12
    MEDIUM
    13
    LOW
    14
    MEDIUM
    15
    MEDIUM
    16
    MEDIUM
    17
    MEDIUM
    18
    19
    LOW
    20
    LOW
    21
    LOW
    22
    23
    24
    25
    LOW
    26
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jan29

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are seven main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, Western Australia, eastern Australia, the southeast Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 7 February to 11 February, 19 February to 23 February, and 2 March to 6 March. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 7 February to 11 February, 25 February to 29 February, and 29 February to 4 March. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 5 February to 9 February, and 14 February to 18 February.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Low Isles Rain Forecast


    Low Isles 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    2020
    5
    5
    5
    7
    6
    7
    7
    8
    7
    8
    6
    6
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Jan 14

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Trending neutral Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific remained stable throughout December with the Nino3.4 index registering a value of 0.4 throughout the month. On the other hand, the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -5.5 in December. The current outlook suggests warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the coming months, but remaining within neutral values. Six out of eight international models maintain a warmer than average equatorial Pacific Ocean through the first two quarters of 2020, none of these reaching El Nino thresholds. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) has now returned to neutral, as waters off Western Australia have warmed up considerably. All six international models maintain neutral values until the austral winter with indications we could see another positive event later this year. In terms of rainfall across Australia, the current outlook favours a clearer below average rainfall signal for Western Australia and the Northern Territory through the remainder of January. This however, excludes any extreme weather events such as tropical cyclones. For the eastern states, there is a wetter than average signal for the coming weeks. Looking further ahead, with no significant signature from ENSO, there are no significant climate drivers tilting the balance towards a drier or wetter February. The current outlook suggests average-to-below average odds for February and March across the eastern states. The northern and western half of the country, however, could see a wet end to summer/start to autumn.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Low Isles Rain Forecast


    Low Isles 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    29
    HIGH
    30
    MEDIUM
    31
    MEDIUM
    Feb 1
    MEDIUM
    2
    MEDIUM
    3
    HIGH
    4
    HIGH
    5
    6
    7
    LOW
    8
    LOW
    9
    HIGH
    10
    MEDIUM
    11
    HIGH
    12
    MEDIUM
    13
    LOW
    14
    MEDIUM
    15
    MEDIUM
    16
    MEDIUM
    17
    MEDIUM
    18
    19
    LOW
    20
    LOW
    21
    LOW
    22
    23
    24
    25
    LOW
    26
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jan29

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are seven main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, Western Australia, eastern Australia, the southeast Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 7 February to 11 February, 19 February to 23 February, and 2 March to 6 March. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 7 February to 11 February, 25 February to 29 February, and 29 February to 4 March. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 5 February to 9 February, and 14 February to 18 February.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Low Isles Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Saturday
    Jan 25
    25.2 °C 31.3 °C
    20.2 mm
    Sunday
    Jan 26
    25.7 °C 33.5 °C
    4.2 mm
    Monday
    Jan 27
    24.8 °C 33.5 °C
    95.2 mm
    Tuesday
    Jan 28
    23.8 °C 29.9 °C
    26.4 mm
    Wednesday
    Jan 29
    25.0 °C -
    172.6 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Low Isles minimum temp history (16.383°S, 145.5606°E, 0m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 36.1° 21/01/2020 Coldest this month 23.3° 09/01/2020
    Hottest on record 38.6 09/01/1994 Coldest on record 21.3 21/01/2013
    Hottest this year 36.1° 21/01/2020 Coldest this year 23.3° 09/01/2020
    Long term average 32.3° Long term average 25.5°
    Average this month 33.0° Average this month 26.0°
    Hottest January On Record Avg. max. temp. 34.2° 1992 Coldest January on record Avg. min. temp. 24.5° 1969
    Low Isles rainfall history (16.383°S, 145.5606°E, 0m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 173.0mm 29/01/2020 Total This Month 538.6mm
    14.0 days
    Long Term Average 402.0mm 18.1 days Wettest January on record 2148.3mm 1992
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for QLD

  16. Year to Date

    Low Isles Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Jan 402.0mm 18.1 day(s)
    Total For 2020 538.6mm 14.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2019 555.2mm 22.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 173.0mm Jan29
    Lowest Temperature 23.3°C Jan 9
    Highest Temperature 36.1°C Jan21
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Low Isles Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 32.3 31.8 30.9 29.4 27.6 25.9 25.5 26.6 28.6 30.3 31.7 32.3 29.4
    Mean Min (°C) 25.5 25.4 25.1 24.1 22.9 21.2 20.5 20.7 21.9 23.2 24.5 25.3 23.4
    Mean Rain (mm) 402.0 427.9 439.5 232.4 99.7 64.6 36.3 37.5 37.0 44.1 90.0 210.0 2122.8
    Mean Rain Days 18.1 18.2 19.8 18.0 14.4 10.5 8.8 8.7 8.0 7.6 9.7 13.7 150.9