Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology, Queensland
Minor Flood Warning For The Herbert River
Issued at 11:08 AM EST on Sunday 22 December 2024
Flood Warning Number: 5
RENEWED MINOR FLOOD PEAK ESTIMATED TO BE OCCURRING AT GLENEAGLE
MINOR FLOOD PEAK EXPECTED AT ABERGOWRIE BRIDGE AROUND MIDDAY
MINOR FLOOD PEAK AT HALIFAX SUNDAY MORNING
River levels remain elevated across the upper Herbert River catchment on Sunday, as lingering shower activity continues. Further downstream across the lower Herbert River catchment, renewed rises are occurring as upstream floodwater arrives.
Further showers and storms are forecast through the remainder of Sunday into Monday. This situation is being closely monitored, and warnings will be updated as necessary.
A Flood Watch is no longer current for catchments between Cooktown and Mackay, including the Herbert River catchment.
Herbert River to Nash's Crossing:
Minor flooding continues along the Herbert River in the Gleneagle area, with further small upstream rises expected overnight Sunday.
No recent observations are available for Gleneagle manual gauge, however based on the nearby automatic gauge the river level is estimated to be around a peak of 6.00 metres on Sunday morning, above the minor flood level (4.50 metres).
With further showers possible during Sunday, the Herbert River at Gleneagle is likely to remain above the minor flood level (4.50 m) into Monday.
Herbert River downstream of Nash's Crossing:
Renewed minor flooding is occurring along the Herbert River downstream of Nash's Crossing.
The Herbert River at Abergowrie Bridge is currently at 6.60 metres and rising, above the minor flood level (6.00 m).
The Herbert River at Abergowrie Bridge is expected to peak near 6.80 metres around midday on Sunday. The river level is likely to fall below the minor flood level (6.00 m) overnight Sunday into Monday.
The Herbert River at Ingham Pump Station is currently at 7.49 metres and rising, below the minor flood level (10.00 metres).
The Herbert River at Ingham Pump Station will remain below the minor flood level (10.00 m) during Sunday into Monday.
The Herbert River at Gairloch is currently at 6.94 metres and rising, below the minor flood level (9.50 metres).
The Herbert River at Gairloch will remain below the minor flood level (9.50 m) during Sunday into Monday.
No current observations are available for the Herbert River at Halifax, however the river level is estimated to be approaching a peak around the minor flood level (4.00 metres) on Sunday morning.
The Herbert River at Halifax is likely to fall below the minor flood level (4.00 m) during Sunday evening.
Flood Safety Advice:
Remember: If it's flooded, forget it. For flood emergency assistance contact the SES on 132 500. For life threatening emergencies, call Triple Zero (000) immediately.}
Current emergency information is available at www.qld.gov.au/alerts
Next issue:
The next warning will be issued by 10:00 am EST on Monday 23 December 2024.
Latest River Heights:
Wild R at Silver Valley TM,2.75,Rising,10:20 AM SUN 22/12/24
Rudd Ck at Gunnawarra Alert,4.12,Rising,10:45 AM SUN 22/12/24
Rudd Ck at Gunnawarra TM,4.08,Rising,10:00 AM SUN 22/12/24
Herbert R at Gleneagle Alert,4.65,Steady,09:06 AM SUN 22/12/24
Herbert R at Gleneagle TM,4.65,Steady,10:00 AM SUN 22/12/24
Blencoe Creek at Blencoe Falls TM,4.39,Steady,10:00 AM SUN 22/12/24
Herbert R at Nashs Crossing Alert,4.15,Falling,10:55 AM SUN 22/12/24
Herbert R at Abergowrie Alert,6.17,Steady,08:34 AM SUN 22/12/24
Herbert R at Abergowrie TM,6.16,Steady,10:08 AM SUN 22/12/24
Herbert R at Abergowrie Br Alert,6.60,Rising,08:52 AM SUN 22/12/24
Stone R at Peacock Siding Alert,2.30,Steady,10:33 AM SUN 22/12/24
Herbert R at Trebonne Alert,7.30,Rising,10:11 AM SUN 22/12/24
Herbert R at Ingham Pump Stn Alert,7.49,Rising,10:56 AM SUN 22/12/24
Herbert R at Ingham Pump Stn TM,7.44,Falling,10:00 AM SUN 22/12/24
Herbert R at Gairloch (Auto) Alert,6.94,Rising,11:00 AM SUN 22/12/24
Lucinda Pt Tide TM,2.03,Steady,10:38 AM SUN 22/12/24
This advice is also available by dialling 1300 659 210. Warning, rainfall and river information are available at www.bom.gov.au/qld/flood. The latest weather forecast is available at www.bom.gov.au/qld/forecasts.
Forecast
Ayr (19.5761°S, 147.4052°E, 11m AMSL) set as my default location ›
-
My MLA
-
Current condition
TODAY22° 31° clearing shower Chance of rain: 20% Likely amount: < 1mm First
lightLast light Sunrise Sunset 5:05am EST 5:30am EST 6:49pm EST 7:13pm EST NOW30.8° Feels Like: 35.5° Relative Humidity: 62% Dew: 22.7° Wind: NE 2km/h Gust: 6km/h Rainfall since 9am: 2.8mm Pressure: -
Today Weather
AyrNow30.2°cFeels Like:32.9°Wind:NE 19km/hGusts:22km/hHumidity:73%22°Min31°MaxToday in AyrPartly cloudy. Medium chance of showers in the N, slight chance elsewhere. The chance of a thunderstorm, possibly severe. Light winds becoming E/SE 15 to 20 km/h in the early afternoon then becoming light in the evening. Daytime maximum temperatures around 30.Tomorrow21°Min33°MaxMostly sunny. Slight chance of a shower in the N, near zero chance elsewhere. The chance of a thunderstorm in the N in the morning and afternoon. Light winds. Overnight temperatures falling to the low 20s with daytime temperatures reaching the low to mid 30s. -
Radar
-
Popup Radar
-
Warnings
-
7 day forecast
Today: Partly cloudy. Medium chance of showers in the N, slight chance elsewhere. The chance of a thunderstorm, possibly severe. Light winds becoming E/SE 15 to 20 km/h in the early afternoon then becoming light in the evening. Daytime maximum temperatures around 30.
Forecast for Ayr (19.5761°S, 147.4052°E, 11m AMSL) Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Summary Minimum 22° 21° 22° 24° 24° 21° 21° Maximum 31° 33° 35° 31° 31° 31° 31° Chance of rain 20% 10% 10% 40% 50% 5% 5% Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm UV index Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme Fire Danger Rating No Rating No Rating Moderate Moderate - - - Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 13
(km/h)7
(km/h)4
(km/h)8
(km/h)6
(km/h)11
(km/h)11
(km/h)18
(km/h)16
(km/h)18
(km/h)8
(km/h)12
(km/h)6
(km/h)11
(km/h)Wind direction S ESE SSW E WNW NNE ENE ENE E E E ENE NNE NE Relative humidity 73% 67% 74% 59% 74% 61% 76% 71% 74% 66% 67% 60% 68% 62% Dew point 22°C 24°C 23°C 23°C 24°C 25°C 25°C 24°C 24°C 23°C 21°C 21°C 22°C 22°C -
28 Day Rainfall forecast
-
12 Month Rainfall Forecast
Ayr Rain Forecast
Ayr 12-month Rainfall ForecastDecJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNov20242025967787719676105012 - 34 - 78 - 910Well below normalBelow normalNear normalAbove normalWell above normalIssue Notes - Issued Dec 10
ENSO status: La Niña Watch. IOD status: Neutral. SAM status: Negative. Trending positive. The El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is in a La Niña Watch. The current technical definition of a La Niña is only a small chance to be met, although ocean and atmospheric conditions do resemble a La Niña pattern. Trade winds are still stronger than average along the western equatorial Pacific, and Relative-Nino Index (factors in equatorial ocean temperatures elsewhere around the world, compensating for the background warming signal) is below the threshold. A La Niña typically leads to cooler temperatures northern Australia during summer, while producing higher temperatures for western/southwestern WA, Vic and western Tas. The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is in a neutral phase. Recent conditions have been like a negative IOD, but it is too late in the year for this climate driver to develop. Once the monsoon establishes over northern Australia, the IOD has no impact on Australia’s weather. The Southern AnnularMode (SAM) is in a brief negative phase, having switched a positive phase in November. Forecasts predict it will become neural in mid-late December and become positive in January and February. A positive SAM decreases the frequency of cold fronts, with more regular high pressure systems and easterly winds. During summer, this increases rainfall over eastern Australia, and reduces rainfall over southeastern SA, western Vic and western Tas. Rainfall outlooks are showing above average rainfall over large parts of the country during summer, with closer to average conditions for the southwest corner of WA, southern SA and Vic, and central parts of Tas.
-
Popup - Daily historical
-
Long range rainfall forecast
-
Past 5 Days
Ayr Past 5 Days
This MonthMinimum Maximum Rainfall Wednesday
Dec 1822.7 °C 30.9 °C 9.2 mmThursday
Dec 1923.7 °C 30.4 °C 8.6 mmFriday
Dec 2022.5 °C 28.3 °C 78.8 mmSaturday
Dec 2123.2 °C 29.7 °C 30.4 mmSunday
Dec 2222.5 °C 31.3 °C 15.4 mmLegend -
Almanac
Almanac
Ayr minimum temp history (19.5761°S, 147.4052°E, 11m AMSL) MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE Hottest this month 33.0° 16/12/2024 Coldest this month 20.5° 14/12/2024 Hottest on record 42.5 20/12/1995 Coldest on record 12.5 26/12/1990 Hottest this year 35.0° 23/01/2024 Coldest this year 3.5° 19/07/2024 Long term average 32.1° Long term average 22.2° Average this month 30.8° Average this month 23.2° Hottest December On Record Avg. max. temp. 34.2° 2001 Coldest December on record Avg. min. temp. 20.2° 1972 Ayr rainfall history (19.5761°S, 147.4052°E, 11m AMSL) RAINFALL Wettest This Month 127.6mm 02/12/2024 Total This Month 349.6mm
15.0 daysLong Term Average 100.0mm 7.7 days Wettest December on record 468.0mm 1975 Driest on record 0.0mm 2001 -
Year to Date
Ayr Year To Date
Average Rainfall To Dec 937.9mm 74.0 day(s) Total For 2024 1129.8mm 89.0 day(s) Total To This Day 2023 1116.4mm 76.0 day(s) Wettest Day 127.6mm Dec 2 Lowest Temperature 3.5°C Jul19 Highest Temperature 35.0°C Jan23 -
Popup - Radar
Weather Radar for Australia
Australia Radars
- Adelaide
- Adelaide Airport
- Adelaide Sellicks
- Albany
- Alice Springs
- Bairnsdale
- Bowen
- Brewarrina
- Brisbane
- Brisbane Airport
- Brisbane Marburg
- Broadmeadows
- Broome
- Cairns
- Cairns Airport
- Canberra
- Carnarvon
- Ceduna
- Coffs Harbour
- Dampier
- Darwin
- Darwin Airport
- Emerald
- Esperance
- Eucla
- Geraldton
- Giles
- Gladstone
-
Popup - Monthly historical
-
Climatology
Climate History
Ayr Climatology
Ayr Long-Term Averages
Long-Term Averages Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann Mean Max (°C) 31.8 31.6 30.9 29.6 27.6 25.5 25.3 26.4 28.3 30.0 31.2 32.1 29.2 Mean Min (°C) 22.9 22.9 21.7 19.3 16.3 13.0 12.1 12.7 15.4 18.5 20.8 22.2 18.1 Mean Rain (mm) 228.8 231.2 149.0 50.3 41.1 23.4 17.7 16.3 9.6 25.9 44.6 100.0 944.9 Mean Rain Days 12.2 12.8 10.3 5.4 4.7 3.9 3.2 2.9 2.1 3.2 5.6 7.7 74.2