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Forecast

Townsville (19.2581°S, 146.8184°E, 6m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Mostly sunny 18° 27°
    mostly sunny
    Chance of rain: 10%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    5:40am EST 6:01am EST 6:09pm EST 6:31pm EST
    NOW
    19.5° Feels Like: 19.1°
    Relative Humidity: 72%
    Dew: 14.3°
    Wind: S 9km/h
    Gust: 11km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure: 1018.1hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Townsville
    Now
    15.2°c
    Feels Like:
    14.5°
    Wind:
    SE 6km/h
    Gusts:
    9km/h
    Humidity:
    77%
    Mostly sunny
     
    18°
    Min
    27°
    Max
    Today in Townsville
    Partly cloudy. The chance of fog inland in the early morning. Slight chance of a shower in the N, near zero chance elsewhere. Light winds becoming E 15 to 20 km/h in the morning then tending NE 15 to 25 km/h in the middle of the day. Overnight temperatures falling to between 13 and 18 with daytime temperatures reaching 23 to 29.
    Tomorrow
    Sunny
    18°
    Min
    28°
    Max
    Sunny. The chance of fog inland in the early morning. Light winds becoming E/NE 15 to 25 km/h in the middle of the day then becoming light in the late evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 13 and 17 with daytime temperatures reaching 26 to 32.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

    There are no current warnings for Townsville

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Partly cloudy. The chance of fog inland in the early morning. Slight chance of a shower in the N, near zero chance elsewhere. Light winds becoming E 15 to 20 km/h in the morning then tending NE 15 to 25 km/h in the middle of the day. Overnight temperatures falling to between 13 and 18 with daytime temperatures reaching 23 to 29.

    Forecast for Townsville (19.2581°S, 146.8184°E, 6m AMSL)
      Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu
    Summary Mostly sunny Sunny Sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
    Minimum 18° 18° 18° 19° 21° 20° 20°
    Maximum 27° 28° 29° 29° 28° 28° 28°
    Chance of rain 10% 20% 30% 30% 60% 60% 5%
    Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm
    UV index Very High Very High Very High Very High Extreme - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 18
    (km/h)
    26
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    25
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    23
    (km/h)
    18
    (km/h)
    32
    (km/h)
    24
    (km/h)
    30
    (km/h)
    23
    (km/h)
    29
    (km/h)
    18
    (km/h)
    23
    (km/h)
    Wind direction SE E SE ENE SE ENE SE E ESE E E E E ENE
    Relative humidity 59% 59% 66% 60% 66% 62% 68% 65% 66% 62% 68% 60% 65% 63%
    Dew point 16°C 17°C 18°C 18°C 19°C 19°C 19°C 20°C 19°C 19°C 19°C 18°C 19°C 19°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Townsville Rain Forecast


    Townsville 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    24
    25
    26
    27
    LOW
    28
    LOW
    29
    30
    Oct 1
    2
    3
    4
    5
    6
    7
    8
    9
    10
    11
    12
    13
    14
    15
    16
    17
    18
    19
    20
    21
    22
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Sep23

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively fast moving in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 7 October to 11 October, 13 October to 17 October, and 22 October to 26 October. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 5 October to 9 October, and 14 October to 18 October. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 28 September to 2 October, 8 October to 12 October, and 14 October to 18 October.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Townsville Rain Forecast


    Townsville 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    2021
    2022
    9
    8
    8
    7
    6
    6
    7
    2
    7
    8
    8
    7
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Sep 16

    ENSO status: Neutral, however five of seven models suggest La Niña thresholds may be met again between October and January. IOD status: Neutral, returning from negative values in the recent weeks. SAM status: Positive. The El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is currently neutral. However, there are growing signs that La Niña could redevelop in the Pacific Ocean later this year, which has prompted the US Climate Prediction Centre to increase its prediction of La Niña occurring this year to 70-80 percent. However their thresholds are lower than the Bureau of Meteorology's. Five of seven models forecast temperatures may reach or exceed La Niña thresholds between October and January. Three of seven predicted an established event, which requires La Nina thresholds to be met for three months. La Niña typically brings above average rainfall in northern and eastern Australia. The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is currently neutral, returning from negative values in the recent weeks. Three of five models areforecasting the IOD event will officially end in October, with all models ending the event in December. A negative IOD generates above average rain to southern and eastern Australia. As such, average to above average rainfall is predicted across much of the country this winter and spring.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Townsville Rain Forecast


    Townsville 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    24
    25
    26
    27
    LOW
    28
    LOW
    29
    30
    Oct 1
    2
    3
    4
    5
    6
    7
    8
    9
    10
    11
    12
    13
    14
    15
    16
    17
    18
    19
    20
    21
    22
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Sep23

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively fast moving in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 7 October to 11 October, 13 October to 17 October, and 22 October to 26 October. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 5 October to 9 October, and 14 October to 18 October. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 28 September to 2 October, 8 October to 12 October, and 14 October to 18 October.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Townsville Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Sunday
    Sep 19
    15.0 °C 27.8 °C
    0.0 mm
    Monday
    Sep 20
    17.6 °C 28.3 °C
    0.0 mm
    Tuesday
    Sep 21
    16.0 °C 35.0 °C
    0.0 mm
    Wednesday
    Sep 22
    17.3 °C 25.1 °C
    0.0 mm
    Thursday
    Sep 23
    10.3 °C 27.0 °C
    0.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Townsville minimum temp history (19.2581°S, 146.8184°E, 6m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 35.0° 21/09/2021 Coldest this month 10.3° 23/09/2021
    Hottest on record 36.5 15/09/2003 Coldest on record 7.7 04/09/1985
    Hottest this year 35.0° 21/09/2021 Coldest this year 8.1° 06/08/2021
    Long term average 27.8° Long term average 17.4°
    Average this month 27.6° Average this month 17.5°
    Hottest September On Record Avg. max. temp. 29.4° 2009 Coldest September on record Avg. min. temp. 13.8° 1941
    Townsville rainfall history (19.2581°S, 146.8184°E, 6m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 7.2mm 01/09/2021 Total This Month 7.2mm
    1.0 days
    Long Term Average 10.1mm 2.5 days Wettest September on record 84.4mm 2010
    Driest on record 0.0mm 2019
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for Australia

  16. Year to Date

    Townsville Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Sep 922.2mm 69.2 day(s)
    Total For 2021 650.6mm 72.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2020 778.0mm 79.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 94.6mm Mar 1
    Lowest Temperature 8.1°C Aug 6
    Highest Temperature 35.0°C Sep21
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Townsville Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 31.4 31.2 30.8 29.7 27.7 25.7 25.2 26.1 27.8 29.5 30.8 31.6 28.9
    Mean Min (°C) 24.3 24.1 23.0 20.7 17.7 14.7 13.8 14.8 17.4 20.8 22.9 24.1 19.8
    Mean Rain (mm) 267.0 303.7 193.3 64.3 33.1 20.5 14.6 15.6 10.1 23.9 56.9 127.1 1133.6
    Mean Rain Days 14.6 15.4 12.8 7.9 5.8 4.4 3.2 2.6 2.5 4.8 7.1 9.7 90.6