Forecast
Townsville (19.2581°S, 146.8184°E, 6m AMSL) set as my default location ›
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My MLA
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Current condition
TODAY20° 28° mostly sunny Chance of rain: 50% Likely amount: < 1mm First
lightLast light Sunrise Sunset 6:12am EST 6:36am EST 5:43pm EST 6:07pm EST NOW20.4° Feels Like: 22.9° Relative Humidity: 87% Dew: 18.2° Wind: SW 2km/h Gust: 6km/h Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm Pressure: 1015.6hPa -
Today Weather
TownsvilleNow19.5°cFeels Like:21.1°Wind:S 6km/hGusts:6km/hHumidity:89%20°Min28°MaxToday in TownsvillePartly cloudy. Slight chance of a shower. Light winds. Daytime maximum temperatures in the mid to high 20s.Tomorrow19°Min28°MaxPartly cloudy. Light winds. Overnight temperatures falling to between 15 and 19 with daytime temperatures reaching the mid to high 20s. -
Radar
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Popup Radar
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Warnings
There are no current warnings for Townsville
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7 day forecast
Today: Partly cloudy. Slight chance of a shower. Light winds. Daytime maximum temperatures in the mid to high 20s.
Forecast for Townsville (19.2581°S, 146.8184°E, 6m AMSL) Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Summary Minimum 20° 19° 19° 19° 18° 17° 17° Maximum 28° 28° 27° 28° 28° 28° 29° Chance of rain 50% 40% 20% 30% 10% 5% 5% Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm UV index High High High High High - - Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 11
(km/h)16
(km/h)11
(km/h)15
(km/h)10
(km/h)14
(km/h)10
(km/h)12
(km/h)10
(km/h)13
(km/h)7
(km/h)10
(km/h)6
(km/h)11
(km/h)Wind direction S E S SE S E SSW SE S SE SSW E SSW ENE Relative humidity 70% 62% 74% 60% 74% 63% 73% 57% 72% 50% 65% 51% 60% 48% Dew point 18°C 19°C 19°C 19°C 18°C 19°C 19°C 18°C 18°C 16°C 16°C 16°C 16°C 16°C -
28 Day Rainfall forecast
Townsville Rain Forecast
Townsville 28-day Rainfall ForecastSUNMONTUEWEDTHUFRISAT23
LOW24
MEDIUM25
26
LOW27
28
29
30
31
Jun 1
2
LOW3
LOW4
5
LOW6
7
8
9
LOW10
11
12
13
14
LOW15
MEDIUM16
17
18
19
20
CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICTNIL < 25%LOW 25% to 50%MEDIUM 50% to 75%HIGH ≥ 75%Issued May22Issue Notes
The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, New Zealand, and South America.
Summary:
Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 24 May to 28 May, 6 June to 10 June, and 17 June to 21 June. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 22 May to 26 May, 1 June to 5 June, and 18 June to 22 June. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 24 May to 28 May, 9 June to 13 June, and 17 June to 21 June.
Forecast ExplanationThis forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.
The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.
In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.
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12 Month Rainfall Forecast
Townsville Rain Forecast
Townsville 12-month Rainfall ForecastMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarApr2022202310999988110968105012 - 34 - 78 - 910Well below normalBelow normalNear normalAbove normalWell above normalIssue Notes - Issued May 11
ENSO status: La Niña, it is expected return to neutral state by early winter. IOD status: Neutral, models suggest it could enter a negative phase in the next month. SAM status: Positive and is expected to remain positive for the next month or so. The El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is in a La Niña phase and has not changed in strength during the past two weeks. La Niña events typically breaks down in autumn and while this current La Niña is persisting longer than usual, most models suggest it should end by early winter. However, one seasonal model operated by the U.S. National Weather Service’s Climate Prediction Centre (CPC) suggests that a La Niña-like signal could linger in the Pacific Ocean through the middle of the year and possibly remerge in the Southern Hemisphere’s spring. That being said, it is important to note that seasonal forecast models have lower accuracy at this time of year. This is called the autumn predictability barrier. The La Niña forecast will increase the likelihood of above-average rain in northern and eastern Australia during the remainder of Autumn, possibly into winter. Even as La Niña weakens it should continue to influence our climate. all five climate models suggest a negative phase will begin during late autumn or early winter. Climate models are forecasting strong negative IOD values by August, with the negative IOD event possibly lingering into spring. While a neutral IOD has little influence on our climate, a negative IOD increases the chance of above average autumn and winter rain for much of Australia. The rainfall outlooks are reflecting this, with above average rain forecast during winter for much of Australia, except southwest WA, parts of TAS and VIC. If a negative IOD does develop this winter, it will increase the risk of flooding over large areas of inland Australia, especially areas that had a wet summer and autumn.
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Popup - Daily historical
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Long range rainfall forecast
Townsville Rain Forecast
Townsville 28-day Rainfall ForecastSUNMONTUEWEDTHUFRISAT23
LOW24
MEDIUM25
26
LOW27
28
29
30
31
Jun 1
2
LOW3
LOW4
5
LOW6
7
8
9
LOW10
11
12
13
14
LOW15
MEDIUM16
17
18
19
20
CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICTNIL < 25%LOW 25% to 50%MEDIUM 50% to 75%HIGH ≥ 75%Issued May22Issue Notes
The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, New Zealand, and South America.
Summary:
Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 24 May to 28 May, 6 June to 10 June, and 17 June to 21 June. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 22 May to 26 May, 1 June to 5 June, and 18 June to 22 June. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 24 May to 28 May, 9 June to 13 June, and 17 June to 21 June.
Forecast ExplanationThis forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.
The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.
In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.
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Past 5 Days
Townsville Past 5 Days
This MonthMinimum Maximum Rainfall Wednesday
May 1821.0 °C 29.8 °C 0.0 mmThursday
May 1921.4 °C 27.9 °C 0.0 mmFriday
May 2021.3 °C 28.8 °C 0.6 mmSaturday
May 2121.4 °C 27.4 °C 1.6 mmSunday
May 2219.5 °C 27.1 °C 0.0 mmLegend -
Almanac
Almanac
Townsville minimum temp history (19.2581°S, 146.8184°E, 6m AMSL) MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE Hottest this month 30.0° 13/05/2022 Coldest this month 19.1° 15/05/2022 Hottest on record 32.2 01/05/1996 Coldest on record 6.2 23/05/1957 Hottest this year 37.2° 04/03/2022 Coldest this year 17.6° 31/03/2022 Long term average 27.7° Long term average 17.7° Average this month 28.3° Average this month 20.9° Hottest May On Record Avg. max. temp. 29.8° 2016 Coldest May on record Avg. min. temp. 14.4° 2001 Townsville rainfall history (19.2581°S, 146.8184°E, 6m AMSL) RAINFALL Wettest This Month 102.0mm 11/05/2022 Total This Month 153.0mm
9.0 daysLong Term Average 33.1mm 5.8 days Wettest May on record 180.8mm 1977 Driest on record 0.0mm 2021 -
Year to Date
Townsville Year To Date
Average Rainfall To May 861.1mm 56.2 day(s) Total For 2022 944.4mm 45.0 day(s) Total To This Day 2021 587.8mm 52.0 day(s) Wettest Day 172.2mm Jan27 Lowest Temperature 17.6°C Mar31 Highest Temperature 37.2°C Mar 4 -
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Popup - Monthly historical
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Climatology
Climate History
Townsville Climatology
Townsville Long-Term Averages
Long-Term Averages Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann Mean Max (°C) 31.5 31.2 30.8 29.7 27.7 25.7 25.2 26.1 27.8 29.5 30.8 31.6 28.9 Mean Min (°C) 24.3 24.2 23.1 20.7 17.7 14.7 13.8 14.8 17.4 20.8 22.9 24.2 19.8 Mean Rain (mm) 267.9 301.5 191.5 67.1 33.1 20.5 14.6 15.6 10.1 23.6 58.2 126.1 1130.1 Mean Rain Days 14.5 15.3 12.7 7.9 5.8 4.4 3.2 2.6 2.5 4.8 7.2 9.7 90.7