Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Queensland
TOP PRIORITY FOR IMMEDIATE BROADCAST
Severe Thunderstorm Warning
for Heavy Rainfall And Damaging Winds
for parts of North Tropical Coast and Tablelands, Northern Goldfields and Upper Flinders, Herbert and Lower Burdekin and Central West Forecast Districts.
Issued at 4:35 pm Thursday, 21 November 2024.
Severe thunderstorms have developed in the North Tropical Coast.
Weather Situation
A surface trough in a moist and unstable airmass is producing slow-moving severe thunderstorms in central and north Qld this afternoon.
HEAVY RAINFALL and DAMAGING WINDS for the following areas:
North Tropical Coast and Tablelands, Northern Goldfields and Upper Flinders, Herbert and Lower Burdekin and Central West
Severe thunderstorms are likely to produce heavy rainfall that may lead to flash flooding over the next several hours in parts of the North Tropical Coast and Tablelands and Central West districts. Locations which may be affected include Ilfracombe and Mount Garnet.
Severe thunderstorms are likely to produce damaging winds and heavy rainfall that may lead to flash flooding over the next several hours in parts of the Northern Goldfields and Upper Flinders and Herbert and Lower Burdekin districts. Locations which may be affected include Lyndhurst Station.
46 mm was recorded at Wallaman Escarpment in 30 minutes to 2:05 pm
Emergency services advise people to:
* Park your car undercover away from trees.
* Close doors and windows.
* Keep asthma medications close by. Storms and wind can trigger asthma attacks.
* Charge mobile phones and power banks in case the power goes out.
* Put your pets somewhere safe and make sure they can be identified in case they get lost.
* Do not drive now unless you have to because conditions are dangerous.
* Tell friends, family and neighbours in the area.
* Go inside a strong building now. Stay inside until the storm has passed.
The next warning is due to be issued by 7:35 pm.
Warnings are also available through TV and Radio broadcasts, the Bureau's website at www.bom.gov.au or call 1300 659 210. The Bureau and emergency services would appreciate warnings being broadcast regularly.
Forecast
Townsville (19.2581°S, 146.8184°E, 6m AMSL) set as my default location ›
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My MLA
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Current condition
TODAY24° 30° possible thunderstorm Chance of rain: 80% Likely amount: 10-20mm First
lightLast light Sunrise Sunset 5:02am EST 5:26am EST 6:32pm EST 6:56pm EST NOW24.0° Feels Like: 25.9° Relative Humidity: 89% Dew: 22.1° Wind: SE 15km/h Gust: 17km/h Rainfall since 9am: 3.2mm Pressure: 1012.3hPa -
Today Weather
TownsvilleNow22.6°cFeels Like:24.7°Wind:E 11km/hGusts:19km/hHumidity:91%24°Min30°MaxToday in TownsvilleCloudy. High chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm, possibly severe. Winds E 15 to 25 km/h.Tomorrow23°Min31°MaxPartly cloudy. High chance of showers, most likely in the morning and afternoon. The chance of a thunderstorm. Winds E/SE 15 to 20 km/h becoming light early in the morning then becoming E 20 to 30 km/h in the morning. Overnight temperatures falling to the low 20s with daytime temperatures reaching 26 to 31. -
Radar
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Popup Radar
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Warnings
- Severe Thunderstorm Warning ( Rain & Winds) North Tropical Cst & Tablelands, Nthn Goldfields & UFlinders, Herbert & Herb/L Burdekin & CW
- Severe Thunderstorm Warning ( Rain & Winds) North Tropical Cst & Tablelands, Nthn Goldfields & UFlinders, Herbert & Herb/L Burdekin & CW
- Gale Warning for Great Barrier Reef Offshore Waters. Strong Wind Warning for Townsville and Mackay coasts. Cancellation for Capricornia Coast
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7 day forecast
Today: Cloudy. High chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm, possibly severe. Winds E 15 to 25 km/h.
Forecast for Townsville (19.2581°S, 146.8184°E, 6m AMSL) Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Summary Minimum 24° 23° 24° 24° 24° 24° 25° Maximum 30° 31° 31° 32° 31° 32° 32° Chance of rain 80% 90% 60% 50% 50% 70% 90% Likely amount 10-20mm 5-10mm 1-5mm < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm 1-5mm UV index Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme Fire Danger Rating Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate - - Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 24
(km/h)30
(km/h)22
(km/h)31
(km/h)24
(km/h)33
(km/h)23
(km/h)32
(km/h)21
(km/h)30
(km/h)19
(km/h)25
(km/h)18
(km/h)26
(km/h)Wind direction SE ESE SE E SE E ESE E ESE ENE ESE ENE E ENE Relative humidity 76% 90% 76% 72% 66% 62% 64% 59% 61% 59% 63% 60% 64% 61% Dew point 23°C 23°C 23°C 24°C 22°C 22°C 21°C 22°C 20°C 21°C 22°C 22°C 23°C 22°C -
28 Day Rainfall forecast
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12 Month Rainfall Forecast
Townsville Rain Forecast
Townsville 12-month Rainfall ForecastNovDecJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct202420257866787188107105012 - 34 - 78 - 910Well below normalBelow normalNear normalAbove normalWell above normalIssue Notes - Issued Nov 18
ENSO status: La Niña Watch. IOD status: Neutral. SAM status: Positive. Trending positive. The El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is in a La Niña Watch, meaning there is approximately a 50% chance of a La Niña developing this year. The current technical definition of a La Niña is only a small chance to be met, although ocean and atmospheric conditions do resemble a La Niña pattern. Trade winds are still stronger than average along the western equatorial Pacific, and the Nino3.4 is low, but is above the threshold of -0.8C. However, the Relative-Nino Index (factors in equatorial ocean temperatures elsewhere around the world, compensating for the background warming signal) is below the threshold. A La Niña typically increases rainfall over northern and eastern Australia (especially eastern Qld) during summer, but has little effect for WA and SA. The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is in a neutral phase. Recent conditions have been similar to a negative IOD, but this has likely been heavily affected by veryactive bursts of tropical weather in mid-October and mid-late November. Regardless if these conditions continue, the arrival of the monsoon over northern Australia overwrites any IOD effects, so this driver is unlikely to significantly affect Australia this year. The Southern Annular Mode (SAM) is in a positive phase, having switched from the negative phase that persisted from July to October. This positive event is expected to persist through summer as a result of stratospheric moisture from the 2022 Tongan volcanic eruption (similar to the past two summers). A positive SAM decreases the frequency of cold fronts, with more regular high pressure systems and easterly winds. During summer, this increases rainfall over eastern Australia, and reduces rainfall over southeastern SA, western Vic and western Tas. Rainfall outlooks are showing above average rainfall over western, northern and eastern Australia, with strong signals over the Kimberley, Top End and Cape York Peninsula (likely related to forecastmonsoon activity). Drier conditions are expected for western Tas, with average conditions for SA and western Vic.
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Popup - Daily historical
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Long range rainfall forecast
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Past 5 Days
Townsville Past 5 Days
This MonthMinimum Maximum Rainfall Sunday
Nov 1725.9 °C 32.7 °C 0.0 mmMonday
Nov 1824.3 °C 32.1 °C 0.2 mmTuesday
Nov 1923.9 °C 32.0 °C 0.0 mmWednesday
Nov 2024.1 °C 32.2 °C 0.0 mmThursday
Nov 2124.0 °C 29.2 °C 1.2 mmLegend -
Almanac
Almanac
Townsville minimum temp history (19.2581°S, 146.8184°E, 6m AMSL) MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE Hottest this month 33.2° 15/11/2024 Coldest this month 20.7° 01/11/2024 Hottest on record 41.0 15/11/1971 Coldest on record 14.1 21/11/1986 Hottest this year 34.9° 05/01/2024 Coldest this year 6.8° 20/07/2024 Long term average 30.8° Long term average 22.9° Average this month 31.9° Average this month 24.0° Hottest November On Record Avg. max. temp. 33.5° 1971 Coldest November on record Avg. min. temp. 21.1° 1942 Townsville rainfall history (19.2581°S, 146.8184°E, 6m AMSL) RAINFALL Wettest This Month 5.8mm 16/11/2024 Total This Month 7.2mm
3.0 daysLong Term Average 60.5mm 7.2 days Wettest November on record 345.2mm 2000 Driest on record 0.2mm 1990 -
Year to Date
Townsville Year To Date
Average Rainfall To Nov 1007.8mm 81.1 day(s) Total For 2024 772.0mm 94.0 day(s) Total To This Day 2023 1021.4mm 82.0 day(s) Wettest Day 67.2mm Aug12 Lowest Temperature 6.8°C Jul20 Highest Temperature 34.9°C Jan 5 -
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Popup - Monthly historical
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Climatology
Climate History
Townsville Climatology
Townsville Long-Term Averages
Long-Term Averages Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann Mean Max (°C) 31.5 31.2 30.8 29.7 27.7 25.7 25.2 26.1 27.9 29.5 30.8 31.6 29.0 Mean Min (°C) 24.4 24.2 23.1 20.7 17.7 14.8 13.8 14.8 17.5 20.8 22.9 24.1 19.9 Mean Rain (mm) 269.2 301.9 188.9 67.7 33.9 20.3 15.6 16.1 10.0 23.7 60.5 125.2 1134.1 Mean Rain Days 14.6 15.4 12.7 7.9 5.8 4.3 3.3 2.6 2.5 4.8 7.2 9.8 90.7