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Forecast

Townsville (19.2581°S, 146.8184°E, 6m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Mostly sunny 20° 28°
    mostly sunny
    Chance of rain: 50%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    6:12am EST 6:36am EST 5:43pm EST 6:07pm EST
    NOW
    20.4° Feels Like: 22.9°
    Relative Humidity: 87%
    Dew: 18.2°
    Wind: SW 2km/h
    Gust: 6km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure: 1015.6hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Townsville
    Now
    19.5°c
    Feels Like:
    21.1°
    Wind:
    S 6km/h
    Gusts:
    6km/h
    Humidity:
    89%
    Mostly sunny
     
    20°
    Min
    28°
    Max
    Today in Townsville
    Partly cloudy. Slight chance of a shower. Light winds. Daytime maximum temperatures in the mid to high 20s.
    Tomorrow
    Mostly sunny
    19°
    Min
    28°
    Max
    Partly cloudy. Light winds. Overnight temperatures falling to between 15 and 19 with daytime temperatures reaching the mid to high 20s.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

    There are no current warnings for Townsville

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Partly cloudy. Slight chance of a shower. Light winds. Daytime maximum temperatures in the mid to high 20s.

    Forecast for Townsville (19.2581°S, 146.8184°E, 6m AMSL)
      Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun
    Summary Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Sunny Sunny
    Minimum 20° 19° 19° 19° 18° 17° 17°
    Maximum 28° 28° 27° 28° 28° 28° 29°
    Chance of rain 50% 40% 20% 30% 10% 5% 5%
    Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm
    UV index High High High High High - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 11
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    11
    (km/h)
    15
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    13
    (km/h)
    7
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    6
    (km/h)
    11
    (km/h)
    Wind direction S E S SE S E SSW SE S SE SSW E SSW ENE
    Relative humidity 70% 62% 74% 60% 74% 63% 73% 57% 72% 50% 65% 51% 60% 48%
    Dew point 18°C 19°C 19°C 19°C 18°C 19°C 19°C 18°C 18°C 16°C 16°C 16°C 16°C 16°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Townsville Rain Forecast


    Townsville 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    23
    LOW
    24
    MEDIUM
    25
    26
    LOW
    27
    28
    29
    30
    31
    Jun 1
    2
    LOW
    3
    LOW
    4
    5
    LOW
    6
    7
    8
    9
    LOW
    10
    11
    12
    13
    14
    LOW
    15
    MEDIUM
    16
    17
    18
    19
    20
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued May22

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, New Zealand, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 24 May to 28 May, 6 June to 10 June, and 17 June to 21 June. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 22 May to 26 May, 1 June to 5 June, and 18 June to 22 June. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 24 May to 28 May, 9 June to 13 June, and 17 June to 21 June.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Townsville Rain Forecast


    Townsville 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    2022
    2023
    10
    9
    9
    9
    9
    8
    8
    1
    10
    9
    6
    8
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued May 11

    ENSO status: La Niña, it is expected return to neutral state by early winter. IOD status: Neutral, models suggest it could enter a negative phase in the next month. SAM status: Positive and is expected to remain positive for the next month or so. The El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is in a La Niña phase and has not changed in strength during the past two weeks. La Niña events typically breaks down in autumn and while this current La Niña is persisting longer than usual, most models suggest it should end by early winter. However, one seasonal model operated by the U.S. National Weather Service’s Climate Prediction Centre (CPC) suggests that a La Niña-like signal could linger in the Pacific Ocean through the middle of the year and possibly remerge in the Southern Hemisphere’s spring. That being said, it is important to note that seasonal forecast models have lower accuracy at this time of year. This is called the autumn predictability barrier. The La Niña forecast will increase the likelihood of above-average rain in northern and eastern Australia during the remainder of Autumn, possibly into winter. Even as La Niña weakens it should continue to influence our climate. all five climate models suggest a negative phase will begin during late autumn or early winter. Climate models are forecasting strong negative IOD values by August, with the negative IOD event possibly lingering into spring. While a neutral IOD has little influence on our climate, a negative IOD increases the chance of above average autumn and winter rain for much of Australia. The rainfall outlooks are reflecting this, with above average rain forecast during winter for much of Australia, except southwest WA, parts of TAS and VIC. If a negative IOD does develop this winter, it will increase the risk of flooding over large areas of inland Australia, especially areas that had a wet summer and autumn.

  11. Popup - Daily historical

  12. Long range rainfall forecast

    Townsville Rain Forecast


    Townsville 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    23
    LOW
    24
    MEDIUM
    25
    26
    LOW
    27
    28
    29
    30
    31
    Jun 1
    2
    LOW
    3
    LOW
    4
    5
    LOW
    6
    7
    8
    9
    LOW
    10
    11
    12
    13
    14
    LOW
    15
    MEDIUM
    16
    17
    18
    19
    20
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued May22

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, New Zealand, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 24 May to 28 May, 6 June to 10 June, and 17 June to 21 June. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 22 May to 26 May, 1 June to 5 June, and 18 June to 22 June. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 24 May to 28 May, 9 June to 13 June, and 17 June to 21 June.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  13. Past 5 Days

    Townsville Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Wednesday
    May 18
    21.0 °C 29.8 °C
    0.0 mm
    Thursday
    May 19
    21.4 °C 27.9 °C
    0.0 mm
    Friday
    May 20
    21.3 °C 28.8 °C
    0.6 mm
    Saturday
    May 21
    21.4 °C 27.4 °C
    1.6 mm
    Sunday
    May 22
    19.5 °C 27.1 °C
    0.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Townsville minimum temp history (19.2581°S, 146.8184°E, 6m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 30.0° 13/05/2022 Coldest this month 19.1° 15/05/2022
    Hottest on record 32.2 01/05/1996 Coldest on record 6.2 23/05/1957
    Hottest this year 37.2° 04/03/2022 Coldest this year 17.6° 31/03/2022
    Long term average 27.7° Long term average 17.7°
    Average this month 28.3° Average this month 20.9°
    Hottest May On Record Avg. max. temp. 29.8° 2016 Coldest May on record Avg. min. temp. 14.4° 2001
    Townsville rainfall history (19.2581°S, 146.8184°E, 6m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 102.0mm 11/05/2022 Total This Month 153.0mm
    9.0 days
    Long Term Average 33.1mm 5.8 days Wettest May on record 180.8mm 1977
    Driest on record 0.0mm 2021
  15. Year to Date

    Townsville Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To May 861.1mm 56.2 day(s)
    Total For 2022 944.4mm 45.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2021 587.8mm 52.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 172.2mm Jan27
    Lowest Temperature 17.6°C Mar31
    Highest Temperature 37.2°C Mar 4
  16. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for Australia

  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Townsville Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 31.5 31.2 30.8 29.7 27.7 25.7 25.2 26.1 27.8 29.5 30.8 31.6 28.9
    Mean Min (°C) 24.3 24.2 23.1 20.7 17.7 14.7 13.8 14.8 17.4 20.8 22.9 24.2 19.8
    Mean Rain (mm) 267.9 301.5 191.5 67.1 33.1 20.5 14.6 15.6 10.1 23.6 58.2 126.1 1130.1
    Mean Rain Days 14.5 15.3 12.7 7.9 5.8 4.4 3.2 2.6 2.5 4.8 7.2 9.7 90.7