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Forecast

Victoria River Downs (16.3329°S, 131.109°E, 72m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Mostly sunny 22° 36°
    mostly sunny
    Chance of rain: 5%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    6:31am CST 6:53am CST 6:43pm CST 7:05pm CST
    NOW
    25.1° Feels Like: 26.7°
    Relative Humidity: 53%
    Dew: 14.9°
    Wind: CAL 0km/h
    Gust: 0km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure: 1011.7hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Victoria River Downs
    Now
    26.4°c
    Feels Like:
    26.3°
    Wind:
    ESE 9km/h
    Gusts:
    13km/h
    Humidity:
    50%
    Mostly sunny
     
    22°
    Min
    36°
    Max
    Today in Victoria River Downs
    Less humid and mostly sunny. Slight chance of a shower north of Arnhem Highway in the evening. Near zero chance of rain elsewhere. The chance of a thunderstorm in the afternoon and evening. Light winds becoming SE 15 to 20 km/h in the morning then becoming light in the middle of the day.
    Tomorrow
    Mostly cloudy
    20°
    Min
    36°
    Max
    Partly cloudy. Medium chance of showers, most likely in the late afternoon and evening. The chance of a thunderstorm. Light winds.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

    There are no current warnings for Victoria River Downs

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Less humid and mostly sunny. Slight chance of a shower north of Arnhem Highway in the evening. Near zero chance of rain elsewhere. The chance of a thunderstorm in the afternoon and evening. Light winds becoming SE 15 to 20 km/h in the morning then becoming light in the middle of the day.

    Forecast for Victoria River Downs (16.3329°S, 131.109°E, 72m AMSL)
      Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon
    Summary Mostly sunny Mostly cloudy Clearing shower Late shower Thunderstorms Late shower Thunderstorms
    Minimum 22° 20° 22° 21° 20° 20° 19°
    Maximum 36° 36° 35° 33° 30° 32° 32°
    Chance of rain 5% 10% 40% 50% 60% 60% 60%
    Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm 5-10mm 1-5mm 1-5mm 5-10mm
    UV index Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme - - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 14
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    7
    (km/h)
    9
    (km/h)
    9
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    11
    (km/h)
    17
    (km/h)
    9
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    6
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    Wind direction SE SE SE ESE SSE ESE ESE ESE SE ESE SE E ESE E
    Relative humidity 30% 20% 36% 22% 45% 30% 65% 40% 69% 49% 69% 47% 77% 52%
    Dew point 9°C 10°C 10°C 11°C 14°C 15°C 18°C 18°C 18°C 19°C 18°C 19°C 20°C 20°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Victoria River Downs Rain Forecast


    Victoria River Downs 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    7
    8
    9
    MEDIUM
    10
    HIGH
    11
    HIGH
    12
    MEDIUM
    13
    LOW
    14
    15
    16
    17
    18
    19
    20
    21
    22
    23
    24
    25
    26
    LOW
    27
    28
    29
    30
    May 1
    2
    3
    4
    5
    6
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Apr 6

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, Western Australia, New Zealand, the south Pacific, South America, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 13 April to 17 April, 17 April to 21 April, and 30 April to 4 May. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 22 April to 26 April, 26 April to 30 April, and 1 May to 5 May. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 17 April to 21 April, 24 April to 28 April, and 1 May to 5 May.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Victoria River Downs Rain Forecast


    Victoria River Downs 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    2020
    2021
    7
    8
    10
    9
    8
    8
    8
    9
    7
    8
    7
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Mar 9

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Trending neutral Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific remained stable throughout February with the Nino3.4 index registering a value of 0.3. On the other hand, the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -2.2 in February. The current outlook suggests slightly warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the austral autumn, potentially cooling further by the austral winter. Four out of seven international models maintain a slightly warmer than average equatorial Pacific Ocean through the first half of winter. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains neutral, normal for this time of the year. All six international models maintain neutral IOD values through to the austral winter. In terms of precipitation across Australia, the current outlook favours below average rainfall for western, central and southeastern parts of the country. Across NSW and Qld, the outlook is for average-to-above average, mainly across the Qld coasts. This excludes any extreme weather events such as tropical cyclones or East Coast Lows. Across the north, the North Australian Monsoon (NAM) has been quiet for most of the wet season, with the current prognosis suggesting below average rainfall for March but above average in April. Looking further ahead, with no significant signature from ENSO, there are no significant climate drivers tilting the balance towards a drier or wetter end of autumn/winter. The current consensus, however, suggests that average to above average rainfall is a possibility across northern, western and parts of the inland south east.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Victoria River Downs Rain Forecast


    Victoria River Downs 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    7
    8
    9
    MEDIUM
    10
    HIGH
    11
    HIGH
    12
    MEDIUM
    13
    LOW
    14
    15
    16
    17
    18
    19
    20
    21
    22
    23
    24
    25
    26
    LOW
    27
    28
    29
    30
    May 1
    2
    3
    4
    5
    6
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Apr 6

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, Western Australia, New Zealand, the south Pacific, South America, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 13 April to 17 April, 17 April to 21 April, and 30 April to 4 May. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 22 April to 26 April, 26 April to 30 April, and 1 May to 5 May. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 17 April to 21 April, 24 April to 28 April, and 1 May to 5 May.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Victoria River Downs Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Thursday
    Apr 02
    25.1 °C 38.9 °C
    0.0 mm
    Friday
    Apr 03
    28.4 °C 40.3 °C
    -
    Saturday
    Apr 04
    27.4 °C 40.9 °C
    -
    Sunday
    Apr 05
    28.5 °C 37.2 °C
    -
    Monday
    Apr 06
    27.6 °C -
    0.2 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Victoria River Downs minimum temp history (16.3329°S, 131.109°E, 72m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 40.9° 04/04/2020 Coldest this month 24.8° 01/04/2020
    Hottest on record 40.6 06/04/1966 Coldest on record 9.3 13/04/1994
    Hottest this year 41.1° 28/01/2020 Coldest this year 20.0° 11/03/2020
    Long term average 34.6° Long term average 19.8°
    Average this month 39.2° Average this month 27.0°
    Hottest April On Record Avg. max. temp. 37.8° 1966 Coldest April on record Avg. min. temp. 15.3° 2008
    Victoria River Downs rainfall history (16.3329°S, 131.109°E, 72m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 0.2mm 06/04/2020 Total This Month 0.2mm
    1.0 days
    Long Term Average 21.6mm 1.9 days Wettest April on record 254.0mm 1985
    Driest on record 0.0mm 1886
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for NT

  16. Year to Date

    Victoria River Downs Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Apr 448.7mm 32.5 day(s)
    Total For 2020 435.4mm 22.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2019 158.0mm 28.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 148.0mm Feb27
    Lowest Temperature 20.0°C Mar11
    Highest Temperature 41.1°C Jan28
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Victoria River Downs Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 36.5 35.4 35.2 34.6 32.0 29.3 29.4 31.9 35.7 37.8 38.5 37.6 34.5
    Mean Min (°C) 24.9 24.4 23.2 19.8 15.9 12.0 11.0 13.1 18.2 22.3 24.6 25.1 19.5
    Mean Rain (mm) 155.5 161.1 110.5 21.6 5.6 2.4 2.2 1.0 4.4 19.1 60.3 119.4 664.4
    Mean Rain Days 11.5 11.0 8.1 1.9 0.8 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.7 2.6 6.7 9.9 52.3