Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology, New South Wales
Minor Flood Warning For The Murray River
Issued at 02:39 PM EST on Friday 12 August 2022
Flood Watch Number: 9
MINOR FLOODING OCCURRING AT COROWA
Spills from the Hume Dam combined with flood waters from the Kiewa River have caused minor flooding along the Murray River at Corowa, where river levels are likely to remain steady above the minor flood level (4.60 metres) through to Wednesday.
The Murray River at Albury is expected to remain below the minor flood level (4.30 metres).
River levels downstream of Corowa are likely to remain below the minor flood levels.
Murray River downstream of Hume Dam to Tocumwal:
Minor flooding is occurring along the Murray River at Corowa.
The Murray River at Corowa may reach near 5.40 metres early Monday, with minor flooding. The river level is likely to remain steady above the minor flood level (4.60 metres) through to Wednesday.
Flood Safety Advice:
In life threatening emergencies, call 000 (triple zero) immediately. If you require rescue, assistance to evacuate or other emergency help, ring NSW SES on 132 500.
* Avoid drowning. Stay out of rising water, seek refuge in the highest available place.
* Prevent damage to your vehicle. Move it under cover, away from areas likely to flood.
* Avoid being swept away. Stay out of fast-flowing creeks and storm drains.
* Never drive, ride or walk through flood water. Flood water can be deceptive and dangerous.}
For more emergency information, advice, and access to the latest river heights and rainfall observations and forecasts:
* NSW SES: www.ses.nsw.gov.au
* RMS Live Traffic: www.livetraffic.com
* Latest River Heights and Rainfall Observations: www.bom.gov.au/nsw/flood/southwest.shtml
* Latest NSW Warnings: www.bom.gov.au/nsw/warnings/
* Rainfall Forecasts: www.bom.gov.au/australia/meteye/
* BOM NSW Twitter: www.twitter.com/BOM_NSW
Next issue:
The next warning will be issued by 03:00 pm EST on Saturday 13 August 2022.
Latest River Heights:
Murray River at Albury,3.95,Rising,02:15 PM FRI 12/08/22
Murray River at Corowa,5.16,Rising,02:15 PM FRI 12/08/22
Murray River at Yarrowonga Downstream,4.45,Rising,02:15 PM FRI 12/08/22
Murray River at Tocumwal,4.59,Rising,02:00 PM FRI 12/08/22
Murray River at Echuca,88.17,Falling,02:00 PM FRI 12/08/22
Murray River at Torrumbarry Weir,4.19,Falling,02:00 PM FRI 12/08/22
Murray River at Barham,4.11,Rising,02:00 PM FRI 12/08/22
Murray River at Swan Hill,2.52,Falling,02:00 PM FRI 12/08/22
Murray River at Wakool Junction,5.79,Falling,02:00 PM FRI 12/08/22
Murray River at Boundary Bend,5.40,Falling,02:00 PM FRI 12/08/22
Murray River at Euston,46.51,Falling,02:00 PM FRI 12/08/22
Murray River at Mildura Weir,32.74,Falling,09:00 AM FRI 12/08/22
Murray River at Wentworth,30.58,Falling,02:00 PM FRI 12/08/22
Edward River at Deniliquin,2.50,Rising,02:00 PM FRI 12/08/22
Edward River at Stevens Weir Downstream,2.95,Steady,02:00 PM FRI 12/08/22
Edward River at Moulamein,2.44,Steady,02:00 PM FRI 12/08/22
This advice is also available by dialling 1300 659 210. Warning, rainfall and river information are available at www.bom.gov.au/nsw/flood. The latest weather forecast is available at www.bom.gov.au/nsw/forecasts.
Forecast
Wagga Wagga (35.1099°S, 147.3705°E, 179m AMSL) set as my default location ›
-
My MLA
-
Current condition
TOMORROW5° 14° Chance of rain: 90% Likely amount: 1-5mm First
lightLast light Sunrise Sunset 6:28am EST 6:54am EST 5:37pm EST 6:03pm EST NOW9.3° Feels Like: 6.6° Relative Humidity: 90% Dew: 7.7° Wind: E 11km/h Gust: 13km/h Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm Pressure: 1014.4hPa -
Today Weather
Wagga WaggaNow9.6°cFeels Like:8.2°Wind:N 4km/hGusts:6km/hHumidity:85%5°Min14°MaxToday in Wagga WaggaCloudy. Very high chance of showers, most likely in the late morning and afternoon. The chance of a thunderstorm. Light winds becoming NW/NE 15 to 20 km/h in the morning then tending W/NW in the middle of the day. Overnight temperatures falling to around 5 with daytime temperatures reaching around 15.Tomorrow5°Min14°MaxCloudy. The chance of morning fog in the S. Very high chance of showers in the E, medium chance elsewhere. Light winds becoming W 20 to 30 km/h in the morning. Overnight temperatures falling to around 4 with daytime temperatures reaching between 13 and 16. -
Radar
-
Popup Radar
-
Warnings
-
7 day forecast
Today: Cloudy. Very high chance of showers, most likely in the late morning and afternoon. The chance of a thunderstorm. Light winds becoming NW/NE 15 to 20 km/h in the morning then tending W/NW in the middle of the day. Overnight temperatures falling to around 5 with daytime temperatures reaching around 15.
Forecast for Wagga Wagga (35.1099°S, 147.3705°E, 179m AMSL) Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Summary Minimum 5° 5° 5° 5° 4° 7° 3° Maximum 14° 13° 13° 12° 14° 14° 13° Chance of rain 90% 60% 80% 70% 70% 90% 90% Likely amount 1-5mm < 1mm 1-5mm < 1mm 1-5mm 1-5mm 1-5mm UV index Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate - - - Frost risk Slight Slight Slight Slight Slight Nil Moderate 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 8
(km/h)13
(km/h)12
(km/h)21
(km/h)18
(km/h)22
(km/h)15
(km/h)18
(km/h)5
(km/h)10
(km/h)12
(km/h)17
(km/h)15
(km/h)26
(km/h)Wind direction ENE NW NW W WNW W W WSW NW WNW N NNW NNW WNW Relative humidity 92% 73% 96% 72% 93% 73% 95% 76% 95% 68% 89% 69% 90% 65% Dew point 8°C 8°C 7°C 7°C 7°C 7°C 7°C 7°C 7°C 7°C 8°C 8°C 6°C 6°C -
28 Day Rainfall forecast
Wagga Wagga Rain Forecast
Wagga Wagga 28-day Rainfall ForecastSUNMONTUEWEDTHUFRISAT12
MEDIUM13
HIGH14
LOW15
MEDIUM16
LOW17
MEDIUM18
LOW19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
Sep 1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICTNIL < 25%LOW 25% to 50%MEDIUM 50% to 75%HIGH ≥ 75%Issued Aug12Issue Notes
The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively fast moving in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, the Indian Ocean, Western Australia, the southeast Pacific, and South America.
Summary:
Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 10 August to 14 August. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 10 August to 14 August. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 10 August to 14 August.
Forecast ExplanationThis forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.
The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.
In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.
-
12 Month Rainfall Forecast
Wagga Wagga Rain Forecast
Wagga Wagga 12-month Rainfall ForecastAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMayJunJul20222023798987774587105012 - 34 - 78 - 910Well below normalBelow normalNear normalAbove normalWell above normalIssue Notes - Issued Aug 2
ENSO status: Neutral, However, some models suggest La Niña may re-form in spring. IOD status: Negative, all models suggest this event will continue until late spring. SAM status: Neutral, neutral to positive levels are forecast in August The 2021-22 La Nina event has ended according to BOM, however two out of seven models suggest a return of La Nina in late winter, with four in October and five in November. Even though this event officially has ended, a La Nina-like pattern is likely to persist for the remainder of 2022. However, new data released by the U.S. Climate Prediction Centre continues to point towards the prospect of a third consecutive La Niña later this year. Their predictions give La Niña a 62 percent chance of occurring by early spring and a 65 to 66 percent chance in late spring and early summer.Looking further ahead, the majority of forecast models predict that the La Niña pattern in the Pacific Ocean should break down towards the end of summer, most likely returning to a neutral state early in 2023. The Bureau of Meteorology has declared that a negative IOD event is underway to the northwest of Australia. This declaration comes after sea surface temperatures in the Indian Ocean have remained near or exceeded the negative IOD threshold for the last eight weeks. This is now the 2nd consecutive year to be declared a negative IOD year, following a relatively weak event in 2021. This is the first time we have seen two consecutive negative IOD years since reliable records of the IOD began in 1960. Unlike last year’s event, this year’s negative IOD is expected to be strong and last through the remainder of winter and spring. A negative IOD increases the chance of above average winter and spring rainfall and cloud across parts of southern Australia. The rainfall outlooks are reflecting this, with above average rain forecast during winter for much of Australia, except drier than average conditions are forecast in southwest WA and parts of TAS. During spring much of Australia isforecast to average to above average. Early indications of summer rainfall look average to above average for much of Australia, except TAS which looks drier. The negative IOD could increase the risk of flooding over large areas of inland Australia. With two La Niña seasons already in the bag and the prospect of a third La Niña now a looming possibility, this is likely to have a compounding effect that may exacerbate the impacts we normally see in Australia. So, while individual La Niña events usually cause more rain and flooding in northern and eastern Australia, any La Niña-fuelled rainfall this year will be falling onto already saturated ground and into full dams. This makes flooding a heightened risk, especially for areas that just had a wet summer and autumn.
-
Popup - Daily historical
-
Long range rainfall forecast
Wagga Wagga Rain Forecast
Wagga Wagga 28-day Rainfall ForecastSUNMONTUEWEDTHUFRISAT12
MEDIUM13
HIGH14
LOW15
MEDIUM16
LOW17
MEDIUM18
LOW19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
Sep 1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICTNIL < 25%LOW 25% to 50%MEDIUM 50% to 75%HIGH ≥ 75%Issued Aug12Issue Notes
The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively fast moving in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, the Indian Ocean, Western Australia, the southeast Pacific, and South America.
Summary:
Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 10 August to 14 August. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 10 August to 14 August. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 10 August to 14 August.
Forecast ExplanationThis forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.
The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.
In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.
-
Past 5 Days
Wagga Wagga Past 5 Days
This MonthMinimum Maximum Rainfall Monday
Aug 082.3 °C 11.8 °C 0.0 mmTuesday
Aug 091.3 °C 15.1 °C 0.2 mmWednesday
Aug 100.3 °C 15.3 °C 0.2 mmThursday
Aug 117.1 °C 12.0 °C 0.6 mmFriday
Aug 129.2 °C 16.5 °C 7.8 mmLegend -
Almanac
Almanac
Wagga Wagga minimum temp history (35.1099°S, 147.3705°E, 179m AMSL) MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE Hottest this month 19.4° 03/08/2022 Coldest this month -1.5° 02/08/2022 Hottest on record 26.6 30/08/1982 Coldest on record -5.4 06/08/1974 Hottest this year 37.1° 02/01/2022 Coldest this year -3.8° 15/07/2022 Long term average 14.5° Long term average 3.5° Average this month 14.8° Average this month 5.2° Hottest August On Record Avg. max. temp. 19.0° 1982 Coldest August on record Avg. min. temp. 1.0° 2006 Wagga Wagga rainfall history (35.1099°S, 147.3705°E, 179m AMSL) RAINFALL Wettest This Month 18.0mm 05/08/2022 Total This Month 46.0mm
10.0 daysLong Term Average 51.9mm 13.4 days Wettest August on record 101.4mm 1983 Driest on record 6.4mm 1982 -
Year to Date
Wagga Wagga Year To Date
Average Rainfall To Aug 376.8mm 73.1 day(s) Total For 2022 407.2mm 76.0 day(s) Total To This Day 2021 588.6mm 69.0 day(s) Wettest Day 36.4mm Jan 7 Lowest Temperature -3.8°C Jul15 Highest Temperature 37.1°C Jan 2 -
Popup - Radar
Weather Radar for Australia
Australia Radars
- Adelaide
- Adelaide Airport
- Adelaide Sellicks
- Albany
- Alice Springs
- Bairnsdale
- Bowen
- Brewarrina
- Brisbane
- Brisbane Airport
- Brisbane Marburg
- Broadmeadows
- Broome
- Cairns
- Cairns Airport
- Canberra
- Carnarvon
- Ceduna
- Coffs Harbour
- Dampier
- Darwin
- Darwin Airport
- Emerald
- Esperance
- Eucla
- Geraldton
- Giles
- Gladstone
-
Popup - Monthly historical
-
Climatology
Climate History
Wagga Wagga Climatology
Wagga Wagga Long-Term Averages
Long-Term Averages Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann Mean Max (°C) 31.9 30.9 27.7 22.6 17.4 13.9 12.8 14.5 17.8 21.7 25.9 29.6 22.2 Mean Min (°C) 16.4 16.4 13.5 9.2 5.9 3.7 2.8 3.5 5.1 7.8 11.0 14.0 9.1 Mean Rain (mm) 41.9 41.9 45.7 39.5 50.7 51.1 54.1 51.9 49.2 56.8 48.8 46.2 578.4 Mean Rain Days 5.4 5.3 5.6 6.7 9.6 12.4 14.7 13.4 10.5 9.4 7.6 6.2 106.7