Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
New South Wales
TOP PRIORITY FOR IMMEDIATE BROADCAST
Heatwave Warning
Issued at 03:50 PM EDT on Tuesday 05 December 2023
Warning for the following areas:
Mid North Coast, Hunter, Northern Tablelands, Illawarra, Central Tablelands, Southern Tablelands, North West Slopes and Plains, Central West Slopes and Plains, South West Slopes, Riverina, Lower Western and Upper Western
The NSW Department of Health advises everyone in the affected areas to take the following actions:
Severe heatwaves can be dangerous for many people, especially older people, babies, children, pregnant and breastfeeding women, people with medical conditions and people who are unwell.
Seek a place to keep cool, such as your home, a library, community centre or shopping centre.
Close your windows and draw blinds, curtains or awnings early in the day to keep the heat out of your home.
If available, use fans or air-conditioners to keep cool.
No further warnings will be issued for this event.
Forecast
Temora (34.4469°S, 147.5337°E, 289m AMSL) set as my default location ›
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My MLA
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Current condition
TODAY20° 32° mostly sunny Chance of rain: 5% Likely amount: < 1mm First
lightLast light Sunrise Sunset 5:19am EDT 5:48am EDT 8:10pm EDT 8:39pm EDT NOW22.7° Feels Like: 21.7° Relative Humidity: 49% Dew: 11.7° Wind: SW 7km/h Gust: 9km/h Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm Pressure: 1014.8hPa -
Today Weather
TemoraNow24.0°cFeels Like:23.4°Wind:SW 4km/hGusts:6km/hHumidity:42%20°Min32°MaxToday in TemoraMostly sunny morning. The chance of a thunderstorm with little or no rainfall on the N plains in the afternoon and evening. Light winds becoming NW/SW 15 to 25 km/h in the middle of the day then tending SE/SW 15 to 20 km/h in the evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 19 and 22 with daytime temperatures reaching 37 to 42.Tomorrow18°Min31°MaxMostly sunny morning. Slight chance of a shower in the afternoon and evening. The chance of a thunderstorm in the afternoon and evening. Winds NE/SE 15 to 25 km/h tending N/NW 15 to 20 km/h in the middle of the day then tending NE/SE 15 to 25 km/h in the evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 18 and 24 with daytime temperatures reaching 37 to 43. -
Radar
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Popup Radar
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Warnings
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7 day forecast
Today: Mostly sunny morning. The chance of a thunderstorm with little or no rainfall on the N plains in the afternoon and evening. Light winds becoming NW/SW 15 to 25 km/h in the middle of the day then tending SE/SW 15 to 20 km/h in the evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 19 and 22 with daytime temperatures reaching 37 to 42.
Forecast for Temora (34.4469°S, 147.5337°E, 289m AMSL) Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Summary Minimum 20° 18° 21° 22° 12° 12° 14° Maximum 32° 31° 33° 24° 21° 25° 28° Chance of rain 5% 40% 80% 80% 40% 40% 20% Likely amount < 1mm 1-5mm 1-5mm 5-10mm 5-10mm 1-5mm < 1mm UV index Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme - - - Fire Danger Rating High High High Extreme - - - Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 5
(km/h)18
(km/h)4
(km/h)16
(km/h)12
(km/h)18
(km/h)23
(km/h)23
(km/h)28
(km/h)19
(km/h)20
(km/h)13
(km/h)17
(km/h)12
(km/h)Wind direction WNW WSW SE SSW NE N NNW WNW E ENE E ENE ENE NNE Relative humidity 44% 24% 44% 30% 56% 34% 38% 23% 62% 36% 60% 34% 58% 34% Dew point 13°C 10°C 13°C 12°C 17°C 16°C 9°C 5°C 10°C 9°C 9°C 8°C 12°C 10°C -
28 Day Rainfall forecast
Temora Rain Forecast
Temora 28-day Rainfall ForecastSUNMONTUEWEDTHUFRISAT6
7
MEDIUM8
LOW9
LOW10
MEDIUM11
MEDIUM12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
Jan 1
2
3
CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICTNIL < 25%LOW 25% to 50%MEDIUM 50% to 75%HIGH ≥ 75%Issued Dec 5Issue Notes
The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively fast moving in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, the Indian Ocean, New Zealand, the south Pacific, and the southeast Pacific.
Summary:
Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 2023-12-08, 2023-12-19 and 2024-01-01. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 2023-12-16, 2023-12-22 and 2024-01-01. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 2023-12-06, 2023-12-11 and 2023-12-16.
Forecast ExplanationThis forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.
The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.
In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.
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12 Month Rainfall Forecast
Temora Rain Forecast
Temora 12-month Rainfall ForecastDecJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct2023202467766586473105012 - 34 - 78 - 910Well below normalBelow normalNear normalAbove normalWell above normalIssue Notes - Issued Dec 5
ENSO status: El Niño, reached a strong event. IOD status: Positive IOD, starting to weaken. SAM status: Neutral, trending positive. The El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is in an El Niño, with all international models indicating this event will continue until at least April 2024. Ocean warming is continuing to occur in the eastern and central Pacific and has reached the threshold for a 'strong event'. The Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) has reduced further and is comfortably below the El Niño threshold, especially over the last 90-days. El Niño only has a limited effect on rainfall during summer, drying Far North Qld, increasing rainfall over the Nullarbor, and having little effect elsewhere. El Niño also typically delays the first monsoon onset and reduces the number of tropical cyclones impacting Australia, but otherwise has little effect on Australia during January and February. The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is in a positive phase but is weakening from its peak in late October. Winds areexpected to weaken with the current tropical activity, but generally SE wind near Jakarta should maintain the event The IOD typically takes 3-6 weeks to decay, so could persist into the start of 2024. However, the first monsoon onset over northern Australia will still sever its effect on Australia. A positive IOD greatly reduces the formation of northwest cloudbands, leading to reductions in spring rainfall over northern WA, central Aus, and the southeast. A positive IOD often has a compound effect with El Niño, reducing rainfall even further. The Southern Annular Mode (SAM) is currently neutral. It is expected to favour a positive event for the remainder of December. Longer-term, since negative SAM events become more likely during El Niño, models suggest it becoming strongly negative around February. A negative phase tends to increase cold front activity over southern Australia, increasing rainfall over southern Vic, western Tas, and southeast SA, while decreasing it for eastern NSW and Qld. The opposite occurs in a positive event, with easterly winds more likely, increasing rainfall and thunderstorm activity in the east, but reducing it in southern and Western Australia. Rainfall outlooks are predicting above average rainfall for eastern NSW & Qld, below average rainfall over the Tas and far northern Australia, and average elsewhere in December. Large rainfall deficits are expected over northern Australia from December, likely with a delayed initial monsoon onset. Rainfall is forecast to be above average in the NT and NSW during January, with average to slightly below average elsewhere, with drier than normal conditions forecast throughout in February.
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Popup - Daily historical
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Long range rainfall forecast
Temora Rain Forecast
Temora 28-day Rainfall ForecastSUNMONTUEWEDTHUFRISAT6
7
MEDIUM8
LOW9
LOW10
MEDIUM11
MEDIUM12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
Jan 1
2
3
CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICTNIL < 25%LOW 25% to 50%MEDIUM 50% to 75%HIGH ≥ 75%Issued Dec 5Issue Notes
The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively fast moving in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, the Indian Ocean, New Zealand, the south Pacific, and the southeast Pacific.
Summary:
Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 2023-12-08, 2023-12-19 and 2024-01-01. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 2023-12-16, 2023-12-22 and 2024-01-01. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 2023-12-06, 2023-12-11 and 2023-12-16.
Forecast ExplanationThis forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.
The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.
In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.
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Past 5 Days
Temora Past 5 Days
This MonthMinimum Maximum Rainfall Friday
Dec 0112.5 °C 29.3 °C 0.2 mmSaturday
Dec 0213.6 °C 30.7 °C 0.0 mmSunday
Dec 0310.2 °C 28.2 °C 5.6 mmMonday
Dec 0414.7 °C 31.3 °C 0.0 mmTuesday
Dec 0512.3 °C 39.2 °C 0.0 mmLegend -
Almanac
Almanac
Temora minimum temp history (34.4469°S, 147.5337°E, 289m AMSL) MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE Hottest this month 39.2° 05/12/2023 Coldest this month 10.2° 03/12/2023 Hottest on record 43.1 31/12/2005 Coldest on record 3.4 07/12/2013 Hottest this year 39.2° 28/01/2023 Coldest this year -4.7° 20/07/2023 Long term average 30.9° Long term average 14.0° Average this month 31.7° Average this month 12.7° Hottest December On Record Avg. max. temp. 32.2° 2016 Coldest December on record Avg. min. temp. 11.4° 2005 Temora rainfall history (34.4469°S, 147.5337°E, 289m AMSL) RAINFALL Wettest This Month 5.6mm 03/12/2023 Total This Month 5.8mm
2.0 daysLong Term Average 41.1mm 6.4 days Wettest December on record 90.0mm 2007 Driest on record 0.0mm 2006 -
Year to Date
Temora Year To Date
Average Rainfall To Dec 523.5mm 101.8 day(s) Total For 2023 609.0mm 89.0 day(s) Total To This Day 2022 991.0mm 132.0 day(s) Wettest Day 113.0mm Mar13 Lowest Temperature -4.7°C Jul20 Highest Temperature 39.2°C Jan28 -
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Popup - Monthly historical
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Climatology
Climate History
Temora Climatology
Temora Long-Term Averages
Long-Term Averages Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann Mean Max (°C) 33.8 31.5 28.6 23.7 18.5 14.7 13.8 15.4 19.5 24.3 28.0 30.9 23.5 Mean Min (°C) 17.4 16.2 13.7 8.6 4.5 3.1 2.3 2.0 3.5 7.2 11.7 14.0 8.6 Mean Rain (mm) 50.9 44.3 50.2 33.1 33.5 51.6 41.1 38.1 42.1 39.1 58.4 41.1 513.9 Mean Rain Days 6.6 5.7 6.3 5.5 7.6 11.9 15.1 12.6 7.9 7.7 8.5 6.4 100.9