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Forecast

Shoal Bay (32.7241°S, 152.175°E, 12m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Mostly sunny 12° 30°
    mostly sunny
    Chance of rain: 90%
    Likely amount: 5-10mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    5:27am EST 5:51am EST 5:45pm EST 6:09pm EST
    NOW
    28.4° Feels Like: 23.1°
    Relative Humidity: 16%
    Dew: 0.2°
    Wind: N 17km/h
    Gust: N 17km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure: 1013.0hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Shoal Bay
    Now
    27.6°c
    Feels Like:
    21.1°
    Wind:
    NW 19km/h
    Gusts:
    24km/h
    Humidity:
    10%
    Mostly sunny
     
    12°
    Min
    30°
    Max
    Today in Shoal Bay
    Mostly sunny morning, then cloud increasing through the afternoon. Slight chance of a shower at night. Winds N/NW and light becoming NW 20 to 30 km/h in the morning ahead of a cool and gusty S change in the late afternoon, reaching 30 to 50 km/h near the coast. Daytime maximum temperatures around 30.
    Tomorrow
    Windy with rain
    10°
    Min
    17°
    Max
    Cooler and cloudy. Very high chance of rain. The chance of a thunderstorm. Winds S 25 to 40 km/h, reaching 45 to 55 km/h near the coast. Overnight temperatures falling to between 6 and 10 with daytime temperatures reaching between 12 and 16.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Mostly sunny morning, then cloud increasing through the afternoon. Slight chance of a shower at night. Winds N/NW and light becoming NW 20 to 30 km/h in the morning ahead of a cool and gusty S change in the late afternoon, reaching 30 to 50 km/h near the coast. Daytime maximum temperatures around 30.

    Forecast for Shoal Bay (32.7241°S, 152.175°E, 12m AMSL)
      Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun
    Summary Mostly sunny Windy with rain Showers Possible shower Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Possible shower
    Minimum 12° 10° 11° 13° 13° 15° 15°
    Maximum 30° 17° 20° 22° 25° 26° 23°
    Chance of rain 90% 90% 80% 50% 20% 80% 60%
    Likely amount 5-10mm 40-80mm 5-10mm < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm 1-5mm
    UV index High Moderate High High High - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 21
    (km/h)
    21
    (km/h)
    30
    (km/h)
    34
    (km/h)
    36
    (km/h)
    34
    (km/h)
    15
    (km/h)
    23
    (km/h)
    17
    (km/h)
    30
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    20
    (km/h)
    18
    (km/h)
    22
    (km/h)
    Wind direction NW NW S S SSW SSW N E NNE ENE NNE ENE SW S
    Relative humidity 30% 19% 89% 86% 80% 81% 82% 71% 73% 60% 69% 60% 81% 64%
    Dew point 3°C 4°C 13°C 13°C 13°C 16°C 16°C 16°C 14°C 16°C 15°C 18°C 15°C 15°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Shoal Bay Rain Forecast


    Shoal Bay 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    16
    HIGH
    17
    HIGH
    18
    HIGH
    19
    LOW
    20
    LOW
    21
    HIGH
    22
    MEDIUM
    23
    LOW
    24
    LOW
    25
    LOW
    26
    LOW
    27
    LOW
    28
    MEDIUM
    29
    LOW
    30
    LOW
    Oct 1
    2
    3
    LOW
    4
    5
    6
    7
    8
    9
    10
    MEDIUM
    11
    12
    13
    14
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Sep16

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively fast moving in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the southwest Indian Ocean, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the southeast Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 26 September to 30 September, 7 October to 11 October, and 20 October to 24 October. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 23 September to 27 September. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 26 September to 30 September, 7 October to 11 October, and 20 October to 24 October.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Shoal Bay Rain Forecast


    Shoal Bay 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    2019
    2020
    2
    3
    4
    5
    4
    6
    4
    7
    5
    9
    7
    5
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Sep 10

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Positive Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) continued the cooling trend over the central Pacific during August, with areas in the eastern equatorial Pacific exhibiting below average temperatures for the first time in about two years. The Nino3.4 index lingered between 0.2 and 0.1 through the month of August. The Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -4.4 during the past month, which remains in neutral territory. Current consensus suggests warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the austral spring, but well within neutral values. Although, three out of eight international models maintain a slightly warmer than average Pacific Ocean through the end of 2019, none of these are likely to reach El Nino thresholds during the 2019/2020 summer. Moreover, the IRI ENSO forecast suggests less than 40% of another El Nino developing over the next 12 months, with a neutral ENSO the most likely outcome. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains strongly positive. All six international models maintain a strong positive event until the beginning of the summer. The climate outlook for spring favours below average rainfall across the southern half, and in particular the eastern half of the continent. During Positive IODs, central and southeastern Australia tend to see a reduction in rainfall during the end of winter and spring due to a reduction of moisture streaming from the northwest. On the other hand, far southern Victoria and western Tasmania could see above average rainfall during this period as a sudden stratospheric warming (SSW) over Antarctica looks to enhance the negative phase of the southern annular mode (SAM) over the coming months.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Shoal Bay Rain Forecast


    Shoal Bay 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    16
    HIGH
    17
    HIGH
    18
    HIGH
    19
    LOW
    20
    LOW
    21
    HIGH
    22
    MEDIUM
    23
    LOW
    24
    LOW
    25
    LOW
    26
    LOW
    27
    LOW
    28
    MEDIUM
    29
    LOW
    30
    LOW
    Oct 1
    2
    3
    LOW
    4
    5
    6
    7
    8
    9
    10
    MEDIUM
    11
    12
    13
    14
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Sep16

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively fast moving in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the southwest Indian Ocean, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the southeast Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 26 September to 30 September, 7 October to 11 October, and 20 October to 24 October. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 23 September to 27 September. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 26 September to 30 September, 7 October to 11 October, and 20 October to 24 October.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Shoal Bay Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Thursday
    Sep 12
    10.2 °C 24.6 °C
    0.0 mm
    Friday
    Sep 13
    14.0 °C 19.7 °C
    0.0 mm
    Saturday
    Sep 14
    14.5 °C 19.8 °C
    0.0 mm
    Sunday
    Sep 15
    12.2 °C 21 °C
    0.0 mm
    Monday
    Sep 16
    13 °C -
    0.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Shoal Bay minimum temp history (32.7241°S, 152.175°E, 12m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 24.6° 12/09/2019 Coldest this month 7.3° 11/09/2019
    Hottest on record 34.2 24/09/2006 Coldest on record 5.0 18/09/1969
    Hottest this year 34.7° 12/02/2019 Coldest this year 7.3° 11/09/2019
    Long term average 21.1° Long term average 12.9°
    Average this month 20.7° Average this month 12.5°
    Hottest September On Record Avg. max. temp. 24.1° 2013 Coldest September on record Avg. min. temp. 9.5° 1969
    Shoal Bay rainfall history (32.7241°S, 152.175°E, 12m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 11.8mm 01/09/2019 Total This Month 16.6mm
    5.0 days
    Long Term Average 89.3mm 10.0 days Wettest September on record 311.9mm 2013
  15. Popup - Radar

  16. Year to Date

    Shoal Bay Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Sep 1096.7mm 100.3 day(s)
    Total For 2019 777.9mm 98.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2018 907.1mm 97.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 106.8mm Jun 5
    Lowest Temperature 7.3°C Sep11
    Highest Temperature 34.7°C Feb12
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Shoal Bay Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 27.0 26.9 25.7 23.4 20.4 18.1 17.4 18.9 21.1 23.1 24.4 25.8 22.7
    Mean Min (°C) 20.0 20.1 18.8 16.3 13.4 11.1 9.7 10.7 12.9 15.1 16.9 18.5 15.3
    Mean Rain (mm) 99.6 111.7 118.0 129.8 151.6 155.8 138.9 102.0 89.3 78.0 80.3 93.6 1346.5
    Mean Rain Days 10.4 10.2 11.1 11.8 12.6 12.1 11.6 10.5 10.0 10.0 10.0 10.3 125.0