Forecast
Tocal (32.64°S, 151.5912°E, 19m AMSL) set as my default location ›
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My MLA
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Current condition
TODAY17° 20° possible shower Chance of rain: 60% Likely amount: < 1mm First
lightLast light Sunrise Sunset 5:17am EDT 5:44am EDT 7:33pm EDT 8:00pm EDT NOW17.9° Feels Like: 19.9° Relative Humidity: 89% Dew: 16.1° Wind: N 0km/h Gust: 0km/h Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm Pressure: -
Today Weather
TocalNow17.5°cFeels Like:19.6°Wind:N 0km/hGusts:0km/hHumidity:93%17°Min20°MaxToday in TocalCloudy. Medium chance of showers, most likely in the morning and afternoon. The chance of a thunderstorm about the Upper Hunter in the afternoon and early evening. Winds S/SE 15 to 20 km/h tending E/SE 15 to 25 km/h during the morning and early afternoon. Overnight temperatures falling to between 13 and 16 with daytime temperatures reaching the low to mid 20s.Tomorrow16°Min25°MaxPartly cloudy. Slight chance of a shower in the morning and afternoon. Winds E/SE 15 to 25 km/h tending E/NE 15 to 20 km/h in the evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 13 and 17 with daytime temperatures reaching 24 to 29. -
Radar
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Popup Radar
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Warnings
There are no current warnings for Tocal
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7 day forecast
Today: Cloudy. Medium chance of showers, most likely in the morning and afternoon. The chance of a thunderstorm about the Upper Hunter in the afternoon and early evening. Winds S/SE 15 to 20 km/h tending E/SE 15 to 25 km/h during the morning and early afternoon. Overnight temperatures falling to between 13 and 16 with daytime temperatures reaching the low to mid 20s.
Forecast for Tocal (32.64°S, 151.5912°E, 19m AMSL) Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Summary Minimum 17° 16° 17° 19° 16° 14° 14° Maximum 20° 25° 31° 23° 21° 21° 21° Chance of rain 60% 50% 80% 70% 50% 40% 40% Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm 10-20mm 10-20mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm UV index Very High Extreme Extreme Very High Very High Very High Very High Fire Danger Rating No Rating Moderate Moderate Moderate - - - Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 9
(km/h)14
(km/h)12
(km/h)16
(km/h)8
(km/h)12
(km/h)11
(km/h)11
(km/h)11
(km/h)15
(km/h)7
(km/h)15
(km/h)8
(km/h)15
(km/h)Wind direction SE SE ENE E NE NE NW SSW SSE SSE SE SE SE SE Relative humidity 84% 73% 76% 63% 70% 45% 82% 75% 73% 59% 70% 55% 70% 60% Dew point 16°C 16°C 17°C 17°C 18°C 17°C 18°C 18°C 14°C 12°C 13°C 12°C 14°C 13°C -
28 Day Rainfall forecast
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12 Month Rainfall Forecast
Tocal Rain Forecast
Tocal 12-month Rainfall ForecastNovDecJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct20242025777777687466105012 - 34 - 78 - 910Well below normalBelow normalNear normalAbove normalWell above normalIssue Notes - Issued Oct 1
ENSO status: La Niña Watch. IOD status: Neutral. SAM status: Negative. Trending slightly negative. The El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is in a La Niña Watch, meaning there is approximately a 50% chance of a La Niña developing this year. Overall, models are now starting to look more like La Niña, with more widespread ocean cooling occurring in the South Pacific, helped by the consistently strong trade winds. While these are good signs that La Niña is starting to develop, a declaration would likely happen no earlier than November, meaning this is more likely to be a late and weaker event if it does eventuate. A La Niña typically increases rainfall over northern and southeastern Australia during spring, but has little effect for southwestern WA. The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is in a neutral phase and is now unlikely to develop into either phase this spring. Conditions are closer to a negative IOD at the moment, so there may be some minor increases in the frequency of northwest cloudbands impactingAustralia. A neutral IOD tends to bring a small increase in spring rainfall for southwest WA, but has little effect elsewhere. The Southern Annular Mode (SAM) is in a negative phase, continuing on from the initial sudden Stratospheric Warming (SW) events over Antarctica since mid-July. These events increase the chances of negative SAM events, but are having a lesser effect moving forward in October. A negative SAM increases the frequency of cold fronts. During spring, this increases rainfall over western Tas and southern Vic, but decreases rainfall over eastern Australia. Rainfall outlooks are showing close to average for most of the country during October, with a higher chance of above average rainfall for northern and eastern Australia, increasing further into November and December. Models are also hinting that rainfall is more likely to arrive in the form of showers and thunderstorms, rather than broad rainbands, meaning rainfall in practice will likely be hit-and-miss for most of Australia thisspring.
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Popup - Daily historical
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Long range rainfall forecast
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Past 5 Days
Tocal Past 5 Days
This MonthMinimum Maximum Rainfall Sunday
Nov 1015.9 °C 29.1 °C 0.0 mmMonday
Nov 1117.0 °C 22.1 °C 0.0 mmTuesday
Nov 1216.9 °C - 27.2 mmWednesday
Nov 13- 26.9 °C -Thursday
Nov 1413.7 °C 24.9 °C 4.4 mmLegend -
Almanac
Almanac
Tocal minimum temp history (32.64°S, 151.5912°E, 19m AMSL) MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE Hottest this month 39.7° 07/11/2024 Coldest this month 12.9° 02/11/2024 Hottest on record 43.9 23/11/2014 Coldest on record 5.3 28/11/1967 Hottest this year 43.0° 25/01/2024 Coldest this year 1.7° 29/06/2024 Long term average 26.8° Long term average 14.1° Average this month 28.5° Average this month 16.4° Hottest November On Record Avg. max. temp. 30.6° 2002 Coldest November on record Avg. min. temp. 11.3° 1971 Tocal rainfall history (32.64°S, 151.5912°E, 19m AMSL) RAINFALL Wettest This Month 27.2mm 12/11/2024 Total This Month 54.0mm
6.0 daysLong Term Average 85.3mm 11.4 days Wettest November on record 336.0mm 2013 Driest on record 10.6mm 1980 -
Year to Date
Tocal Year To Date
Average Rainfall To Nov 863.2mm 118.0 day(s) Total For 2024 952.4mm 133.0 day(s) Total To This Day 2023 645.2mm 98.0 day(s) Wettest Day 61.4mm Apr21 Lowest Temperature 1.7°C Jun29 Highest Temperature 43.0°C Jan25 -
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Popup - Monthly historical
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Climatology
Climate History
Tocal Climatology
Tocal Long-Term Averages
Long-Term Averages Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann Mean Max (°C) 30.0 29.0 27.2 24.3 20.8 17.8 17.5 19.5 22.5 25.2 26.8 29.1 24.1 Mean Min (°C) 17.8 17.6 15.9 12.6 9.7 7.6 6.2 6.7 9.0 11.5 14.1 16.3 12.0 Mean Rain (mm) 106.2 119.2 123.9 85.8 69.6 75.0 43.9 37.8 48.6 67.9 85.3 80.1 941.8 Mean Rain Days 11.7 11.6 12.6 10.8 11.5 12.1 10.2 8.1 8.2 9.8 11.4 10.4 128.2