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Forecast

Tocal (32.64°S, 151.5912°E, 19m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Fog then sunny 14° 29°
    fog then sunny
    Chance of rain: 5%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    5:13am EDT 5:41am EDT 7:40pm EDT 8:08pm EDT
    NOW
    28.9° Feels Like: 28.3°
    Relative Humidity: 37%
    Dew: 12.8°
    Wind: SW 7km/h
    Gust: 9km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure: &nbsp;
  3. Today Weather

    Tocal
    Now
    29.7°c
    Feels Like:
    27.8°
    Wind:
    NE 6km/h
    Gusts:
    7km/h
    Humidity:
    23%
    Fog then sunny
     
    14°
    Min
    29°
    Max
    Today in Tocal
    The chance of fog inland early this morning. Sunny day. Light winds becoming NE/SE 15 to 20 km/h in the early afternoon then becoming light in the evening. Daytime maximum temperatures 28 to 33.
    Tomorrow
    Mostly sunny
    14°
    Min
    32°
    Max
    Sunny. The chance of fog about the Lower Hunter in the early morning. Light winds becoming E/NE 15 to 20 km/h in the early afternoon then becoming light in the late evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 12 and 15 with daytime temperatures reaching 30 to 35.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

    There are no current warnings for Tocal

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: The chance of fog inland early this morning. Sunny day. Light winds becoming NE/SE 15 to 20 km/h in the early afternoon then becoming light in the evening. Daytime maximum temperatures 28 to 33.

    Forecast for Tocal (32.64°S, 151.5912°E, 19m AMSL)
      Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri
    Summary Fog then sunny Mostly sunny Mostly cloudy Mostly cloudy Mostly cloudy Possible shower Rain
    Minimum 14° 14° 17° 18° 19° 21° 19°
    Maximum 29° 32° 31° 33° 33° 27° 22°
    Chance of rain 5% 5% 5% 20% 40% 80% 90%
    Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm 10-20mm 5-10mm
    UV index Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme
    Fire Danger Rating Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate - - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 3
    (km/h)
    8
    (km/h)
    3
    (km/h)
    8
    (km/h)
    4
    (km/h)
    8
    (km/h)
    4
    (km/h)
    8
    (km/h)
    7
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    8
    (km/h)
    9
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    13
    (km/h)
    Wind direction N E NNE E N E N NE NW N WSW SSE SSE SE
    Relative humidity 69% 35% 62% 30% 71% 39% 65% 36% 55% 32% 71% 73% 86% 78%
    Dew point 16°C 12°C 15°C 12°C 18°C 16°C 18°C 17°C 17°C 14°C 20°C 22°C 18°C 18°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Tocal Rain Forecast


    Tocal 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    2024
    2025
    7
    7
    7
    7
    7
    7
    6
    8
    7
    4
    6
    6
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Nov 18

    ENSO status: La Niña Watch. IOD status: Neutral. SAM status: Positive. Trending positive. The El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is in a La Niña Watch, meaning there is approximately a 50% chance of a La Niña developing this year. The current technical definition of a La Niña is only a small chance to be met, although ocean and atmospheric conditions do resemble a La Niña pattern. Trade winds are still stronger than average along the western equatorial Pacific, and the Nino3.4 is low, but is above the threshold of -0.8C. However, the Relative-Nino Index (factors in equatorial ocean temperatures elsewhere around the world, compensating for the background warming signal) is below the threshold. A La Niña typically increases rainfall over northern and eastern Australia (especially eastern Qld) during summer, but has little effect for WA and SA. The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is in a neutral phase. Recent conditions have been similar to a negative IOD, but this has likely been heavily affected by veryactive bursts of tropical weather in mid-October and mid-late November. Regardless if these conditions continue, the arrival of the monsoon over northern Australia overwrites any IOD effects, so this driver is unlikely to significantly affect Australia this year. The Southern Annular Mode (SAM) is in a positive phase, having switched from the negative phase that persisted from July to October. This positive event is expected to persist through summer as a result of stratospheric moisture from the 2022 Tongan volcanic eruption (similar to the past two summers). A positive SAM decreases the frequency of cold fronts, with more regular high pressure systems and easterly winds. During summer, this increases rainfall over eastern Australia, and reduces rainfall over southeastern SA, western Vic and western Tas. Rainfall outlooks are showing above average rainfall over western, northern and eastern Australia, with strong signals over the Kimberley, Top End and Cape York Peninsula (likely related to forecastmonsoon activity). Drier conditions are expected for western Tas, with average conditions for SA and western Vic.

  11. Popup - Daily historical

  12. Long range rainfall forecast

  13. Past 5 Days

    Tocal Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Tuesday
    Nov 19
    17.7 °C 24.1 °C
    -
    Wednesday
    Nov 20
    12.4 °C 25.5 °C
    0.0 mm
    Thursday
    Nov 21
    11.3 °C -
    0.0 mm
    Friday
    Nov 22
    12.4 °C 29.4 °C
    -
    Saturday
    Nov 23
    13.5 °C 29.7 °C
    -
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Tocal minimum temp history (32.64°S, 151.5912°E, 19m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 39.7° 07/11/2024 Coldest this month 11.3° 21/11/2024
    Hottest on record 43.9 23/11/2014 Coldest on record 5.3 28/11/1967
    Hottest this year 43.0° 25/01/2024 Coldest this year 1.7° 29/06/2024
    Long term average 26.8° Long term average 14.1°
    Average this month 27.6° Average this month 16.1°
    Hottest November On Record Avg. max. temp. 30.6° 2002 Coldest November on record Avg. min. temp. 11.3° 1971
    Tocal rainfall history (32.64°S, 151.5912°E, 19m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 27.2mm 12/11/2024 Total This Month 59.4mm
    8.0 days
    Long Term Average 85.3mm 11.4 days Wettest November on record 336.0mm 2013
    Driest on record 10.6mm 1980
  15. Year to Date

    Tocal Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Nov 863.2mm 118.0 day(s)
    Total For 2024 957.8mm 135.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2023 654.8mm 102.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 61.4mm Apr21
    Lowest Temperature 1.7°C Jun29
    Highest Temperature 43.0°C Jan25
  16. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for Australia

  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Tocal Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 30.0 29.0 27.2 24.3 20.8 17.8 17.5 19.5 22.5 25.2 26.8 29.1 24.1
    Mean Min (°C) 17.8 17.6 15.9 12.6 9.7 7.6 6.2 6.7 9.0 11.5 14.1 16.3 12.0
    Mean Rain (mm) 106.2 119.2 123.9 85.8 69.6 75.0 43.9 37.8 48.6 67.9 85.3 80.1 941.8
    Mean Rain Days 11.7 11.6 12.6 10.8 11.5 12.1 10.2 8.1 8.2 9.8 11.4 10.4 128.2