Forecast
Tocal (32.64°S, 151.5912°E, 19m AMSL) set as my default location ›
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My MLA
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Current condition
TODAY14° 29° fog then sunny Chance of rain: 5% Likely amount: < 1mm First
lightLast light Sunrise Sunset 5:13am EDT 5:41am EDT 7:40pm EDT 8:08pm EDT NOW28.9° Feels Like: 28.3° Relative Humidity: 37% Dew: 12.8° Wind: SW 7km/h Gust: 9km/h Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm Pressure: -
Today Weather
TocalNow29.7°cFeels Like:27.8°Wind:NE 6km/hGusts:7km/hHumidity:23%14°Min29°MaxToday in TocalThe chance of fog inland early this morning. Sunny day. Light winds becoming NE/SE 15 to 20 km/h in the early afternoon then becoming light in the evening. Daytime maximum temperatures 28 to 33.Tomorrow14°Min32°MaxSunny. The chance of fog about the Lower Hunter in the early morning. Light winds becoming E/NE 15 to 20 km/h in the early afternoon then becoming light in the late evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 12 and 15 with daytime temperatures reaching 30 to 35. -
Radar
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Warnings
There are no current warnings for Tocal
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7 day forecast
Today: The chance of fog inland early this morning. Sunny day. Light winds becoming NE/SE 15 to 20 km/h in the early afternoon then becoming light in the evening. Daytime maximum temperatures 28 to 33.
Forecast for Tocal (32.64°S, 151.5912°E, 19m AMSL) Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Summary Minimum 14° 14° 17° 18° 19° 21° 19° Maximum 29° 32° 31° 33° 33° 27° 22° Chance of rain 5% 5% 5% 20% 40% 80% 90% Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm 10-20mm 5-10mm UV index Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme Fire Danger Rating Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate - - - Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 3
(km/h)8
(km/h)3
(km/h)8
(km/h)4
(km/h)8
(km/h)4
(km/h)8
(km/h)7
(km/h)12
(km/h)8
(km/h)9
(km/h)10
(km/h)13
(km/h)Wind direction N E NNE E N E N NE NW N WSW SSE SSE SE Relative humidity 69% 35% 62% 30% 71% 39% 65% 36% 55% 32% 71% 73% 86% 78% Dew point 16°C 12°C 15°C 12°C 18°C 16°C 18°C 17°C 17°C 14°C 20°C 22°C 18°C 18°C -
28 Day Rainfall forecast
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12 Month Rainfall Forecast
Tocal Rain Forecast
Tocal 12-month Rainfall ForecastNovDecJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct20242025777777687466105012 - 34 - 78 - 910Well below normalBelow normalNear normalAbove normalWell above normalIssue Notes - Issued Nov 18
ENSO status: La Niña Watch. IOD status: Neutral. SAM status: Positive. Trending positive. The El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is in a La Niña Watch, meaning there is approximately a 50% chance of a La Niña developing this year. The current technical definition of a La Niña is only a small chance to be met, although ocean and atmospheric conditions do resemble a La Niña pattern. Trade winds are still stronger than average along the western equatorial Pacific, and the Nino3.4 is low, but is above the threshold of -0.8C. However, the Relative-Nino Index (factors in equatorial ocean temperatures elsewhere around the world, compensating for the background warming signal) is below the threshold. A La Niña typically increases rainfall over northern and eastern Australia (especially eastern Qld) during summer, but has little effect for WA and SA. The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is in a neutral phase. Recent conditions have been similar to a negative IOD, but this has likely been heavily affected by veryactive bursts of tropical weather in mid-October and mid-late November. Regardless if these conditions continue, the arrival of the monsoon over northern Australia overwrites any IOD effects, so this driver is unlikely to significantly affect Australia this year. The Southern Annular Mode (SAM) is in a positive phase, having switched from the negative phase that persisted from July to October. This positive event is expected to persist through summer as a result of stratospheric moisture from the 2022 Tongan volcanic eruption (similar to the past two summers). A positive SAM decreases the frequency of cold fronts, with more regular high pressure systems and easterly winds. During summer, this increases rainfall over eastern Australia, and reduces rainfall over southeastern SA, western Vic and western Tas. Rainfall outlooks are showing above average rainfall over western, northern and eastern Australia, with strong signals over the Kimberley, Top End and Cape York Peninsula (likely related to forecastmonsoon activity). Drier conditions are expected for western Tas, with average conditions for SA and western Vic.
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Popup - Daily historical
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Long range rainfall forecast
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Past 5 Days
Tocal Past 5 Days
This MonthMinimum Maximum Rainfall Tuesday
Nov 1917.7 °C 24.1 °C -Wednesday
Nov 2012.4 °C 25.5 °C 0.0 mmThursday
Nov 2111.3 °C - 0.0 mmFriday
Nov 2212.4 °C 29.4 °C -Saturday
Nov 2313.5 °C 29.7 °C -Legend -
Almanac
Almanac
Tocal minimum temp history (32.64°S, 151.5912°E, 19m AMSL) MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE Hottest this month 39.7° 07/11/2024 Coldest this month 11.3° 21/11/2024 Hottest on record 43.9 23/11/2014 Coldest on record 5.3 28/11/1967 Hottest this year 43.0° 25/01/2024 Coldest this year 1.7° 29/06/2024 Long term average 26.8° Long term average 14.1° Average this month 27.6° Average this month 16.1° Hottest November On Record Avg. max. temp. 30.6° 2002 Coldest November on record Avg. min. temp. 11.3° 1971 Tocal rainfall history (32.64°S, 151.5912°E, 19m AMSL) RAINFALL Wettest This Month 27.2mm 12/11/2024 Total This Month 59.4mm
8.0 daysLong Term Average 85.3mm 11.4 days Wettest November on record 336.0mm 2013 Driest on record 10.6mm 1980 -
Year to Date
Tocal Year To Date
Average Rainfall To Nov 863.2mm 118.0 day(s) Total For 2024 957.8mm 135.0 day(s) Total To This Day 2023 654.8mm 102.0 day(s) Wettest Day 61.4mm Apr21 Lowest Temperature 1.7°C Jun29 Highest Temperature 43.0°C Jan25 -
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Popup - Monthly historical
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Climatology
Climate History
Tocal Climatology
Tocal Long-Term Averages
Long-Term Averages Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann Mean Max (°C) 30.0 29.0 27.2 24.3 20.8 17.8 17.5 19.5 22.5 25.2 26.8 29.1 24.1 Mean Min (°C) 17.8 17.6 15.9 12.6 9.7 7.6 6.2 6.7 9.0 11.5 14.1 16.3 12.0 Mean Rain (mm) 106.2 119.2 123.9 85.8 69.6 75.0 43.9 37.8 48.6 67.9 85.3 80.1 941.8 Mean Rain Days 11.7 11.6 12.6 10.8 11.5 12.1 10.2 8.1 8.2 9.8 11.4 10.4 128.2