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Forecast

Tocal (32.64°S, 151.5912°E, 19m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Possible shower 17° 20°
    possible shower
    Chance of rain: 60%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    5:17am EDT 5:44am EDT 7:33pm EDT 8:00pm EDT
    NOW
    17.9° Feels Like: 19.9°
    Relative Humidity: 89%
    Dew: 16.1°
    Wind: N 0km/h
    Gust: 0km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure: &nbsp;
  3. Today Weather

    Tocal
    Now
    17.5°c
    Feels Like:
    19.6°
    Wind:
    N 0km/h
    Gusts:
    0km/h
    Humidity:
    93%
    Possible shower
     
    17°
    Min
    20°
    Max
    Today in Tocal
    Cloudy. Medium chance of showers, most likely in the morning and afternoon. The chance of a thunderstorm about the Upper Hunter in the afternoon and early evening. Winds S/SE 15 to 20 km/h tending E/SE 15 to 25 km/h during the morning and early afternoon. Overnight temperatures falling to between 13 and 16 with daytime temperatures reaching the low to mid 20s.
    Tomorrow
    Possible shower
    16°
    Min
    25°
    Max
    Partly cloudy. Slight chance of a shower in the morning and afternoon. Winds E/SE 15 to 25 km/h tending E/NE 15 to 20 km/h in the evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 13 and 17 with daytime temperatures reaching 24 to 29.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

    There are no current warnings for Tocal

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Cloudy. Medium chance of showers, most likely in the morning and afternoon. The chance of a thunderstorm about the Upper Hunter in the afternoon and early evening. Winds S/SE 15 to 20 km/h tending E/SE 15 to 25 km/h during the morning and early afternoon. Overnight temperatures falling to between 13 and 16 with daytime temperatures reaching the low to mid 20s.

    Forecast for Tocal (32.64°S, 151.5912°E, 19m AMSL)
      Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu
    Summary Possible shower Possible shower Mostly cloudy Rain Showers easing Mostly cloudy Possible shower
    Minimum 17° 16° 17° 19° 16° 14° 14°
    Maximum 20° 25° 31° 23° 21° 21° 21°
    Chance of rain 60% 50% 80% 70% 50% 40% 40%
    Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm 10-20mm 10-20mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm
    UV index Very High Extreme Extreme Very High Very High Very High Very High
    Fire Danger Rating No Rating Moderate Moderate Moderate - - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 9
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    8
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    11
    (km/h)
    11
    (km/h)
    11
    (km/h)
    15
    (km/h)
    7
    (km/h)
    15
    (km/h)
    8
    (km/h)
    15
    (km/h)
    Wind direction SE SE ENE E NE NE NW SSW SSE SSE SE SE SE SE
    Relative humidity 84% 73% 76% 63% 70% 45% 82% 75% 73% 59% 70% 55% 70% 60%
    Dew point 16°C 16°C 17°C 17°C 18°C 17°C 18°C 18°C 14°C 12°C 13°C 12°C 14°C 13°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Tocal Rain Forecast


    Tocal 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    2024
    2025
    7
    7
    7
    7
    7
    7
    6
    8
    7
    4
    6
    6
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Oct 1

    ENSO status: La Niña Watch. IOD status: Neutral. SAM status: Negative. Trending slightly negative. The El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is in a La Niña Watch, meaning there is approximately a 50% chance of a La Niña developing this year. Overall, models are now starting to look more like La Niña, with more widespread ocean cooling occurring in the South Pacific, helped by the consistently strong trade winds. While these are good signs that La Niña is starting to develop, a declaration would likely happen no earlier than November, meaning this is more likely to be a late and weaker event if it does eventuate. A La Niña typically increases rainfall over northern and southeastern Australia during spring, but has little effect for southwestern WA. The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is in a neutral phase and is now unlikely to develop into either phase this spring. Conditions are closer to a negative IOD at the moment, so there may be some minor increases in the frequency of northwest cloudbands impactingAustralia. A neutral IOD tends to bring a small increase in spring rainfall for southwest WA, but has little effect elsewhere. The Southern Annular Mode (SAM) is in a negative phase, continuing on from the initial sudden Stratospheric Warming (SW) events over Antarctica since mid-July. These events increase the chances of negative SAM events, but are having a lesser effect moving forward in October. A negative SAM increases the frequency of cold fronts. During spring, this increases rainfall over western Tas and southern Vic, but decreases rainfall over eastern Australia. Rainfall outlooks are showing close to average for most of the country during October, with a higher chance of above average rainfall for northern and eastern Australia, increasing further into November and December. Models are also hinting that rainfall is more likely to arrive in the form of showers and thunderstorms, rather than broad rainbands, meaning rainfall in practice will likely be hit-and-miss for most of Australia thisspring.

  11. Popup - Daily historical

  12. Long range rainfall forecast

  13. Past 5 Days

    Tocal Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Sunday
    Nov 10
    15.9 °C 29.1 °C
    0.0 mm
    Monday
    Nov 11
    17.0 °C 22.1 °C
    0.0 mm
    Tuesday
    Nov 12
    16.9 °C -
    27.2 mm
    Wednesday
    Nov 13
    - 26.9 °C
    -
    Thursday
    Nov 14
    13.7 °C 24.9 °C
    4.4 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Tocal minimum temp history (32.64°S, 151.5912°E, 19m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 39.7° 07/11/2024 Coldest this month 12.9° 02/11/2024
    Hottest on record 43.9 23/11/2014 Coldest on record 5.3 28/11/1967
    Hottest this year 43.0° 25/01/2024 Coldest this year 1.7° 29/06/2024
    Long term average 26.8° Long term average 14.1°
    Average this month 28.5° Average this month 16.4°
    Hottest November On Record Avg. max. temp. 30.6° 2002 Coldest November on record Avg. min. temp. 11.3° 1971
    Tocal rainfall history (32.64°S, 151.5912°E, 19m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 27.2mm 12/11/2024 Total This Month 54.0mm
    6.0 days
    Long Term Average 85.3mm 11.4 days Wettest November on record 336.0mm 2013
    Driest on record 10.6mm 1980
  15. Year to Date

    Tocal Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Nov 863.2mm 118.0 day(s)
    Total For 2024 952.4mm 133.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2023 645.2mm 98.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 61.4mm Apr21
    Lowest Temperature 1.7°C Jun29
    Highest Temperature 43.0°C Jan25
  16. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for Australia

  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Tocal Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 30.0 29.0 27.2 24.3 20.8 17.8 17.5 19.5 22.5 25.2 26.8 29.1 24.1
    Mean Min (°C) 17.8 17.6 15.9 12.6 9.7 7.6 6.2 6.7 9.0 11.5 14.1 16.3 12.0
    Mean Rain (mm) 106.2 119.2 123.9 85.8 69.6 75.0 43.9 37.8 48.6 67.9 85.3 80.1 941.8
    Mean Rain Days 11.7 11.6 12.6 10.8 11.5 12.1 10.2 8.1 8.2 9.8 11.4 10.4 128.2