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Forecast

Tocal (32.64°S, 151.5912°E, 19m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Possible shower 10° 20°
    possible shower
    Chance of rain: 60%
    Likely amount: 1-5mm
    First
    light     		Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    5:54am EST 6:19am EST 5:32pm EST 5:57pm EST
    NOW
    19.5° Feels Like: 17.0°
    Relative Humidity: 65%
    Dew: 12.7°
    Wind: ESE 17km/h
    Gust: ESE 17km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure:  

  3. Today Weather

    Tocal
    Now
    18.2°c
    Feels Like:
    12.5°
    Wind:
    S 32km/h
    Gusts:
    35km/h
    Humidity:
    66%
    Possible shower
     
    10°
    Min
    20°
    Max
    Today in Tocal
    Cloudy. Areas of fog about the Upper Hunter early this morning. High chance of showers about the Lower Hunter, medium chance elsewhere. The chance of a thunderstorm near the coast. Light winds becoming E/SE 15 to 20 km/h in the late afternoon then becoming light in the late evening. Daytime maximum temperatures between 15 and 20.
    Tomorrow
    Possible shower
    9°
    Min
    20°
    Max
    Partly cloudy. Areas of morning fog about the Upper Hunter. High chance of showers about the Lower Hunter, medium chance elsewhere. The chance of a thunderstorm about the Lower Hunter. Light winds becoming S/SE 15 to 20 km/h in the late afternoon then becoming light in the evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 7 and 11 with daytime temperatures reaching between 15 and 20.

  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours

  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Cloudy. Areas of fog about the Upper Hunter early this morning. High chance of showers about the Lower Hunter, medium chance elsewhere. The chance of a thunderstorm near the coast. Light winds becoming E/SE 15 to 20 km/h in the late afternoon then becoming light in the late evening. Daytime maximum temperatures between 15 and 20.

    Forecast for Tocal (32.64°S, 151.5912°E, 19m AMSL)
      Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun
    Summary Possible shower Possible shower Late shower Thunderstorms Late shower Possible shower Showers easing
    Minimum 10° 9° 8° 7° 7° 8° 9°
    Maximum 20° 20° 22° 19° 19° 20° 23°
    Chance of rain 60% 80% 40% 80% 70% 70% 40%
    Likely amount 1-5mm 1-5mm < 1mm 10-20mm 5-10mm 1-5mm < 1mm
    UV index - - - - - - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 5
    (km/h)     		11
    (km/h)     		6
    (km/h)     		11
    (km/h)     		5
    (km/h)     		8
    (km/h)     		7
    (km/h)     		10
    (km/h)     		10
    (km/h)     		10
    (km/h)     		10
    (km/h)     		12
    (km/h)     		9
    (km/h)     		9
    (km/h)
    Wind direction SSE SSE SSW S SW SSW WSW SSW WSW SSW WSW S WSW SW
    Relative humidity 83% 67% 83% 69% 80% 51% 65% 60% 80% 65% 82% 71% 80% 59%
    Dew point 13°C 12°C 12°C 13°C 11°C 11°C 7°C 11°C 9°C 11°C 11°C 14°C 12°C 15°C

  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Tocal Rain Forecast

    Tocal 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    26
    MEDIUM
    27
    MEDIUM
    28
    LOW
    29
    HIGH
    30
    HIGH
    31
    MEDIUM
    Sep 1
    LOW
    2
    MEDIUM
    3
    4
    5
    6
    7
    LOW
    8
    9
    10
    11
    12
    13
    MEDIUM
    14
    LOW
    15
    LOW
    16
    17
    LOW
    18
    LOW
    19
    MEDIUM
    20
    21
    HIGH
    22
    MEDIUM
    23
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Aug26

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, Western Australia, the south Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 5 September to 9 September, 11 September to 15 September, and 19 September to 23 September. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 24 August to 28 August. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 5 September to 9 September, 11 September to 15 September, and 19 September to 23 September.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Tocal Rain Forecast

    Tocal 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    2019
    2020
    3
    4
    5
    5
    4
    5
    7
    6
    7
    6
    8
    7
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Aug 8

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Positive Sea surface temperatures (SST's) continued a cooling trend over the central Pacific during July. The Nino3.4 index lingered at about 0.5 through the month of July. The Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -5.6 in July, which is now in neutral territory. Current consensus suggests warmer than average SSTs will remain across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the austral spring, but well within neutral values. Although, six out of eight international models maintain a warmer than average Pacific Ocean through the remainder of 2019, none of these are reaching El Nino thresholds during the 2019/2020 summer. Moreover, the IRI ENSO forecast suggests less than 50% of another El Nino developing over the next 12 months. On the other hand, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains strongly positive. Six out of six international models maintain a positive event until mid-spring. The climate outlook for the four weeks left in winter and spring, favours average-to-below average rainfall across the southern half of Australia, in particular over the eastern half of the continent. During Positive IODs, central and southeastern Australia tend to see a reduction in rainfall during the end of winter and the first half of spring due to a reduction of moisture streaming from the northwest. SST's along the eastern seaboard remain significantly warmer than average (especially off NSW) maintaining a high risk of extreme weather events such as East Coast Lows (ECLs). These can bring intense periods of rainfall east of the Great Dividing Range, leading to flash flooding.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Tocal Rain Forecast

    Tocal 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    26
    MEDIUM
    27
    MEDIUM
    28
    LOW
    29
    HIGH
    30
    HIGH
    31
    MEDIUM
    Sep 1
    LOW
    2
    MEDIUM
    3
    4
    5
    6
    7
    LOW
    8
    9
    10
    11
    12
    13
    MEDIUM
    14
    LOW
    15
    LOW
    16
    17
    LOW
    18
    LOW
    19
    MEDIUM
    20
    21
    HIGH
    22
    MEDIUM
    23
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Aug26

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, Western Australia, the south Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 5 September to 9 September, 11 September to 15 September, and 19 September to 23 September. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 24 August to 28 August. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 5 September to 9 September, 11 September to 15 September, and 19 September to 23 September.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Tocal Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Thursday
    Aug 22     		14.7 °C 21.8 °C
    0.0 mm
    Friday
    Aug 23     		5.4 °C -
    0.0 mm
    Saturday
    Aug 24     		- -
    -
    Sunday
    Aug 25     		- 26.3 °C
    -
    Monday
    Aug 26     		10.0 °C -
    0.0 mm
    Legend

  14. Almanac

    Almanac

    Tocal minimum temp history (32.64°S, 151.5912°E, 19m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 24.5° 16/08/2019 Coldest this month -0.3° 14/08/2019
    Hottest on record 30.4 21/08/1995 Coldest on record -1.5 04/08/1994
    Hottest this year 43.5° 26/01/2019 Coldest this year -0.3° 14/08/2019
    Long term average 19.3° Long term average 6.6°
    Average this month 20.6° Average this month 5.7°
    Hottest August On Record Avg. max. temp. 22.4° 1995 Coldest August on record Avg. min. temp. 4.7° 1977
    Tocal rainfall history (32.64°S, 151.5912°E, 19m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 4.4mm 01/08/2019 Total This Month 4.8mm
    3.0 days
    Long Term Average 37.8mm 8.0 days Wettest August on record 145.8mm 1995

  15. Popup - Radar

  16. Year to Date

    Tocal Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Aug 656.4mm 87.6 day(s)
    Total For 2019 413.0mm 78.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2018 497.0mm 73.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 52.2mm Mar30
    Lowest Temperature -0.3°C Aug14
    Highest Temperature 43.5°C Jan26

  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Tocal Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 29.8 28.9 27.1 24.3 20.8 17.8 17.3 19.3 22.4 25.1 26.8 29.0 24.0
    Mean Min (°C) 17.6 17.5 15.7 12.5 9.7 7.6 6.2 6.6 8.9 11.4 14.0 16.2 12.0
    Mean Rain (mm) 110.1 117.2 115.7 88.1 70.9 76.5 40.1 37.8 47.5 64.9 85.2 82.1 938.7
    Mean Rain Days 11.7 11.4 12.3 10.7 11.5 11.9 10.1 8.0 7.9 9.4 11.3 10.1 123.1

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