You do not have a default location set
To set your location please use the search box to find your location and then click "set as my default location" on the local weather page.

Forecast

Tocal (32.64°S, 151.5912°E, 19m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TOMORROW
    Sunny 11° 24°
    Chance of rain: 50%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    5:44am EST 6:09am EST 5:43pm EST 6:07pm EST
    NOW
    16.8° Feels Like: 14.4°
    Relative Humidity: 60%
    Dew: 9.0°
    Wind: WNW 11km/h
    Gust: 13km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure:  
  3. Today Weather

    Tocal
    Now
    15.1°c
    Feels Like:
    12.5°
    Wind:
    WNW 13km/h
    Gusts:
    15km/h
    Humidity:
    70%
    Sunny
     
    11°
    Min
    24°
    Max
    Today in Tocal
    Sunny morning. Slight chance of a shower in the evening. Light winds. Overnight temperatures falling to between 8 and 12 with daytime temperatures reaching the low to mid 20s.
    Tomorrow
    Sunny
    11°
    Min
    24°
    Max
    Cloudy. Medium chance of showers about the Lower Hunter, slight chance elsewhere. Light winds becoming SE 15 to 20 km/h in the middle of the day then becoming light in the evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 11 and 15 with daytime temperatures reaching between 18 and 22.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

    There are no current warnings for Tocal

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Sunny morning. Slight chance of a shower in the evening. Light winds. Overnight temperatures falling to between 8 and 12 with daytime temperatures reaching the low to mid 20s.

    Forecast for Tocal (32.64°S, 151.5912°E, 19m AMSL)
      Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun
    Summary Sunny Showers Possible shower Possible shower Mostly sunny Late shower Showers
    Minimum 11° 14° 14° 13° 11° 15° 10°
    Maximum 24° 21° 21° 22° 25° 24° 23°
    Chance of rain 50% 60% 60% 70% 20% 40% 50%
    Likely amount < 1mm 1-5mm 1-5mm 1-5mm < 1mm 1-5mm < 1mm
    UV index - - - - - - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 12
    (km/h)
    7
    (km/h)
    8
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    6
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    6
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    5
    (km/h)
    6
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    17
    (km/h)
    8
    (km/h)
    7
    (km/h)
    Wind direction WNW SSW SSW SSE SSW S SSW SE NW NNW WNW W WNW S
    Relative humidity 62% 50% 83% 67% 83% 73% 84% 73% 83% 58% 65% 55% 66% 54%
    Dew point 10°C 13°C 15°C 15°C 15°C 16°C 15°C 17°C 15°C 16°C 14°C 14°C 10°C 13°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Tocal Rain Forecast


    Tocal 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    5
    6
    MEDIUM
    7
    LOW
    8
    MEDIUM
    9
    MEDIUM
    10
    LOW
    11
    LOW
    12
    13
    14
    15
    LOW
    16
    MEDIUM
    17
    LOW
    18
    19
    20
    LOW
    21
    LOW
    22
    23
    24
    25
    LOW
    26
    27
    28
    LOW
    29
    LOW
    30
    LOW
    May 1
    LOW
    2
    LOW
    3
    4
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Apr 5

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, New Zealand, the south Pacific, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 18 April to 22 April, 24 April to 28 April, and 5 May to 9 May. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 10 April to 14 April, and 29 April to 3 May. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 12 April to 16 April, 18 April to 22 April, and 5 May to 9 May.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Tocal Rain Forecast


    Tocal 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    2020
    2021
    7
    6
    6
    7
    6
    6
    4
    10
    4
    4
    7
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Mar 9

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Trending neutral Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific remained stable throughout February with the Nino3.4 index registering a value of 0.3. On the other hand, the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -2.2 in February. The current outlook suggests slightly warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the austral autumn, potentially cooling further by the austral winter. Four out of seven international models maintain a slightly warmer than average equatorial Pacific Ocean through the first half of winter. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains neutral, normal for this time of the year. All six international models maintain neutral IOD values through to the austral winter. In terms of precipitation across Australia, the current outlook favours below average rainfall for western, central and southeastern parts of the country. Across NSW and Qld, the outlook is for average-to-above average, mainly across the Qld coasts. This excludes any extreme weather events such as tropical cyclones or East Coast Lows. Across the north, the North Australian Monsoon (NAM) has been quiet for most of the wet season, with the current prognosis suggesting below average rainfall for March but above average in April. Looking further ahead, with no significant signature from ENSO, there are no significant climate drivers tilting the balance towards a drier or wetter end of autumn/winter. The current consensus, however, suggests that average to above average rainfall is a possibility across northern, western and parts of the inland south east.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Tocal Rain Forecast


    Tocal 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    5
    6
    MEDIUM
    7
    LOW
    8
    MEDIUM
    9
    MEDIUM
    10
    LOW
    11
    LOW
    12
    13
    14
    15
    LOW
    16
    MEDIUM
    17
    LOW
    18
    19
    20
    LOW
    21
    LOW
    22
    23
    24
    25
    LOW
    26
    27
    28
    LOW
    29
    LOW
    30
    LOW
    May 1
    LOW
    2
    LOW
    3
    4
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Apr 5

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, New Zealand, the south Pacific, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 18 April to 22 April, 24 April to 28 April, and 5 May to 9 May. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 10 April to 14 April, and 29 April to 3 May. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 12 April to 16 April, 18 April to 22 April, and 5 May to 9 May.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Tocal Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Wednesday
    Apr 01
    17.0 °C 28.5 °C
    0.0 mm
    Thursday
    Apr 02
    16.9 °C 26.2 °C
    0.0 mm
    Friday
    Apr 03
    16.8 °C 25.7 °C
    10.4 mm
    Saturday
    Apr 04
    18.1 °C 26.5 °C
    14.4 mm
    Sunday
    Apr 05
    14.6 °C 23 °C
    0.4 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Tocal minimum temp history (32.64°S, 151.5912°E, 19m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 28.5° 01/04/2020 Coldest this month 16.8° 03/04/2020
    Hottest on record 37.3 05/04/1986 Coldest on record 1.3 23/04/2006
    Hottest this year 46.0° 04/01/2020 Coldest this year 11.4° 13/03/2020
    Long term average 24.3° Long term average 12.5°
    Average this month 24.9° Average this month 17.6°
    Hottest April On Record Avg. max. temp. 27.1° 1986 Coldest April on record Avg. min. temp. 10.4° 1996
    Tocal rainfall history (32.64°S, 151.5912°E, 19m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 14.4mm 04/04/2020 Total This Month 24.8mm
    2.0 days
    Long Term Average 88.1mm 10.7 days Wettest April on record 528.2mm 2015
    Driest on record 1.6mm 1980
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for NSW/ACT

  16. Year to Date

    Tocal Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Apr 431.1mm 46.1 day(s)
    Total For 2020 275.2mm 34.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2019 249.2mm 35.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 51.6mm Mar26
    Lowest Temperature 11.4°C Mar13
    Highest Temperature 46.0°C Jan 4
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Tocal Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 29.8 28.9 27.1 24.3 20.8 17.8 17.3 19.3 22.4 25.1 26.8 29.0 24.0
    Mean Min (°C) 17.6 17.5 15.7 12.5 9.7 7.6 6.2 6.6 8.9 11.4 14.0 16.2 12.0
    Mean Rain (mm) 110.1 117.2 115.7 88.1 70.9 76.5 40.1 37.8 47.5 64.9 85.2 82.1 938.7
    Mean Rain Days 11.7 11.4 12.3 10.7 11.5 11.9 10.1 8.0 7.9 9.4 11.3 10.1 123.1