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Forecast

Perisher Valley (36.4098°S, 148.4043°E, 1792m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Mostly sunny 19°
    mostly sunny
    Chance of rain: 90%
    Likely amount: 10-20mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    6:43am EDT 7:09am EDT 7:19pm EDT 7:45pm EDT
    NOW
    17.4° Feels Like: 11.5°
    Relative Humidity: 53%
    Dew: 7.7°
    Wind: W 28km/h
    Gust: 48km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.2mm
    Pressure:  
  3. Today Weather

    Perisher Valley
    Now
    15.0°c
    Feels Like:
    7.1°
    Wind:
    N 41km/h
    Gusts:
    52km/h
    Humidity:
    71%
    Mostly sunny
     
    Min
    19°
    Max
    Today in Perisher Valley
    Mostly sunny. High chance of showers about the ranges, medium chance elsewhere. The chance of a thunderstorm, possibly severe. Winds N/NW 20 to 30 km/h.
    Tomorrow
    Showers easing
    Min
    12°
    Max
    Cloudy. Very high chance of rain, most likely in the morning and early afternoon. The chance of a thunderstorm. Winds N/NW 25 to 35 km/h shifting S/SW 20 to 30 km/h early in the morning.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

    There are no current warnings for Perisher Valley

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Mostly sunny. High chance of showers about the ranges, medium chance elsewhere. The chance of a thunderstorm, possibly severe. Winds N/NW 20 to 30 km/h.

    Forecast for Perisher Valley (36.4098°S, 148.4043°E, 1792m AMSL)
      Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon
    Summary Mostly sunny Showers easing Frost then sunny Mostly sunny Clearing shower Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
    Minimum -2°
    Maximum 19° 12° 13° 15° 13° 15° 18°
    Chance of rain 90% 50% 5% 40% 50% 5% 20%
    Likely amount 10-20mm 1-5mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm
    UV index Very High Very High Very High Very High High High High
    Fire Danger Rating Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate - - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Severe High Moderate Moderate Moderate
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 6
    (km/h)
    19
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    13
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    9
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    8
    (km/h)
    9
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    19
    (km/h)
    Wind direction NNW NW WNW SW E ESE WNW W E SSE WNW WNW NW WNW
    Relative humidity 71% 63% 90% 67% 60% 48% 59% 47% 81% 57% 70% 47% 57% 44%
    Dew point 9°C 10°C 9°C 4°C -2°C 1°C 1°C 2°C 5°C 3°C 4°C 3°C 4°C 4°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Perisher Valley Rain Forecast


    Perisher Valley 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    19
    20
    21
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Mar19

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 2024-03-18, 2024-03-23 and 2024-04-05. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 2024-03-18, 2024-03-23 and 2024-03-28. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 2024-03-18 and 2024-03-23.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Perisher Valley Rain Forecast


    Perisher Valley 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    2024
    2025
    5
    7
    6
    7
    6
    6
    5
    3
    5
    8
    5
    9
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Mar 5

    ENSO status: El Niño, breaking down. IOD status: Neutral. SAM status: Neutral, trending slightly positive. The El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is in an El Niño and is starting to break down. All international models indicate neutral conditions should return by late April or early May. The Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) is back below the threshold of -7, but is varying significantly with tropical activity over Australia and the Pacific. Waters in the Coral Sea are far warmer than normal, especially for an El Niño, and are offsetting the effects of this event. El Niño only has a small effect during autumn, typically increasing rainfall over the Nullarbor and SA, but having little effect elsewhere. The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is in a neutral phase. Ocean temperatures are high across most of the Indian Ocean, with only cooler waters near the WA coast. The IOD has little to no effect during autumn. The Southern Annular Mode (SAM) is neutral and will slightly favour a positive phase during March and April and return closer to true neutral in May. A positive SAM increases easterly winds, increasing rainfall and thunderstorm activity in the east. As we go closer to winter, a positive SAM also reduces cold fronts and rainfall over southern Australia. Rainfall outlooks are predicting average rainfall for the vast majority of Australia throughout autumn. There are some weak signals that southwest WA could be slightly drier than normal in April, and southeast Qld and NSW could be slightly wetter during May, but otherwise near average.

  11. Popup - Daily historical

  12. Long range rainfall forecast

    Perisher Valley Rain Forecast


    Perisher Valley 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    19
    20
    21
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Mar19

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 2024-03-18, 2024-03-23 and 2024-04-05. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 2024-03-18, 2024-03-23 and 2024-03-28. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 2024-03-18 and 2024-03-23.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  13. Past 5 Days

    Perisher Valley Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Friday
    Mar 15
    5.6 °C 10.5 °C
    11.6 mm
    Saturday
    Mar 16
    -1.3 °C 16.1 °C
    0.2 mm
    Sunday
    Mar 17
    2.2 °C 14.1 °C
    0.2 mm
    Monday
    Mar 18
    7.3 °C 14.4 °C
    10.2 mm
    Tuesday
    Mar 19
    6.5 °C 17.8 °C
    2.6 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Perisher Valley minimum temp history (36.4098°S, 148.4043°E, 1792m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 24.7° 10/03/2024 Coldest this month -1.3° 16/03/2024
    Hottest on record Coldest on record
    Hottest this year 24.7° 10/03/2024 Coldest this year -1.9° 07/02/2024
    Long term average 15.1° Long term average 4.7°
    Average this month 19.1° Average this month 6.7°
    Hottest - On Record Avg. max. temp. - - Coldest - on record Avg. min. temp. - -
    Perisher Valley rainfall history (36.4098°S, 148.4043°E, 1792m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 11.6mm 15/03/2024 Total This Month 25.4mm
    6.0 days
    Long Term Average 180.6mm 14.5 days Wettest - on record - -
    Driest on record 20.4mm 2015
  15. Year to Date

    Perisher Valley Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Mar 523.7mm 40.8 day(s)
    Total For 2024 258.8mm 33.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2023 351.4mm 34.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 51.2mm Jan 4
    Lowest Temperature -1.9°C Feb 7
    Highest Temperature 24.7°C Mar10
  16. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for Australia

  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Perisher Valley Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 19.6 17.9 15.1 11.8 7.2 4.3 3.1 3.6 7.1 11.2 14.2 17.0 11.0
    Mean Min (°C) 7.5 6.0 4.7 1.4 -1.3 -3.1 -3.8 -3.5 -1.1 1.1 3.3 5.1 1.3
    Mean Rain (mm) 158.1 185.0 180.6 124.6 178.3 204.8 210.4 255.6 184.1 194.7 199.8 168.6 2213.1
    Mean Rain Days 14.1 12.2 14.5 11.5 12.8 16.3 16.9 17.2 14.0 13.8 14.3 12.8 168.3