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Forecast

Perisher Valley (36.4098°S, 148.4043°E, 1792m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Windy with snow
    windy with snow
    Chance of rain: 90%
    Likely amount: 1-5mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    5:28am EST 5:54am EST 6:04pm EST 6:30pm EST
    NOW
    4.5° Feels Like: -1.5°
    Relative Humidity: 85%
    Dew: 2.2°
    Wind: W 22km/h
    Gust: 35km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure:  
  3. Today Weather

    Perisher Valley
    Now
    1.8°c
    Feels Like:
    -11.8°
    Wind:
    NW 61km/h
    Gusts:
    82km/h
    Humidity:
    99%
    Windy with snow
     
    Min
    Max
    Today in Perisher Valley
    Partly cloudy. Medium chance of showers in the W, most likely in the afternoon and evening. Snow possible above 1500 metres, most likely in the afternoon or evening. The chance of a thunderstorm in the W in the afternoon and evening. Winds NW 35 to 50 km/h turning W in the early afternoon then decreasing to 25 to 40 km/h in the evening.
    Tomorrow
    Cloudy
    -2°
    Min
    Max
    Cloudy. Medium chance of showers near the Victorian border, slight chance elsewhere. Snow possible above 1100 metres. Winds W/SW 25 to 35 km/h tending S/SW 20 to 30 km/h during the morning and early afternoon.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

    There are no current warnings for Perisher Valley

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Partly cloudy. Medium chance of showers in the W, most likely in the afternoon and evening. Snow possible above 1500 metres, most likely in the afternoon or evening. The chance of a thunderstorm in the W in the afternoon and evening. Winds NW 35 to 50 km/h turning W in the early afternoon then decreasing to 25 to 40 km/h in the evening.

    Forecast for Perisher Valley (36.4098°S, 148.4043°E, 1792m AMSL)
      Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu
    Summary Windy with snow Cloudy Frost then sunny Frost then sunny Possible shower Showers Showers
    Minimum -2° -5° -3° -1°
    Maximum
    Chance of rain 90% 10% 10% 5% 90% 90% 90%
    Likely amount 1-5mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm 5-10mm 10-20mm 5-10mm
    UV index High High High High High - -
    Frost risk Moderate Severe Severe Severe Severe Slight Slight
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 31
    (km/h)
    32
    (km/h)
    11
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    11
    (km/h)
    8
    (km/h)
    11
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    18
    (km/h)
    17
    (km/h)
    17
    (km/h)
    15
    (km/h)
    Wind direction NW NW SW SW ESE ESE NNW NW NW NNW N NNW NNW NW
    Relative humidity 74% 61% 60% 50% 54% 50% 47% 50% 55% 61% 82% 90% 78% 83%
    Dew point 1°C 0°C -5°C -7°C -7°C -5°C -4°C -2°C -2°C 1°C 4°C 5°C 4°C 4°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Perisher Valley Rain Forecast


    Perisher Valley 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    24
    MEDIUM
    25
    LOW
    26
    27
    28
    MEDIUM
    29
    HIGH
    30
    HIGH
    Oct 1
    LOW
    2
    LOW
    3
    MEDIUM
    4
    LOW
    5
    LOW
    6
    MEDIUM
    7
    MEDIUM
    8
    MEDIUM
    9
    10
    MEDIUM
    11
    MEDIUM
    12
    MEDIUM
    13
    MEDIUM
    14
    LOW
    15
    MEDIUM
    16
    MEDIUM
    17
    MEDIUM
    18
    MEDIUM
    19
    20
    HIGH
    21
    HIGH
    22
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Sep23

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively fast moving in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 7 October to 11 October, 13 October to 17 October, and 22 October to 26 October. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 5 October to 9 October, and 14 October to 18 October. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 28 September to 2 October, 8 October to 12 October, and 14 October to 18 October.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Perisher Valley Rain Forecast


    Perisher Valley 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    2021
    2022
    6
    8
    8
    6
    7
    6
    5
    5
    5
    8
    6
    4
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Sep 16

    ENSO status: Neutral, however five of seven models suggest La Niña thresholds may be met again between October and January. IOD status: Neutral, returning from negative values in the recent weeks. SAM status: Positive. The El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is currently neutral. However, there are growing signs that La Niña could redevelop in the Pacific Ocean later this year, which has prompted the US Climate Prediction Centre to increase its prediction of La Niña occurring this year to 70-80 percent. However their thresholds are lower than the Bureau of Meteorology's. Five of seven models forecast temperatures may reach or exceed La Niña thresholds between October and January. Three of seven predicted an established event, which requires La Nina thresholds to be met for three months. La Niña typically brings above average rainfall in northern and eastern Australia. The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is currently neutral, returning from negative values in the recent weeks. Three of five models areforecasting the IOD event will officially end in October, with all models ending the event in December. A negative IOD generates above average rain to southern and eastern Australia. As such, average to above average rainfall is predicted across much of the country this winter and spring.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Perisher Valley Rain Forecast


    Perisher Valley 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    24
    MEDIUM
    25
    LOW
    26
    27
    28
    MEDIUM
    29
    HIGH
    30
    HIGH
    Oct 1
    LOW
    2
    LOW
    3
    MEDIUM
    4
    LOW
    5
    LOW
    6
    MEDIUM
    7
    MEDIUM
    8
    MEDIUM
    9
    10
    MEDIUM
    11
    MEDIUM
    12
    MEDIUM
    13
    MEDIUM
    14
    LOW
    15
    MEDIUM
    16
    MEDIUM
    17
    MEDIUM
    18
    MEDIUM
    19
    20
    HIGH
    21
    HIGH
    22
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Sep23

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively fast moving in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 7 October to 11 October, 13 October to 17 October, and 22 October to 26 October. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 5 October to 9 October, and 14 October to 18 October. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 28 September to 2 October, 8 October to 12 October, and 14 October to 18 October.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Perisher Valley Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Sunday
    Sep 19
    -0.9 °C 3.3 °C
    0.6 mm
    Monday
    Sep 20
    -0.1 °C 0.9 °C
    32.8 mm
    Tuesday
    Sep 21
    -6.7 °C 4.3 °C
    45.4 mm
    Wednesday
    Sep 22
    -2.5 °C 8.7 °C
    0.0 mm
    Thursday
    Sep 23
    0.1 °C 8.5 °C
    0.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Perisher Valley minimum temp history (36.4098°S, 148.4043°E, 1792m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 12.3° 02/09/2021 Coldest this month -8.9° 14/09/2021
    Hottest on record Coldest on record
    Hottest this year 25.8° 25/01/2021 Coldest this year -10.0° 07/07/2021
    Long term average 6.9° Long term average -1.2°
    Average this month 6.3° Average this month -0.6°
    Hottest - On Record Avg. max. temp. - - Coldest - on record Avg. min. temp. - -
    Perisher Valley rainfall history (36.4098°S, 148.4043°E, 1792m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 53.2mm 18/09/2021 Total This Month 228.4mm
    10.0 days
    Long Term Average 177.3mm 14.0 days Wettest - on record - -
    Driest on record 67.8mm 2015
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for Australia

  16. Year to Date

    Perisher Valley Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Sep 1684.5mm 126.8 day(s)
    Total For 2021 1853.6mm 118.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2020 1618.2mm 127.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 85.2mm Jun24
    Lowest Temperature -10.0°C Jul 7
    Highest Temperature 25.8°C Jan25
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Perisher Valley Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 19.8 18.1 15.2 11.8 7.3 4.6 3.0 3.4 6.9 11.6 14.6 17.2 11.2
    Mean Min (°C) 7.6 6.1 4.6 1.4 -1.3 -3.2 -3.9 -3.7 -1.2 1.3 3.5 5.2 1.3
    Mean Rain (mm) 148.5 197.8 183.5 123.1 184.1 196.6 224.6 249.0 177.3 184.0 169.8 158.6 2139.2
    Mean Rain Days 13.0 12.1 14.2 11.5 12.1 15.4 17.3 17.2 14.0 12.5 12.9 12.0 162.1