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Forecast

Cabramurra (35.9395°S, 148.3857°E, 1451m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Possible shower 10°
    possible shower
    Chance of rain: 80%
    Likely amount: 1-5mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    5:29am EST 5:54am EST 6:04pm EST 6:29pm EST
    NOW
    5.4° Feels Like: 0.0°
    Relative Humidity: 100%
    Dew: 5.4°
    Wind: NW 22km/h
    Gust: 28km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure:  
  3. Today Weather

    Cabramurra
    Now
    4.5°c
    Feels Like:
    -1.5°
    Wind:
    W 22km/h
    Gusts:
    35km/h
    Humidity:
    85%
    Possible shower
     
    Min
    10°
    Max
    Today in Cabramurra
    Partly cloudy. Medium chance of showers in the W, most likely in the afternoon and evening. Snow possible above 1500 metres, most likely in the afternoon or evening. The chance of a thunderstorm in the W in the afternoon and evening. Winds NW 35 to 50 km/h turning W in the early afternoon then decreasing to 25 to 40 km/h in the evening.
    Tomorrow
    Cloudy
    Min
    Max
    Cloudy. Medium chance of showers near the Victorian border, slight chance elsewhere. Snow possible above 1100 metres. Winds W/SW 25 to 35 km/h tending S/SW 20 to 30 km/h during the morning and early afternoon.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

    There are no current warnings for Cabramurra

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Partly cloudy. Medium chance of showers in the W, most likely in the afternoon and evening. Snow possible above 1500 metres, most likely in the afternoon or evening. The chance of a thunderstorm in the W in the afternoon and evening. Winds NW 35 to 50 km/h turning W in the early afternoon then decreasing to 25 to 40 km/h in the evening.

    Forecast for Cabramurra (35.9395°S, 148.3857°E, 1451m AMSL)
      Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu
    Summary Possible shower Cloudy Frost then sunny Frost then sunny Possible shower Showers Showers
    Minimum -2° -1°
    Maximum 10° 10° 11° 10°
    Chance of rain 80% 20% 5% 30% 90% 90% 90%
    Likely amount 1-5mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm 5-10mm 20-40mm 5-10mm
    UV index High High High High High - -
    Frost risk Slight High Severe Severe Moderate Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 31
    (km/h)
    34
    (km/h)
    18
    (km/h)
    18
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    13
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    17
    (km/h)
    18
    (km/h)
    19
    (km/h)
    23
    (km/h)
    21
    (km/h)
    21
    (km/h)
    21
    (km/h)
    Wind direction NW NW W W ESE N N NW NNW NNW NNE N NNW NW
    Relative humidity 84% 70% 74% 57% 62% 49% 63% 57% 71% 66% 100% 100% 99% 96%
    Dew point 4°C 3°C -2°C -3°C -3°C -2°C -1°C 1°C 2°C 4°C 8°C 8°C 8°C 8°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Cabramurra Rain Forecast


    Cabramurra 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    24
    MEDIUM
    25
    LOW
    26
    27
    28
    MEDIUM
    29
    HIGH
    30
    HIGH
    Oct 1
    LOW
    2
    LOW
    3
    MEDIUM
    4
    LOW
    5
    LOW
    6
    MEDIUM
    7
    MEDIUM
    8
    MEDIUM
    9
    10
    MEDIUM
    11
    MEDIUM
    12
    MEDIUM
    13
    MEDIUM
    14
    LOW
    15
    MEDIUM
    16
    MEDIUM
    17
    MEDIUM
    18
    MEDIUM
    19
    20
    HIGH
    21
    HIGH
    22
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Sep23

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively fast moving in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 7 October to 11 October, 13 October to 17 October, and 22 October to 26 October. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 5 October to 9 October, and 14 October to 18 October. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 28 September to 2 October, 8 October to 12 October, and 14 October to 18 October.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Cabramurra Rain Forecast


    Cabramurra 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    2021
    2022
    6
    8
    8
    6
    7
    6
    5
    5
    5
    8
    6
    4
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Sep 16

    ENSO status: Neutral, however five of seven models suggest La Niña thresholds may be met again between October and January. IOD status: Neutral, returning from negative values in the recent weeks. SAM status: Positive. The El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is currently neutral. However, there are growing signs that La Niña could redevelop in the Pacific Ocean later this year, which has prompted the US Climate Prediction Centre to increase its prediction of La Niña occurring this year to 70-80 percent. However their thresholds are lower than the Bureau of Meteorology's. Five of seven models forecast temperatures may reach or exceed La Niña thresholds between October and January. Three of seven predicted an established event, which requires La Nina thresholds to be met for three months. La Niña typically brings above average rainfall in northern and eastern Australia. The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is currently neutral, returning from negative values in the recent weeks. Three of five models areforecasting the IOD event will officially end in October, with all models ending the event in December. A negative IOD generates above average rain to southern and eastern Australia. As such, average to above average rainfall is predicted across much of the country this winter and spring.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Cabramurra Rain Forecast


    Cabramurra 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    24
    MEDIUM
    25
    LOW
    26
    27
    28
    MEDIUM
    29
    HIGH
    30
    HIGH
    Oct 1
    LOW
    2
    LOW
    3
    MEDIUM
    4
    LOW
    5
    LOW
    6
    MEDIUM
    7
    MEDIUM
    8
    MEDIUM
    9
    10
    MEDIUM
    11
    MEDIUM
    12
    MEDIUM
    13
    MEDIUM
    14
    LOW
    15
    MEDIUM
    16
    MEDIUM
    17
    MEDIUM
    18
    MEDIUM
    19
    20
    HIGH
    21
    HIGH
    22
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Sep23

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively fast moving in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 7 October to 11 October, 13 October to 17 October, and 22 October to 26 October. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 5 October to 9 October, and 14 October to 18 October. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 28 September to 2 October, 8 October to 12 October, and 14 October to 18 October.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Cabramurra Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Sunday
    Sep 19
    0.5 °C 5.5 °C
    0.0 mm
    Monday
    Sep 20
    1.5 °C 2.4 °C
    4.6 mm
    Tuesday
    Sep 21
    -4.3 °C 2.5 °C
    9.2 mm
    Wednesday
    Sep 22
    -2.0 °C 9.4 °C
    7.0 mm
    Thursday
    Sep 23
    2.2 °C 9.1 °C
    0.2 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Cabramurra minimum temp history (35.9395°S, 148.3857°E, 1451m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 15.4° 02/09/2021 Coldest this month -4.3° 21/09/2021
    Hottest on record 18.0 19/09/2011 Coldest on record -6.5 01/09/2003
    Hottest this year 28.6° 24/01/2021 Coldest this year -4.8° 21/07/2021
    Long term average 8.7° Long term average 1.8°
    Average this month 8.4° Average this month 1.8°
    Hottest September On Record Avg. max. temp. 10.9° 2006 Coldest September on record Avg. min. temp. -0.2° 2003
    Cabramurra rainfall history (35.9395°S, 148.3857°E, 1451m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 40.8mm 05/09/2021 Total This Month 140.8mm
    11.0 days
    Long Term Average 119.1mm 12.3 days Wettest September on record 252.8mm 2016
    Driest on record 23.8mm 2012
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for Australia

  16. Year to Date

    Cabramurra Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Sep 888.3mm 95.7 day(s)
    Total For 2021 1306.6mm 133.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2020 963.4mm 113.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 118.2mm Feb 6
    Lowest Temperature -4.8°C Jul21
    Highest Temperature 28.6°C Jan24
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Cabramurra Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 21.5 20.6 17.6 13.0 8.5 5.4 3.9 4.9 8.7 12.4 15.9 18.6 12.5
    Mean Min (°C) 11.6 11.1 8.8 5.9 2.7 0.5 -0.8 -0.5 1.8 4.2 7.2 9.2 5.1
    Mean Rain (mm) 67.2 80.7 83.9 79.4 92.7 122.5 119.0 123.8 119.1 97.9 112.1 96.8 1158.9
    Mean Rain Days 7.7 7.6 8.0 7.9 10.2 12.6 15.2 14.2 12.3 10.8 10.3 9.2 122.3