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Forecast

Norah Head (33.2798°S, 151.5551°E, 22m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TOMORROW
    Mostly sunny 18° 19°
    mostly sunny
    Chance of rain: 60%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light     		Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    5:16am EDT 5:43am EDT 7:34pm EDT 8:01pm EDT
    NOW
    20.7° Feels Like: 21.4°
    Relative Humidity: 76%
    Dew: 16.3°
    Wind: NNE 7km/h
    Gust: 7km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure:  

  3. Today Weather

    Norah Head
    Now
    19.9°c
    Feels Like:
    20.9°
    Wind:
    CAL 0km/h
    Gusts:
    0km/h
    Humidity:
    65%
    Mostly sunny
     
    18°
    Min
    19°
    Max
    Today in Norah Head
    Mostly sunny. Areas of smoke haze in the morning and early afternoon. Slight chance of a shower near the coast in the morning. Near zero chance of rain elsewhere. Winds NW/SW 15 to 20 km/h tending SE/SW 15 to 25 km/h before dawn then tending NE/SE in the late afternoon. Overnight temperatures falling to between 13 and 16 with daytime temperatures reaching 25 to 32.
    Tomorrow
    Mostly sunny
    18°
    Min
    19°
    Max
    Partly cloudy. Medium chance of showers and the chance of a thunderstorm about the Lower Hunter in the afternoon and evening. Near zero chance of rain elsewhere. Light winds becoming W/SW 15 to 25 km/h in the middle of the day then turning SE 20 to 30 km/h in the afternoon. Overnight temperatures falling to between 12 and 16 with daytime temperatures reaching 25 to 31.

  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours

  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Mostly sunny. Areas of smoke haze in the morning and early afternoon. Slight chance of a shower near the coast in the morning. Near zero chance of rain elsewhere. Winds NW/SW 15 to 20 km/h tending SE/SW 15 to 25 km/h before dawn then tending NE/SE in the late afternoon. Overnight temperatures falling to between 13 and 16 with daytime temperatures reaching 25 to 32.

    Forecast for Norah Head (33.2798°S, 151.5551°E, 22m AMSL)
      Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri
    Summary Mostly sunny Possible shower Mostly sunny Sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
    Minimum 18° 18° 17° 18° 19° 20° 20°
    Maximum 19° 20° 19° 22° 20° 23° 22°
    Chance of rain 60% 70% 10% 10% 20% 5% 60%
    Likely amount < 1mm 1-5mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm
    UV index Very High Very High Extreme Extreme - - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 11
    (km/h)     		21
    (km/h)     		7
    (km/h)     		30
    (km/h)     		2
    (km/h)     		23
    (km/h)     		5
    (km/h)     		19
    (km/h)     		14
    (km/h)     		20
    (km/h)     		11
    (km/h)     		31
    (km/h)     		12
    (km/h)     		21
    (km/h)
    Wind direction S ESE ESE S NW ENE NW E SSW SSE ENE ENE NE E
    Relative humidity 69% 69% 78% 79% 71% 70% 58% 56% 78% 79% 82% 78% 77% 77%
    Dew point 14°C 13°C 16°C 15°C 13°C 13°C 13°C 12°C 17°C 16°C 19°C 19°C 18°C 17°C

  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Norah Head Rain Forecast

    Norah Head 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    15
    16
    LOW
    17
    MEDIUM
    18
    LOW
    19
    20
    LOW
    21
    22
    23
    LOW
    24
    MEDIUM
    25
    HIGH
    26
    HIGH
    27
    HIGH
    28
    29
    LOW
    30
    MEDIUM
    Dec 1
    LOW
    2
    LOW
    3
    4
    MEDIUM
    5
    MEDIUM
    6
    MEDIUM
    7
    LOW
    8
    LOW
    9
    10
    11
    LOW
    12
    LOW
    13
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Nov15

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the southwest Indian Ocean, the Indian Ocean, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 22 November to 26 November, 26 November to 30 November, and 7 December to 11 December. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 24 November to 28 November, 28 November to 2 December, and 16 December to 20 December. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 22 November to 26 November, 4 December to 8 December, and 8 December to 12 December.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Norah Head Rain Forecast

    Norah Head 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    2019
    2020
    3
    4
    5
    6
    5
    7
    6
    8
    7
    5
    6
    2
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Nov 8

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Positive Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific warmed up slightly over the past few weeks. As a reflection, the Nino3.4 index lingered between 0.5 and 0.7 throughout the month of October. The Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -5.6 during the past month. The current outlook consensus suggests warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the coming months, but remaining within neutral values. Five out of eight international models maintain a warmer than average Pacific Ocean through the end of 2019 and first quarter of 2020, however, none of these reaching El Nino thresholds. The IRI ENSO forecast continues to suggest less than 40% of another El Nino developing over the next 12 months, with a neutral ENSO the most likely outcome. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains strongly positive, with the highest positive value since the early 2000s. All six international models maintain a strong positive event until December. In terms of rainfall, there is little variation to the outlook issued last month. The climate outlook for October continues to favour below average rainfall for most of Australia, in particular the eastern half of the continent. During Positive IODs, central and southeastern Australia tend to see a reduction in rainfall during spring, due to a reduction of moisture streaming from the northwest. For northern Australia, the current outlook is for a late onset of the wet season across the Northern Territory and Queensland. Thus far, Darwin and South Eastern Qld have seen the onset of the wet season this year though a week later than usual. Further south, a negative trend in the Southern Annular Mode (SAM) will continue to enhance frontal activity over the far south during October and early. This is likely to offset the Positive IOD in far southern Victoria and western Tasmania, which could see average-to-above average rainfall during October and early December. Looking further ahead, with no significant signature from ENSO, there are no significant climate drivers tilting the balance towards a drier or wetter summer. The current outlook suggest neutral odds.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Norah Head Rain Forecast

    Norah Head 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    15
    16
    LOW
    17
    MEDIUM
    18
    LOW
    19
    20
    LOW
    21
    22
    23
    LOW
    24
    MEDIUM
    25
    HIGH
    26
    HIGH
    27
    HIGH
    28
    29
    LOW
    30
    MEDIUM
    Dec 1
    LOW
    2
    LOW
    3
    4
    MEDIUM
    5
    MEDIUM
    6
    MEDIUM
    7
    LOW
    8
    LOW
    9
    10
    11
    LOW
    12
    LOW
    13
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Nov15

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the southwest Indian Ocean, the Indian Ocean, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 22 November to 26 November, 26 November to 30 November, and 7 December to 11 December. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 24 November to 28 November, 28 November to 2 December, and 16 December to 20 December. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 22 November to 26 November, 4 December to 8 December, and 8 December to 12 December.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Norah Head Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Monday
    Nov 11     		14.8 °C 25.7 °C
    0.0 mm
    Tuesday
    Nov 12     		15.6 °C 36.2 °C
    0.0 mm
    Wednesday
    Nov 13     		15.0 °C 22.6 °C
    0.0 mm
    Thursday
    Nov 14     		13.9 °C 25.7 °C
    0.0 mm
    Friday
    Nov 15     		14.5 °C 29 °C
    0.0 mm
    Legend

  14. Almanac

    Almanac

    Norah Head minimum temp history (33.2798°S, 151.5551°E, 22m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 36.2° 12/11/2019 Coldest this month 11.7° 06/11/2019
    Hottest on record 40.3 20/11/2015 Coldest on record 8.8 16/11/2006
    Hottest this year 39.5° 05/01/2019 Coldest this year 6.7° 15/08/2019
    Long term average 23.7° Long term average 16.8°
    Average this month 25.6° Average this month 15.1°
    Hottest November On Record Avg. max. temp. 25.5° 2015 Coldest November on record Avg. min. temp. 14.8° 1999
    Norah Head rainfall history (33.2798°S, 151.5551°E, 22m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 17.0mm 04/11/2019 Total This Month 22.0mm
    6.0 days
    Long Term Average 96.3mm 12.5 days Wettest November on record 305.2mm 2015

  15. Popup - Radar

  16. Year to Date

    Norah Head Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Nov 1148.6mm 133.4 day(s)
    Total For 2019 1045.2mm 146.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2018 937.8mm 137.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 82.6mm Aug31
    Lowest Temperature 6.7°C Aug15
    Highest Temperature 39.5°C Jan 5

  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Norah Head Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 26.1 26.0 25.1 22.9 20.3 18.0 17.3 18.8 21.0 22.7 23.7 24.9 22.2
    Mean Min (°C) 19.7 20.0 18.9 15.9 13.1 11.1 9.7 10.5 12.8 14.8 16.8 18.4 15.1
    Mean Rain (mm) 89.7 115.3 123.8 139.3 141.7 148.4 89.4 73.6 72.7 58.4 96.3 70.3 1223.3
    Mean Rain Days 12.3 12.0 13.3 13.8 13.6 13.5 11.4 9.0 11.5 10.5 12.5 11.3 140.7

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