Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
New South Wales
Marine Wind Warning Summary for New South Wales
Issued at 10:04 AM EDT on Thursday 04 March 2021
for the period until midnight EDT Friday 05 March 2021
Wind Warnings for Thursday 04 March
Strong Wind Warning for the following areas:
Eden Coast
Wind Warnings for Friday 05 March
Gale Warning for the following areas:
Eden Coast
Strong Wind Warning for the following areas:
Sydney Coast, Illawarra Coast and Batemans Coast
Cancellation for the following areas:
Macquarie Coast and Hunter Coast
The next marine wind warning summary will be issued by 4:05 pm EDT Thursday.
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Check the latest Coastal Waters Forecast or Local
Waters Forecast at http://www.bom.gov.au/nsw/forecasts/map.shtml for information on wind,
wave and weather conditions for these coastal zones.
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Forecast
Norah Head (33.2798°S, 151.5551°E, 22m AMSL) set as my default location ›
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My MLA
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Current condition
TODAY20° 22° mostly sunny Chance of rain: 20% Likely amount: < 1mm First
lightLast light Sunrise Sunset 6:19am EDT 6:44am EDT 7:27pm EDT 7:52pm EDT NOW24.6° Feels Like: 25.8° Relative Humidity: 62% Dew: 17.0° Wind: N 6km/h Gust: 7km/h Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm Pressure: -
Today Weather
Norah HeadNow23.3°cFeels Like:24.2°Wind:NW 4km/hGusts:6km/hHumidity:60%20°Min22°MaxToday in Norah HeadThe chance of fog early this morning. Mostly sunny afternoon. Light winds. Daytime maximum temperatures in the mid to high 20s.Tomorrow20°Min23°MaxMostly sunny. Medium chance of showers about the Lower Hunter, near zero chance elsewhere. Light winds becoming W/SW 15 to 20 km/h in the morning then turning S/SE 15 to 25 km/h in the afternoon. Overnight temperatures falling to between 13 and 16 with daytime temperatures reaching 25 to 30. -
Radar
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Popup Radar
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Warnings
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7 day forecast
Today: The chance of fog early this morning. Mostly sunny afternoon. Light winds. Daytime maximum temperatures in the mid to high 20s.
Forecast for Norah Head (33.2798°S, 151.5551°E, 22m AMSL) Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Summary Minimum 20° 20° 19° 19° 21° 22° 21° Maximum 22° 23° 21° 22° 24° 24° 23° Chance of rain 20% 60% 30% 20% 60% 90% 90% Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm 10-20mm 5-10mm 1-5mm UV index Very High Very High Very High Very High Very High - - Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 9
(km/h)16
(km/h)22
(km/h)34
(km/h)22
(km/h)28
(km/h)7
(km/h)17
(km/h)12
(km/h)23
(km/h)11
(km/h)19
(km/h)17
(km/h)24
(km/h)Wind direction WSW ENE SW S SSW SSW SW ESE NNE NE WNW SSE S SSE Relative humidity 82% 64% 76% 69% 73% 67% 75% 63% 82% 73% 84% 77% 86% 76% Dew point 16°C 14°C 17°C 16°C 15°C 14°C 16°C 14°C 19°C 18°C 20°C 18°C 20°C 17°C -
28 Day Rainfall forecast
Norah Head Rain Forecast
Norah Head 28-day Rainfall ForecastSUNMONTUEWEDTHUFRISAT4
5
LOW6
7
8
MEDIUM9
HIGH10
HIGH11
LOW12
13
14
LOW15
LOW16
17
LOW18
LOW19
LOW20
LOW21
MEDIUM22
MEDIUM23
24
25
26
MEDIUM27
LOW28
29
30
31
LOWApr 1
CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICTNIL < 25%LOW 25% to 50%MEDIUM 50% to 75%HIGH ≥ 75%Issued Mar 4Issue Notes
The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the southeast Pacific, South America, and the Atlantic Ocean.
Summary:
Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 12 March to 16 March, 29 March to 2 April, and 5 April to 9 April. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 11 March to 15 March, 17 March to 21 March, and 7 April to 11 April. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 23 March to 27 March, 30 March to 3 April, and 6 April to 10 April.
Forecast ExplanationThis forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.
The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.
In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.
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12 Month Rainfall Forecast
Norah Head Rain Forecast
Norah Head 12-month Rainfall ForecastMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJan2021202278668764844105012 - 34 - 78 - 910Well below normalBelow normalNear normalAbove normalWell above normalIssue Notes - Issued Feb 5
ENSO status: La Niña IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Positive La Niña is likely at its peak which has brought long periods of cloud and rain to eastern and northern Australia.The majority of models predict that La Niña will continue through February, with 3 of 8 predicting to March and most of the models indicating a return to neutral conditions (neither El Niño nor La Niña) in April. Neutral conditions are predicted to continue into the Australian winter. La Nina typically brings above normal rainfall across much of Australia. While La Niña is expected to weaken, above normal rainfall and typical La Niña impacts are still expected. La Niña typically favours periods of positive SAM, which can increase the amount of precipitation along the eastern half of the country, due to prevailing onshore winds. During summer, much of the country is likely to remain wetter than normal, however normal rainfall is expected for western TAS. La Niña typically increases the number of cyclones and brought anearly start to the wet season. During Autumn, many parts of Australia are likely to be wetter than normal, due to warmer waters off the northeast coast of Australia. Southern parts of SA, VIC and most of TAS are likely to observe normal precipitation for the time of year.
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Long range rainfall forecast
Norah Head Rain Forecast
Norah Head 28-day Rainfall ForecastSUNMONTUEWEDTHUFRISAT4
5
LOW6
7
8
MEDIUM9
HIGH10
HIGH11
LOW12
13
14
LOW15
LOW16
17
LOW18
LOW19
LOW20
LOW21
MEDIUM22
MEDIUM23
24
25
26
MEDIUM27
LOW28
29
30
31
LOWApr 1
CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICTNIL < 25%LOW 25% to 50%MEDIUM 50% to 75%HIGH ≥ 75%Issued Mar 4Issue Notes
The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the southeast Pacific, South America, and the Atlantic Ocean.
Summary:
Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 12 March to 16 March, 29 March to 2 April, and 5 April to 9 April. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 11 March to 15 March, 17 March to 21 March, and 7 April to 11 April. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 23 March to 27 March, 30 March to 3 April, and 6 April to 10 April.
Forecast ExplanationThis forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.
The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.
In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.
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Popup - Daily historical
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Past 5 Days
Norah Head Past 5 Days
This MonthMinimum Maximum Rainfall Sunday
Feb 2820.2 °C 26.5 °C 0.0 mmMonday
Mar 0121.8 °C 30.5 °C 0.2 mmTuesday
Mar 0220.3 °C 26.3 °C 0.0 mmWednesday
Mar 0318.5 °C 22.7 °C 2.6 mmThursday
Mar 0416.0 °C 25.5 °C 7.6 mmLegend -
Almanac
Almanac
Norah Head minimum temp history (33.2798°S, 151.5551°E, 22m AMSL) MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE Hottest this month 30.5° 01/03/2021 Coldest this month 18.5° 03/03/2021 Hottest on record 37.2 19/03/2002 Coldest on record 12.7 26/03/2005 Hottest this year 36.0° 26/01/2021 Coldest this year 16.4° 17/01/2021 Long term average 25.3° Long term average 19.0° Average this month 26.5° Average this month 20.2° Hottest March On Record Avg. max. temp. 26.3° 2016 Coldest March on record Avg. min. temp. 17.6° 2008 Norah Head rainfall history (33.2798°S, 151.5551°E, 22m AMSL) RAINFALL Wettest This Month 2.6mm 03/03/2021 Total This Month 2.8mm
2.0 daysLong Term Average 114.6mm 14.0 days Wettest March on record 283.6mm 2017 Driest on record 13.2mm 1998 -
Popup - Radar
Weather Radar for Australia
Australia Radars
- Adelaide
- Adelaide Airport
- Adelaide Sellicks
- Albany
- Alice Springs
- Bairnsdale
- Bowen
- Brewarrina
- Brisbane
- Brisbane Airport
- Brisbane Marburg
- Broadmeadows
- Broome
- Cairns
- Cairns Airport
- Canberra
- Carnarvon
- Ceduna
- Coffs Harbour
- Dampier
- Darwin
- Darwin Airport
- Emerald
- Esperance
- Eucla
- Geraldton
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Year to Date
Norah Head Year To Date
Average Rainfall To Mar 323.2mm 40.0 day(s) Total For 2021 220.0mm 36.0 day(s) Total To This Day 2020 407.0mm 27.0 day(s) Wettest Day 24.2mm Jan28 Lowest Temperature 16.4°C Jan17 Highest Temperature 36.0°C Jan26 -
Popup - Monthly historical
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Climatology
Climate History
Norah Head Climatology
Norah Head Long-Term Averages
Long-Term Averages Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann Mean Max (°C) 26.2 26.2 25.3 23.1 20.3 18.0 17.5 18.9 21.1 22.8 23.9 25.1 22.3 Mean Min (°C) 19.8 20.0 19.0 16.1 13.1 11.1 9.8 10.5 12.8 14.9 16.8 18.5 15.1 Mean Rain (mm) 84.3 124.3 114.6 132.3 126.0 157.2 85.8 70.0 61.2 92.7 89.7 69.4 1199.2 Mean Rain Days 13.0 13.0 14.0 14.5 13.2 14.2 10.8 9.0 11.3 11.8 12.3 11.7 147.2