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Forecast

Norah Head (33.2798°S, 151.5551°E, 22m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TOMORROW
    Possible shower 16° 21°
    possible shower
    Chance of rain: 50%
    Likely amount: 1-5mm
    First
    light     		Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    5:45am EST 6:10am EST 5:41pm EST 6:06pm EST
    NOW
    18.9° Feels Like: 16.2°
    Relative Humidity: 83%
    Dew: 15.9°
    Wind: SSE 24km/h
    Gust: 26km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure:  

  3. Today Weather

    Norah Head
    Now
    15.9°c
    Feels Like:
    16.8°
    Wind:
    ESE 2km/h
    Gusts:
    2km/h
    Humidity:
    89%
    Possible shower
     
    16°
    Min
    21°
    Max
    Today in Norah Head
    Cloudy. Medium chance of showers, most likely in the morning and afternoon. Light winds becoming SE 15 to 20 km/h in the morning then becoming light in the late evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 11 and 15 with daytime temperatures reaching between 18 and 22.
    Tomorrow
    Possible shower
    16°
    Min
    21°
    Max
    Partly cloudy. High chance of showers about the Lower Hunter, medium chance elsewhere. Light winds becoming SE 15 to 20 km/h in the middle of the day then becoming light in the late evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 10 and 14 with daytime temperatures reaching between 19 and 23.

  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours

  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Cloudy. Medium chance of showers, most likely in the morning and afternoon. Light winds becoming SE 15 to 20 km/h in the morning then becoming light in the late evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 11 and 15 with daytime temperatures reaching between 18 and 22.

    Forecast for Norah Head (33.2798°S, 151.5551°E, 22m AMSL)
      Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon
    Summary Possible shower Showers Possible shower Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
    Minimum 16° 17° 17° 16° 17° 14° 15°
    Maximum 21° 22° 22° 22° 24° 21° 22°
    Chance of rain 50% 90% 60% 30% 40% 50% 50%
    Likely amount 1-5mm 5-10mm 1-5mm 1-5mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm
    UV index High High High High - - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 21
    (km/h)     		21
    (km/h)     		10
    (km/h)     		18
    (km/h)     		12
    (km/h)     		17
    (km/h)     		10
    (km/h)     		14
    (km/h)     		18
    (km/h)     		18
    (km/h)     		16
    (km/h)     		13
    (km/h)     		9
    (km/h)     		11
    (km/h)
    Wind direction S S SSW S SE ESE NNW NE WNW WSW WSW S W ENE
    Relative humidity 73% 70% 76% 78% 82% 78% 80% 74% 69% 62% 69% 64% 78% 71%
    Dew point 14°C 14°C 16°C 17°C 17°C 17°C 16°C 16°C 15°C 15°C 12°C 13°C 15°C 15°C

  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Norah Head Rain Forecast

    Norah Head 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    6
    MEDIUM
    7
    MEDIUM
    8
    MEDIUM
    9
    MEDIUM
    10
    LOW
    11
    MEDIUM
    12
    LOW
    13
    14
    15
    16
    MEDIUM
    17
    LOW
    18
    19
    20
    LOW
    21
    LOW
    22
    23
    LOW
    24
    MEDIUM
    25
    HIGH
    26
    MEDIUM
    27
    HIGH
    28
    LOW
    29
    LOW
    30
    LOW
    May 1
    LOW
    2
    3
    4
    5
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Apr 6

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, Western Australia, New Zealand, the south Pacific, South America, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 13 April to 17 April, 17 April to 21 April, and 30 April to 4 May. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 22 April to 26 April, 26 April to 30 April, and 1 May to 5 May. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 17 April to 21 April, 24 April to 28 April, and 1 May to 5 May.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Norah Head Rain Forecast

    Norah Head 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    2020
    2021
    7
    6
    6
    7
    6
    6
    4
    10
    4
    4
    7
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Mar 9

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Trending neutral Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific remained stable throughout February with the Nino3.4 index registering a value of 0.3. On the other hand, the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -2.2 in February. The current outlook suggests slightly warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the austral autumn, potentially cooling further by the austral winter. Four out of seven international models maintain a slightly warmer than average equatorial Pacific Ocean through the first half of winter. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains neutral, normal for this time of the year. All six international models maintain neutral IOD values through to the austral winter. In terms of precipitation across Australia, the current outlook favours below average rainfall for western, central and southeastern parts of the country. Across NSW and Qld, the outlook is for average-to-above average, mainly across the Qld coasts. This excludes any extreme weather events such as tropical cyclones or East Coast Lows. Across the north, the North Australian Monsoon (NAM) has been quiet for most of the wet season, with the current prognosis suggesting below average rainfall for March but above average in April. Looking further ahead, with no significant signature from ENSO, there are no significant climate drivers tilting the balance towards a drier or wetter end of autumn/winter. The current consensus, however, suggests that average to above average rainfall is a possibility across northern, western and parts of the inland south east.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Norah Head Rain Forecast

    Norah Head 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    6
    MEDIUM
    7
    MEDIUM
    8
    MEDIUM
    9
    MEDIUM
    10
    LOW
    11
    MEDIUM
    12
    LOW
    13
    14
    15
    16
    MEDIUM
    17
    LOW
    18
    19
    20
    LOW
    21
    LOW
    22
    23
    LOW
    24
    MEDIUM
    25
    HIGH
    26
    MEDIUM
    27
    HIGH
    28
    LOW
    29
    LOW
    30
    LOW
    May 1
    LOW
    2
    3
    4
    5
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Apr 6

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, Western Australia, New Zealand, the south Pacific, South America, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 13 April to 17 April, 17 April to 21 April, and 30 April to 4 May. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 22 April to 26 April, 26 April to 30 April, and 1 May to 5 May. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 17 April to 21 April, 24 April to 28 April, and 1 May to 5 May.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Norah Head Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Thursday
    Apr 02     		20.7 °C 26.2 °C
    0.2 mm
    Friday
    Apr 03     		18.1 °C 25.8 °C
    8.2 mm
    Saturday
    Apr 04     		19.4 °C 26.9 °C
    19.2 mm
    Sunday
    Apr 05     		13.3 °C 24.3 °C
    0.0 mm
    Monday
    Apr 06     		14.4 °C 24 °C
    0.0 mm
    Legend

  14. Almanac

    Almanac

    Norah Head minimum temp history (33.2798°S, 151.5551°E, 22m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 26.9° 01/04/2020 Coldest this month 13.3° 05/04/2020
    Hottest on record 33.6 12/04/2006 Coldest on record 7.9 29/04/2008
    Hottest this year 40.7° 23/01/2020 Coldest this year 13.3° 05/04/2020
    Long term average 22.9° Long term average 15.9°
    Average this month 26.0° Average this month 17.6°
    Hottest April On Record Avg. max. temp. 24.4° 2016 Coldest April on record Avg. min. temp. 14.3° 1995
    Norah Head rainfall history (33.2798°S, 151.5551°E, 22m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 19.2mm 04/04/2020 Total This Month 28.0mm
    4.0 days
    Long Term Average 139.3mm 13.8 days Wettest April on record 404.6mm 1999
    Driest on record 27.0mm 2005

  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for NSW/ACT

  16. Year to Date

    Norah Head Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Apr 468.1mm 51.4 day(s)
    Total For 2020 576.0mm 48.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2019 395.6mm 59.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 94.8mm Feb 7
    Lowest Temperature 13.3°C Apr 5
    Highest Temperature 40.7°C Jan23

  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Norah Head Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 26.1 26.0 25.1 22.9 20.3 18.0 17.3 18.8 21.0 22.7 23.7 24.9 22.2
    Mean Min (°C) 19.7 20.0 18.9 15.9 13.1 11.1 9.7 10.5 12.8 14.8 16.8 18.4 15.1
    Mean Rain (mm) 89.7 115.3 123.8 139.3 141.7 148.4 89.4 73.6 72.7 58.4 96.3 70.3 1223.3
    Mean Rain Days 12.3 12.0 13.3 13.8 13.6 13.5 11.4 9.0 11.5 10.5 12.5 11.3 140.7

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