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Forecast

Norah Head (33.2798°S, 151.5551°E, 22m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Mostly sunny 20° 22°
    mostly sunny
    Chance of rain: 20%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light     		Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    6:19am EDT 6:44am EDT 7:27pm EDT 7:52pm EDT
    NOW
    24.6° Feels Like: 25.8°
    Relative Humidity: 62%
    Dew: 17.0°
    Wind: N 6km/h
    Gust: 7km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure: &nbsp;

  3. Today Weather

    Norah Head
    Now
    23.3°c
    Feels Like:
    24.2°
    Wind:
    NW 4km/h
    Gusts:
    6km/h
    Humidity:
    60%
    Mostly sunny
     
    20°
    Min
    22°
    Max
    Today in Norah Head
    The chance of fog early this morning. Mostly sunny afternoon. Light winds. Daytime maximum temperatures in the mid to high 20s.
    Tomorrow
    Possible shower
    20°
    Min
    23°
    Max
    Mostly sunny. Medium chance of showers about the Lower Hunter, near zero chance elsewhere. Light winds becoming W/SW 15 to 20 km/h in the morning then turning S/SE 15 to 25 km/h in the afternoon. Overnight temperatures falling to between 13 and 16 with daytime temperatures reaching 25 to 30.

  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours

  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: The chance of fog early this morning. Mostly sunny afternoon. Light winds. Daytime maximum temperatures in the mid to high 20s.

    Forecast for Norah Head (33.2798°S, 151.5551°E, 22m AMSL)
      Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed
    Summary Mostly sunny Possible shower Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Possible shower Possible shower Possible shower
    Minimum 20° 20° 19° 19° 21° 22° 21°
    Maximum 22° 23° 21° 22° 24° 24° 23°
    Chance of rain 20% 60% 30% 20% 60% 90% 90%
    Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm 10-20mm 5-10mm 1-5mm
    UV index Very High Very High Very High Very High Very High - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 9
    (km/h)     		16
    (km/h)     		22
    (km/h)     		34
    (km/h)     		22
    (km/h)     		28
    (km/h)     		7
    (km/h)     		17
    (km/h)     		12
    (km/h)     		23
    (km/h)     		11
    (km/h)     		19
    (km/h)     		17
    (km/h)     		24
    (km/h)
    Wind direction WSW ENE SW S SSW SSW SW ESE NNE NE WNW SSE S SSE
    Relative humidity 82% 64% 76% 69% 73% 67% 75% 63% 82% 73% 84% 77% 86% 76%
    Dew point 16°C 14°C 17°C 16°C 15°C 14°C 16°C 14°C 19°C 18°C 20°C 18°C 20°C 17°C

  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Norah Head Rain Forecast

    Norah Head 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    4
    5
    LOW
    6
    7
    8
    MEDIUM
    9
    HIGH
    10
    HIGH
    11
    LOW
    12
    13
    14
    LOW
    15
    LOW
    16
    17
    LOW
    18
    LOW
    19
    LOW
    20
    LOW
    21
    MEDIUM
    22
    MEDIUM
    23
    24
    25
    26
    MEDIUM
    27
    LOW
    28
    29
    30
    31
    LOW
    Apr 1
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Mar 4

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the southeast Pacific, South America, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 12 March to 16 March, 29 March to 2 April, and 5 April to 9 April. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 11 March to 15 March, 17 March to 21 March, and 7 April to 11 April. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 23 March to 27 March, 30 March to 3 April, and 6 April to 10 April.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Norah Head Rain Forecast

    Norah Head 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    2021
    2022
    7
    8
    6
    6
    8
    7
    6
    4
    8
    4
    4
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Feb 5

    ENSO status: La Niña IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Positive La Niña is likely at its peak which has brought long periods of cloud and rain to eastern and northern Australia.The majority of models predict that La Niña will continue through February, with 3 of 8 predicting to March and most of the models indicating a return to neutral conditions (neither El Niño nor La Niña) in April. Neutral conditions are predicted to continue into the Australian winter. La Nina typically brings above normal rainfall across much of Australia. While La Niña is expected to weaken, above normal rainfall and typical La Niña impacts are still expected. La Niña typically favours periods of positive SAM, which can increase the amount of precipitation along the eastern half of the country, due to prevailing onshore winds. During summer, much of the country is likely to remain wetter than normal, however normal rainfall is expected for western TAS. La Niña typically increases the number of cyclones and brought anearly start to the wet season. During Autumn, many parts of Australia are likely to be wetter than normal, due to warmer waters off the northeast coast of Australia. Southern parts of SA, VIC and most of TAS are likely to observe normal precipitation for the time of year.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Norah Head Rain Forecast

    Norah Head 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    4
    5
    LOW
    6
    7
    8
    MEDIUM
    9
    HIGH
    10
    HIGH
    11
    LOW
    12
    13
    14
    LOW
    15
    LOW
    16
    17
    LOW
    18
    LOW
    19
    LOW
    20
    LOW
    21
    MEDIUM
    22
    MEDIUM
    23
    24
    25
    26
    MEDIUM
    27
    LOW
    28
    29
    30
    31
    LOW
    Apr 1
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Mar 4

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the southeast Pacific, South America, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 12 March to 16 March, 29 March to 2 April, and 5 April to 9 April. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 11 March to 15 March, 17 March to 21 March, and 7 April to 11 April. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 23 March to 27 March, 30 March to 3 April, and 6 April to 10 April.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Norah Head Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Sunday
    Feb 28     		20.2 °C 26.5 °C
    0.0 mm
    Monday
    Mar 01     		21.8 °C 30.5 °C
    0.2 mm
    Tuesday
    Mar 02     		20.3 °C 26.3 °C
    0.0 mm
    Wednesday
    Mar 03     		18.5 °C 22.7 °C
    2.6 mm
    Thursday
    Mar 04     		16.0 °C 25.5 °C
    7.6 mm
    Legend

  14. Almanac

    Almanac

    Norah Head minimum temp history (33.2798°S, 151.5551°E, 22m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 30.5° 01/03/2021 Coldest this month 18.5° 03/03/2021
    Hottest on record 37.2 19/03/2002 Coldest on record 12.7 26/03/2005
    Hottest this year 36.0° 26/01/2021 Coldest this year 16.4° 17/01/2021
    Long term average 25.3° Long term average 19.0°
    Average this month 26.5° Average this month 20.2°
    Hottest March On Record Avg. max. temp. 26.3° 2016 Coldest March on record Avg. min. temp. 17.6° 2008
    Norah Head rainfall history (33.2798°S, 151.5551°E, 22m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 2.6mm 03/03/2021 Total This Month 2.8mm
    2.0 days
    Long Term Average 114.6mm 14.0 days Wettest March on record 283.6mm 2017
    Driest on record 13.2mm 1998

  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for Australia

  16. Year to Date

    Norah Head Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Mar 323.2mm 40.0 day(s)
    Total For 2021 220.0mm 36.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2020 407.0mm 27.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 24.2mm Jan28
    Lowest Temperature 16.4°C Jan17
    Highest Temperature 36.0°C Jan26

  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Norah Head Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 26.2 26.2 25.3 23.1 20.3 18.0 17.5 18.9 21.1 22.8 23.9 25.1 22.3
    Mean Min (°C) 19.8 20.0 19.0 16.1 13.1 11.1 9.8 10.5 12.8 14.9 16.8 18.5 15.1
    Mean Rain (mm) 84.3 124.3 114.6 132.3 126.0 157.2 85.8 70.0 61.2 92.7 89.7 69.4 1199.2
    Mean Rain Days 13.0 13.0 14.0 14.5 13.2 14.2 10.8 9.0 11.3 11.8 12.3 11.7 147.2

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