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Forecast

Mangrove Mountain (33.3008°S, 151.1917°E, 283m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TOMORROW
    Increasing sunshine 16° 24°
    increasing sunshine
    Chance of rain: 5%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    5:12am EDT 5:41am EDT 8:02pm EDT 8:30pm EDT
    NOW
    16.8° Feels Like: 15.6°
    Relative Humidity: 73%
    Dew: 11.9°
    Wind: SSE 9km/h
    Gust: 17km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure:  
  3. Today Weather

    Mangrove Mountain
    Now
    19.4°c
    Feels Like:
    19.0°
    Wind:
    S 9km/h
    Gusts:
    18km/h
    Humidity:
    73%
    Increasing sunshine
     
    16°
    Min
    24°
    Max
    Today in Mangrove Mountain
    Partly cloudy. Areas of smoke haze. Winds SE 15 to 25 km/h becoming light before dawn then becoming E/SE 20 to 30 km/h in the morning. Overnight temperatures falling to between 12 and 16 with daytime temperatures reaching 25 to 32.
    Tomorrow
    Increasing sunshine
    16°
    Min
    24°
    Max
    Hot and mostly sunny. Areas of smoke haze. Light winds becoming E/NE 15 to 20 km/h in the late afternoon then becoming light in the late evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 11 and 14 with daytime temperatures reaching 29 to 37.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

    There are no current warnings for Mangrove Mountain

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Partly cloudy. Areas of smoke haze. Winds SE 15 to 25 km/h becoming light before dawn then becoming E/SE 20 to 30 km/h in the morning. Overnight temperatures falling to between 12 and 16 with daytime temperatures reaching 25 to 32.

    Forecast for Mangrove Mountain (33.3008°S, 151.1917°E, 283m AMSL)
      Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon
    Summary Increasing sunshine Sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Mostly cloudy Possible shower
    Minimum 16° 14° 18° 19° 20° 19° 18°
    Maximum 24° 28° 40° 27° 38° 26° 24°
    Chance of rain 5% 5% 20% 5% 10% 90% 80%
    Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm
    UV index Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme - - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 6
    (km/h)
    13
    (km/h)
    6
    (km/h)
    13
    (km/h)
    11
    (km/h)
    8
    (km/h)
    9
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    9
    (km/h)
    6
    (km/h)
    13
    (km/h)
    17
    (km/h)
    9
    (km/h)
    -
    (km/h)
    Wind direction S ESE NNE ENE NNW NW S ESE N N S SSE SE -
    Relative humidity 63% 45% 61% 37% 38% 16% 69% 49% 59% 22% 61% 59% 77% n/a
    Dew point 13°C 12°C 14°C 12°C 14°C 10°C 16°C 15°C 18°C 13°C 16°C 17°C 17°C n/a
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Mangrove Mountain Rain Forecast


    Mangrove Mountain 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    16
    17
    18
    19
    20
    21
    LOW
    22
    MEDIUM
    23
    LOW
    24
    LOW
    25
    HIGH
    26
    HIGH
    27
    MEDIUM
    28
    MEDIUM
    29
    MEDIUM
    30
    LOW
    31
    LOW
    Jan 1
    2
    3
    4
    5
    6
    LOW
    7
    MEDIUM
    8
    LOW
    9
    10
    LOW
    11
    LOW
    12
    LOW
    13
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Dec16

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively slow moving in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, New Zealand, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 21 December to 25 December, 9 January to 13 January, and 15 January to 19 January. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 24 December to 28 December, and 30 December to 3 January. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 21 December to 25 December, and 16 January to 20 January.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Mangrove Mountain Rain Forecast


    Mangrove Mountain 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    2019
    2020
    2
    2
    6
    6
    7
    6
    6
    4
    5
    6
    2
    9
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Dec 11

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Positive SAM status: Negative Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific continued to exhibit a slight warming during November. The Nino3.4 index lingered between 0.6 and 0.7 throughout the month of November. However, this has dropped to 0.4 since early December. On the other hand, the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -9.3 in November. The current outlook continues to suggest warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the coming months, but remaining within neutral values. Seven out of eight international models maintain a warmer than average equatorial Pacific Ocean through the first quarter of 2020, none of these reaching El Nino thresholds. The IRI ENSO forecast continues to suggest a less than 40% chance of another El Nino developing over the next 6 months, with a neutral ENSO the most likely outcome. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains in the positive side of neutral, though it has significant strength after peaking in October . All six international models maintain a positive event until January. In terms of rainfall across Australia, there is little variation to the outlook issued last month across the west. However, the climate outlook for the eastern states has seen a significant drying over the past 2 months. The current outlook now favours a clearer below average rainfall signal for the eastern states. This however, excludes any extreme weather events such as tropical cyclones in Qld or East Coast Lows. For northern Australia, the current outlook favours a late onset of the North Australian Monsoon (NAM) across the Northern Territory and Queensland. Usually, Darwin tends to see the onset of NAM around christmas day. Further south, a negative trend in the Southern Annular Mode (SAM) continues to enhance frontal activity over southern SA, Victoria, Tasmania and southern NSW. This has offset the Positive IOD in far southern Victoria and western Tasmania, which continue to see average-to-above average rainfall odds through December and early January. Looking further ahead, with no significant signature from ENSO, there are no significant climate drivers tilting the balance towards a drier or wetter summer. The current outlook suggests neutral odds for the second half of summer.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Mangrove Mountain Rain Forecast


    Mangrove Mountain 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    16
    17
    18
    19
    20
    21
    LOW
    22
    MEDIUM
    23
    LOW
    24
    LOW
    25
    HIGH
    26
    HIGH
    27
    MEDIUM
    28
    MEDIUM
    29
    MEDIUM
    30
    LOW
    31
    LOW
    Jan 1
    2
    3
    4
    5
    6
    LOW
    7
    MEDIUM
    8
    LOW
    9
    10
    LOW
    11
    LOW
    12
    LOW
    13
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Dec16

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively slow moving in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, New Zealand, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 21 December to 25 December, 9 January to 13 January, and 15 January to 19 January. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 24 December to 28 December, and 30 December to 3 January. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 21 December to 25 December, and 16 January to 20 January.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Mangrove Mountain Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Thursday
    Dec 12
    15.8 °C 23.8 °C
    0.0 mm
    Friday
    Dec 13
    14.7 °C 23.4 °C
    0.0 mm
    Saturday
    Dec 14
    14.2 °C 29.4 °C
    0.0 mm
    Sunday
    Dec 15
    16.6 °C 31.0 °C
    0.0 mm
    Monday
    Dec 16
    17.4 °C 23 °C
    0.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Mangrove Mountain minimum temp history (33.3008°S, 151.1917°E, 283m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 39.0° 10/12/2019 Coldest this month 10.2° 05/12/2019
    Hottest on record 40.1 21/12/1994 Coldest on record 6.9 20/12/1995
    Hottest this year 39.7° 26/01/2019 Coldest this year 0.2° 13/08/2019
    Long term average 26.2° Long term average 15.4°
    Average this month 27.8° Average this month 14.4°
    Hottest December On Record Avg. max. temp. 30.3° 2005 Coldest December on record Avg. min. temp. 13.4° 2011
    Mangrove Mountain rainfall history (33.3008°S, 151.1917°E, 283m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 0.4mm 01/12/2019 Total This Month 0.4mm
    1.0 days
    Long Term Average 97.0mm 11.8 days Wettest December on record 221.0mm 2005
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for NSW/ACT

  16. Year to Date

    Mangrove Mountain Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Dec 1156.2mm 147.5 day(s)
    Total For 2019 985.0mm 106.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2018 919.8mm 126.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 102.6mm Aug31
    Lowest Temperature 0.2°C Aug13
    Highest Temperature 39.7°C Jan26
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Mangrove Mountain Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 27.3 26.6 24.8 21.8 18.7 15.9 15.4 17.4 20.5 22.9 24.5 26.2 21.8
    Mean Min (°C) 16.9 16.9 15.2 12.1 9.1 7.3 6.0 6.6 9.3 11.4 13.8 15.4 11.6
    Mean Rain (mm) 118.5 146.9 144.6 91.0 86.9 117.1 47.2 64.0 68.8 72.8 101.4 97.0 1155.7
    Mean Rain Days 13.9 13.8 14.3 13.3 13.2 13.5 11.3 8.8 9.5 10.7 13.4 11.8 140.8