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Forecast

Mangrove Mountain (33.3008°S, 151.1917°E, 283m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Sunny 21° 29°
    Chance of rain: 20%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    6:09am EDT 6:34am EDT 7:44pm EDT 8:09pm EDT
    NOW
    22.9° Feels Like: 21.6°
    Relative Humidity: 53%
    Dew: 12.8°
    Wind: NW 11km/h
    Gust: 15km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 12.2mm
    Pressure:  
  3. Today Weather

    Mangrove Mountain
    Now
    19.7°c
    Feels Like:
    18.0°
    Wind:
    WNW 13km/h
    Gusts:
    19km/h
    Humidity:
    64%
    Sunny
     
    21°
    Min
    29°
    Max
    Today in Mangrove Mountain
    Partly cloudy. Slight chance of a shower or thunderstorm in the north this morning. Winds W 15 to 25 km/h becoming light in the late evening. Daytime maximum temperatures 26 to 31.
    Tomorrow
    Mostly sunny
    17°
    Min
    23°
    Max
    Partly cloudy. Slight chance of a shower along the coastal fringe in the morning and early afternoon. Light winds becoming E/SE 15 to 20 km/h in the evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 13 and 18 with daytime temperatures reaching the mid to high 20s.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

    There are no current warnings for Mangrove Mountain

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Partly cloudy. Slight chance of a shower or thunderstorm in the north this morning. Winds W 15 to 25 km/h becoming light in the late evening. Daytime maximum temperatures 26 to 31.

    Forecast for Mangrove Mountain (33.3008°S, 151.1917°E, 283m AMSL)
      Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue
    Summary Sunny Mostly sunny Mostly cloudy Possible shower Possible shower Showers increasing Mostly sunny
    Minimum 21° 17° 17° 18° 19° 17° 17°
    Maximum 29° 23° 23° 23° 25° 26° 28°
    Chance of rain 20% 20% 80% 80% 70% 50% 20%
    Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm 1-5mm < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm
    UV index Extreme Extreme Very High Very High Extreme - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 13
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    7
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    3
    (km/h)
    9
    (km/h)
    8
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    6
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    5
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    4
    (km/h)
    8
    (km/h)
    Wind direction WNW W SSW SSE SW ESE SSE ESE ENE E NE E NNE E
    Relative humidity 58% 36% 71% 55% 81% 66% 90% 80% 86% 68% 82% 67% 78% 62%
    Dew point 14°C 13°C 14°C 14°C 17°C 17°C 18°C 19°C 19°C 19°C 18°C 20°C 19°C 20°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Mangrove Mountain Rain Forecast


    Mangrove Mountain 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    19
    LOW
    20
    LOW
    21
    MEDIUM
    22
    HIGH
    23
    MEDIUM
    24
    MEDIUM
    25
    LOW
    26
    27
    HIGH
    28
    MEDIUM
    29
    HIGH
    Mar 1
    LOW
    2
    LOW
    3
    LOW
    4
    LOW
    5
    LOW
    6
    HIGH
    7
    HIGH
    8
    MEDIUM
    9
    LOW
    10
    LOW
    11
    MEDIUM
    12
    MEDIUM
    13
    LOW
    14
    LOW
    15
    MEDIUM
    16
    17
    LOW
    18
    MEDIUM
    19
    MEDIUM
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Feb18

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, Western Australia, the south Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 26 February to 1 March, 10 March to 14 March, and 20 March to 24 March. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 9 March to 13 March, 14 March to 18 March, and 19 March to 23 March. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 25 February to 29 February, 11 March to 15 March, and 21 March to 25 March.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Mangrove Mountain Rain Forecast


    Mangrove Mountain 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    2020
    2021
    10
    5
    7
    7
    6
    8
    5
    6
    4
    8
    4
    4
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Feb 12

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Trending neutral Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific remained stable throughout January with the Nino3.4 index registering a value of 0.4 as per December. On the other hand, the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of 1.3 in January. The current outlook suggests warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the austral autumn, cooling even further by mid 2020. Six out of eight international models continue to maintain a warmer than average equatorial Pacific Ocean through the first half of the year, none of these reaching El Nino thresholds. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains neutral, which is what you will expect for this time of the year. All six international models maintain neutral IOD values until the austral winter, with indications we could see another positive event late winter/spring. However, the skill of the models is low at this time of the year. In terms of rainfall across Australia, the current outlook favours average-to-below average rainfall for parts of inland NSW and Qld for the end of summer and autumn. This however, excludes any extreme weather events such as tropical cyclones or East Coast Lows. Across the north, the North Australian Monsoon (NAM) had its latest onset on record in early February at Darwin (by its technical definition) with the current prognosis suggesting another below average wet season for northern Australia. The northern half of the country however, could see a wet end to the wet season compared to the season thus far. Looking further ahead, with no significant signature from ENSO, there are no significant climate drivers tilting the balance towards a drier or wetter end of autumn/winter.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Mangrove Mountain Rain Forecast


    Mangrove Mountain 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    19
    LOW
    20
    LOW
    21
    MEDIUM
    22
    HIGH
    23
    MEDIUM
    24
    MEDIUM
    25
    LOW
    26
    27
    HIGH
    28
    MEDIUM
    29
    HIGH
    Mar 1
    LOW
    2
    LOW
    3
    LOW
    4
    LOW
    5
    LOW
    6
    HIGH
    7
    HIGH
    8
    MEDIUM
    9
    LOW
    10
    LOW
    11
    MEDIUM
    12
    MEDIUM
    13
    LOW
    14
    LOW
    15
    MEDIUM
    16
    17
    LOW
    18
    MEDIUM
    19
    MEDIUM
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Feb18

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, Western Australia, the south Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 26 February to 1 March, 10 March to 14 March, and 20 March to 24 March. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 9 March to 13 March, 14 March to 18 March, and 19 March to 23 March. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 25 February to 29 February, 11 March to 15 March, and 21 March to 25 March.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Mangrove Mountain Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Friday
    Feb 14
    18.6 °C -
    3.0 mm
    Saturday
    Feb 15
    - -
    -
    Sunday
    Feb 16
    - -
    -
    Monday
    Feb 17
    - -
    -
    Tuesday
    Feb 18
    - 33 °C
    -
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Mangrove Mountain minimum temp history (33.3008°S, 151.1917°E, 283m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 43.7° 01/02/2020 Coldest this month 12.7° 05/02/2020
    Hottest on record 44.4 11/02/2017 Coldest on record 10.6 03/02/2005
    Hottest this year 43.7° 01/02/2020 Coldest this year 12.7° 05/02/2020
    Long term average 26.6° Long term average 16.9°
    Average this month 27.4° Average this month 16.9°
    Hottest February On Record Avg. max. temp. 29.8° 2004 Coldest February on record Avg. min. temp. 15.4° 2008
    Mangrove Mountain rainfall history (33.3008°S, 151.1917°E, 283m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 126.4mm 08/02/2020 Total This Month 217.4mm
    5.0 days
    Long Term Average 146.9mm 13.8 days Wettest February on record 371.0mm 2013
    Driest on record 5.6mm 2016
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for NSW/ACT

  16. Year to Date

    Mangrove Mountain Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Feb 265.4mm 27.7 day(s)
    Total For 2020 256.8mm 15.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2019 137.8mm 18.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 126.4mm Feb 8
    Lowest Temperature 12.7°C Feb 5
    Highest Temperature 43.7°C Feb 1
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Mangrove Mountain Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 27.3 26.6 24.8 21.8 18.7 15.9 15.4 17.4 20.5 22.9 24.5 26.2 21.8
    Mean Min (°C) 16.9 16.9 15.2 12.1 9.1 7.3 6.0 6.6 9.3 11.4 13.8 15.4 11.6
    Mean Rain (mm) 118.5 146.9 144.6 91.0 86.9 117.1 47.2 64.0 68.8 72.8 101.4 97.0 1155.7
    Mean Rain Days 13.9 13.8 14.3 13.3 13.2 13.5 11.3 8.8 9.5 10.7 13.4 11.8 140.8