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Forecast

Mudgee (32.5907°S, 149.5861°E, 447m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Mostly sunny 25°
    mostly sunny
    Chance of rain: 30%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    5:52am EDT 6:18am EDT 7:16pm EDT 7:42pm EDT
    NOW
    23.3° Feels Like: 17.4°
    Relative Humidity: 33%
    Dew: 6.1°
    Wind: W 26km/h
    Gust: 30km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure: 1014.3hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Mudgee
    Now
    25.4°c
    Feels Like:
    20.2°
    Wind:
    W 22km/h
    Gusts:
    28km/h
    Humidity:
    29%
    Mostly sunny
     
    Min
    25°
    Max
    Today in Mudgee
    Partly cloudy. Very high chance of showers about the Blue Mountains, medium chance elsewhere. The chance of a thunderstorm. Winds W/SW 15 to 25 km/h tending SE/SW 15 to 20 km/h in the evening.
    Tomorrow
    Mostly sunny
    Min
    22°
    Max
    Partly cloudy. High chance of showers in the E, slight chance elsewhere. The chance of a thunderstorm in the E in the afternoon and early evening. Winds SE 20 to 30 km/h. Overnight temperatures falling to between 3 and 7 with daytime temperatures reaching between 15 and 22.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Partly cloudy. Very high chance of showers about the Blue Mountains, medium chance elsewhere. The chance of a thunderstorm. Winds W/SW 15 to 25 km/h tending SE/SW 15 to 20 km/h in the evening.

    Forecast for Mudgee (32.5907°S, 149.5861°E, 447m AMSL)
      Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon
    Summary Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Increasing sunshine Late shower Possible shower Possible shower
    Minimum 10° 12°
    Maximum 25° 22° 24° 26° 30° 22° 20°
    Chance of rain 30% 30% 20% 5% 50% 30% 30%
    Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm 1-5mm < 1mm
    UV index Very High Very High Very High Very High Very High - -
    Frost risk Nil Slight Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 0
    (km/h)
    24
    (km/h)
    5
    (km/h)
    17
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    17
    (km/h)
    7
    (km/h)
    8
    (km/h)
    2
    (km/h)
    15
    (km/h)
    5
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    6
    (km/h)
    13
    (km/h)
    Wind direction W W SSE SE ESE ESE E NNE NNE NW SSW WSW SE SSW
    Relative humidity 74% 36% 74% 38% 84% 41% 86% 41% 80% 37% 84% 48% 81% 44%
    Dew point 10°C 8°C 8°C 6°C 12°C 9°C 13°C 11°C 15°C 13°C 14°C 10°C 9°C 7°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Mudgee Rain Forecast


    Mudgee 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    19
    MEDIUM
    20
    LOW
    21
    LOW
    22
    23
    MEDIUM
    24
    LOW
    25
    LOW
    26
    27
    LOW
    28
    29
    LOW
    30
    LOW
    31
    MEDIUM
    Nov 1
    LOW
    2
    MEDIUM
    3
    MEDIUM
    4
    HIGH
    5
    LOW
    6
    LOW
    7
    MEDIUM
    8
    MEDIUM
    9
    MEDIUM
    10
    MEDIUM
    11
    MEDIUM
    12
    HIGH
    13
    LOW
    14
    LOW
    15
    LOW
    16
    MEDIUM
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Oct19

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, Western Australia, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, South America, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 26 October to 30 October, 1 November to 5 November, and 8 November to 12 November. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 30 October to 3 November, 8 November to 12 November, and 14 November to 18 November. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 1 November to 5 November, 7 November to 11 November, and 20 November to 24 November.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Mudgee Rain Forecast


    Mudgee 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    2021
    2022
    5
    8
    6
    6
    7
    6
    8
    4
    7
    5
    4
    5
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Oct 13

    ENSO status: Neutral, however six of seven models suggest La Niña thresholds will be met again between November and January. IOD status: Negative, neutral levels predicted from late spring. SAM status: Near neutral, forecast to be mostly positive from October to December. The El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is currently neutral. However, Over the past few months, sea surface temperatures in the central and eastern equatorial Pacific Ocean have been getting abnormally cool. This oceanic cooling has also been accompanied by a response in the atmosphere, which has included trade winds strengthening over the central and western Pacific Ocean in the last few weeks. Both the atmosphere and the ocean are now showing clear signs of being in a La Niña-like pattern and a number of forecast models suggest that this trend will continue in the months ahead. All seven climate models predict La Nina Thresholds to be met in November, while six of the seven suggest it will last through to January and four toFebruary. La Niña typically brings above average rainfall in northern and eastern Australia. The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is currently weakly negative, however climate models predict the return to neutral phase by late spring. A negative IOD generates above average rain to southern and eastern Australia. As such, average to above average rainfall is predicted across much of the country this winter and the remainder of spring.

  11. Popup - Daily historical

  12. Past 5 Days

    Mudgee Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Friday
    Oct 15
    6.2 °C 15.2 °C
    1.0 mm
    Saturday
    Oct 16
    6.7 °C 16.5 °C
    11.6 mm
    Sunday
    Oct 17
    1.4 °C 20.6 °C
    0.2 mm
    Monday
    Oct 18
    2.9 °C 23.0 °C
    0.0 mm
    Tuesday
    Oct 19
    4.9 °C 24.3 °C
    0.0 mm
    Legend
  13. Long range rainfall forecast

    Mudgee Rain Forecast


    Mudgee 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    19
    MEDIUM
    20
    LOW
    21
    LOW
    22
    23
    MEDIUM
    24
    LOW
    25
    LOW
    26
    27
    LOW
    28
    29
    LOW
    30
    LOW
    31
    MEDIUM
    Nov 1
    LOW
    2
    MEDIUM
    3
    MEDIUM
    4
    HIGH
    5
    LOW
    6
    LOW
    7
    MEDIUM
    8
    MEDIUM
    9
    MEDIUM
    10
    MEDIUM
    11
    MEDIUM
    12
    HIGH
    13
    LOW
    14
    LOW
    15
    LOW
    16
    MEDIUM
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Oct19

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, Western Australia, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, South America, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 26 October to 30 October, 1 November to 5 November, and 8 November to 12 November. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 30 October to 3 November, 8 November to 12 November, and 14 November to 18 November. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 1 November to 5 November, 7 November to 11 November, and 20 November to 24 November.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Mudgee minimum temp history (32.5907°S, 149.5861°E, 447m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 27.7° 10/10/2021 Coldest this month 0.5° 06/10/2021
    Hottest on record 35.2 26/10/2014 Coldest on record -0.9 10/10/2003
    Hottest this year 36.5° 24/01/2021 Coldest this year -5.0° 29/05/2021
    Long term average 23.2° Long term average 7.7°
    Average this month 20.9° Average this month 6.6°
    Hottest October On Record Avg. max. temp. 27.0° 2015 Coldest October on record Avg. min. temp. 5.4° 2012
    Mudgee rainfall history (32.5907°S, 149.5861°E, 447m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 15.2mm 13/10/2021 Total This Month 41.0mm
    11.0 days
    Long Term Average 51.9mm 8.3 days Wettest October on record 135.8mm 1999
    Driest on record 0.2mm 2002
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for Australia

  16. Year to Date

    Mudgee Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Oct 502.9mm 78.4 day(s)
    Total For 2021 640.6mm 102.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2020 628.6mm 118.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 69.8mm Mar23
    Lowest Temperature -5.0°C May29
    Highest Temperature 36.5°C Jan24
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Mudgee Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 30.9 29.5 26.7 22.9 18.6 15.0 14.5 16.2 19.7 23.2 26.5 29.1 22.7
    Mean Min (°C) 16.0 15.7 12.8 7.8 4.0 2.5 1.2 1.5 4.2 7.7 11.2 13.9 8.2
    Mean Rain (mm) 62.7 67.0 67.8 37.5 33.7 45.6 45.0 35.6 56.1 51.9 71.6 80.0 646.1
    Mean Rain Days 7.5 7.6 7.3 5.1 6.4 10.2 10.4 8.1 7.5 8.3 9.0 8.8 95.4