Forecast
Mudgee (32.5907°S, 149.5861°E, 447m AMSL) set as my default location ›
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My MLA
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Current condition
TODAY22° 32° possible shower Chance of rain: 50% Likely amount: < 1mm First
lightLast light Sunrise Sunset 5:53am EDT 6:20am EDT 8:08pm EDT 8:35pm EDT NOW28.4° Feels Like: 29.6° Relative Humidity: 52% Dew: 17.6° Wind: SE 7km/h Gust: 9km/h Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm Pressure: 1010.1hPa -
Today Weather
MudgeeNow27.4°cFeels Like:26.9°Wind:SE 20km/hGusts:24km/hHumidity:62%22°Min32°MaxToday in MudgeePartly cloudy. High chance of showers about the Blue Mountains, medium chance elsewhere. The chance of a thunderstorm. Light winds becoming N/NE 15 to 20 km/h in the morning then turning E/SE 25 to 35 km/h in the late morning and early afternoon. Daytime maximum temperatures 21 to 33.Tomorrow17°Min26°MaxCloudy. High chance of showers in the S, medium chance elsewhere. Winds E 25 to 35 km/h. Overnight temperatures falling to between 12 and 17 with daytime temperatures reaching between 17 and 26. -
Radar
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Popup Radar
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Warnings
There are no current warnings for Mudgee
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7 day forecast
Today: Partly cloudy. High chance of showers about the Blue Mountains, medium chance elsewhere. The chance of a thunderstorm. Light winds becoming N/NE 15 to 20 km/h in the morning then turning E/SE 25 to 35 km/h in the late morning and early afternoon. Daytime maximum temperatures 21 to 33.
Forecast for Mudgee (32.5907°S, 149.5861°E, 447m AMSL) Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Summary Minimum 22° 17° 16° 17° 17° 17° 16° Maximum 32° 26° 27° 31° 32° 31° 28° Chance of rain 50% 40% 30% 40% 50% 60% 90% Likely amount < 1mm 1-5mm < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm 5-10mm 5-10mm UV index Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme - - - Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 8
(km/h)22
(km/h)26
(km/h)30
(km/h)19
(km/h)22
(km/h)9
(km/h)12
(km/h)4
(km/h)12
(km/h)12
(km/h)14
(km/h)11
(km/h)17
(km/h)Wind direction E E ESE ESE ESE E ENE NNW NNE SSE E ENE NNW WNW Relative humidity 59% 53% 72% 62% 77% 58% 74% 45% 65% 46% 72% 41% 69% 55% Dew point 18°C 20°C 16°C 17°C 16°C 17°C 17°C 16°C 17°C 18°C 17°C 15°C 15°C 17°C -
28 Day Rainfall forecast
Mudgee Rain Forecast
Mudgee 28-day Rainfall ForecastSUNMONTUEWEDTHUFRISAT27
MEDIUM28
MEDIUM29
MEDIUM30
LOW31
MEDIUMFeb 1
MEDIUM2
HIGH3
MEDIUM4
HIGH5
LOW6
LOW7
LOW8
9
10
11
12
13
14
LOW15
LOW16
17
18
19
20
LOW21
MEDIUM22
MEDIUM23
MEDIUM24
CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICTNIL < 25%LOW 25% to 50%MEDIUM 50% to 75%HIGH ≥ 75%Issued Jan27Issue Notes
The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, Western Australia, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, and South America.
Summary:
Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 3 February to 7 February, 12 February to 16 February, and 21 February to 25 February. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 27 February to 3 March. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 3 February to 7 February, 12 February to 16 February, and 19 February to 23 February.
Forecast ExplanationThis forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.
The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.
In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.
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12 Month Rainfall Forecast
Mudgee Rain Forecast
Mudgee 12-month Rainfall ForecastJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec2021876777845356105012 - 34 - 78 - 910Well below normalBelow normalNear normalAbove normalWell above normalIssue Notes - Issued Jan 7
ENSO status: La Niña IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Positive La Niña is likely at its peak which has brought long periods of cloud and rain to eastern and northern Australia.The majority of models predict that La Niña will continue through February, with 3 of 8 predicting to March and most of the models indicating a return to neutral conditions (neither El Niño nor La Niña) in April. Neutral conditions are predicted to continue into the Australian winter. La Nina typically brings above normal rainfall across much of Australia. While La Niña is expected to weaken, above normal rainfall and typical La Niña impacts are still expected. La Niña typically favours periods of positive SAM, which can increase the amount of precipitation along the eastern half of the country, due to prevailing onshore winds. During summer, much of the country is likely to remain wetter than normal, however normal rainfall is expected for western TAS. La Niña typically increases the number of cyclones and brought anearly start to the wet season. During Autumn, many parts of Australia are likely to be wetter than normal, due to warmer waters off the northeast coast of Australia. Southern parts of SA, VIC and most of TAS are likely to observe normal precipitation for the time of year.
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Long range rainfall forecast
Mudgee Rain Forecast
Mudgee 28-day Rainfall ForecastSUNMONTUEWEDTHUFRISAT27
MEDIUM28
MEDIUM29
MEDIUM30
LOW31
MEDIUMFeb 1
MEDIUM2
HIGH3
MEDIUM4
HIGH5
LOW6
LOW7
LOW8
9
10
11
12
13
14
LOW15
LOW16
17
18
19
20
LOW21
MEDIUM22
MEDIUM23
MEDIUM24
CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICTNIL < 25%LOW 25% to 50%MEDIUM 50% to 75%HIGH ≥ 75%Issued Jan27Issue Notes
The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, Western Australia, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, and South America.
Summary:
Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 3 February to 7 February, 12 February to 16 February, and 21 February to 25 February. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 27 February to 3 March. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 3 February to 7 February, 12 February to 16 February, and 19 February to 23 February.
Forecast ExplanationThis forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.
The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.
In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.
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Popup - Daily historical
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Past 5 Days
Mudgee Past 5 Days
This MonthMinimum Maximum Rainfall Friday
Jan 2214.9 °C 33.8 °C 0.0 mmSaturday
Jan 2314.4 °C 35.4 °C 0.0 mmSunday
Jan 2417.2 °C 36.5 °C 0.0 mmMonday
Jan 2516.4 °C 35.4 °C 0.0 mmTuesday
Jan 2615.9 °C 36.4 °C 0.0 mmLegend -
Almanac
Almanac
Mudgee minimum temp history (32.5907°S, 149.5861°E, 447m AMSL) MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE Hottest this month 36.5° 24/01/2021 Coldest this month 6.2° 17/01/2021 Hottest on record 42.5 03/01/2014 Coldest on record 0.0 14/01/1991 Hottest this year 36.5° 24/01/2021 Coldest this year 6.2° 17/01/2021 Long term average 31.0° Long term average 16.1° Average this month 29.3° Average this month 13.9° Hottest January On Record Avg. max. temp. 33.7° 2017 Coldest January on record Avg. min. temp. 12.8° 1991 Mudgee rainfall history (32.5907°S, 149.5861°E, 447m AMSL) RAINFALL Wettest This Month 10.8mm 05/01/2021 Total This Month 20.8mm
6.0 daysLong Term Average 64.3mm 7.5 days Wettest January on record 195.6mm 1996 Driest on record 10.0mm 2003 -
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Weather Radar for Australia
Australia Radars
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Year to Date
Mudgee Year To Date
Average Rainfall To Jan 64.3mm 7.5 day(s) Total For 2021 20.8mm 6.0 day(s) Total To This Day 2020 31.8mm 11.0 day(s) Wettest Day 10.8mm Jan 5 Lowest Temperature 6.2°C Jan17 Highest Temperature 36.5°C Jan24 -
Popup - Monthly historical
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Climatology
Climate History
Mudgee Climatology
Mudgee Long-Term Averages
Long-Term Averages Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann Mean Max (°C) 31.0 29.6 26.8 23.0 18.6 15.0 14.6 16.1 19.7 23.2 26.5 29.1 22.7 Mean Min (°C) 16.1 15.7 12.8 7.9 4.1 2.5 1.1 1.4 4.3 7.7 11.2 13.9 8.2 Mean Rain (mm) 64.3 65.7 64.7 38.8 33.2 42.9 43.5 35.7 56.5 51.9 71.6 80.0 646.1 Mean Rain Days 7.5 7.4 7.2 5.1 6.4 10.1 10.1 8.1 7.5 8.3 9.0 8.8 95.4