Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology, New South Wales
Minor Flood Warning For The Lachlan River
Issued at 11:01 AM EST on Wednesday 22 September 2021
Flood Watch Number: 65
MINOR FLOODING CONTINUES AT EUABALONG
The Lachlan River at Euabalong is at the flood peak, with minor flooding continuing. The river is expected to remain above the minor flood level for the next few days.
The Lachlan River downstream of Euabalong is expected to remain below minor flood levels.
Lower Lachlan River downstream of Jemalong Weir to Euabalong:
Minor flooding is occurring along the Lower Lachlan River at Euabalong.
The Lachlan River at Euabalong is currently at 6.59 metres and steady, with minor flooding. The river level peaked with minor flooding on Monday at 6.60 metres.
Lachlan River at Condobolin Bridge:
Cancellation
Flood Safety Advice:
In life threatening emergencies, call 000 (triple zero) immediately. If you require rescue, assistance to evacuate or other emergency help, ring NSW SES on 132 500.
* Avoid drowning. Stay out of rising water, seek refuge in the highest available place.
* Prevent damage to your vehicle. Move it under cover, away from areas likely to flood.
* Avoid being swept away. Stay out of fast-flowing creeks and storm drains.
* Never drive, ride or walk through flood water. Flood water can be deceptive and dangerous.}
For more emergency information, advice, and access to the latest river heights and rainfall observations and forecasts:
* NSW SES: www.ses.nsw.gov.au
* RMS Live Traffic: www.livetraffic.com
* Latest River Heights and Rainfall Observations: www.bom.gov.au/nsw/flood/centralwest.shtml
* Latest NSW Warnings: www.bom.gov.au/nsw/warnings/
* Rainfall Forecasts: www.bom.gov.au/australia/meteye/
* BOM NSW Twitter: www.twitter.com/BOM_NSW.
Next issue:
The next warning will be issued by 12:00 pm EST on Friday 24 September 2021.
Latest River Heights:
Boorowa River at Prossers Crossing,1.06,Falling,10:30 AM WED 22/09/21
Lachlan River at Cowra,1.77,Steady,10:00 AM WED 22/09/21
Lachlan River at Nanami,1.87,Falling,10:30 AM WED 22/09/21
Lachlan River at Forbes Iron Bridge,4.05,Falling,10:00 AM WED 22/09/21
Lachlan River at Cottons Weir,1.22,Falling,10:00 AM WED 22/09/21
Lachlan River at Jemalong Weir Downstream,4.61,Falling,09:45 AM WED 22/09/21
Lachlan River at Condobolin Bridge,4.14,Falling,10:00 AM WED 22/09/21
Lachlan River at Euabalong,6.59,Steady,07:46 AM WED 22/09/21
Lachlan River at Hillston Weir,2.15,Rising,10:00 AM WED 22/09/21
Lachlan River at Booligal Weir,2.37,Steady,09:00 AM WED 22/09/21
This advice is also available by dialling 1300 659 210. Warning, rainfall and river information are available at www.bom.gov.au/nsw/flood. The latest weather forecast is available at www.bom.gov.au/nsw/forecasts.
Forecast
Dubbo (32.2452°S, 148.6042°E, 257m AMSL) set as my default location ›
-
My MLA
-
Current condition
TODAY
5° 25° Chance of rain: 5% Likely amount: < 1mm First
light
Last light Sunrise Sunset 5:29am EST 5:54am EST 6:03pm EST 6:27pm EST NOW4.6° Feels Like: 1.5° Relative Humidity: 96% Dew: 4.0° Wind: SE 9km/h Gust: 13km/h Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm Pressure: 1017.7hPa -
Today Weather
DubboNow9.1°cFeels Like:6.3°Wind:NE 11km/hGusts:15km/hHumidity:87%
5°Min25°MaxToday in DubboSunny. Patchy morning fog on the slopes. Light winds becoming N/NW 15 to 25 km/h in the morning then tending W/NW 25 to 35 km/h in the middle of the day. Overnight temperatures falling to around 6 with daytime temperatures reaching 23 to 28.Tomorrow
7°Min21°MaxSunny. Winds S/SW 15 to 25 km/h. Overnight temperatures falling to between 3 and 9 with daytime temperatures reaching between 16 and 24. -
Radar
-
Popup Radar
-
Warnings
-
Next 48 Hours
Next 48 Hours
-
7 day forecast
Today: Sunny. Patchy morning fog on the slopes. Light winds becoming N/NW 15 to 25 km/h in the morning then tending W/NW 25 to 35 km/h in the middle of the day. Overnight temperatures falling to around 6 with daytime temperatures reaching 23 to 28.
Forecast for Dubbo (32.2452°S, 148.6042°E, 257m AMSL) Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Summary 
Minimum 5° 7° 4° 5° 8° 11° 11° Maximum 25° 21° 20° 23° 24° 21° 24° Chance of rain 5% 5% 5% 30% 90% 90% 90% Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm 5-10mm 20-40mm 5-10mm UV index High High High High - - - Frost risk Slight Nil Slight Slight Nil Nil Nil 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 17
(km/h)25
(km/h)17
(km/h)23
(km/h)26
(km/h)27
(km/h)21
(km/h)16
(km/h)21
(km/h)25
(km/h)31
(km/h)32
(km/h)27
(km/h)25
(km/h)Wind direction NNW WNW SW SW ESE ESE E ENE NE NNE NNE NNE N NNW Relative humidity 58% 26% 54% 28% 60% 34% 59% 36% 60% 42% 77% 71% 85% 55% Dew point 9°C 4°C 7°C 1°C 6°C 3°C 7°C 6°C 10°C 10°C 14°C 15°C 15°C 14°C -
28 Day Rainfall forecast
Dubbo Rain Forecast
Dubbo 28-day Rainfall ForecastSUNMONTUEWEDTHUFRISAT24
25
26
27
28
MEDIUM29
HIGH30
HIGHOct 1
MEDIUM2
LOW3
4
5
6
MEDIUM7
MEDIUM8
9
LOW10
MEDIUM11
LOW12
LOW13
LOW14
15
MEDIUM16
LOW17
LOW18
19
20
21
MEDIUM22
CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICTNIL < 25%LOW 25% to 50%MEDIUM 50% to 75%HIGH ≥ 75%Issued Sep23Issue Notes
The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively fast moving in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.
Summary:
Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 7 October to 11 October, 13 October to 17 October, and 22 October to 26 October. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 5 October to 9 October, and 14 October to 18 October. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 28 September to 2 October, 8 October to 12 October, and 14 October to 18 October.
Forecast ExplanationThis forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.
The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.
In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.
-
12 Month Rainfall Forecast
Dubbo Rain Forecast
Dubbo 12-month Rainfall ForecastSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAug20212022688687764664105012 - 34 - 78 - 910Well below normalBelow normalNear normalAbove normalWell above normalIssue Notes - Issued Sep 16
ENSO status: Neutral, however five of seven models suggest La Niña thresholds may be met again between October and January. IOD status: Neutral, returning from negative values in the recent weeks. SAM status: Positive. The El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is currently neutral. However, there are growing signs that La Niña could redevelop in the Pacific Ocean later this year, which has prompted the US Climate Prediction Centre to increase its prediction of La Niña occurring this year to 70-80 percent. However their thresholds are lower than the Bureau of Meteorology's. Five of seven models forecast temperatures may reach or exceed La Niña thresholds between October and January. Three of seven predicted an established event, which requires La Nina thresholds to be met for three months. La Niña typically brings above average rainfall in northern and eastern Australia. The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is currently neutral, returning from negative values in the recent weeks. Three of five models areforecasting the IOD event will officially end in October, with all models ending the event in December. A negative IOD generates above average rain to southern and eastern Australia. As such, average to above average rainfall is predicted across much of the country this winter and spring.
-
Long range rainfall forecast
Dubbo Rain Forecast
Dubbo 28-day Rainfall ForecastSUNMONTUEWEDTHUFRISAT24
25
26
27
28
MEDIUM29
HIGH30
HIGHOct 1
MEDIUM2
LOW3
4
5
6
MEDIUM7
MEDIUM8
9
LOW10
MEDIUM11
LOW12
LOW13
LOW14
15
MEDIUM16
LOW17
LOW18
19
20
21
MEDIUM22
CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICTNIL < 25%LOW 25% to 50%MEDIUM 50% to 75%HIGH ≥ 75%Issued Sep23Issue Notes
The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively fast moving in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.
Summary:
Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 7 October to 11 October, 13 October to 17 October, and 22 October to 26 October. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 5 October to 9 October, and 14 October to 18 October. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 28 September to 2 October, 8 October to 12 October, and 14 October to 18 October.
Forecast ExplanationThis forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.
The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.
In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.
-
Popup - Daily historical
-
Past 5 Days
Dubbo Past 5 Days
This MonthMinimum Maximum Rainfall Sunday
Sep 191.2 °C 21.0 °C 1.6 mmMonday
Sep 201.8 °C 24.0 °C 0.2 mmTuesday
Sep 214.0 °C 12.7 °C 0.0 mmWednesday
Sep 22-0.3 °C 19.9 °C 0.0 mmThursday
Sep 231.5 °C 21.6 °C 0.0 mmLegend -
Almanac
Almanac
Dubbo minimum temp history (32.2452°S, 148.6042°E, 257m AMSL) MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE Hottest this month 27.5° 12/09/2021 Coldest this month -0.3° 22/09/2021 Hottest on record 33.7 22/09/2003 Coldest on record -3.2 07/09/1995 Hottest this year 39.3° 27/01/2021 Coldest this year -4.4° 30/07/2021 Long term average 21.4° Long term average 6.1° Average this month 21.1° Average this month 4.4° Hottest September On Record Avg. max. temp. 24.2° 2013 Coldest September on record Avg. min. temp. 3.6° 1994 Dubbo rainfall history (32.2452°S, 148.6042°E, 257m AMSL) RAINFALL Wettest This Month 17.0mm 05/09/2021 Total This Month 19.0mm
4.0 daysLong Term Average 45.3mm 7.1 days Wettest September on record 157.8mm 2016 Driest on record 0.6mm 2007 -
Popup - Radar
Weather Radar for Australia
Australia Radars
- Adelaide
- Adelaide Airport
- Adelaide Sellicks
- Albany
- Alice Springs
- Bairnsdale
- Bowen
- Brewarrina
- Brisbane
- Brisbane Airport
- Brisbane Marburg
- Broadmeadows
- Broome
- Cairns
- Cairns Airport
- Canberra
- Carnarvon
- Ceduna
- Coffs Harbour
- Dampier
- Darwin
- Darwin Airport
- Emerald
- Esperance
- Eucla
- Geraldton
- Giles
-
Year to Date
Dubbo Year To Date
Average Rainfall To Sep 417.6mm 68.7 day(s) Total For 2021 617.0mm 83.0 day(s) Total To This Day 2020 598.8mm 104.0 day(s) Wettest Day 65.2mm Mar18 Lowest Temperature -4.4°C Jul30 Highest Temperature 39.3°C Jan27 -
Popup - Monthly historical
-
Climatology
Climate History
Dubbo Climatology
Dubbo Long-Term Averages
Long-Term Averages Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann Mean Max (°C) 33.6 32.0 29.0 24.8 20.1 16.4 15.7 17.6 21.4 25.2 28.9 31.6 24.6 Mean Min (°C) 18.4 17.6 14.7 10.4 6.5 4.4 3.0 3.2 6.1 9.5 13.5 16.0 10.2 Mean Rain (mm) 51.0 48.4 66.3 34.4 36.1 52.4 44.7 39.0 45.3 47.4 55.8 63.4 576.1 Mean Rain Days 7.1 6.7 6.7 4.6 6.6 10.9 11.5 7.5 7.1 7.2 7.2 6.9 89.1
