Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology, New South Wales
Minor Flood Warning For The Darling River
Issued at 02:59 PM EDT on Friday 20 December 2024
Flood Warning Number: 16
MINOR FLOODING POSSIBLE AT BOURKE FROM LATE NEXT WEEK
The main peak along the Barwon River has now passed Brewarrina and is approaching Bourke. Flooding is no longer expected at Brewarrina, where river levels are expected to remain below the minor flood level during Friday.
Along the Darling River at Bourke, minor flooding is possible from late next week as this peak continues to move downstream.
Peak predictions will be refined as upstream peaks are observed.
Barwon River downstream of Walgett to Brewarrina:
Flooding is no longer expected along the Barwon River at Brewarrina.
The Barwon River at Brewarrina is currently at 4.74 metres and falling, below the minor flood level (6.40 metres).
The Barwon River at Brewarrina is expected to remain below the minor flood level (6.40 m).
Barwon and Darling Rivers downstream of Brewarrina to Bourke:
Minor flooding may occur along the Darling River at Bourke.
The Darling River at Bourke is currently at 7.66 metres and rising, below the minor flood level.
The Darling River at Bourke may reach the minor flood level (9.50 m) late next week.
Flood Safety Advice:
In life threatening emergencies, call 000 (triple zero) immediately. If you require rescue, assistance to evacuate or other emergency help, ring NSW SES on 132 500.
* Avoid drowning. Stay out of rising water, seek refuge in the highest available place.
* Prevent damage to your vehicle. Move it under cover, away from areas likely to flood.
* Avoid being swept away. Stay out of fast-flowing creeks and storm drains.
* Never drive, ride or walk through flood water. Flood water can be deceptive and dangerous.}
For more emergency information, advice, and access to the latest river heights and rainfall observations and forecasts:
* NSW SES: www.ses.nsw.gov.au
* RMS Live Traffic: www.livetraffic.com
* Latest River Heights and Rainfall Observations: www.bom.gov.au/nsw/flood/outerwest.shtml
* Latest NSW Warnings: www.bom.gov.au/nsw/warnings/
* Rainfall Forecasts: www.bom.gov.au/australia/meteye/
* BOM NSW Twitter: www.twitter.com/BOM_NSW
Next issue:
The next warning will be issued by 03:00 pm EDT on Monday 23 December 2024.
Latest River Heights:
Barwon River at Eagle Farm,1.89,Steady,02:45 PM FRI 20/12/24
Barwon River at Mungindi,3.25,Steady,02:30 PM FRI 20/12/24
Barwon River at Mogil Mogil,1.87,Steady,02:45 PM FRI 20/12/24
Barwon River at Collarenebri,1.92,Steady,02:00 PM FRI 20/12/24
Barwon River at Walgett,4.46,Steady,02:45 PM FRI 20/12/24
Barwon River at Brewarrina,4.74,Falling,02:45 PM FRI 20/12/24
Darling River at Bourke,7.66,Rising,02:45 PM FRI 20/12/24
Darling River at Louth,6.25,Steady,01:45 PM FRI 20/12/24
Darling River at Tilpa,5.21,Steady,01:15 PM FRI 20/12/24
Darling River at Wilcannia,1.78,Steady,02:00 PM FRI 20/12/24
Darling River at Nelia Gaari,60.13,Steady,02:00 PM FRI 20/12/24
Darling River at Menindee Town,3.51,Steady,02:30 PM FRI 20/12/24
Darling River at Menindee Weir 32,1.61,Steady,02:00 PM FRI 20/12/24
Channel Outlet at Lake Cawndilla,54.55,Steady,02:30 PM FRI 20/12/24
Great Darling Anabranch at Offtake,1.70,Steady,02:00 PM FRI 20/12/24
Great Darling Anabranch at Wycot,1.51,Steady,02:00 PM FRI 20/12/24
Darling River at Pooncarie,2.17,Steady,02:00 PM FRI 20/12/24
Darling Anabranch at U/S Dam,0.68,Steady,02:00 PM FRI 20/12/24
Darling Anabranch at D/S Dam,1.89,Steady,02:00 PM FRI 20/12/24
Darling River at Burtundy,0.96,Steady,02:00 PM FRI 20/12/24
Great Darling Anabranch at Bulpunga,1.28,Steady,02:00 PM FRI 20/12/24
Great Darling Anabranch at Tara Downs,0.97,Steady,02:00 PM FRI 20/12/24
This advice is also available by dialling 1300 659 210. Warning, rainfall and river information are available at www.bom.gov.au/nsw/flood. The latest weather forecast is available at www.bom.gov.au/nsw/forecasts.
Forecast
Dubbo (32.2452°S, 148.6042°E, 257m AMSL) set as my default location ›
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My MLA
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Current condition
TODAY17° 37° Chance of rain: 5% Likely amount: < 1mm First
lightLast light Sunrise Sunset 5:28am EDT 5:56am EDT 8:13pm EDT 8:41pm EDT NOW20.4° Feels Like: 18.4° Relative Humidity: 62% Dew: 12.9° Wind: E 15km/h Gust: 17km/h Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm Pressure: 1006.7hPa -
Today Weather
DubboNow19.7°cFeels Like:17.4°Wind:S 7km/hGusts:9km/hHumidity:41%17°Min37°MaxToday in DubboSunny morning. The chance of a thunderstorm in the N in the afternoon. Winds SE/SW 15 to 20 km/h tending W/SW 15 to 25 km/h in the morning then tending S/SW 15 to 20 km/h in the late evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 14 and 20 with daytime temperatures reaching 33 to 39.Tomorrow17°Min27°MaxSunny. Winds SW 25 to 40 km/h. Overnight temperatures falling to between 13 and 19 with daytime temperatures reaching 25 to 30. -
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Warnings
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7 day forecast
Today: Sunny morning. The chance of a thunderstorm in the N in the afternoon. Winds SE/SW 15 to 20 km/h tending W/SW 15 to 25 km/h in the morning then tending S/SW 15 to 20 km/h in the late evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 14 and 20 with daytime temperatures reaching 33 to 39.
Forecast for Dubbo (32.2452°S, 148.6042°E, 257m AMSL) Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Summary Minimum 17° 17° 11° 13° 17° 23° 19° Maximum 37° 27° 30° 33° 37° 39° 32° Chance of rain 5% 5% 5% 5% 40% 70% 5% Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm < 1mm UV index Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme Fire Danger Rating High High High Moderate - - - Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 19
(km/h)23
(km/h)27
(km/h)30
(km/h)20
(km/h)20
(km/h)19
(km/h)11
(km/h)21
(km/h)22
(km/h)34
(km/h)32
(km/h)18
(km/h)22
(km/h)Wind direction E W SW SW SSW SSW E S NE NNE N NNW SW WSW Relative humidity 54% 20% 36% 20% 39% 23% 53% 23% 48% 24% 41% 30% 37% 21% Dew point 16°C 9°C 7°C 1°C 4°C 5°C 11°C 8°C 14°C 12°C 15°C 17°C 10°C 7°C -
28 Day Rainfall forecast
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12 Month Rainfall Forecast
Dubbo Rain Forecast
Dubbo 12-month Rainfall ForecastDecJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNov20242025898888661735105012 - 34 - 78 - 910Well below normalBelow normalNear normalAbove normalWell above normalIssue Notes - Issued Dec 10
ENSO status: La Niña Watch. IOD status: Neutral. SAM status: Negative. Trending positive. The El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is in a La Niña Watch. The current technical definition of a La Niña is only a small chance to be met, although ocean and atmospheric conditions do resemble a La Niña pattern. Trade winds are still stronger than average along the western equatorial Pacific, and Relative-Nino Index (factors in equatorial ocean temperatures elsewhere around the world, compensating for the background warming signal) is below the threshold. A La Niña typically leads to cooler temperatures northern Australia during summer, while producing higher temperatures for western/southwestern WA, Vic and western Tas. The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is in a neutral phase. Recent conditions have been like a negative IOD, but it is too late in the year for this climate driver to develop. Once the monsoon establishes over northern Australia, the IOD has no impact on Australia’s weather. The Southern AnnularMode (SAM) is in a brief negative phase, having switched a positive phase in November. Forecasts predict it will become neural in mid-late December and become positive in January and February. A positive SAM decreases the frequency of cold fronts, with more regular high pressure systems and easterly winds. During summer, this increases rainfall over eastern Australia, and reduces rainfall over southeastern SA, western Vic and western Tas. Rainfall outlooks are showing above average rainfall over large parts of the country during summer, with closer to average conditions for the southwest corner of WA, southern SA and Vic, and central parts of Tas.
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Popup - Daily historical
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Long range rainfall forecast
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Past 5 Days
Dubbo Past 5 Days
This MonthMinimum Maximum Rainfall Tuesday
Dec 1719.9 °C 37.0 °C 0.0 mmWednesday
Dec 1821.0 °C 29.9 °C 0.0 mmThursday
Dec 1912.5 °C 29.9 °C 0.0 mmFriday
Dec 2012.5 °C 32.0 °C 0.0 mmSaturday
Dec 2114.3 °C 35.9 °C 0.0 mmLegend -
Almanac
Almanac
Dubbo minimum temp history (32.2452°S, 148.6042°E, 257m AMSL) MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE Hottest this month 37.2° 16/12/2024 Coldest this month 11.5° 12/12/2024 Hottest on record 42.1 22/12/1994 Coldest on record 4.5 28/12/1993 Hottest this year 40.6° 04/02/2024 Coldest this year -2.6° 30/07/2024 Long term average 31.5° Long term average 15.9° Average this month 32.9° Average this month 17.5° Hottest December On Record Avg. max. temp. 34.4° 2005 Coldest December on record Avg. min. temp. 13.7° 1993 Dubbo rainfall history (32.2452°S, 148.6042°E, 257m AMSL) RAINFALL Wettest This Month 32.8mm 06/12/2024 Total This Month 64.2mm
5.0 daysLong Term Average 61.9mm 7.0 days Wettest December on record 188.8mm 2009 Driest on record 2.6mm 2019 -
Year to Date
Dubbo Year To Date
Average Rainfall To Dec 604.2mm 92.0 day(s) Total For 2024 787.2mm 114.0 day(s) Total To This Day 2023 420.0mm 75.0 day(s) Wettest Day 44.6mm Nov18 Lowest Temperature -2.6°C Jul30 Highest Temperature 40.6°C Feb 4 -
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Popup - Monthly historical
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Climatology
Climate History
Dubbo Climatology
Dubbo Long-Term Averages
Long-Term Averages Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann Mean Max (°C) 33.5 32.1 29.2 24.8 20.0 16.3 15.7 17.7 21.5 25.2 28.6 31.5 24.6 Mean Min (°C) 18.4 17.6 14.9 10.4 6.5 4.3 3.1 3.3 6.0 9.5 13.5 15.9 10.2 Mean Rain (mm) 55.6 49.7 64.8 43.3 36.6 50.4 45.0 41.5 44.4 50.5 60.5 61.9 599.4 Mean Rain Days 7.3 6.8 6.9 4.9 6.7 11.0 11.5 8.0 7.0 7.2 7.7 7.0 91.1