Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Victoria
Cancellation of Warning to Sheep Graziers
for North East and West and South Gippsland forecast districts
Issued at 10:41 AM EST on Saturday 21 September 2024
Cancellation of Warning to Sheep Graziers for the following areas:
North East and West and South Gippsland forecast districts
The Warning to Sheep Graziers for the North East and West and South Gippsland forecast districts has been cancelled.
No further warnings will be issued for this event.
Forecast
Winton (36.5289°S, 146.0901°E, 184m AMSL) set as my default location ›
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My MLA
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Current condition
TODAY6° 16° possible shower Chance of rain: 60% Likely amount: < 1mm First
lightLast light Sunrise Sunset 5:41am EST 6:07am EST 6:12pm EST 6:38pm EST NOW14.5° Feels Like: 9.7° Relative Humidity: 65% Dew: 8.0° Wind: NW 22km/h Gust: 26km/h Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm Pressure: 1012.3hPa -
Today Weather
WintonNow14.5°cFeels Like:10.2°Wind:W 19km/hGusts:20km/hHumidity:60%6°Min16°MaxToday in WintonCloudy. Very high chance of showers. Snow falling above 1200 metres. Winds NW 20 to 30 km/h. Daytime maximum temperatures between 8 and 16.Tomorrow7°Min17°MaxCloudy. High chance of showers, most likely in the morning and afternoon. Snow falling above 1500 metres. Winds NW 15 to 25 km/h. Overnight temperatures falling to between 4 and 7 with daytime temperatures reaching between 9 and 17. -
Radar
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Popup Radar
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Warnings
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7 day forecast
Today: Cloudy. Very high chance of showers. Snow falling above 1200 metres. Winds NW 20 to 30 km/h. Daytime maximum temperatures between 8 and 16.
Forecast for Winton (36.5289°S, 146.0901°E, 184m AMSL) Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Summary Minimum 6° 7° 6° 7° 12° 5° 2° Maximum 16° 17° 20° 23° 18° 16° 17° Chance of rain 60% 50% 20% 80% 80% 10% 20% Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm 5-10mm 5-10mm < 1mm < 1mm UV index Moderate Moderate High High High High High Fire Danger Rating No Rating No Rating Moderate Moderate No Rating - - Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Slight Moderate 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 18
(km/h)18
(km/h)13
(km/h)15
(km/h)5
(km/h)12
(km/h)10
(km/h)12
(km/h)11
(km/h)16
(km/h)15
(km/h)14
(km/h)7
(km/h)4
(km/h)Wind direction WNW WNW WNW WNW N WNW E NE NW SW S SSW E WNW Relative humidity 84% 58% 81% 62% 75% 53% 70% 54% 88% 80% 61% 46% 62% 49% Dew point 8°C 8°C 8°C 10°C 8°C 10°C 10°C 14°C 16°C 13°C 4°C 5°C 3°C 6°C -
28 Day Rainfall forecast
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12 Month Rainfall Forecast
Winton Rain Forecast
Winton 12-month Rainfall ForecastSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAug20242025566687732874105012 - 34 - 78 - 910Well below normalBelow normalNear normalAbove normalWell above normalIssue Notes - Issued Sep 9
ENSO status: La Niña Watch. IOD status: Neutral. SAM status: Neutral. Favouring negative. The El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is in a La Niña Watch, meaning there is approximately a 50% chance of a La Niña developing this year. Overall, models are now starting to look more like La Niña, with more widespread ocean cooling occurring in the South Pacific, and the 30-day SOI now above +7. While these are good signs that La Nina is starting to develop, a declaration would likely happen no earlier than November, meaning this is more likely to be a late and weaker event if it does eventuate. A La Niña typically increases rainfall over northern and southeastern Australia during spring, but has little effect for southwestern WA. The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is in a neutral phase and is now unlikely to develop into either phase this spring. Conditions are closer to a positive IOD than to a negative phase, so there may be some minor reductions in the frequency of northwest cloudbands impacting Australia. A neutral IOD tends to bring a small increase in spring rainfall for southwest WA, but has little effect elsewhere. The Southern Annular Mode (SAM) is now neutral, having recovered from the initial sudden Stratospheric Warming (SW) event over Antarctica in mid-July. However, another SW event is occurring in mid September that may further dampen the polar vortex. These events increase the chances of negative SAM events during September and October. A negative SAM increases the frequency of cold fronts. During spring, this increases rainfall over western Tas and southern Vic, but decreases rainfall over eastern Australia. Rainfall outlooks are showing close to average for most of the country during September and October, with a higher chance of above average rainfall for northern and eastern Australia from November. Models are also hinting that rainfall is more likely to arrive in the form of showers and thunderstorms, rather than broad rainbands, meaning rainfall in practice will likely be hit-and-missfor most of Australia this spring.
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Popup - Daily historical
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Long range rainfall forecast
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Past 5 Days
Winton Past 5 Days
This MonthMinimum Maximum Rainfall Tuesday
Sep 170.4 °C 17.0 °C 0.0 mmWednesday
Sep 18-2.0 °C 21.4 °C 0.0 mmThursday
Sep 191.1 °C 17.7 °C 0.0 mmFriday
Sep 20-0.6 °C - 0.0 mmSaturday
Sep 21- - 6.0 mmLegend -
Almanac
Almanac
Winton minimum temp history (36.5289°S, 146.0901°E, 184m AMSL) MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE Hottest this month 27.5° 06/09/2024 Coldest this month -2.3° 15/09/2024 Hottest on record 30.0 27/09/2008 Coldest on record -2.7 05/09/2007 Hottest this year 38.0° 04/02/2024 Coldest this year -3.2° 01/08/2024 Long term average 17.9° Long term average 4.5° Average this month 18.0° Average this month 4.4° Hottest September On Record Avg. max. temp. 18.9° 2013 Coldest September on record Avg. min. temp. 3.0° 2007 Winton rainfall history (36.5289°S, 146.0901°E, 184m AMSL) RAINFALL Wettest This Month 3.2mm 07/09/2024 Total This Month 8.5mm
6.0 daysLong Term Average 41.4mm 10.2 days Wettest September on record 138.7mm 2016 Driest on record 10.4mm 2008 -
Year to Date
Winton Year To Date
Average Rainfall To Sep 461.4mm 97.8 day(s) Total For 2024 359.7mm 61.0 day(s) Total To This Day 2023 523.8mm 125.0 day(s) Wettest Day 54.0mm Jan 3 Lowest Temperature -3.2°C Aug 1 Highest Temperature 38.0°C Feb 4 -
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Popup - Monthly historical
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Climatology
Climate History
Winton Climatology
Winton Long-Term Averages
Long-Term Averages Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann Mean Max (°C) 32.2 30.8 27.6 22.5 17.4 14.0 13.3 14.5 17.9 22.1 26.4 29.2 22.3 Mean Min (°C) 16.0 15.2 12.6 8.2 5.0 3.4 3.1 3.4 4.5 7.1 11.0 13.3 8.6 Mean Rain (mm) 53.3 37.2 53.2 49.1 46.9 58.4 62.1 59.8 41.4 50.9 52.3 48.4 619.5 Mean Rain Days 6.5 5.8 7.4 7.4 10.8 15.3 18.9 15.5 10.2 9.6 8.8 7.1 125.6