Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Victoria
Brown Rot Advice
for Mallee, Wimmera, Northern Country, North Central, North East, South West, Central, West and South Gippsland and East Gippsland forecast districts
Issued at 04:57 PM EDT on Sunday 24 November 2024
Severe Brown Rot Advice for the following areas:
Mallee, Wimmera, Northern Country, North East, South West, Central, West and South Gippsland and East Gippsland forecast districts
Stone fruit growers in the Wimmera, North East, South West, West and South Gippsland and East Gippsland forecast districts and parts of the Mallee, Northern Country and Central forecast districts are advised that rainfall and accompanying high humidity during Sunday and Monday are conducive to a heavy outbreak of brown rot.
Brown Rot Advice for the following areas:
North Central forecast district
Stone fruit growers in the North Central forecast district are advised that rainfall and accompanying high humidity during Sunday and Monday may be conducive to an outbreak of brown rot.
The next warning will be issued by 11:00 pm EDT Sunday.
Forecast
Rutherglen (36.0537°S, 146.4593°E, 171m AMSL) set as my default location ›
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My MLA
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Current condition
TODAY16° 30° late shower Chance of rain: 90% Likely amount: 5-10mm First
lightLast light Sunrise Sunset 5:23am EDT 5:52am EDT 8:09pm EDT 8:39pm EDT NOW21.3° Feels Like: 20.0° Relative Humidity: 76% Dew: 16.9° Wind: S 19km/h Gust: 26km/h Rainfall since 9am: 0.2mm Pressure: -
Today Weather
RutherglenNow20.1°cFeels Like:22.0°Wind:S 9km/hGusts:9km/hHumidity:99%16°Min30°MaxToday in RutherglenCloudy. High chance of rain. Light winds.Tomorrow14°Min25°MaxCloudy. Very high chance of rain. The chance of a thunderstorm, possibly severe. Light winds. Overnight temperatures falling to between 13 and 16 with daytime temperatures reaching between 18 and 25. -
Radar
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Popup Radar
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Warnings
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7 day forecast
Today: Cloudy. High chance of rain. Light winds.
Forecast for Rutherglen (36.0537°S, 146.4593°E, 171m AMSL) Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Summary Minimum 16° 14° 13° 14° 11° 11° 13° Maximum 30° 25° 28° 29° 27° 28° 28° Chance of rain 90% 80% 90% 80% 60% 90% 70% Likely amount 5-10mm 5-10mm 10-20mm 20-40mm 5-10mm 10-20mm 5-10mm UV index Extreme Extreme Extreme Very High Very High Extreme Very High Fire Danger Rating Moderate No Rating Moderate Moderate Moderate - - Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 7
(km/h)17
(km/h)10
(km/h)10
(km/h)9
(km/h)14
(km/h)16
(km/h)18
(km/h)12
(km/h)11
(km/h)14
(km/h)12
(km/h)10
(km/h)12
(km/h)Wind direction E SW SSE SSE NE NNE ENE N E N E ENE NE WNW Relative humidity 48% 72% 77% 67% 81% 63% 76% 65% 74% 50% 67% 52% 73% 48% Dew point 13°C 17°C 19°C 18°C 20°C 19°C 19°C 21°C 15°C 15°C 15°C 16°C 17°C 15°C -
28 Day Rainfall forecast
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12 Month Rainfall Forecast
Rutherglen Rain Forecast
Rutherglen 12-month Rainfall ForecastNovDecJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct20242025677775674944105012 - 34 - 78 - 910Well below normalBelow normalNear normalAbove normalWell above normalIssue Notes - Issued Nov 18
ENSO status: La Niña Watch. IOD status: Neutral. SAM status: Positive. Trending positive. The El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is in a La Niña Watch, meaning there is approximately a 50% chance of a La Niña developing this year. The current technical definition of a La Niña is only a small chance to be met, although ocean and atmospheric conditions do resemble a La Niña pattern. Trade winds are still stronger than average along the western equatorial Pacific, and the Nino3.4 is low, but is above the threshold of -0.8C. However, the Relative-Nino Index (factors in equatorial ocean temperatures elsewhere around the world, compensating for the background warming signal) is below the threshold. A La Niña typically increases rainfall over northern and eastern Australia (especially eastern Qld) during summer, but has little effect for WA and SA. The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is in a neutral phase. Recent conditions have been similar to a negative IOD, but this has likely been heavily affected by veryactive bursts of tropical weather in mid-October and mid-late November. Regardless if these conditions continue, the arrival of the monsoon over northern Australia overwrites any IOD effects, so this driver is unlikely to significantly affect Australia this year. The Southern Annular Mode (SAM) is in a positive phase, having switched from the negative phase that persisted from July to October. This positive event is expected to persist through summer as a result of stratospheric moisture from the 2022 Tongan volcanic eruption (similar to the past two summers). A positive SAM decreases the frequency of cold fronts, with more regular high pressure systems and easterly winds. During summer, this increases rainfall over eastern Australia, and reduces rainfall over southeastern SA, western Vic and western Tas. Rainfall outlooks are showing above average rainfall over western, northern and eastern Australia, with strong signals over the Kimberley, Top End and Cape York Peninsula (likely related to forecastmonsoon activity). Drier conditions are expected for western Tas, with average conditions for SA and western Vic.
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Popup - Daily historical
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Long range rainfall forecast
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Past 5 Days
Rutherglen Past 5 Days
This MonthMinimum Maximum Rainfall Wednesday
Nov 204.6 °C 30.8 °C 0.0 mmThursday
Nov 2110.2 °C 34.3 °C 0.0 mmFriday
Nov 2213.6 °C 35.1 °C 0.0 mmSaturday
Nov 2314.4 °C 37.4 °C 0.0 mmSunday
Nov 2416.5 °C 27.2 °C 0.0 mmLegend -
Almanac
Almanac
Rutherglen minimum temp history (36.0537°S, 146.4593°E, 171m AMSL) MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE Hottest this month 37.4° 23/11/2024 Coldest this month 1.2° 09/11/2024 Hottest on record 41.8 26/11/1997 Coldest on record -2.8 27/11/1967 Hottest this year 39.2° 04/02/2024 Coldest this year -4.5° 19/05/2024 Long term average 25.4° Long term average 8.7° Average this month 29.2° Average this month 8.0° Hottest November On Record Avg. max. temp. 30.8° 2009 Coldest November on record Avg. min. temp. 4.7° 1967 Rutherglen rainfall history (36.0537°S, 146.4593°E, 171m AMSL) RAINFALL Wettest This Month 15.0mm 18/11/2024 Total This Month 30.4mm
5.0 daysLong Term Average 46.3mm 7.6 days Wettest November on record 138.4mm 1946 Driest on record 1.1mm 1967 -
Year to Date
Rutherglen Year To Date
Average Rainfall To Nov 542.7mm 102.1 day(s) Total For 2024 432.8mm 93.0 day(s) Total To This Day 2023 646.2mm 120.0 day(s) Wettest Day 44.8mm May31 Lowest Temperature -4.5°C May19 Highest Temperature 39.2°C Feb 4 -
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Popup - Monthly historical
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Climatology
Climate History
Rutherglen Climatology
Rutherglen Long-Term Averages
Long-Term Averages Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann Mean Max (°C) 31.4 30.8 27.4 22.0 17.1 13.4 12.5 14.1 17.3 21.0 25.4 29.3 21.8 Mean Min (°C) 13.7 13.9 10.9 7.0 4.2 2.5 2.0 2.7 4.1 6.2 8.7 11.4 7.3 Mean Rain (mm) 39.7 37.3 39.2 40.4 51.4 56.7 60.2 59.9 53.6 58.0 46.3 45.0 587.6 Mean Rain Days 5.3 4.9 5.3 6.8 9.9 12.8 14.6 14.2 10.9 9.8 7.6 6.3 108.4