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Forecast

Jacup (33.7783°S, 119.2878°E, 265m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Sunny 17° 40°
    Chance of rain: 10%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light     		Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    4:17am WST 4:46am WST 7:10pm WST 7:39pm WST
    NOW
    38.8° Feels Like: 32.3°
    Relative Humidity: 8%
    Dew: -1.3°
    Wind: NW 22km/h
    Gust: 35km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure: 1012.4hPa

  3. Today Weather

    Jacup
    Now
    38.0°c
    Feels Like:
    32.2°
    Wind:
    WNW 20km/h
    Gusts:
    33km/h
    Humidity:
    10%
    Sunny
     
    17°
    Min
    40°
    Max
    Today in Jacup
    Very hot and sunny. Winds NW/NE 15 to 20 km/h tending SE/SW 20 to 30 km/h in the middle of the day then becoming light in the evening. Daytime maximum temperatures 32 to 41.
    Tomorrow
    Mostly sunny
    17°
    Min
    42°
    Max
    Very hot and mostly sunny. Light winds becoming NE/SE 15 to 20 km/h in the morning then tending SE/SW 20 to 30 km/h in the middle of the day. Overnight temperatures falling to between 14 and 17 with daytime temperatures reaching 33 to 44.

  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours

  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Very hot and sunny. Winds NW/NE 15 to 20 km/h tending SE/SW 20 to 30 km/h in the middle of the day then becoming light in the evening. Daytime maximum temperatures 32 to 41.

    Forecast for Jacup (33.7783°S, 119.2878°E, 265m AMSL)
      Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri
    Summary Sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Showers increasing
    Minimum 17° 17° 14° 14° 14° 16° 12°
    Maximum 40° 42° 33° 31° 34° 34° 24°
    Chance of rain 10% 10% 5% 5% 5% 40% 60%
    Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm
    UV index Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 15
    (km/h)     		15
    (km/h)     		15
    (km/h)     		15
    (km/h)     		16
    (km/h)     		24
    (km/h)     		15
    (km/h)     		25
    (km/h)     		15
    (km/h)     		18
    (km/h)     		15
    (km/h)     		22
    (km/h)     		20
    (km/h)     		25
    (km/h)
    Wind direction N SSW NE WSW SSE SSE S S ESE SE WSW SW SSW S
    Relative humidity 19% 14% 16% 12% 45% 32% 53% 36% 51% 31% 40% 29% 56% 46%
    Dew point 7°C 7°C 5°C 7°C 13°C 13°C 13°C 13°C 14°C 15°C 13°C 13°C 11°C 11°C

  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Jacup Rain Forecast

    Jacup 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    14
    15
    16
    17
    18
    19
    LOW
    20
    LOW
    21
    LOW
    22
    LOW
    23
    MEDIUM
    24
    LOW
    25
    LOW
    26
    LOW
    27
    LOW
    28
    MEDIUM
    29
    LOW
    30
    31
    Jan 1
    2
    LOW
    3
    MEDIUM
    4
    LOW
    5
    6
    LOW
    7
    8
    9
    10
    11
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Dec14

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, Western Australia, New Zealand, the southeast Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 23 December to 27 December, 30 December to 3 January, and 12 January to 16 January. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 26 December to 30 December, 31 December to 4 January, and 5 January to 9 January. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 23 December to 27 December, 28 December to 1 January, and 11 January to 15 January.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Jacup Rain Forecast

    Jacup 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    2019
    2020
    6
    8
    6
    7
    5
    6
    6
    5
    5
    6
    5
    7
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Dec 11

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Positive SAM status: Negative Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific continued to exhibit a slight warming during November. The Nino3.4 index lingered between 0.6 and 0.7 throughout the month of November. However, this has dropped to 0.4 since early December. On the other hand, the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -9.3 in November. The current outlook continues to suggest warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the coming months, but remaining within neutral values. Seven out of eight international models maintain a warmer than average equatorial Pacific Ocean through the first quarter of 2020, none of these reaching El Nino thresholds. The IRI ENSO forecast continues to suggest a less than 40% chance of another El Nino developing over the next 6 months, with a neutral ENSO the most likely outcome. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains in the positive side of neutral, though it has significant strength after peaking in October . All six international models maintain a positive event until January. In terms of rainfall across Australia, there is little variation to the outlook issued last month across the west. However, the climate outlook for the eastern states has seen a significant drying over the past 2 months. The current outlook now favours a clearer below average rainfall signal for the eastern states. This however, excludes any extreme weather events such as tropical cyclones in Qld or East Coast Lows. For northern Australia, the current outlook favours a late onset of the North Australian Monsoon (NAM) across the Northern Territory and Queensland. Usually, Darwin tends to see the onset of NAM around christmas day. Further south, a negative trend in the Southern Annular Mode (SAM) continues to enhance frontal activity over southern SA, Victoria, Tasmania and southern NSW. This has offset the Positive IOD in far southern Victoria and western Tasmania, which continue to see average-to-above average rainfall odds through December and early January. Looking further ahead, with no significant signature from ENSO, there are no significant climate drivers tilting the balance towards a drier or wetter summer. The current outlook suggests neutral odds for the second half of summer.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Jacup Rain Forecast

    Jacup 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    14
    15
    16
    17
    18
    19
    LOW
    20
    LOW
    21
    LOW
    22
    LOW
    23
    MEDIUM
    24
    LOW
    25
    LOW
    26
    LOW
    27
    LOW
    28
    MEDIUM
    29
    LOW
    30
    31
    Jan 1
    2
    LOW
    3
    MEDIUM
    4
    LOW
    5
    6
    LOW
    7
    8
    9
    10
    11
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Dec14

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, Western Australia, New Zealand, the southeast Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 23 December to 27 December, 30 December to 3 January, and 12 January to 16 January. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 26 December to 30 December, 31 December to 4 January, and 5 January to 9 January. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 23 December to 27 December, 28 December to 1 January, and 11 January to 15 January.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Jacup Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Tuesday
    Dec 10     		9.4 °C 26.4 °C
    0.0 mm
    Wednesday
    Dec 11     		11.2 °C 24.9 °C
    0.0 mm
    Thursday
    Dec 12     		13.0 °C 31.4 °C
    0.0 mm
    Friday
    Dec 13     		13.7 °C 37 °C
    0.0 mm
    Saturday
    Dec 14     		15 °C -
    0.0 mm
    Legend

  14. Almanac

    Almanac

    Jacup minimum temp history (33.7783°S, 119.2878°E, 265m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 38.2° 03/12/2019 Coldest this month 5.9° 09/12/2019
    Hottest on record 43.8 15/12/2013 Coldest on record 1.3 04/12/2002
    Hottest this year 42.9° 20/01/2019 Coldest this year -0.8° 06/09/2019
    Long term average 26.2° Long term average 11.5°
    Average this month 30.7° Average this month 12.4°
    Hottest December On Record Avg. max. temp. 29.0° 2012 Coldest December on record Avg. min. temp. 9.9° 2005
    Jacup rainfall history (33.7783°S, 119.2878°E, 265m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 0.8mm 02/12/2019 Total This Month 0.8mm
    1.0 days
    Long Term Average 32.5mm 7.2 days Wettest December on record 94.6mm 2012

  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for WA

  16. Year to Date

    Jacup Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Dec 470.3mm 139.5 day(s)
    Total For 2019 278.2mm 93.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2018 285.8mm 150.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 34.2mm Mar 8
    Lowest Temperature -0.8°C Sep 6
    Highest Temperature 42.9°C Jan20

  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Jacup Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 27.9 27.4 25.8 22.9 19.7 16.7 15.6 16.8 18.8 21.9 24.8 26.2 22.1
    Mean Min (°C) 13.2 13.7 12.6 10.8 8.4 6.5 5.6 5.7 6.2 7.7 9.9 11.5 9.3
    Mean Rain (mm) 34.8 22.2 36.0 42.4 34.3 45.6 51.0 50.8 46.2 41.7 32.8 32.5 471.0
    Mean Rain Days 7.0 6.1 8.5 10.9 12.3 16.0 18.3 18.3 15.2 11.1 8.6 7.2 133.1

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