Forecast
Jacup (33.7783°S, 119.2878°E, 265m AMSL) set as my default location ›
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My MLA
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Current condition
TODAY16° 23° showers easing Chance of rain: 50% Likely amount: < 1mm First
lightLast light Sunrise Sunset 5:32am WST 5:57am WST 6:32pm WST 6:57pm WST NOW17.6° Feels Like: 17.2° Relative Humidity: 93% Dew: 16.5° Wind: NE 13km/h Gust: 15km/h Rainfall since 9am: 3.0mm Pressure: 1019.2hPa -
Today Weather
JacupNow18.6°cFeels Like:15.8°Wind:E 20km/hGusts:24km/hHumidity:73%16°Min23°MaxToday in JacupCloudy. Medium chance of showers or drizzle. Winds E/SE 20 to 30 km/h. Daytime maximum temperatures in the low to mid 20s.Tomorrow15°Min28°MaxPartly cloudy. Winds E 15 to 25 km/h becoming light in the late evening. Overnight temperatures falling to around 16 with daytime temperatures reaching 25 to 30. -
Radar
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Popup Radar
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Warnings
There are no current warnings for Jacup
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7 day forecast
Today: Cloudy. Medium chance of showers or drizzle. Winds E/SE 20 to 30 km/h. Daytime maximum temperatures in the low to mid 20s.
Forecast for Jacup (33.7783°S, 119.2878°E, 265m AMSL) Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Summary Minimum 16° 15° 16° 18° 15° 11° 10° Maximum 23° 28° 28° 29° 20° 19° 21° Chance of rain 50% 40% 50% 70% 60% 10% 10% Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm 1-5mm 1-5mm < 1mm < 1mm UV index Very High Very High Very High Very High - - - Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 11
(km/h)18
(km/h)20
(km/h)16
(km/h)20
(km/h)16
(km/h)14
(km/h)17
(km/h)21
(km/h)23
(km/h)21
(km/h)23
(km/h)12
(km/h)20
(km/h)Wind direction E SE ENE E NE NE N WSW SSW S S S SE SE Relative humidity 89% 71% 73% 46% 57% 53% 69% 52% 87% 82% 66% 56% 68% 55% Dew point 16°C 15°C 15°C 14°C 13°C 16°C 16°C 16°C 15°C 14°C 9°C 9°C 9°C 10°C -
28 Day Rainfall forecast
Jacup Rain Forecast
Jacup 28-day Rainfall ForecastSUNMONTUEWEDTHUFRISAT8
LOW9
LOW10
MEDIUM11
MEDIUM12
MEDIUM13
LOW14
15
16
LOW17
18
19
20
21
LOW22
LOW23
MEDIUM24
LOW25
LOW26
LOW27
LOW28
29
30
31
LOWApr 1
2
LOW3
LOW4
LOW5
CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICTNIL < 25%LOW 25% to 50%MEDIUM 50% to 75%HIGH ≥ 75%Issued Mar 8Issue Notes
The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.
Summary:
Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 13 March to 17 March, 22 March to 26 March, and 10 April to 14 April. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 17 March to 21 March, and 22 March to 26 March. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 13 March to 17 March, 21 March to 25 March, and 10 April to 14 April.
Forecast ExplanationThis forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.
The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.
In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.
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12 Month Rainfall Forecast
Jacup Rain Forecast
Jacup 12-month Rainfall ForecastMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFeb202120221066667767884105012 - 34 - 78 - 910Well below normalBelow normalNear normalAbove normalWell above normalIssue Notes - Issued Feb 5
ENSO status: La Niña IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Positive La Niña is likely at its peak which has brought long periods of cloud and rain to eastern and northern Australia.The majority of models predict that La Niña will continue through February, with 3 of 8 predicting to March and most of the models indicating a return to neutral conditions (neither El Niño nor La Niña) in April. Neutral conditions are predicted to continue into the Australian winter. La Nina typically brings above normal rainfall across much of Australia. While La Niña is expected to weaken, above normal rainfall and typical La Niña impacts are still expected. La Niña typically favours periods of positive SAM, which can increase the amount of precipitation along the eastern half of the country, due to prevailing onshore winds. During summer, much of the country is likely to remain wetter than normal, however normal rainfall is expected for western TAS. La Niña typically increases the number of cyclones and brought anearly start to the wet season. During Autumn, many parts of Australia are likely to be wetter than normal, due to warmer waters off the northeast coast of Australia. Southern parts of SA, VIC and most of TAS are likely to observe normal precipitation for the time of year.
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Long range rainfall forecast
Jacup Rain Forecast
Jacup 28-day Rainfall ForecastSUNMONTUEWEDTHUFRISAT8
LOW9
LOW10
MEDIUM11
MEDIUM12
MEDIUM13
LOW14
15
16
LOW17
18
19
20
21
LOW22
LOW23
MEDIUM24
LOW25
LOW26
LOW27
LOW28
29
30
31
LOWApr 1
2
LOW3
LOW4
LOW5
CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICTNIL < 25%LOW 25% to 50%MEDIUM 50% to 75%HIGH ≥ 75%Issued Mar 8Issue Notes
The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.
Summary:
Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 13 March to 17 March, 22 March to 26 March, and 10 April to 14 April. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 17 March to 21 March, and 22 March to 26 March. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 13 March to 17 March, 21 March to 25 March, and 10 April to 14 April.
Forecast ExplanationThis forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.
The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.
In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.
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Popup - Daily historical
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Past 5 Days
Jacup Past 5 Days
This MonthMinimum Maximum Rainfall Wednesday
Mar 0316.6 °C 23.8 °C 0.0 mmThursday
Mar 0417.1 °C 22.9 °C 6.6 mmFriday
Mar 0516.7 °C 28.3 °C 24.8 mmSaturday
Mar 0617.2 °C 24.0 °C 0.4 mmSunday
Mar 0715.9 °C 21.9 °C 1.4 mmLegend -
Almanac
Almanac
Jacup minimum temp history (33.7783°S, 119.2878°E, 265m AMSL) MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE Hottest this month 28.3° 05/03/2021 Coldest this month 14.7° 01/03/2021 Hottest on record 40.4 13/03/2015 Coldest on record 4.0 30/03/1996 Hottest this year 41.1° 09/01/2021 Coldest this year 7.6° 19/02/2021 Long term average 25.7° Long term average 12.6° Average this month 23.4° Average this month 16.2° Hottest March On Record Avg. max. temp. 28.2° 2005 Coldest March on record Avg. min. temp. 11.4° 2004 Jacup rainfall history (33.7783°S, 119.2878°E, 265m AMSL) RAINFALL Wettest This Month 24.8mm 05/03/2021 Total This Month 41.0mm
5.0 daysLong Term Average 34.9mm 9.1 days Wettest March on record 107.4mm 2016 Driest on record 4.2mm 2008 -
Popup - Radar
Weather Radar for Australia
Australia Radars
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Year to Date
Jacup Year To Date
Average Rainfall To Mar 85.5mm 21.8 day(s) Total For 2021 78.2mm 20.0 day(s) Total To This Day 2020 67.2mm 22.0 day(s) Wettest Day 24.8mm Mar 5 Lowest Temperature 7.6°C Feb19 Highest Temperature 41.1°C Jan 9 -
Popup - Monthly historical
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Climatology
Climate History
Jacup Climatology
Jacup Long-Term Averages
Long-Term Averages Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann Mean Max (°C) 28.1 27.5 25.7 23.0 19.7 16.9 15.7 16.8 19.0 22.0 24.8 26.5 22.1 Mean Min (°C) 13.1 13.6 12.6 10.8 8.3 6.5 5.6 5.7 6.3 7.8 9.8 11.5 9.3 Mean Rain (mm) 29.2 21.4 34.9 38.7 33.3 45.3 49.8 52.0 43.8 38.1 30.0 28.2 437.8 Mean Rain Days 6.4 6.3 9.1 10.7 12.8 16.9 18.3 18.9 14.8 11.5 8.7 7.2 139.6