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Forecast

Geraldton (28.7731°S, 114.6113°E, 9m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Possible thunderstorm 15° 23°
    possible thunderstorm
    Chance of rain: 90%
    Likely amount: 1-5mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    6:36am WST 7:01am WST 5:34pm WST 6:00pm WST
    NOW
    18.6° Feels Like: 13.9°
    Relative Humidity: 66%
    Dew: 12.1°
    Wind: NW 28km/h
    Gust: 32km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 4.6mm
    Pressure: 1007.0hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Geraldton
    Now
    19.9°c
    Feels Like:
    12.4°
    Wind:
    43km/h
    Gusts:
    48km/h
    Humidity:
    63%
    Possible thunderstorm
     
    15°
    Min
    23°
    Max
    Today in Geraldton
    Partly cloudy. Very high chance of showers in the S, medium chance elsewhere. The chance of a thunderstorm in the morning and afternoon. Thunderstorms possibly severe with damaging winds and heavy rain which may lead to flash flooding in the morning and afternoon. Winds NW 35 to 55 km/h. Overnight temperatures falling to between 11 and 14 with daytime temperatures reaching between 18 and 24.
    Tomorrow
    Showers
    15°
    Min
    23°
    Max
    Partly cloudy. High chance of showers in the S, medium chance elsewhere. Winds W/NW 25 to 40 km/h tending W/SW 20 to 30 km/h in the morning then becoming light in the evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 12 and 15 with daytime temperatures reaching the low 20s.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Partly cloudy. Very high chance of showers in the S, medium chance elsewhere. The chance of a thunderstorm in the morning and afternoon. Thunderstorms possibly severe with damaging winds and heavy rain which may lead to flash flooding in the morning and afternoon. Winds NW 35 to 55 km/h. Overnight temperatures falling to between 11 and 14 with daytime temperatures reaching between 18 and 24.

    Forecast for Geraldton (28.7731°S, 114.6113°E, 9m AMSL)
      Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun
    Summary Possible thunderstorm Showers Possible shower Mostly sunny Sunny Sunny Mostly sunny
    Minimum 15° 15° 12° 10° 11° 12° 11°
    Maximum 23° 23° 23° 25° 25° 24° 23°
    Chance of rain 90% 70% 5% 20% 5% 5% 10%
    Likely amount 1-5mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm
    UV index Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 37
    (km/h)
    47
    (km/h)
    25
    (km/h)
    24
    (km/h)
    15
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    22
    (km/h)
    11
    (km/h)
    18
    (km/h)
    21
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    26
    (km/h)
    23
    (km/h)
    30
    (km/h)
    Wind direction NNW WNW W WSW E SSE ENE SE E SSW ESE S SSE SSE
    Relative humidity 74% 65% 78% 69% 91% 55% 70% 43% 64% 47% 68% 53% 71% 49%
    Dew point 15°C 14°C 16°C 16°C 15°C 13°C 11°C 11°C 11°C 12°C 12°C 13°C 13°C 11°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Geraldton Rain Forecast


    Geraldton 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    23
    HIGH
    24
    LOW
    25
    26
    MEDIUM
    27
    MEDIUM
    28
    29
    30
    31
    Jun 1
    MEDIUM
    2
    LOW
    3
    LOW
    4
    5
    LOW
    6
    MEDIUM
    7
    LOW
    8
    LOW
    9
    10
    LOW
    11
    12
    LOW
    13
    14
    MEDIUM
    15
    LOW
    16
    LOW
    17
    18
    19
    20
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued May22

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, New Zealand, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 24 May to 28 May, 6 June to 10 June, and 17 June to 21 June. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 22 May to 26 May, 1 June to 5 June, and 18 June to 22 June. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 24 May to 28 May, 9 June to 13 June, and 17 June to 21 June.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Geraldton Rain Forecast


    Geraldton 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    2022
    2023
    7
    5
    6
    7
    7
    7
    7
    10
    7
    7
    10
    5
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued May 11

    ENSO status: La Niña, it is expected return to neutral state by early winter. IOD status: Neutral, models suggest it could enter a negative phase in the next month. SAM status: Positive and is expected to remain positive for the next month or so. The El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is in a La Niña phase and has not changed in strength during the past two weeks. La Niña events typically breaks down in autumn and while this current La Niña is persisting longer than usual, most models suggest it should end by early winter. However, one seasonal model operated by the U.S. National Weather Service’s Climate Prediction Centre (CPC) suggests that a La Niña-like signal could linger in the Pacific Ocean through the middle of the year and possibly remerge in the Southern Hemisphere’s spring. That being said, it is important to note that seasonal forecast models have lower accuracy at this time of year. This is called the autumn predictability barrier. The La Niña forecast will increase the likelihood of above-average rain in northern and eastern Australia during the remainder of Autumn, possibly into winter. Even as La Niña weakens it should continue to influence our climate. all five climate models suggest a negative phase will begin during late autumn or early winter. Climate models are forecasting strong negative IOD values by August, with the negative IOD event possibly lingering into spring. While a neutral IOD has little influence on our climate, a negative IOD increases the chance of above average autumn and winter rain for much of Australia. The rainfall outlooks are reflecting this, with above average rain forecast during winter for much of Australia, except southwest WA, parts of TAS and VIC. If a negative IOD does develop this winter, it will increase the risk of flooding over large areas of inland Australia, especially areas that had a wet summer and autumn.

  11. Popup - Daily historical

  12. Long range rainfall forecast

    Geraldton Rain Forecast


    Geraldton 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    23
    HIGH
    24
    LOW
    25
    26
    MEDIUM
    27
    MEDIUM
    28
    29
    30
    31
    Jun 1
    MEDIUM
    2
    LOW
    3
    LOW
    4
    5
    LOW
    6
    MEDIUM
    7
    LOW
    8
    LOW
    9
    10
    LOW
    11
    12
    LOW
    13
    14
    MEDIUM
    15
    LOW
    16
    LOW
    17
    18
    19
    20
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued May22

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, New Zealand, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 24 May to 28 May, 6 June to 10 June, and 17 June to 21 June. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 22 May to 26 May, 1 June to 5 June, and 18 June to 22 June. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 24 May to 28 May, 9 June to 13 June, and 17 June to 21 June.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  13. Past 5 Days

    Geraldton Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Wednesday
    May 18
    15.4 °C 23.5 °C
    4.0 mm
    Thursday
    May 19
    13.9 °C 24.1 °C
    0.2 mm
    Friday
    May 20
    15.5 °C 23.0 °C
    0.0 mm
    Saturday
    May 21
    10.8 °C 26.1 °C
    0.4 mm
    Sunday
    May 22
    12.2 °C 26.6 °C
    0.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Geraldton minimum temp history (28.7731°S, 114.6113°E, 9m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 29.7° 08/05/2022 Coldest this month 9.0° 02/05/2022
    Hottest on record 36.6 03/05/1972 Coldest on record 2.1 31/05/1964
    Hottest this year 44.7° 22/01/2022 Coldest this year 9.0° 02/05/2022
    Long term average 25.1° Long term average 12.2°
    Average this month 25.3° Average this month 12.6°
    Hottest May On Record Avg. max. temp. 26.8° 2012 Coldest May on record Avg. min. temp. 9.3° 1968
    Geraldton rainfall history (28.7731°S, 114.6113°E, 9m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 13.6mm 13/05/2022 Total This Month 20.0mm
    7.0 days
    Long Term Average 43.7mm 8.6 days Wettest May on record 282.2mm 1963
    Driest on record 11.0mm 2012
  15. Year to Date

    Geraldton Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To May 109.6mm 21.4 day(s)
    Total For 2022 147.0mm 22.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2021 99.4mm 14.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 44.0mm Apr 1
    Lowest Temperature 9.0°C May 2
    Highest Temperature 44.7°C Jan22
  16. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for Australia

  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Geraldton Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 33.0 32.7 31.9 28.8 25.1 21.9 20.4 21.2 23.4 25.8 28.4 31.4 26.9
    Mean Min (°C) 19.2 19.6 18.5 15.6 12.2 10.2 9.3 9.0 9.2 11.8 14.6 17.0 13.8
    Mean Rain (mm) 7.9 11.1 17.4 29.5 43.7 58.4 67.1 59.8 29.4 18.6 11.6 4.9 346.0
    Mean Rain Days 2.3 2.2 3.7 4.6 8.6 11.3 13.9 15.7 9.3 5.7 3.5 2.4 80.2