Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Western Australia
Marine Wind Warning Summary for Western Australia
Issued at 04:00 PM WST on Sunday 01 March 2020
for the period until midnight WST Monday 02 March 2020
Wind Warnings for Sunday 01 March
Strong Wind Warning for the following areas:
West Kimberley Coast, Geraldton Coast, Lancelin Coast, Perth Coast, Bunbury Geographe Coast, Leeuwin Coast and Eucla Coast
Cancellation for the following areas:
Perth Local Waters, North Kimberley Coast, Albany Coast and Esperance Coast
Wind Warnings for Monday 02 March
Strong Wind Warning for the following areas:
Perth Local Waters, West Kimberley Coast, Geraldton Coast, Lancelin Coast, Perth Coast, Bunbury Geographe Coast, Leeuwin Coast and Albany Coast
Cancellation for the following areas:
North Kimberley Coast
The next marine wind warning summary will be issued by 4:00 am WST Monday.
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Check the latest Coastal Waters Forecast or Local
Waters Forecast at http://www.bom.gov.au/wa/forecasts/map.shtml for information on wind,
wave and weather conditions for these coastal zones.
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Forecast
Bunbury (33.3271°S, 115.637°E, 30m AMSL) set as my default location ›
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My MLA
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Current condition
TODAY19° 28° mostly sunny Chance of rain: 5% Likely amount: < 1mm First
light
Last light Sunrise Sunset 5:41am WST 6:06am WST 6:53pm WST 7:18pm WST NOW25.6° Feels Like: 20.9° Relative Humidity: 41% Dew: 11.4° Wind: ESE 26km/h Gust: 39km/h Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm Pressure: 1017.5hPa -
Today Weather
BunburyNow23.8°cFeels Like:18.0°Wind:ESE 32km/hGusts:43km/hHumidity:46%19°Min28°MaxToday in BunburyPartly cloudy. Slight chance of a shower near the south coast early this morning. Winds SE 25 to 35 km/h turning E 20 to 30 km/h in the late afternoon. Daytime maximum temperatures 22 to 27.Tomorrow14°Min29°MaxPartly cloudy. Winds E 20 to 30 km/h. Overnight temperatures falling to around 13 with daytime temperatures reaching the mid to high 20s. -
Radar
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Popup Radar
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Warnings
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7 day forecast
Today: Partly cloudy. Slight chance of a shower near the south coast early this morning. Winds SE 25 to 35 km/h turning E 20 to 30 km/h in the late afternoon. Daytime maximum temperatures 22 to 27.
Forecast for Bunbury (33.3271°S, 115.637°E, 30m AMSL) Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Summary Minimum 19° 14° 15° 16° 17° 16° 18° Maximum 28° 29° 29° 29° 28° 30° 31° Chance of rain 5% 5% 5% 5% 10% 10% 10% Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm UV index Very High Very High Very High Very High Very High - - Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 30
(km/h)30
(km/h)27
(km/h)19
(km/h)18
(km/h)8
(km/h)6
(km/h)12
(km/h)7
(km/h)12
(km/h)14
(km/h)13
(km/h)8
(km/h)14
(km/h)Wind direction SE ESE E E ENE SW ENE W SE SW SE WSW ESE W Relative humidity 62% 42% 51% 30% 48% 32% 41% 39% 54% 40% 55% 42% 53% 44% Dew point 15°C 14°C 10°C 10°C 10°C 11°C 10°C 14°C 13°C 13°C 13°C 16°C 15°C 18°C -
28 Day Rainfall forecast
Bunbury Rain Forecast
Bunbury 28-day Rainfall ForecastSUNMONTUEWEDTHUFRISATMar 1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
LOW12
13
14
15
LOW16
LOW17
18
19
LOW20
LOW21
MEDIUM22
23
24
25
LOW26
LOW27
28
29
LOW30
CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICTNIL < 25%LOW 25% to 50%MEDIUM 50% to 75%HIGH ≥ 75%Issued Mar 1Issue Notes
The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively fast moving in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, the southeast Pacific, South America, and the Atlantic Ocean.
Summary:
Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 16 March to 20 March, 26 March to 30 March, and 30 March to 3 April. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 10 March to 14 March, and 4 April to 8 April. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 8 March to 12 March, 16 March to 20 March, and 26 March to 30 March.
Forecast ExplanationThis forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.
The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.
In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.
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12 Month Rainfall Forecast
Bunbury Rain Forecast
Bunbury 12-month Rainfall ForecastMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJan2020202156556673778105012 - 34 - 78 - 910Well below normalBelow normalNear normalAbove normalWell above normalIssue Notes - Issued Feb 12
ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Trending neutral Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific remained stable throughout January with the Nino3.4 index registering a value of 0.4 as per December. On the other hand, the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of 1.3 in January. The current outlook suggests warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the austral autumn, cooling even further by mid 2020. Six out of eight international models continue to maintain a warmer than average equatorial Pacific Ocean through the first half of the year, none of these reaching El Nino thresholds. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains neutral, which is what you will expect for this time of the year. All six international models maintain neutral IOD values until the austral winter, with indications we could see another positive event late winter/spring. However, the skill of the models is low at this time of the year. In terms of rainfall across Australia, the current outlook favours average-to-below average rainfall for parts of inland NSW and Qld for the end of summer and autumn. This however, excludes any extreme weather events such as tropical cyclones or East Coast Lows. Across the north, the North Australian Monsoon (NAM) had its latest onset on record in early February at Darwin (by its technical definition) with the current prognosis suggesting another below average wet season for northern Australia. The northern half of the country however, could see a wet end to the wet season compared to the season thus far. Looking further ahead, with no significant signature from ENSO, there are no significant climate drivers tilting the balance towards a drier or wetter end of autumn/winter.
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Long range rainfall forecast
Bunbury Rain Forecast
Bunbury 28-day Rainfall ForecastSUNMONTUEWEDTHUFRISATMar 1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
LOW12
13
14
15
LOW16
LOW17
18
19
LOW20
LOW21
MEDIUM22
23
24
25
LOW26
LOW27
28
29
LOW30
CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICTNIL < 25%LOW 25% to 50%MEDIUM 50% to 75%HIGH ≥ 75%Issued Mar 1Issue Notes
The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively fast moving in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, the southeast Pacific, South America, and the Atlantic Ocean.
Summary:
Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 16 March to 20 March, 26 March to 30 March, and 30 March to 3 April. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 10 March to 14 March, and 4 April to 8 April. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 8 March to 12 March, 16 March to 20 March, and 26 March to 30 March.
Forecast ExplanationThis forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.
The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.
In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.
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Popup - Daily historical
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Past 5 Days
Bunbury Past 5 Days
This MonthMinimum Maximum Rainfall Wednesday
Feb 2617.9 °C 28.3 °C 0.0 mmThursday
Feb 2718.9 °C 29.7 °C 6.8 mmFriday
Feb 2819.3 °C 33.4 °C 1.0 mmSaturday
Feb 2919.9 °C 27.1 °C 0.0 mmSunday
Mar 0118.6 °C 28 °C 0.0 mmLegend -
Almanac
Almanac
Bunbury minimum temp history (33.3271°S, 115.637°E, 30m AMSL) MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE Hottest this month - Coldest this month - Hottest on record 39.5 06/03/2007 Coldest on record 2.2 27/03/2007 Hottest this year 38.8° 04/02/2020 Coldest this year 5.3° 04/01/2020 Long term average 27.7° Long term average 14.2° Average this month - Average this month - Hottest March On Record Avg. max. temp. 30.0° 2011 Coldest March on record Avg. min. temp. 12.2° 2004 Bunbury rainfall history (33.3271°S, 115.637°E, 30m AMSL) RAINFALL Wettest This Month mm Total This Month mm
daysLong Term Average 19.5mm 3.9 days Wettest March on record 88.0mm 1998 Driest on record 0.0mm 2011 -
Popup - Radar
Weather Radar for WA
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Year to Date
Bunbury Year To Date
Average Rainfall To Mar 39.2mm 8.6 day(s) Total For 2020 13.6mm 9.0 day(s) Total To This Day 2019 10.8mm 5.0 day(s) Wettest Day 6.8mm Feb27 Lowest Temperature 5.3°C Jan 4 Highest Temperature 38.8°C Feb 4 -
Popup - Monthly historical
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Climatology
Climate History
Bunbury Climatology
Bunbury Long-Term Averages
Long-Term Averages Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann Mean Max (°C) 29.8 30.1 27.7 24.2 21.0 18.4 17.2 17.6 18.5 21.1 24.5 27.2 23.2 Mean Min (°C) 15.4 15.9 14.2 11.8 9.3 8.0 7.0 7.6 8.5 9.5 12.1 13.5 11.1 Mean Rain (mm) 12.0 7.7 19.5 37.5 99.2 135.8 140.2 118.4 84.6 32.2 23.8 18.5 722.2 Mean Rain Days 2.4 2.3 3.9 8.7 13.4 17.2 18.8 19.0 17.1 9.8 6.4 3.7 113.7