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Forecast

Swan Hill (35.3362°S, 143.5602°E, 65m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Rain 16°
    Chance of rain: 90%
    Likely amount: 5-10mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    5:47am EST 6:12am EST 6:24pm EST 6:49pm EST
    NOW
    3.6° Feels Like: -0.3°
    Relative Humidity: 99%
    Dew: 3.5°
    Wind: W 13km/h
    Gust: 15km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 1.2mm
    Pressure: 1016.1hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Swan Hill
    Now
    3.5°c
    Feels Like:
    0.3°
    Wind:
    W 9km/h
    Gusts:
    11km/h
    Humidity:
    100%
    Rain
     
    Min
    16°
    Max
    Today in Swan Hill
    Cloudy. Very high chance of rain, mostly in the late afternoon and evening. Possible hail in the south in the afternoon. Light winds becoming NW 20 to 30 km/h in the morning. Overnight temperatures falling to around 4 with daytime temperatures reaching between 14 and 17.
    Tomorrow
    Clearing shower
    Min
    13°
    Max
    Cloudy. Very high chance of showers, most likely in the morning and afternoon. Local hail and isolated thunderstorms in the morning and afternoon. Winds NW 20 to 25 km/h turning W/SW 25 to 35 km/h during the morning. Overnight temperatures falling to around 4 with daytime temperatures reaching around 13.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Cloudy. Very high chance of rain, mostly in the late afternoon and evening. Possible hail in the south in the afternoon. Light winds becoming NW 20 to 30 km/h in the morning. Overnight temperatures falling to around 4 with daytime temperatures reaching between 14 and 17.

    Forecast for Swan Hill (35.3362°S, 143.5602°E, 65m AMSL)
      Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed
    Summary Rain Clearing shower Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Possible shower
    Minimum 10°
    Maximum 16° 13° 16° 17° 19° 23° 23°
    Chance of rain 90% 80% 10% 5% 5% 70% 40%
    Likely amount 5-10mm 1-5mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm 5-10mm 1-5mm
    UV index Moderate Moderate Moderate High - - -
    Frost risk Moderate Slight Moderate Moderate Moderate Slight Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 17
    (km/h)
    22
    (km/h)
    25
    (km/h)
    32
    (km/h)
    26
    (km/h)
    27
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    11
    (km/h)
    13
    (km/h)
    13
    (km/h)
    19
    (km/h)
    20
    (km/h)
    18
    (km/h)
    22
    (km/h)
    Wind direction WNW NW W WSW WSW WSW SW SW E E ENE NE N WNW
    Relative humidity 72% 38% 78% 52% 64% 35% 68% 35% 61% 33% 57% 45% 78% 42%
    Dew point 5°C 1°C 5°C 2°C 3°C -0°C 5°C 1°C 4°C 2°C 7°C 9°C 12°C 9°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Swan Hill Rain Forecast


    Swan Hill 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    24
    HIGH
    25
    HIGH
    26
    27
    28
    29
    MEDIUM
    30
    Oct 1
    LOW
    2
    LOW
    3
    LOW
    4
    LOW
    5
    MEDIUM
    6
    LOW
    7
    LOW
    8
    LOW
    9
    10
    11
    LOW
    12
    LOW
    13
    14
    15
    LOW
    16
    LOW
    17
    18
    19
    20
    21
    LOW
    22
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Sep23

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively fast moving in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, the Indian Ocean, Western Australia, the south Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 29 September to 3 October, 14 October to 18 October, and 26 October to 30 October. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 29 September to 3 October. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 29 September to 3 October, 3 October to 7 October, and 26 October to 30 October.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Swan Hill Rain Forecast


    Swan Hill 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    2020
    2021
    3
    8
    7
    8
    8
    8
    9
    5
    5
    7
    5
    5
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Sep 9

    ENSO status: La Niña Alert IOD status: Negative SAM status: Negative trending positive Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific have continued to cool through August, with the Nino3.4 index registering a value of -0.5. The Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of 9.8 in the same month, a significant increase compared to July, tipping over the La Niña threshold of +7. The current outlook suggests that cooler than average SSTs will continue across the equatorial pacific during the Austral spring, with a high chance of a weak La Niña forming. All eight international models continue to suggest further cooling during spring, with three of these indicating La Niña conditions in September. A further two exceeding the La Niña threshold in October, with six of the eight indicating La Niña by November. The current International Research Institute for Climate and Society (IRI) outlook suggests a 57:41 chance for La Niña:Neutral conditions by the end of the Australspring. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) has shifted into a negative phase. Four of the six international models indicate a negative IOD to be sustained for the duration of the Austral spring, with the remaining two indicating a neutral phase. Both of the models that indicate a neutral phase trend towards the negative side of neutral. In terms of precipitation over Australia, the current short term outlook favours above average rainfall over the interior over the remainder of the first month of spring, particularly eastern WA and the Kimberley, western NT and western SA Above average rainfall is also favoured, although not as pronounced, over inland NSW and QLD and parts of the NSW and VIC coastal area. Drier than average conditions are expected across western WA as well as parts of northern coastal QLD and parts of the southeast. The remainder of spring is then likely to be wetter than average for NSW, QLD, VIC, SA, TAS, the NT and eastern WA, whilst drier than averageconditions look to persist further west. There are then indications of increased rainfall over WA toward the end of spring and into early summer, with the eastern two thirds of the country remaining wetter than average.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Swan Hill Rain Forecast


    Swan Hill 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    24
    HIGH
    25
    HIGH
    26
    27
    28
    29
    MEDIUM
    30
    Oct 1
    LOW
    2
    LOW
    3
    LOW
    4
    LOW
    5
    MEDIUM
    6
    LOW
    7
    LOW
    8
    LOW
    9
    10
    11
    LOW
    12
    LOW
    13
    14
    15
    LOW
    16
    LOW
    17
    18
    19
    20
    21
    LOW
    22
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Sep23

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively fast moving in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, the Indian Ocean, Western Australia, the south Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 29 September to 3 October, 14 October to 18 October, and 26 October to 30 October. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 29 September to 3 October. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 29 September to 3 October, 3 October to 7 October, and 26 October to 30 October.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Swan Hill Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Saturday
    Sep 19
    15.0 °C 23.7 °C
    0.0 mm
    Sunday
    Sep 20
    11.8 °C 23.7 °C
    4.6 mm
    Monday
    Sep 21
    12.8 °C 20.7 °C
    0.0 mm
    Tuesday
    Sep 22
    8.3 °C 20.7 °C
    0.0 mm
    Wednesday
    Sep 23
    6.4 °C 18.3 °C
    0.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Swan Hill minimum temp history (35.3362°S, 143.5602°E, 65m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 27.2° 08/09/2020 Coldest this month -2.0° 01/09/2020
    Hottest on record 34.1 27/09/2008 Coldest on record -1.6 12/09/2011
    Hottest this year 45.4° 31/01/2020 Coldest this year -3.7° 06/08/2020
    Long term average 20.3° Long term average 5.9°
    Average this month 22.1° Average this month 7.5°
    Hottest September On Record Avg. max. temp. 22.9° 2013 Coldest September on record Avg. min. temp. 4.3° 2015
    Swan Hill rainfall history (35.3362°S, 143.5602°E, 65m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 5.0mm 13/09/2020 Total This Month 9.8mm
    3.0 days
    Long Term Average 29.5mm 8.0 days Wettest September on record 89.0mm 2016
    Driest on record 7.8mm 2008
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for VIC

  16. Year to Date

    Swan Hill Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Sep 224.5mm 65.1 day(s)
    Total For 2020 213.2mm 85.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2019 154.6mm 66.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 25.6mm Mar 5
    Lowest Temperature -3.7°C Aug 6
    Highest Temperature 45.4°C Jan31
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Swan Hill Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 33.0 32.4 28.6 23.8 18.8 15.3 14.6 16.8 20.3 24.2 28.2 30.6 23.9
    Mean Min (°C) 16.1 16.0 12.9 9.1 6.3 4.4 3.6 4.0 5.9 7.9 11.6 13.7 9.3
    Mean Rain (mm) 27.0 22.1 17.5 22.1 25.6 25.3 28.1 27.3 29.5 21.9 42.5 22.0 310.3
    Mean Rain Days 3.9 3.6 3.5 4.7 7.8 10.4 12.9 10.3 8.0 6.3 6.5 4.8 76.4