Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Victoria
Brown Rot Advice
for Mallee, Wimmera, Northern Country, North Central, North East, South West, Central, West and South Gippsland and East Gippsland forecast districts
Issued at 04:51 AM EDT on Sunday 24 November 2024
Severe Brown Rot Advice for the following areas:
Mallee, Wimmera, South West, Central and West and South Gippsland forecast districts
Stone fruit growers in the Wimmera forecast district and parts of the Mallee, South West, Central and West and South Gippsland forecast districts are advised that rainfall and accompanying high humidity during Sunday are conducive to a heavy outbreak of brown rot.
Brown Rot Advice for the following areas:
Northern Country, North Central, North East and East Gippsland forecast districts
Stone fruit growers in the Northern Country, North Central and North East forecast districts and parts of the East Gippsland forecast district are advised that rainfall and accompanying high humidity during Sunday may be conducive to an outbreak of brown rot.
The next warning will be issued by 11:00 am EDT Sunday.
Forecast
Swan Hill (35.3362°S, 143.5602°E, 65m AMSL) set as my default location ›
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My MLA
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Current condition
TODAY
18° 25° Chance of rain: 90% Likely amount: 10-20mm First
light
Last light Sunrise Sunset 5:37am EDT 6:06am EDT 8:20pm EDT 8:48pm EDT NOW21.1° Feels Like: 23.1° Relative Humidity: 90% Dew: 19.4° Wind: S 7km/h Gust: 9km/h Rainfall since 9am: 0.6mm Pressure: 1016.7hPa -
Today Weather
Swan HillNow19.9°cFeels Like:21.4°Wind:SE 9km/hGusts:11km/hHumidity:96%
18°Min25°MaxToday in Swan HillCloudy. High chance of rain, becoming less likely late this afternoon and evening. The chance of a thunderstorm. Light winds. Daytime maximum temperatures in the mid to high 20s.Tomorrow
16°Min26°MaxPartly cloudy. Slight chance of a shower. The chance of a thunderstorm. Light winds. Overnight temperatures falling to around 17 with daytime temperatures reaching the mid to high 20s. -
Radar
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Popup Radar
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Warnings
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Next 48 Hours
Next 48 Hours
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7 day forecast
Today: Cloudy. High chance of rain, becoming less likely late this afternoon and evening. The chance of a thunderstorm. Light winds. Daytime maximum temperatures in the mid to high 20s.
Forecast for Swan Hill (35.3362°S, 143.5602°E, 65m AMSL) Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Summary 
Minimum 18° 16° 16° 17° 12° 12° 14° Maximum 25° 26° 30° 27° 25° 29° 26° Chance of rain 90% 90% 70% 70% 50% 60% 60% Likely amount 10-20mm 5-10mm 5-10mm 1-5mm 5-10mm 5-10mm < 1mm UV index Extreme Extreme Extreme Very High Very High Very High Very High Fire Danger Rating Moderate Moderate Moderate High No Rating - - Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 7
(km/h)10
(km/h)10
(km/h)10
(km/h)11
(km/h)14
(km/h)21
(km/h)23
(km/h)18
(km/h)18
(km/h)16
(km/h)18
(km/h)19
(km/h)18
(km/h)Wind direction S SSW E ENE NNE NW NNW WNW WSW SSW ENE N SW WSW Relative humidity 93% 84% 91% 78% 85% 57% 74% 54% 67% 44% 68% 48% 69% 49% Dew point 20°C 21°C 19°C 20°C 20°C 20°C 18°C 16°C 13°C 11°C 15°C 16°C 14°C 13°C -
28 Day Rainfall forecast
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12 Month Rainfall Forecast
Swan Hill Rain Forecast
Swan Hill 12-month Rainfall ForecastNovDecJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct202420256877866751056105012 - 34 - 78 - 910Well below normalBelow normalNear normalAbove normalWell above normalIssue Notes - Issued Nov 18
ENSO status: La Niña Watch. IOD status: Neutral. SAM status: Positive. Trending positive. The El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is in a La Niña Watch, meaning there is approximately a 50% chance of a La Niña developing this year. The current technical definition of a La Niña is only a small chance to be met, although ocean and atmospheric conditions do resemble a La Niña pattern. Trade winds are still stronger than average along the western equatorial Pacific, and the Nino3.4 is low, but is above the threshold of -0.8C. However, the Relative-Nino Index (factors in equatorial ocean temperatures elsewhere around the world, compensating for the background warming signal) is below the threshold. A La Niña typically increases rainfall over northern and eastern Australia (especially eastern Qld) during summer, but has little effect for WA and SA. The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is in a neutral phase. Recent conditions have been similar to a negative IOD, but this has likely been heavily affected by veryactive bursts of tropical weather in mid-October and mid-late November. Regardless if these conditions continue, the arrival of the monsoon over northern Australia overwrites any IOD effects, so this driver is unlikely to significantly affect Australia this year. The Southern Annular Mode (SAM) is in a positive phase, having switched from the negative phase that persisted from July to October. This positive event is expected to persist through summer as a result of stratospheric moisture from the 2022 Tongan volcanic eruption (similar to the past two summers). A positive SAM decreases the frequency of cold fronts, with more regular high pressure systems and easterly winds. During summer, this increases rainfall over eastern Australia, and reduces rainfall over southeastern SA, western Vic and western Tas. Rainfall outlooks are showing above average rainfall over western, northern and eastern Australia, with strong signals over the Kimberley, Top End and Cape York Peninsula (likely related to forecastmonsoon activity). Drier conditions are expected for western Tas, with average conditions for SA and western Vic.
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Popup - Daily historical
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Long range rainfall forecast
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Past 5 Days
Swan Hill Past 5 Days
This MonthMinimum Maximum Rainfall Wednesday
Nov 208.9 °C 29.8 °C 0.0 mmThursday
Nov 2111.2 °C 36.0 °C 0.0 mmFriday
Nov 2217.8 °C 37.2 °C 0.0 mmSaturday
Nov 2323.3 °C 38.2 °C 0.0 mmSunday
Nov 2420.4 °C 21.3 °C 0.6 mmLegend -
Almanac
Almanac
Swan Hill minimum temp history (35.3362°S, 143.5602°E, 65m AMSL) MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE Hottest this month 39.3° 06/11/2024 Coldest this month 4.1° 09/11/2024 Hottest on record 45.2 29/11/2012 Coldest on record 1.0 11/11/2001 Hottest this year 41.6° 22/02/2024 Coldest this year -2.8° 01/08/2024 Long term average 28.1° Long term average 11.7° Average this month 29.7° Average this month 11.4° Hottest November On Record Avg. max. temp. 32.3° 2009 Coldest November on record Avg. min. temp. 9.4° 1999 Swan Hill rainfall history (35.3362°S, 143.5602°E, 65m AMSL) RAINFALL Wettest This Month 7.0mm 13/11/2024 Total This Month 7.0mm
1.0 daysLong Term Average 43.5mm 6.5 days Wettest November on record 125.6mm 1998 Driest on record 2.2mm 2012 -
Year to Date
Swan Hill Year To Date
Average Rainfall To Nov 287.4mm 79.7 day(s) Total For 2024 209.6mm 69.0 day(s) Total To This Day 2023 259.4mm 72.0 day(s) Wettest Day 22.8mm Jan 9 Lowest Temperature -2.8°C Aug 1 Highest Temperature 41.6°C Feb22 -
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Popup - Monthly historical
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Climatology
Climate History
Swan Hill Climatology
Swan Hill Long-Term Averages
Long-Term Averages Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann Mean Max (°C) 33.3 32.3 28.7 23.7 18.8 15.3 14.8 16.8 20.4 24.2 28.1 30.8 23.9 Mean Min (°C) 16.3 15.9 13.0 9.2 6.3 4.4 3.6 4.1 5.8 8.1 11.7 13.9 9.3 Mean Rain (mm) 26.9 17.9 16.0 24.2 25.7 25.7 25.0 27.0 27.5 28.0 43.5 25.7 313.9 Mean Rain Days 4.4 3.2 3.6 4.8 7.9 11.0 13.1 10.8 7.8 6.6 6.5 5.1 84.9
