Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Victoria
Marine Wind Warning Summary for Victoria
Issued at 04:40 PM EDT on Friday 15 November 2024
for the period until midnight EDT Saturday 16 November 2024
Wind Warnings for Friday 15 November
Strong Wind Warning for the following areas:
East Gippsland Coast
Wind Warnings for Saturday 16 November
Gale Warning for the following areas:
East Gippsland Coast
Strong Wind Warning for the following areas:
Central Coast and Central Gippsland Coast
The next marine wind warning summary will be issued by 5:10 am EDT Saturday.
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Check the latest Coastal Waters Forecast or Local
Waters Forecast at http://www.bom.gov.au/vic/forecasts/map.shtml for information on wind,
wave and weather conditions for these coastal zones.
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Forecast
Rhyll (38.4633°S, 145.2999°E, 21m AMSL) set as my default location ›
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My MLA
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Current condition
TOMORROW12° 30° mostly cloudy Chance of rain: 50% Likely amount: 1-5mm First
lightLast light Sunrise Sunset 5:26am EDT 5:56am EDT 8:12pm EDT 8:41pm EDT NOW16.1° Feels Like: 11.9° Relative Humidity: 74% Dew: 11.5° Wind: SE 24km/h Gust: 28km/h Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm Pressure: 1018.1hPa -
Today Weather
RhyllNow14.9°cFeels Like:14.5°Wind:S 4km/hGusts:7km/hHumidity:77%12°Min30°MaxToday in RhyllMostly sunny. The chance of fog in the E in the early morning. Winds N 25 to 40 km/h. Overnight temperatures falling to between 7 and 10 with daytime temperatures reaching 29 to 34.Tomorrow12°Min30°MaxCloudy. High chance of showers, most likely in the morning and early afternoon. The chance of a thunderstorm. Winds N 25 to 35 km/h turning W 30 to 45 km/h during the morning. Overnight temperatures falling to between 12 and 18 with daytime temperatures reaching the low to mid 20s. -
Radar
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Popup Radar
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Warnings
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7 day forecast
Today: Mostly sunny. The chance of fog in the E in the early morning. Winds N 25 to 40 km/h. Overnight temperatures falling to between 7 and 10 with daytime temperatures reaching 29 to 34.
Forecast for Rhyll (38.4633°S, 145.2999°E, 21m AMSL) Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Summary Minimum 12° 16° 13° 12° 12° 12° 14° Maximum 30° 24° 19° 18° 18° 25° 27° Chance of rain 50% 70% 60% 5% 5% 5% 30% Likely amount 1-5mm 5-10mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm UV index Very High Very High Very High Very High Very High Very High Very High Fire Danger Rating High High Moderate Moderate - - - Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 8
(km/h)17
(km/h)17
(km/h)24
(km/h)26
(km/h)28
(km/h)9
(km/h)16
(km/h)8
(km/h)17
(km/h)16
(km/h)18
(km/h)11
(km/h)11
(km/h)Wind direction NE NE NW W WSW WSW SSW SSW S SSW E ESE NE ESE Relative humidity 71% 41% 73% 66% 66% 61% 61% 58% 65% 59% 69% 54% 62% 49% Dew point 12°C 14°C 18°C 13°C 9°C 10°C 7°C 9°C 8°C 9°C 11°C 14°C 12°C 14°C -
28 Day Rainfall forecast
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12 Month Rainfall Forecast
Rhyll Rain Forecast
Rhyll 12-month Rainfall ForecastNovDecJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct20242025778665684845105012 - 34 - 78 - 910Well below normalBelow normalNear normalAbove normalWell above normalIssue Notes - Issued Oct 1
ENSO status: La Niña Watch. IOD status: Neutral. SAM status: Negative. Trending slightly negative. The El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is in a La Niña Watch, meaning there is approximately a 50% chance of a La Niña developing this year. Overall, models are now starting to look more like La Niña, with more widespread ocean cooling occurring in the South Pacific, helped by the consistently strong trade winds. While these are good signs that La Niña is starting to develop, a declaration would likely happen no earlier than November, meaning this is more likely to be a late and weaker event if it does eventuate. A La Niña typically increases rainfall over northern and southeastern Australia during spring, but has little effect for southwestern WA. The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is in a neutral phase and is now unlikely to develop into either phase this spring. Conditions are closer to a negative IOD at the moment, so there may be some minor increases in the frequency of northwest cloudbands impactingAustralia. A neutral IOD tends to bring a small increase in spring rainfall for southwest WA, but has little effect elsewhere. The Southern Annular Mode (SAM) is in a negative phase, continuing on from the initial sudden Stratospheric Warming (SW) events over Antarctica since mid-July. These events increase the chances of negative SAM events, but are having a lesser effect moving forward in October. A negative SAM increases the frequency of cold fronts. During spring, this increases rainfall over western Tas and southern Vic, but decreases rainfall over eastern Australia. Rainfall outlooks are showing close to average for most of the country during October, with a higher chance of above average rainfall for northern and eastern Australia, increasing further into November and December. Models are also hinting that rainfall is more likely to arrive in the form of showers and thunderstorms, rather than broad rainbands, meaning rainfall in practice will likely be hit-and-miss for most of Australia thisspring.
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Popup - Daily historical
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Long range rainfall forecast
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Past 5 Days
Rhyll Past 5 Days
This MonthMinimum Maximum Rainfall Monday
Nov 1111.0 °C 21.4 °C 0.0 mmTuesday
Nov 1213.5 °C 24.5 °C 0.0 mmWednesday
Nov 1316.4 °C 18.2 °C 7.2 mmThursday
Nov 1412.1 °C 18.4 °C 3.4 mmFriday
Nov 1512.7 °C 18.9 °C 0.0 mmLegend -
Almanac
Almanac
Rhyll minimum temp history (38.4633°S, 145.2999°E, 21m AMSL) MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE Hottest this month 30.2° 06/11/2024 Coldest this month 9.9° 02/11/2024 Hottest on record 35.5 26/11/1997 Coldest on record -0.6 06/11/1993 Hottest this year 34.2° 13/02/2024 Coldest this year 3.1° 08/07/2024 Long term average 20.1° Long term average 12.3° Average this month 20.3° Average this month 12.1° Hottest November On Record Avg. max. temp. 23.1° 2009 Coldest November on record Avg. min. temp. 10.3° 1992 Rhyll rainfall history (38.4633°S, 145.2999°E, 21m AMSL) RAINFALL Wettest This Month 3.4mm 14/11/2024 Total This Month 5.4mm
5.0 daysLong Term Average 57.0mm 12.3 days Wettest November on record 126.0mm 2011 Driest on record 18.6mm 2003 -
Year to Date
Rhyll Year To Date
Average Rainfall To Nov 649.1mm 159.8 day(s) Total For 2024 448.4mm 127.0 day(s) Total To This Day 2023 579.6mm 165.0 day(s) Wettest Day 57.8mm Apr 2 Lowest Temperature 3.1°C Jul 8 Highest Temperature 34.2°C Feb13 -
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Popup - Monthly historical
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Climatology
Climate History
Rhyll Climatology
Rhyll Long-Term Averages
Long-Term Averages Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann Mean Max (°C) 24.1 24.3 22.7 19.5 16.4 14.0 13.4 14.4 16.1 18.1 20.1 22.0 18.7 Mean Min (°C) 15.7 15.9 14.8 12.7 10.7 8.9 8.2 8.4 9.5 10.7 12.3 13.8 11.7 Mean Rain (mm) 38.1 37.9 37.5 60.1 72.3 69.0 68.5 77.0 66.4 65.3 57.0 46.4 698.9 Mean Rain Days 8.6 7.8 10.7 14.3 17.6 17.5 19.1 19.1 16.7 16.1 12.3 11.2 171.5