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Forecast

Rhyll (38.4633°S, 145.2999°E, 21m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Windy 17°
    Chance of rain: 60%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    6:56am EST 7:26am EST 5:07pm EST 5:36pm EST
    NOW
    10.2° Feels Like: 6.1°
    Relative Humidity: 79%
    Dew: 6.7°
    Wind: NNE 17km/h
    Gust: 20km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.2mm
    Pressure:  
  3. Today Weather

    Rhyll
    Now
    9.4°c
    Feels Like:
    6.9°
    Wind:
    N 9km/h
    Gusts:
    13km/h
    Humidity:
    85%
    Windy
     
    Min
    17°
    Max
    Today in Rhyll
    Mostly sunny. Areas of fog and frost near the Yarra Valley early this morning. Medium chance of showers extending from the west late tonight. Winds N 35 to 50 km/h with stronger squalls likely. Daytime maximum temperatures between 13 and 18.
    Tomorrow
    Showers
    11°
    Min
    16°
    Max
    Partly cloudy. High chance of showers, most likely in the morning and afternoon. Winds N/NW 30 to 45 km/h. Overnight temperatures falling to between 6 and 10 with daytime temperatures reaching between 11 and 16.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Mostly sunny. Areas of fog and frost near the Yarra Valley early this morning. Medium chance of showers extending from the west late tonight. Winds N 35 to 50 km/h with stronger squalls likely. Daytime maximum temperatures between 13 and 18.

    Forecast for Rhyll (38.4633°S, 145.2999°E, 21m AMSL)
      Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri
    Summary Windy Showers Showers Showers Possible shower Possible shower Possible shower
    Minimum 11° 10°
    Maximum 17° 16° 14° 14° 14° 14° 14°
    Chance of rain 60% 60% 70% 80% 5% 5% 70%
    Likely amount < 1mm 1-5mm 1-5mm 1-5mm < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm
    UV index Low Low Low Low Low - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 15
    (km/h)
    23
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    13
    (km/h)
    18
    (km/h)
    15
    (km/h)
    13
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    1
    (km/h)
    1
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    Wind direction N NNE NNW NNW N W W W SW SW N W NNW NNW
    Relative humidity 75% 55% 77% 67% 78% 69% 79% 75% 69% 63% 80% 65% 77% 63%
    Dew point 7°C 7°C 9°C 9°C 7°C 7°C 8°C 9°C 6°C 6°C 7°C 7°C 6°C 6°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Rhyll Rain Forecast


    Rhyll 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    30
    MEDIUM
    31
    MEDIUM
    Jun 1
    MEDIUM
    2
    MEDIUM
    3
    4
    5
    MEDIUM
    6
    MEDIUM
    7
    HIGH
    8
    LOW
    9
    LOW
    10
    LOW
    11
    LOW
    12
    MEDIUM
    13
    HIGH
    14
    MEDIUM
    15
    MEDIUM
    16
    LOW
    17
    MEDIUM
    18
    HIGH
    19
    MEDIUM
    20
    HIGH
    21
    HIGH
    22
    LOW
    23
    MEDIUM
    24
    HIGH
    25
    MEDIUM
    26
    LOW
    27
    LOW
    28
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued May29

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively fast moving in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, New Zealand, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 20 June to 24 June, 25 June to 29 June, and 29 June to 3 July. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 8 June to 12 June, and 17 June to 21 June. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 8 June to 12 June, 20 June to 24 June, and 29 June to 3 July.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Rhyll Rain Forecast


    Rhyll 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    2020
    2021
    6
    7
    7
    6
    6
    7
    8
    6
    8
    7
    5
    5
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued May 13

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Trending neutral Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific remained stable throughout April with the Nino3.4 index registering a value of 0.5. On the other hand, the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -0.5 during the same month. The current outlook suggests slightly warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean during the end of autumn and early winter, potentially cooling by the second half of the austral winter. Eight out of eight international models continue to suggest a cooling trend of the NINO3.4 region throughout the Austral winter, with all models on the cooler side of neutral by September. The current International Research Institute for Climate and Society (IRI) suggests a 40:35 chance for neutral:La Nina conditions by the Austral spring. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains neutral, normal for this time of the year. All six main international models, however, continue to hint at a possible negative IOD establishing from mid-to-late winter. In terms of precipitation across Australia, the current medium term outlook continues to favour above average rainfall for most of the country. This outlook is mainly driven by warmer SSTs across northwestern Australia, enhanced soil moisture across some parts of the continent and early indications of a cool phase in the Pacific Ocean, which increases the moisture content across the northern tropics. Across parts of southern Vic, NSW and Qld (east of the Great Dividing Range), southwestern WA and Tasmania the outlook is for average-to-slightly below average rainfall over the coming months as these regions transition to their ‘drier’ part of the year (eastern seaboard) or tend to be less influenced by the IOD (SW WA and Tasmania) but more on the phases of the Southern Annular Mode (SAM). This doesn’t include any severe weather events like east coast lows.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Rhyll Rain Forecast


    Rhyll 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    30
    MEDIUM
    31
    MEDIUM
    Jun 1
    MEDIUM
    2
    MEDIUM
    3
    4
    5
    MEDIUM
    6
    MEDIUM
    7
    HIGH
    8
    LOW
    9
    LOW
    10
    LOW
    11
    LOW
    12
    MEDIUM
    13
    HIGH
    14
    MEDIUM
    15
    MEDIUM
    16
    LOW
    17
    MEDIUM
    18
    HIGH
    19
    MEDIUM
    20
    HIGH
    21
    HIGH
    22
    LOW
    23
    MEDIUM
    24
    HIGH
    25
    MEDIUM
    26
    LOW
    27
    LOW
    28
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued May29

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively fast moving in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, New Zealand, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 20 June to 24 June, 25 June to 29 June, and 29 June to 3 July. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 8 June to 12 June, and 17 June to 21 June. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 8 June to 12 June, 20 June to 24 June, and 29 June to 3 July.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Rhyll Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Monday
    May 25
    8.2 °C 15.6 °C
    0.0 mm
    Tuesday
    May 26
    8.6 °C 16.1 °C
    0.0 mm
    Wednesday
    May 27
    9.3 °C 16.7 °C
    0.2 mm
    Thursday
    May 28
    11.7 °C 16.1 °C
    0.0 mm
    Friday
    May 29
    9.8 °C 16.6 °C
    0.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Rhyll minimum temp history (38.4633°S, 145.2999°E, 21m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 20.5° 07/05/2020 Coldest this month 6.1° 10/05/2020
    Hottest on record 23.6 01/05/1993 Coldest on record -1.6 25/05/1995
    Hottest this year 37.7° 31/01/2020 Coldest this year 6.1° 10/05/2020
    Long term average 16.3° Long term average 10.7°
    Average this month 15.6° Average this month 9.8°
    Hottest May On Record Avg. max. temp. 18.2° 2007 Coldest May on record Avg. min. temp. 9.7° 1994
    Rhyll rainfall history (38.4633°S, 145.2999°E, 21m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 24.8mm 02/05/2020 Total This Month 95.8mm
    18.0 days
    Long Term Average 75.7mm 17.1 days Wettest May on record 177.6mm 2012
    Driest on record 22.8mm 2009
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for VIC

  16. Year to Date

    Rhyll Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To May 261.7mm 58.5 day(s)
    Total For 2020 434.4mm 73.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2019 146.6mm 49.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 41.4mm Mar 5
    Lowest Temperature 6.1°C May10
    Highest Temperature 37.7°C Jan31
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Rhyll Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 23.8 24.3 22.6 19.5 16.3 14.0 13.3 14.3 16.0 17.9 20.0 21.8 18.6
    Mean Min (°C) 15.4 15.9 14.7 12.6 10.7 9.0 8.2 8.4 9.4 10.6 12.2 13.7 11.7
    Mean Rain (mm) 38.8 44.1 40.7 62.4 75.7 68.8 72.5 78.6 68.9 64.7 63.1 46.2 725.0
    Mean Rain Days 8.6 7.9 11.0 13.9 17.1 16.3 19.0 18.7 16.7 15.0 12.0 10.6 159.8