Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Victoria
Frost Warning
for Mallee, Wimmera, Northern Country, North Central, North East and Central forecast districts
Issued at 04:46 PM EST on Tuesday 17 September 2024
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Please be aware
Temperatures at ground level can be many degrees lower than those recorded
by standard weather stations, especially in calm conditions with very clear skies.
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Frost Warning for the following areas:
Mallee, Wimmera, Northern Country, North Central, North East and Central forecast districts
Frosts with temperatures down to -1 degrees are forecast for Wednesday morning in parts of the Mallee, Wimmera, Northern Country, North Central, North East and Central forecast districts.
No further warnings will be issued for this event.
Forecast
Nhill (36.3329°S, 141.6506°E, 134m AMSL) set as my default location ›
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My MLA
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Current condition
TOMORROW2° 21° Chance of rain: 40% Likely amount: < 1mm First
lightLast light Sunrise Sunset 6:03am EST 6:29am EST 6:27pm EST 6:53pm EST NOW13.0° Feels Like: 9.4° Relative Humidity: 44% Dew: 1.0° Wind: W 9km/h Gust: 11km/h Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm Pressure: 1023.1hPa -
Today Weather
NhillNow13.2°cFeels Like:10.9°Wind:SW 6km/hGusts:6km/hHumidity:56%2°Min21°MaxToday in NhillMostly sunny. Areas of frost in the early morning. Medium chance of showers in the S, most likely in the evening. Near zero chance of rain elsewhere. Light winds becoming NW 25 to 35 km/h in the morning then tending W 30 to 45 km/h in the middle of the day. Overnight temperatures falling to between zero and 4 with daytime temperatures reaching between 19 and 23.Tomorrow2°Min21°MaxCloudy. High chance of showers near the Grampians, medium chance elsewhere. Winds W 15 to 20 km/h becoming light before dawn then becoming W 30 to 45 km/h in the morning. Overnight temperatures falling to around 7 with daytime temperatures reaching between 14 and 18. -
Radar
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Popup Radar
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Warnings
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7 day forecast
Today: Mostly sunny. Areas of frost in the early morning. Medium chance of showers in the S, most likely in the evening. Near zero chance of rain elsewhere. Light winds becoming NW 25 to 35 km/h in the morning then tending W 30 to 45 km/h in the middle of the day. Overnight temperatures falling to between zero and 4 with daytime temperatures reaching between 19 and 23.
Forecast for Nhill (36.3329°S, 141.6506°E, 134m AMSL) Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Summary Minimum 2° 7° 5° 7° 7° 5° 9° Maximum 21° 15° 16° 16° 17° 22° 23° Chance of rain 40% 40% 60% 70% 40% 50% 50% Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm 5-10mm UV index High Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate High High Fire Danger Rating High High Moderate Moderate - - - Frost risk Moderate Nil Slight Nil Nil Slight Nil 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 20
(km/h)38
(km/h)25
(km/h)39
(km/h)21
(km/h)34
(km/h)22
(km/h)34
(km/h)20
(km/h)28
(km/h)17
(km/h)25
(km/h)19
(km/h)26
(km/h)Wind direction NW W W WSW WNW W WNW WNW W WNW N NNW NNE NW Relative humidity 55% 25% 81% 52% 86% 57% 86% 60% 83% 47% 75% 34% 65% 43% Dew point 3°C 0°C 7°C 4°C 8°C 7°C 9°C 7°C 8°C 5°C 8°C 5°C 9°C 8°C -
28 Day Rainfall forecast
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12 Month Rainfall Forecast
Nhill Rain Forecast
Nhill 12-month Rainfall ForecastSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAug20242025656887745874105012 - 34 - 78 - 910Well below normalBelow normalNear normalAbove normalWell above normalIssue Notes - Issued Sep 9
ENSO status: La Niña Watch. IOD status: Neutral. SAM status: Neutral. Favouring negative. The El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is in a La Niña Watch, meaning there is approximately a 50% chance of a La Niña developing this year. Overall, models are now starting to look more like La Niña, with more widespread ocean cooling occurring in the South Pacific, and the 30-day SOI now above +7. While these are good signs that La Nina is starting to develop, a declaration would likely happen no earlier than November, meaning this is more likely to be a late and weaker event if it does eventuate. A La Niña typically increases rainfall over northern and southeastern Australia during spring, but has little effect for southwestern WA. The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is in a neutral phase and is now unlikely to develop into either phase this spring. Conditions are closer to a positive IOD than to a negative phase, so there may be some minor reductions in the frequency of northwest cloudbands impacting Australia. A neutral IOD tends to bring a small increase in spring rainfall for southwest WA, but has little effect elsewhere. The Southern Annular Mode (SAM) is now neutral, having recovered from the initial sudden Stratospheric Warming (SW) event over Antarctica in mid-July. However, another SW event is occurring in mid September that may further dampen the polar vortex. These events increase the chances of negative SAM events during September and October. A negative SAM increases the frequency of cold fronts. During spring, this increases rainfall over western Tas and southern Vic, but decreases rainfall over eastern Australia. Rainfall outlooks are showing close to average for most of the country during September and October, with a higher chance of above average rainfall for northern and eastern Australia from November. Models are also hinting that rainfall is more likely to arrive in the form of showers and thunderstorms, rather than broad rainbands, meaning rainfall in practice will likely be hit-and-missfor most of Australia this spring.
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Popup - Daily historical
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Long range rainfall forecast
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Past 5 Days
Nhill Past 5 Days
This MonthMinimum Maximum Rainfall Friday
Sep 132.2 °C 17.1 °C 0.0 mmSaturday
Sep 146.5 °C 15.2 °C 0.0 mmSunday
Sep 15-1.1 °C 15.8 °C 0.0 mmMonday
Sep 16-0.4 °C 15.7 °C 0.0 mmTuesday
Sep 172.2 °C 16.8 °C 0.0 mmLegend -
Almanac
Almanac
Nhill minimum temp history (36.3329°S, 141.6506°E, 134m AMSL) MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE Hottest this month 23.6° 04/09/2024 Coldest this month -1.1° 15/09/2024 Hottest on record 32.3 12/09/2009 Coldest on record -1.0 28/09/2006 Hottest this year 40.9° 28/02/2024 Coldest this year -1.8° 03/06/2024 Long term average 18.4° Long term average 5.8° Average this month 17.9° Average this month 5.8° Hottest September On Record Avg. max. temp. 20.8° 2006 Coldest September on record Avg. min. temp. 5.2° 2015 Nhill rainfall history (36.3329°S, 141.6506°E, 134m AMSL) RAINFALL Wettest This Month 2.0mm 02/09/2024 Total This Month 6.4mm
8.0 daysLong Term Average 32.5mm 13.5 days Wettest September on record 93.4mm 2016 Driest on record 6.8mm 2018 -
Year to Date
Nhill Year To Date
Average Rainfall To Sep 260.7mm 96.5 day(s) Total For 2024 222.4mm 76.0 day(s) Total To This Day 2023 242.0mm 104.0 day(s) Wettest Day 20.2mm Jan17 Lowest Temperature -1.8°C Jun 3 Highest Temperature 40.9°C Feb28 -
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Popup - Monthly historical
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Climatology
Climate History
Nhill Climatology
Nhill Long-Term Averages
Long-Term Averages Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann Mean Max (°C) 31.3 30.3 27.3 22.5 17.8 14.6 14.0 15.4 18.4 22.3 26.2 28.9 22.4 Mean Min (°C) 14.0 13.4 11.6 9.0 6.7 4.8 4.4 4.7 5.8 7.4 10.2 12.2 8.7 Mean Rain (mm) 27.7 14.5 15.2 21.2 30.0 40.3 35.1 44.2 32.5 34.7 31.9 27.2 353.0 Mean Rain Days 4.5 3.7 5.6 6.8 12.0 16.0 17.8 16.6 13.5 9.2 7.1 6.5 119.6