Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Victoria
Frost Warning
for Mallee, Wimmera, Northern Country, North Central, North East and Central forecast districts
Issued at 04:23 PM EST on Saturday 27 July 2024
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Please be aware
Temperatures at ground level can be many degrees lower than those recorded
by standard weather stations, especially in calm conditions with very clear skies.
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Frost Warning for the following areas:
Mallee, Wimmera, Northern Country, North Central, North East and Central forecast districts
Frosts with temperatures down to -1 degrees are forecast for Sunday morning in parts of the Mallee, Wimmera, Northern Country, North Central, North East and Central forecast districts.
No further warnings will be issued for this event.
Forecast
Nhill (36.3329°S, 141.6506°E, 134m AMSL) set as my default location ›
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My MLA
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Current condition
TODAY2° 12° mostly sunny Chance of rain: 5% Likely amount: < 1mm First
lightLast light Sunrise Sunset 7:06am EST 7:34am EST 5:46pm EST 6:14pm EST NOW3.2° Feels Like: -1.5° Relative Humidity: 86% Dew: 1.1° Wind: W 15km/h Gust: 19km/h Rainfall since 9am: 0.6mm Pressure: 1024.4hPa -
Today Weather
NhillNow2.1°cFeels Like:-2.3°Wind:W 13km/hGusts:19km/hHumidity:91%2°Min12°MaxToday in NhillBecoming cloudy. Patches of morning frost. Slight chance of a shower in the S, near zero chance elsewhere. Winds W/SW 15 to 20 km/h becoming light before dawn then becoming SW 15 to 25 km/h in the morning. Overnight temperatures falling to around 1 with daytime temperatures reaching around 13.Tomorrow-1°Min14°MaxPartly cloudy. Areas of frost and the chance of fog in the morning. Slight chance of a shower about the ranges, near zero chance elsewhere. Light winds. Overnight temperatures falling to around minus 1 with daytime temperatures reaching around 14. -
Radar
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Popup Radar
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Warnings
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7 day forecast
Today: Becoming cloudy. Patches of morning frost. Slight chance of a shower in the S, near zero chance elsewhere. Winds W/SW 15 to 20 km/h becoming light before dawn then becoming SW 15 to 25 km/h in the morning. Overnight temperatures falling to around 1 with daytime temperatures reaching around 13.
Forecast for Nhill (36.3329°S, 141.6506°E, 134m AMSL) Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Summary Minimum 2° -1° 1° 1° 1° 2° 7° Maximum 12° 14° 15° 15° 15° 15° 15° Chance of rain 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 60% 70% Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm 1-5mm UV index Low Low Low Low Moderate Moderate Moderate Fire Danger Rating No Rating No Rating No Rating - - - - Frost risk Moderate Severe High High High Moderate Nil 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 11
(km/h)21
(km/h)4
(km/h)8
(km/h)3
(km/h)9
(km/h)5
(km/h)10
(km/h)7
(km/h)16
(km/h)18
(km/h)26
(km/h)15
(km/h)23
(km/h)Wind direction WSW SW WNW NW ENE N E ENE ENE NE NE NNE N NNW Relative humidity 84% 49% 89% 51% 89% 49% 92% 49% 92% 47% 82% 44% 84% 54% Dew point 3°C 1°C 2°C 3°C 3°C 4°C 4°C 4°C 4°C 3°C 2°C 2°C 6°C 5°C -
28 Day Rainfall forecast
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12 Month Rainfall Forecast
Nhill Rain Forecast
Nhill 12-month Rainfall ForecastJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMayJun20242025787568765457105012 - 34 - 78 - 910Well below normalBelow normalNear normalAbove normalWell above normalIssue Notes - Issued Jul 25
ENSO status: La Niña Watch. IOD status: Neutral. Negative possible. SAM status: Negative. The El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is in a La Niña Watch, meaning there is approximately a 50% chance of a La Niña developing this year. Some ocean cooling is occurring in the eastern Pacific, with 3 out of 7 global models forecasting a La Niña to develop in 2024. However, the Nino3.4 region is still warm from last years El Niño, meaning if La Niña were to develop, it would likely be declared no earlier than October. Warmer than normal waters are situated in the Coral Sea, providing moisture and humidity to the east coast. The atmosphere continues to be neutral. A La Niña typically increases rainfall over central Australia, Qld and NSW, but has little effect on southern WA, SA, Vic and Tas during winter. The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is in a neutral phase. Ocean warming has been occurring near Indonesia, with far more modest warming near Africa, lowering the IOD index. Northerly winds have weakened off theAustralian continent, but cloud patterns are more inline with a positive phase. All this indicates that a negative IOD could be developing, but the atmosphere and oceans are currently decoupled. 4 out of 5 of the international models (all except BoMs model) are forecasting a negative IOD by October. A negative IOD increases the number of northwest cloudbands that cross Australia during winter and spring, increasing rainfall across central and southeastern parts of Australia. The Southern Annular Mode (SAM) is negative after a Sudden Stratospheric Warming event over Antartica in mid-July. This event has significantly altered the shape of the polar vortex, and directly leads to a negative SAM phase. Given the magnitude of this change, weather in Australia (and the rest of the southern hemisphere) will likely go through periods of wetter (trough) and drier (ridge) patterns every 2-4 weeks during winter and spring. A negative SAM increases the frequency of cold fronts. During the cool months, this increasesrainfall through southwest WA, SA, inland and southern NSW, Vic and Tas, and dries out eastern Qld and NSW. Rainfall outlooks are showing above average rainfall for southwest WA, southern SA, inland and southern NSW, Vic and Tas in August and September. From October, wetter than average conditions are expected for eastern Australia, and drier for inland parts of WA.
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Popup - Daily historical
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Long range rainfall forecast
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Past 5 Days
Nhill Past 5 Days
This MonthMinimum Maximum Rainfall Tuesday
Jul 235.6 °C 18.1 °C 0.0 mmWednesday
Jul 245.9 °C 16.7 °C 0.0 mmThursday
Jul 257.4 °C 15.1 °C 0.4 mmFriday
Jul 265.8 °C 17.5 °C 1.6 mmSaturday
Jul 276.1 °C 11.6 °C 0.2 mmLegend -
Almanac
Almanac
Nhill minimum temp history (36.3329°S, 141.6506°E, 134m AMSL) MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE Hottest this month 18.1° 23/07/2024 Coldest this month 0.1° 10/07/2024 Hottest on record 21.7 25/07/2007 Coldest on record -2.3 03/07/2015 Hottest this year 40.9° 28/02/2024 Coldest this year -1.8° 03/06/2024 Long term average 14.0° Long term average 4.5° Average this month 14.2° Average this month 4.6° Hottest July On Record Avg. max. temp. 14.9° 2005 Coldest July on record Avg. min. temp. 3.4° 2015 Nhill rainfall history (36.3329°S, 141.6506°E, 134m AMSL) RAINFALL Wettest This Month 9.8mm 20/07/2024 Total This Month 29.6mm
16.0 daysLong Term Average 35.3mm 17.8 days Wettest July on record 61.8mm 2013 Driest on record 14.0mm 2020 -
Year to Date
Nhill Year To Date
Average Rainfall To Jul 184.2mm 66.4 day(s) Total For 2024 194.6mm 50.0 day(s) Total To This Day 2023 192.2mm 80.0 day(s) Wettest Day 20.2mm Jan17 Lowest Temperature -1.8°C Jun 3 Highest Temperature 40.9°C Feb28 -
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Popup - Monthly historical
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Climatology
Climate History
Nhill Climatology
Nhill Long-Term Averages
Long-Term Averages Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann Mean Max (°C) 31.3 30.3 27.3 22.5 17.8 14.6 14.0 15.4 18.4 22.3 26.2 28.9 22.4 Mean Min (°C) 14.0 13.4 11.6 9.0 6.7 4.8 4.5 4.7 5.8 7.4 10.2 12.2 8.7 Mean Rain (mm) 27.7 14.5 15.2 21.2 30.0 40.3 35.3 44.2 32.5 34.7 31.9 27.2 353.0 Mean Rain Days 4.5 3.7 5.6 6.8 12.0 16.0 17.8 16.6 13.5 9.2 7.1 6.5 119.6