Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Victoria
Brown Rot Advice
for Mallee, Wimmera, Northern Country, North Central, North East, South West, Central, West and South Gippsland and East Gippsland forecast districts
Issued at 04:14 PM EDT on Saturday 23 November 2024
Severe Brown Rot Advice for the following areas:
Mallee, Wimmera, South West, Central and West and South Gippsland forecast districts
Stone fruit growers in parts of the Mallee, Wimmera, South West, Central and West and South Gippsland forecast districts are advised that rainfall and accompanying high humidity late Saturday and during Sunday are conducive to a heavy outbreak of brown rot.
Brown Rot Advice for the following areas:
Northern Country, North Central, North East and East Gippsland forecast districts
Stone fruit growers in the Northern Country, North Central and North East forecast districts and parts of the East Gippsland forecast district are advised that rainfall and accompanying high humidity late Saturday and during Sunday may be conducive to an outbreak of brown rot.
The next warning will be issued by 11:00 pm EDT Saturday.
Forecast
Kilmore (37.3822°S, 144.9639°E, 527m AMSL) set as my default location ›
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My MLA
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Current condition
TOMORROW
14° 21° Chance of rain: 50% Likely amount: 1-5mm First
light
Last light Sunrise Sunset 5:26am EDT 5:55am EDT 8:19pm EDT 8:49pm EDT NOW22.0° Feels Like: 16.4° Relative Humidity: 52% Dew: 11.7° Wind: S 32km/h Gust: 41km/h Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm Pressure: 1017.4hPa -
Today Weather
KilmoreNow32.1°cFeels Like:28.2°Wind:NW 15km/hGusts:26km/hHumidity:19%
14°Min21°MaxToday in KilmoreCloudy. High chance of rain, most likely in the morning and afternoon. The chance of a thunderstorm. Winds S 15 to 20 km/h becoming light early in the morning. Overnight temperatures falling to around 16 with daytime temperatures reaching 22 to 28.Tomorrow
14°Min21°MaxCloudy. Slight chance of a shower. The chance of a thunderstorm. Light winds. Overnight temperatures falling to around 15 with daytime temperatures reaching 23 to 28. -
Radar
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Popup Radar
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Warnings
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Next 48 Hours
Next 48 Hours
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7 day forecast
Today: Cloudy. High chance of rain, most likely in the morning and afternoon. The chance of a thunderstorm. Winds S 15 to 20 km/h becoming light early in the morning. Overnight temperatures falling to around 16 with daytime temperatures reaching 22 to 28.
Forecast for Kilmore (37.3822°S, 144.9639°E, 527m AMSL) Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Summary 
Minimum 14° 13° 14° 15° 11° 10° 13° Maximum 21° 23° 26° 24° 20° 26° 25° Chance of rain 50% 60% 70% 80% 60% 80% 90% Likely amount 1-5mm 1-5mm 10-20mm 5-10mm 1-5mm 5-10mm 1-5mm UV index Extreme Extreme Very High Very High Very High Very High Very High Fire Danger Rating Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate - - - Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 15
(km/h)17
(km/h)17
(km/h)15
(km/h)20
(km/h)18
(km/h)24
(km/h)23
(km/h)25
(km/h)23
(km/h)18
(km/h)18
(km/h)19
(km/h)16
(km/h)Wind direction S SSW SSW SE NNE NNE N NNW SSW SSW SSE SE N WNW Relative humidity 98% 82% 95% 67% 89% 68% 88% 75% 89% 68% 80% 60% 82% 56% Dew point 15°C 16°C 14°C 15°C 17°C 19°C 18°C 16°C 11°C 12°C 13°C 16°C 13°C 14°C -
28 Day Rainfall forecast
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12 Month Rainfall Forecast
Kilmore Rain Forecast
Kilmore 12-month Rainfall ForecastNovDecJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct202420257686756741055105012 - 34 - 78 - 910Well below normalBelow normalNear normalAbove normalWell above normalIssue Notes - Issued Nov 18
ENSO status: La Niña Watch. IOD status: Neutral. SAM status: Positive. Trending positive. The El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is in a La Niña Watch, meaning there is approximately a 50% chance of a La Niña developing this year. The current technical definition of a La Niña is only a small chance to be met, although ocean and atmospheric conditions do resemble a La Niña pattern. Trade winds are still stronger than average along the western equatorial Pacific, and the Nino3.4 is low, but is above the threshold of -0.8C. However, the Relative-Nino Index (factors in equatorial ocean temperatures elsewhere around the world, compensating for the background warming signal) is below the threshold. A La Niña typically increases rainfall over northern and eastern Australia (especially eastern Qld) during summer, but has little effect for WA and SA. The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is in a neutral phase. Recent conditions have been similar to a negative IOD, but this has likely been heavily affected by veryactive bursts of tropical weather in mid-October and mid-late November. Regardless if these conditions continue, the arrival of the monsoon over northern Australia overwrites any IOD effects, so this driver is unlikely to significantly affect Australia this year. The Southern Annular Mode (SAM) is in a positive phase, having switched from the negative phase that persisted from July to October. This positive event is expected to persist through summer as a result of stratospheric moisture from the 2022 Tongan volcanic eruption (similar to the past two summers). A positive SAM decreases the frequency of cold fronts, with more regular high pressure systems and easterly winds. During summer, this increases rainfall over eastern Australia, and reduces rainfall over southeastern SA, western Vic and western Tas. Rainfall outlooks are showing above average rainfall over western, northern and eastern Australia, with strong signals over the Kimberley, Top End and Cape York Peninsula (likely related to forecastmonsoon activity). Drier conditions are expected for western Tas, with average conditions for SA and western Vic.
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Popup - Daily historical
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Long range rainfall forecast
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Past 5 Days
Kilmore Past 5 Days
This MonthMinimum Maximum Rainfall Tuesday
Nov 197.3 °C 16.8 °C 0.0 mmWednesday
Nov 206.4 °C 20.4 °C 0.0 mmThursday
Nov 218.0 °C 30.3 °C 0.2 mmFriday
Nov 2214.7 °C 33.9 °C 0.0 mmSaturday
Nov 2321.4 °C 34.8 °C 0.0 mmLegend -
Almanac
Almanac
Kilmore minimum temp history (37.3822°S, 144.9639°E, 527m AMSL) MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE Hottest this month 34.8° 23/11/2024 Coldest this month 4.3° 02/11/2024 Hottest on record 34.9 29/11/2012 Coldest on record 0.7 16/11/2006 Hottest this year 34.8° 23/11/2024 Coldest this year 1.2° 28/07/2024 Long term average 19.7° Long term average 9.0° Average this month 22.6° Average this month 9.3° Hottest November On Record Avg. max. temp. 24.8° 2009 Coldest November on record Avg. min. temp. 6.7° 1996 Kilmore rainfall history (37.3822°S, 144.9639°E, 527m AMSL) RAINFALL Wettest This Month 3.2mm 13/11/2024 Total This Month 4.4mm
3.0 daysLong Term Average 70.2mm 13.0 days Wettest November on record 165.8mm 2010 Driest on record 28.8mm 2002 -
Year to Date
Kilmore Year To Date
Average Rainfall To Nov 645.0mm 168.0 day(s) Total For 2024 574.6mm 143.0 day(s) Total To This Day 2023 515.6mm 160.0 day(s) Wettest Day 95.6mm Jan 8 Lowest Temperature 1.2°C Jul28 Highest Temperature 34.8°C Nov23 -
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Popup - Monthly historical
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Climatology
Climate History
Kilmore Climatology
Kilmore Long-Term Averages
Long-Term Averages Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann Mean Max (°C) 25.4 24.6 21.7 17.1 12.9 9.9 9.2 10.7 13.4 16.2 19.7 22.7 16.9 Mean Min (°C) 12.5 12.6 11.2 8.9 6.8 4.9 4.0 4.3 5.7 7.0 9.0 10.5 8.1 Mean Rain (mm) 53.0 43.6 46.3 57.8 57.1 72.0 60.8 63.3 61.7 59.2 70.2 50.0 691.2 Mean Rain Days 9.5 9.1 11.7 13.9 17.6 20.7 21.8 19.5 15.9 15.3 13.0 10.8 179.2
