Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Victoria
Brown Rot Advice
for Mallee, Wimmera, Northern Country, North Central, North East, South West, Central, West and South Gippsland and East Gippsland forecast districts
Issued at 10:16 AM EDT on Saturday 23 November 2024
Severe Brown Rot Advice for the following areas:
Mallee, Wimmera, South West, Central and West and South Gippsland forecast districts
Stone fruit growers in parts of the Mallee, Wimmera, South West, Central and West and South Gippsland forecast districts are advised that rainfall and accompanying high humidity late Saturday and during Sunday are conducive to a heavy outbreak of brown rot.
Brown Rot Advice for the following areas:
Northern Country, North Central, North East and East Gippsland forecast districts
Stone fruit growers in the Northern Country, North Central and North East forecast districts and parts of the East Gippsland forecast district are advised that rainfall and accompanying high humidity late Saturday and during Sunday may be conducive to an outbreak of brown rot.
The next warning will be issued by 5:00 pm EDT Saturday.
Forecast
Kewell (36.4494°S, 142.4223°E, 129m AMSL) set as my default location ›
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My MLA
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Current condition
TODAY19° 35° late shower Chance of rain: 90% Likely amount: 5-10mm First
lightLast light Sunrise Sunset 5:39am EDT 6:08am EDT 8:27pm EDT 8:56pm EDT NOW35.3° Feels Like: 28.8° Relative Humidity: 19% Dew: 8.2° Wind: NW 32km/h Gust: 44km/h Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm Pressure: 1014.4hPa -
Today Weather
KewellNow34.0°cFeels Like:29.2°Wind:NW 22km/hGusts:33km/hHumidity:20%19°Min35°MaxToday in KewellPartly cloudy. High chance of rain, most likely in the afternoon and evening. The chance of a thunderstorm. Winds N/NW 25 to 40 km/h turning W/SW in the early afternoon then tending SE/SW 15 to 25 km/h in the evening. Daytime maximum temperatures 30 to 35.Tomorrow17°Min30°MaxCloudy. High chance of rain, most likely in the morning and afternoon. The chance of a thunderstorm. Light winds. Overnight temperatures falling to around 16 with daytime temperatures reaching the mid to high 20s. -
Radar
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Popup Radar
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Warnings
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7 day forecast
Today: Partly cloudy. High chance of rain, most likely in the afternoon and evening. The chance of a thunderstorm. Winds N/NW 25 to 40 km/h turning W/SW in the early afternoon then tending SE/SW 15 to 25 km/h in the evening. Daytime maximum temperatures 30 to 35.
Forecast for Kewell (36.4494°S, 142.4223°E, 129m AMSL) Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Summary Minimum 19° 17° 15° 17° 17° 10° 10° Maximum 35° 30° 30° 31° 24° 24° 28° Chance of rain 90% 40% 70% 80% 70% 40% 80% Likely amount 5-10mm < 1mm 1-5mm 10-20mm 5-10mm 1-5mm 1-5mm UV index Extreme Very High Very High Very High Very High Very High Very High Fire Danger Rating Extreme Moderate Moderate High No Rating - - Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 24
(km/h)22
(km/h)7
(km/h)7
(km/h)12
(km/h)9
(km/h)13
(km/h)12
(km/h)18
(km/h)21
(km/h)19
(km/h)21
(km/h)15
(km/h)15
(km/h)Wind direction NNE WNW SSE SW E NE NNE N NW W S SSE ESE ENE Relative humidity 24% 37% 77% 45% 69% 45% 70% 42% 76% 60% 66% 45% 65% 39% Dew point 8°C 16°C 17°C 15°C 17°C 16°C 19°C 15°C 16°C 15°C 12°C 11°C 12°C 12°C -
28 Day Rainfall forecast
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12 Month Rainfall Forecast
Kewell Rain Forecast
Kewell 12-month Rainfall ForecastNovDecJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct20242025787765676954105012 - 34 - 78 - 910Well below normalBelow normalNear normalAbove normalWell above normalIssue Notes - Issued Nov 18
ENSO status: La Niña Watch. IOD status: Neutral. SAM status: Positive. Trending positive. The El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is in a La Niña Watch, meaning there is approximately a 50% chance of a La Niña developing this year. The current technical definition of a La Niña is only a small chance to be met, although ocean and atmospheric conditions do resemble a La Niña pattern. Trade winds are still stronger than average along the western equatorial Pacific, and the Nino3.4 is low, but is above the threshold of -0.8C. However, the Relative-Nino Index (factors in equatorial ocean temperatures elsewhere around the world, compensating for the background warming signal) is below the threshold. A La Niña typically increases rainfall over northern and eastern Australia (especially eastern Qld) during summer, but has little effect for WA and SA. The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is in a neutral phase. Recent conditions have been similar to a negative IOD, but this has likely been heavily affected by veryactive bursts of tropical weather in mid-October and mid-late November. Regardless if these conditions continue, the arrival of the monsoon over northern Australia overwrites any IOD effects, so this driver is unlikely to significantly affect Australia this year. The Southern Annular Mode (SAM) is in a positive phase, having switched from the negative phase that persisted from July to October. This positive event is expected to persist through summer as a result of stratospheric moisture from the 2022 Tongan volcanic eruption (similar to the past two summers). A positive SAM decreases the frequency of cold fronts, with more regular high pressure systems and easterly winds. During summer, this increases rainfall over eastern Australia, and reduces rainfall over southeastern SA, western Vic and western Tas. Rainfall outlooks are showing above average rainfall over western, northern and eastern Australia, with strong signals over the Kimberley, Top End and Cape York Peninsula (likely related to forecastmonsoon activity). Drier conditions are expected for western Tas, with average conditions for SA and western Vic.
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Popup - Daily historical
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Long range rainfall forecast
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Past 5 Days
Kewell Past 5 Days
This MonthMinimum Maximum Rainfall Tuesday
Nov 194.0 °C 25.3 °C 0.0 mmWednesday
Nov 208.3 °C 28.8 °C -Thursday
Nov 218.7 °C - 0.0 mmFriday
Nov 2215.2 °C 37.5 °C -Saturday
Nov 2320.2 °C 35.6 °C 0.0 mmLegend -
Almanac
Almanac
Kewell minimum temp history (36.4494°S, 142.4223°E, 129m AMSL) MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE Hottest this month 37.3° 22/11/2024 Coldest this month 0.0° 01/11/2024 Hottest on record 43.0 29/11/2012 Coldest on record -2.2 21/11/1968 Hottest this year 41.8° 28/02/2024 Coldest this year -2.5° 10/07/2024 Long term average 24.8° Long term average 9.1° Average this month 26.8° Average this month 8.1° Hottest November On Record Avg. max. temp. 30.9° 2009 Coldest November on record Avg. min. temp. 6.0° 1965 Kewell rainfall history (36.4494°S, 142.4223°E, 129m AMSL) RAINFALL Wettest This Month 1.0mm 18/11/2024 Total This Month 1.4mm
3.0 daysLong Term Average 35.7mm 6.6 days Wettest November on record 125.2mm 1924 Driest on record 0.0mm 1963 -
Year to Date
Kewell Year To Date
Average Rainfall To Nov 389.9mm 95.0 day(s) Total For 2024 178.0mm 65.0 day(s) Total To This Day 2023 310.8mm 93.0 day(s) Wettest Day 24.2mm Apr 2 Lowest Temperature -2.5°C Jul10 Highest Temperature 41.8°C Feb28 -
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Popup - Monthly historical
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Climatology
Climate History
Kewell Climatology
Kewell Long-Term Averages
Long-Term Averages Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann Mean Max (°C) 30.2 29.9 26.5 21.9 17.4 14.1 13.5 15.0 17.4 21.1 24.8 28.0 21.6 Mean Min (°C) 13.2 13.2 11.1 8.3 6.1 4.1 3.6 4.0 5.1 6.7 9.1 11.3 7.9 Mean Rain (mm) 25.1 24.2 22.9 28.7 41.4 43.8 42.4 43.8 40.3 41.6 35.7 27.3 417.0 Mean Rain Days 3.8 3.5 4.7 6.5 10.1 12.3 13.7 13.5 11.0 9.3 6.6 5.3 100.1