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Forecast

Glenaire (38.7818°S, 143.43°E, 50m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Rain 11° 15°
    Chance of rain: 70%
    Likely amount: 5-10mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    7:02am EST 7:30am EST 5:35pm EST 6:04pm EST
    NOW
    11.9° Feels Like: 6.2°
    Relative Humidity: 64%
    Dew: 5.3°
    Wind: N 24km/h
    Gust: 30km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure: 1002.8hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Glenaire
    Now
    11.2°c
    Feels Like:
    7.1°
    Wind:
    NW 15km/h
    Gusts:
    24km/h
    Humidity:
    63%
    Rain
     
    11°
    Min
    15°
    Max
    Today in Glenaire
    Cloudy. Very high chance of rain, most likely during this afternoon and evening. The chance of a thunderstorm from late this morning. Winds N 25 to 40 km/h tending NW/SW 20 to 30 km/h in the late afternoon then becoming NW 15 to 25 km/h in the late evening. Daytime maximum temperatures around 14.
    Tomorrow
    Showers
    Min
    13°
    Max
    Partly cloudy. High chance of showers in the W, medium chance elsewhere. Possible small hail near the coast in the morning and afternoon. The chance of a thunderstorm in the S in the early morning. Winds NW 15 to 25 km/h becoming light in the late afternoon. Overnight temperatures falling to around 5 with daytime temperatures reaching around 13.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Cloudy. Very high chance of rain, most likely during this afternoon and evening. The chance of a thunderstorm from late this morning. Winds N 25 to 40 km/h tending NW/SW 20 to 30 km/h in the late afternoon then becoming NW 15 to 25 km/h in the late evening. Daytime maximum temperatures around 14.

    Forecast for Glenaire (38.7818°S, 143.43°E, 50m AMSL)
      Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri
    Summary Rain Showers Showers increasing Showers Showers Showers Showers
    Minimum 11°
    Maximum 15° 13° 15° 12° 13° 13° 14°
    Chance of rain 70% 50% 70% 70% 90% 90% 90%
    Likely amount 5-10mm 1-5mm 1-5mm 5-10mm 1-5mm 1-5mm 1-5mm
    UV index Low Low Low Low Low - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 32
    (km/h)
    28
    (km/h)
    33
    (km/h)
    30
    (km/h)
    27
    (km/h)
    27
    (km/h)
    39
    (km/h)
    44
    (km/h)
    35
    (km/h)
    37
    (km/h)
    33
    (km/h)
    33
    (km/h)
    30
    (km/h)
    32
    (km/h)
    Wind direction NNW WNW WNW W NNE NNE WNW W WSW W W W W WNW
    Relative humidity 74% 84% 77% 66% 72% 60% 82% 76% 78% 78% 83% 79% 83% 79%
    Dew point 7°C 11°C 5°C 7°C 6°C 8°C 6°C 7°C 7°C 8°C 8°C 9°C 9°C 11°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Glenaire Rain Forecast


    Glenaire 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    31
    HIGH
    Aug 1
    LOW
    2
    MEDIUM
    3
    HIGH
    4
    HIGH
    5
    HIGH
    6
    MEDIUM
    7
    8
    9
    MEDIUM
    10
    MEDIUM
    11
    MEDIUM
    12
    MEDIUM
    13
    MEDIUM
    14
    LOW
    15
    16
    MEDIUM
    17
    MEDIUM
    18
    HIGH
    19
    MEDIUM
    20
    LOW
    21
    MEDIUM
    22
    23
    MEDIUM
    24
    MEDIUM
    25
    HIGH
    26
    MEDIUM
    27
    MEDIUM
    28
    HIGH
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jul31

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively slow moving in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, Western Australia, New Zealand, the southeast Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 8 August to 12 August, 16 August to 20 August, and 1 September to 5 September. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 10 August to 14 August, 21 August to 25 August, and 3 September to 7 September. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 8 August to 12 August, 15 August to 19 August, and 22 August to 26 August.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Glenaire Rain Forecast


    Glenaire 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    2021
    2022
    8
    6
    7
    6
    7
    7
    8
    6
    6
    5
    4
    7
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Jul 13

    ENSO status: Neutral, however two models suggest La Niña thresholds may be met again from September. IOD status: Neutral, although it was negative for six weeks between mid-May and late-June SAM status: Negative. The El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is currently neutral. However, there are growing signs that La Niña could redevelop in the Pacific Ocean later this year, prompting the US Climate Prediction Centre to issue a La Niña Watch this week. Two models forecast temperatures reaching the La Niña threshold during September. The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is currently neutral, although we saw six consecutive weeks below the negative IOD threshold between mid-May and late-June. The IOD index needs to stay below -0.4C for eight consecutive weeks to be officially declared as a negative IOD event. The IOD ducked back into neutral territory thanks to recent warming in the western Indian Ocean. While a negative IOD has not been officially declared, the negative weekly values may enhance rainfallacross central and southern Australia. Three of the five models are forecasting the negative IOD to develop in winter, with another one indicating development in early spring. Most of the models suggest that the negative IOD will continue through until mid spring. During winter, much of the Australia is likely to be wetter than normal, apart from far southern WA and SA, southern VIC and southwestern TAS. The weekly negative IOD values may be influencing this outlook, potentially feeding moisture into cold fronts sweeping across central and southern Australia. Therefore a normal to above normal snow season is forecast. Springs rainfall at this stage is forecast to be above normal for much of the Australia, apart from southwestern TAS and WA. Again, the negative IOD values may be playing a role in this outlook.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Glenaire Rain Forecast


    Glenaire 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    31
    HIGH
    Aug 1
    LOW
    2
    MEDIUM
    3
    HIGH
    4
    HIGH
    5
    HIGH
    6
    MEDIUM
    7
    8
    9
    MEDIUM
    10
    MEDIUM
    11
    MEDIUM
    12
    MEDIUM
    13
    MEDIUM
    14
    LOW
    15
    16
    MEDIUM
    17
    MEDIUM
    18
    HIGH
    19
    MEDIUM
    20
    LOW
    21
    MEDIUM
    22
    23
    MEDIUM
    24
    MEDIUM
    25
    HIGH
    26
    MEDIUM
    27
    MEDIUM
    28
    HIGH
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jul31

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively slow moving in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, Western Australia, New Zealand, the southeast Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 8 August to 12 August, 16 August to 20 August, and 1 September to 5 September. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 10 August to 14 August, 21 August to 25 August, and 3 September to 7 September. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 8 August to 12 August, 15 August to 19 August, and 22 August to 26 August.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Glenaire Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Monday
    Jul 26
    7.2 °C 15.2 °C
    9.8 mm
    Tuesday
    Jul 27
    11.4 °C 16.5 °C
    1.0 mm
    Wednesday
    Jul 28
    10.8 °C 13.5 °C
    1.8 mm
    Thursday
    Jul 29
    7.2 °C 13.8 °C
    11.8 mm
    Friday
    Jul 30
    9.7 °C 14.8 °C
    0.2 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Glenaire minimum temp history (38.7818°S, 143.43°E, 50m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 16.5° 27/07/2021 Coldest this month 4.1° 09/07/2021
    Hottest on record 21.8 29/07/1975 Coldest on record 0.0 17/07/1966
    Hottest this year 36.5° 11/01/2021 Coldest this year 4.0° 31/05/2021
    Long term average 13.0° Long term average 7.5°
    Average this month 13.3° Average this month 8.1°
    Hottest July On Record Avg. max. temp. 16.7° 1867 Coldest July on record Avg. min. temp. 2.9° 1867
    Glenaire rainfall history (38.7818°S, 143.43°E, 50m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 16.4mm 20/07/2021 Total This Month 122.4mm
    22.0 days
    Long Term Average 104.6mm 20.4 days Wettest July on record 213.9mm 1958
    Driest on record 35.7mm 1877
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for Australia

  16. Year to Date

    Glenaire Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Jul 502.6mm 104.6 day(s)
    Total For 2021 550.4mm 117.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2020 390.0mm 103.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 36.2mm Jan 4
    Lowest Temperature 4.0°C May31
    Highest Temperature 36.5°C Jan11
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Glenaire Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 21.3 21.4 20.2 17.9 15.6 13.6 13.0 13.8 15.1 16.9 18.3 19.8 17.2
    Mean Min (°C) 13.4 13.9 13.3 11.7 10.1 8.5 7.5 7.8 8.6 9.6 10.8 12.1 10.6
    Mean Rain (mm) 44.6 40.2 56.4 70.7 90.1 96.0 104.6 104.7 88.2 78.9 62.5 52.7 889.4
    Mean Rain Days 9.8 9.1 12.6 15.3 18.5 18.9 20.4 20.6 18.7 16.8 14.0 12.4 187.1