Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Victoria
Warning to Sheep Graziers
for Mallee, Wimmera, Northern Country, North Central, North East, South West and Central forecast districts
Issued at 10:39 PM EST on Monday 29 April 2024
Warning to Sheep Graziers for the following areas:
Mallee, Wimmera, Northern Country, North Central, North East, South West and Central forecast districts
Sheep graziers are warned that cold temperatures, showers and southerly winds are expected during Tuesday. Areas likely to be affected include the Wimmera forecast district and parts of the Mallee, Northern Country, North Central, North East, South West and Central forecast districts. There is a risk of losses of lambs and sheep exposed to these conditions.
The next warning will be issued by 5:00 am EST Tuesday.
Forecast
Aireys Inlet (38.4594°S, 144.1069°E, 22m AMSL) set as my default location ›
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My MLA
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Current condition
TOMORROW11° 15° late shower Chance of rain: 50% Likely amount: < 1mm First
lightLast light Sunrise Sunset 6:37am EST 7:05am EST 5:36pm EST 6:04pm EST NOW11.1° Feels Like: 5.8° Relative Humidity: 77% Dew: 7.2° Wind: S 24km/h Gust: 35km/h Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm Pressure: -
Today Weather
Aireys InletNow11.5°cFeels Like:7.9°Wind:S 15km/hGusts:19km/hHumidity:73%11°Min15°MaxToday in Aireys InletCloudy. Medium chance of showers in the W, near zero chance elsewhere. Winds S 15 to 25 km/h turning SE 25 to 35 km/h during the day. Overnight temperatures falling to between 5 and 10 with daytime temperatures reaching between 11 and 16.Tomorrow11°Min15°MaxMostly sunny. Medium chance of showers near the Otways, near zero chance elsewhere. The chance of morning frost near the Yarra Valley. Winds SE 15 to 25 km/h. Overnight temperatures falling to between 4 and 9 with daytime temperatures reaching between 14 and 18. -
Radar
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Popup Radar
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Warnings
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7 day forecast
Today: Cloudy. Medium chance of showers in the W, near zero chance elsewhere. Winds S 15 to 25 km/h turning SE 25 to 35 km/h during the day. Overnight temperatures falling to between 5 and 10 with daytime temperatures reaching between 11 and 16.
Forecast for Aireys Inlet (38.4594°S, 144.1069°E, 22m AMSL) Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Summary Minimum 11° 12° 12° 11° 12° 12° 12° Maximum 15° 17° 17° 17° 17° 17° 17° Chance of rain 50% 30% 40% 40% 40% 70% 40% Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm < 1mm UV index Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Low Moderate Fire Danger Rating Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate - - - Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 22
(km/h)16
(km/h)15
(km/h)16
(km/h)14
(km/h)13
(km/h)16
(km/h)15
(km/h)18
(km/h)16
(km/h)16
(km/h)15
(km/h)15
(km/h)13
(km/h)Wind direction S S ESE SSE ESE SE E ESE ESE SE ESE SE ESE ESE Relative humidity 60% 63% 68% 65% 71% 66% 74% 65% 77% 70% 80% 72% 77% 68% Dew point 5°C 7°C 9°C 9°C 9°C 9°C 9°C 9°C 10°C 10°C 11°C 11°C 10°C 10°C -
28 Day Rainfall forecast
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12 Month Rainfall Forecast
Aireys Inlet Rain Forecast
Aireys Inlet 12-month Rainfall ForecastAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMar202420259565465106874105012 - 34 - 78 - 910Well below normalBelow normalNear normalAbove normalWell above normalIssue Notes - Issued Apr 23
ENSO status: Inactive/Neutral. El Niño ended. IOD status: Neutral, becoming strongly positive. SAM status: Leading to neutral and returning positive. The El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is presently in an inactive phase, for the first time since August 2021. Ocean cooling continues over the eastern Pacific Ocean as sea surface temperatures approach near-normal conditions. Warmer than normal waters are present across the western Pacific Ocean, including the Coral Sea with added moisture and humidity to influence weather conditions in the eastern regions of Australia. The atmosphere continues to be firmly neutral after weakening early in the year with 3 out of 7 global models forecasting a La Niña to develop this coming winter season. A neutral ENSO typically has no significant impact on Australian rainfall during winter. The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is in a neutral phase, although record-high ocean temperatures across the northwest Indian Ocean have the IOD index just tipping into a positivethreshold value. Persistent southeasterly winds over the eastern Indian Ocean during the previous month are forecast to ease with below-average wind speeds to develop off northwest Australia and the eastern Indian Ocean during the winter season. All international models are suggesting the IOD will strengthen into a strong positive phase over the next 2-3 months, with significant upwelling to start near Indonesia possibly following May. A positive IOD reduces the number of northwest cloudbands that cross Australia during winter and spring, thus reducing rainfall across central and southeastern parts of Australia. The Southern Annular Mode (SAM) is currently positive (mid-April) with the outlook favouring a neutral phase forecast in May and then the likelihood of returning to a positive phase during winter. A positive SAM increases easterly winds, increasing rainfall and thunderstorm activity in the east. A positive SAM also reduces the impact of cold fronts and decreases the rainfall over southernAustralia. Rainfall outlooks are showing above-average rainfall over winter for WA and central and northern SA, and eastern regions of QLD and NSW. Conversely, below-average rainfall is expected for western TAS, southern SA, and most of VIC.
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Popup - Daily historical
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Long range rainfall forecast
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Past 5 Days
Aireys Inlet Past 5 Days
This MonthMinimum Maximum Rainfall Thursday
Apr 2510.1 °C 15.7 °C 0.0 mmFriday
Apr 2611.3 °C 14.3 °C 0.0 mmSaturday
Apr 2711.0 °C 17.9 °C 0.0 mmSunday
Apr 288.8 °C 21.1 °C 0.0 mmMonday
Apr 2911.1 °C 16.3 °C 0.0 mmLegend -
Almanac
Almanac
Aireys Inlet minimum temp history (38.4594°S, 144.1069°E, 22m AMSL) MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE Hottest this month 26.1° 23/04/2024 Coldest this month 8.1° 21/04/2024 Hottest on record 34.6 01/04/2014 Coldest on record 4.4 07/04/1995 Hottest this year 39.6° 09/03/2024 Coldest this year 8.1° 21/04/2024 Long term average 19.1° Long term average 11.6° Average this month 18.4° Average this month 11.4° Hottest April On Record Avg. max. temp. 22.0° 2005 Coldest April on record Avg. min. temp. 9.1° 1995 Aireys Inlet rainfall history (38.4594°S, 144.1069°E, 22m AMSL) RAINFALL Wettest This Month 18.8mm 02/04/2024 Total This Month 49.6mm
12.0 daysLong Term Average 43.8mm 11.9 days Wettest April on record 223.0mm 2001 Driest on record 5.0mm 2018 -
Year to Date
Aireys Inlet Year To Date
Average Rainfall To Apr 153.5mm 36.1 day(s) Total For 2024 112.8mm 25.0 day(s) Total To This Day 2023 125.2mm 31.0 day(s) Wettest Day 31.6mm Jan17 Lowest Temperature 8.1°C Apr21 Highest Temperature 39.6°C Mar 9 -
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Popup - Monthly historical
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Climatology
Climate History
Aireys Inlet Climatology
Aireys Inlet Long-Term Averages
Long-Term Averages Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann Mean Max (°C) 23.1 23.1 21.8 19.1 16.3 13.9 13.4 14.4 16.3 18.3 19.8 21.5 18.4 Mean Min (°C) 14.2 14.7 13.7 11.6 9.9 8.2 7.3 7.4 8.3 9.4 11.0 12.3 10.6 Mean Rain (mm) 42.9 32.0 34.8 43.8 55.6 60.8 66.2 64.4 57.1 63.8 57.6 39.8 616.2 Mean Rain Days 7.9 6.5 9.8 11.9 14.5 16.1 18.2 17.8 15.4 14.1 11.3 9.8 153.0