Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Victoria
Fire Weather Warning
for Mallee and Wimmera fire weather districts
Issued at 04:34 AM EDT on Saturday 16 November 2024
Weather Situation
Fresh northerly winds will combine with hot and dry conditions leading to elevated fire dangers on Saturday. A cooler southwesterly change will move into the west in the late evening with possible thunderstorms developing in the north at night.
For the rest of Saturday 16 November:
Extreme Fire Danger for the following areas:
Mallee and Wimmera
The CFA advises that you:
Action your Bushfire Survival Plan now.
Monitor the fire and weather situation through ABC Local Radio, commercial and designated community radio stations, or Sky News TV, www.emergency.vic.gov.au and www.bom.gov.au.
Call 000 (Triple Zero) in an emergency.
For information on preparing for bushfires go to www.cfa.vic.gov.au.
No further warnings will be issued for this event, but the situation will continue to be monitored and further warnings issued if necessary.
Forecast
Crymelon (36.1541°S, 142.2681°E, 108m AMSL) set as my default location ›
-
My MLA
-
Current condition
TODAY13° 37° Chance of rain: 50% Likely amount: < 1mm First
lightLast light Sunrise Sunset 5:45am EDT 6:14am EDT 8:17pm EDT 8:45pm EDT NOW23.5° Feels Like: 16.0° Relative Humidity: 24% Dew: 1.8° Wind: NE 30km/h Gust: 33km/h Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm Pressure: 1014.5hPa -
Today Weather
CrymelonNow24.3°cFeels Like:15.8°Wind:NE 33km/hGusts:37km/hHumidity:20%13°Min37°MaxToday in CrymelonMostly sunny. Winds NE 25 to 40 km/h tending N in the middle of the day then shifting W/SW 15 to 20 km/h in the evening. Daytime maximum temperatures in the mid to high 30s.Tomorrow16°Min25°MaxPartly cloudy. High chance of showers, most likely in the morning. The chance of a thunderstorm. Winds W 35 to 50 km/h. Overnight temperatures falling to between 10 and 13 with daytime temperatures reaching between 19 and 24. -
Radar
-
Popup Radar
-
Warnings
-
7 day forecast
Today: Mostly sunny. Winds NE 25 to 40 km/h tending N in the middle of the day then shifting W/SW 15 to 20 km/h in the evening. Daytime maximum temperatures in the mid to high 30s.
Forecast for Crymelon (36.1541°S, 142.2681°E, 108m AMSL) Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Summary Minimum 13° 16° 9° 7° 7° 10° 19° Maximum 37° 25° 25° 27° 29° 35° 36° Chance of rain 50% 70% 5% 5% 5% 5% 10% Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm UV index Very High Very High Very High Very High Very High Very High Extreme Fire Danger Rating Extreme High Moderate Moderate No Rating - - Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 28
(km/h)30
(km/h)31
(km/h)33
(km/h)21
(km/h)23
(km/h)17
(km/h)17
(km/h)18
(km/h)15
(km/h)16
(km/h)13
(km/h)25
(km/h)22
(km/h)Wind direction NE NNE WSW W SW SW SSE SSW SSE S ESE NE NNE NNE Relative humidity 16% 6% 69% 24% 56% 26% 56% 20% 52% 16% 45% 12% 38% 19% Dew point -3°C -7°C 13°C 2°C 7°C 3°C 6°C 1°C 5°C -1°C 8°C 1°C 12°C 8°C -
28 Day Rainfall forecast
-
12 Month Rainfall Forecast
Crymelon Rain Forecast
Crymelon 12-month Rainfall ForecastNovDecJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct20242025787765676954105012 - 34 - 78 - 910Well below normalBelow normalNear normalAbove normalWell above normalIssue Notes - Issued Oct 1
ENSO status: La Niña Watch. IOD status: Neutral. SAM status: Negative. Trending slightly negative. The El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is in a La Niña Watch, meaning there is approximately a 50% chance of a La Niña developing this year. Overall, models are now starting to look more like La Niña, with more widespread ocean cooling occurring in the South Pacific, helped by the consistently strong trade winds. While these are good signs that La Niña is starting to develop, a declaration would likely happen no earlier than November, meaning this is more likely to be a late and weaker event if it does eventuate. A La Niña typically increases rainfall over northern and southeastern Australia during spring, but has little effect for southwestern WA. The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is in a neutral phase and is now unlikely to develop into either phase this spring. Conditions are closer to a negative IOD at the moment, so there may be some minor increases in the frequency of northwest cloudbands impactingAustralia. A neutral IOD tends to bring a small increase in spring rainfall for southwest WA, but has little effect elsewhere. The Southern Annular Mode (SAM) is in a negative phase, continuing on from the initial sudden Stratospheric Warming (SW) events over Antarctica since mid-July. These events increase the chances of negative SAM events, but are having a lesser effect moving forward in October. A negative SAM increases the frequency of cold fronts. During spring, this increases rainfall over western Tas and southern Vic, but decreases rainfall over eastern Australia. Rainfall outlooks are showing close to average for most of the country during October, with a higher chance of above average rainfall for northern and eastern Australia, increasing further into November and December. Models are also hinting that rainfall is more likely to arrive in the form of showers and thunderstorms, rather than broad rainbands, meaning rainfall in practice will likely be hit-and-miss for most of Australia thisspring.
-
Popup - Daily historical
-
Long range rainfall forecast
-
Past 5 Days
Crymelon Past 5 Days
This MonthMinimum Maximum Rainfall Monday
Nov 118.6 °C 28.5 °C 0.0 mmTuesday
Nov 1214.2 °C 29.0 °C 0.2 mmWednesday
Nov 1313.0 °C 24.6 °C 0.2 mmThursday
Nov 144.1 °C 25.0 °C 0.0 mmFriday
Nov 156.1 °C 27.8 °C 0.0 mmLegend -
Almanac
Almanac
Crymelon minimum temp history (36.1541°S, 142.2681°E, 108m AMSL) MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE Hottest this month 33.7° 06/11/2024 Coldest this month 2.7° 09/11/2024 Hottest on record 45.0 29/11/2012 Coldest on record 0.3 01/11/2010 Hottest this year 43.2° 28/02/2024 Coldest this year -3.5° 29/07/2024 Long term average 28.0° Long term average 10.9° Average this month 26.9° Average this month 8.9° Hottest November On Record Avg. max. temp. 32.4° 2009 Coldest November on record Avg. min. temp. 8.6° 2013 Crymelon rainfall history (36.1541°S, 142.2681°E, 108m AMSL) RAINFALL Wettest This Month 0.6mm 08/11/2024 Total This Month 0.8mm
2.0 daysLong Term Average 32.6mm 7.6 days Wettest November on record 88.0mm 2009 Driest on record 3.0mm 2013 -
Year to Date
Crymelon Year To Date
Average Rainfall To Nov 276.0mm 95.9 day(s) Total For 2024 179.2mm 65.0 day(s) Total To This Day 2023 191.4mm 91.0 day(s) Wettest Day 35.6mm Jan 8 Lowest Temperature -3.5°C Jul29 Highest Temperature 43.2°C Feb28 -
Popup - Radar
Weather Radar for Australia
Australia Radars
- Adelaide
- Adelaide Airport
- Adelaide Sellicks
- Albany
- Alice Springs
- Bairnsdale
- Bowen
- Brewarrina
- Brisbane
- Brisbane Airport
- Brisbane Marburg
- Broadmeadows
- Broome
- Cairns
- Cairns Airport
- Canberra
- Carnarvon
- Ceduna
- Coffs Harbour
- Dampier
- Darwin
- Darwin Airport
- Emerald
- Esperance
- Eucla
- Geraldton
- Giles
- Gladstone
-
Popup - Monthly historical
-
Climatology
Climate History
Crymelon Climatology
Crymelon Long-Term Averages
Long-Term Averages Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann Mean Max (°C) 33.2 31.9 28.7 23.7 18.8 15.3 14.9 16.9 20.3 24.5 28.0 30.6 23.9 Mean Min (°C) 15.5 14.6 12.6 8.9 5.9 4.1 3.2 3.6 4.9 7.5 10.9 13.0 8.7 Mean Rain (mm) 29.1 17.1 14.7 23.7 25.0 26.5 25.7 26.1 27.2 28.3 32.6 27.5 303.9 Mean Rain Days 5.2 3.9 4.5 5.4 9.4 13.4 15.8 13.4 9.7 7.6 7.6 5.8 102.6