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Forecast

Casterton (37.5842°S, 141.4059°E, 47m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Showers 6° 11°
    Chance of rain: 90%
    Likely amount: 1-5mm
    First
    light     		Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    7:20am EST 7:50am EST 5:24pm EST 5:53pm EST
    NOW
    10.3° Feels Like: 6.9°
    Relative Humidity: 92%
    Dew: 9.1°
    Wind: N 17km/h
    Gust: 19km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure: 1002.2hPa

  3. Today Weather

    Casterton
    Now
    10.6°c
    Feels Like:
    7.4°
    Wind:
    N 15km/h
    Gusts:
    19km/h
    Humidity:
    87%
    Showers
     
    6°
    Min
    11°
    Max
    Today in Casterton
    Cloudy. Very high chance of showers, most likely during this afternoon and evening. Winds N/NE 20 to 30 km/h. Daytime maximum temperatures between 10 and 13.
    Tomorrow
    Showers
    5°
    Min
    13°
    Max
    Cloudy. Very high chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm. Winds S/SW 15 to 25 km/h. Overnight temperatures falling to around 7 with daytime temperatures reaching around 13.

  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

    There are no current warnings for Casterton

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours

  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Cloudy. Very high chance of showers, most likely during this afternoon and evening. Winds N/NE 20 to 30 km/h. Daytime maximum temperatures between 10 and 13.

    Forecast for Casterton (37.5842°S, 141.4059°E, 47m AMSL)
      Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed
    Summary Showers Showers Possible shower Showers easing Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Possible shower
    Minimum 6° 5° 4° 7° 4° 6° 8°
    Maximum 11° 13° 12° 14° 14° 14° 15°
    Chance of rain 90% 90% 80% 50% 10% 5% 80%
    Likely amount 1-5mm 1-5mm 1-5mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm
    UV index Low Low Low Low Low - -
    Frost risk Nil Slight Slight Nil Slight Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 19
    (km/h)     		12
    (km/h)     		7
    (km/h)     		15
    (km/h)     		9
    (km/h)     		18
    (km/h)     		9
    (km/h)     		10
    (km/h)     		10
    (km/h)     		15
    (km/h)     		18
    (km/h)     		19
    (km/h)     		24
    (km/h)     		23
    (km/h)
    Wind direction NE ENE W SW NW WNW NW WSW NE NNE NNE NNE NNE NNE
    Relative humidity 83% 90% 97% 86% 89% 75% 97% 83% 95% 74% 86% 70% 78% 71%
    Dew point 5°C 9°C 8°C 10°C 5°C 7°C 10°C 11°C 7°C 9°C 7°C 8°C 7°C 10°C

  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Casterton Rain Forecast

    Casterton 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    24
    HIGH
    25
    HIGH
    26
    MEDIUM
    27
    MEDIUM
    28
    29
    30
    HIGH
    Jul 1
    HIGH
    2
    MEDIUM
    3
    LOW
    4
    LOW
    5
    MEDIUM
    6
    MEDIUM
    7
    8
    9
    MEDIUM
    10
    LOW
    11
    LOW
    12
    MEDIUM
    13
    MEDIUM
    14
    HIGH
    15
    HIGH
    16
    LOW
    17
    LOW
    18
    19
    MEDIUM
    20
    LOW
    21
    LOW
    22
    MEDIUM
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jun24

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the southwest Indian Ocean, Western Australia, the south Pacific, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 30 June to 4 July, 21 July to 25 July, and 25 July to 29 July. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 22 June to 26 June. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 29 June to 3 July, 3 July to 7 July, and 21 July to 25 July.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Casterton Rain Forecast

    Casterton 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    2021
    2022
    8
    5
    6
    8
    7
    6
    7
    8
    6
    6
    5
    4
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Jun 15

    ENSO status: Neutral. IOD status: Neutral, although during the past three weeks it has been negative. SAM status: Positive. The El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is currently neutral, which is predicted to continue until at least October. The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is currently neutral. although the last 3 weekly values have been negative.The negative value would need to continue for another 5 weeks for a negative IOD to be declared. While a negative IOD has not been officially declared, the negative weekly value may enhance rainfall across central and southern Australia. A negative IOD is forecast during winter or early spring by 3 out of 5 climate models. However, the confidence in the IOD forecast at this time of the year is low, specifically because the models are showing a range of outcomes from mid winter onwards. During winter, much of the Australia is likely to be wetter than normal, apart from far southern WA and SA, southern VIC and much of TAS. The weekly negative IOD valuesmay be influencing this outlook, potentially feeding moisture into cold fronts sweeping across central and southern Australia. Therefore a normal to above normal snow season is forecast. Springs rainfall at this stage is forecast to be above normal for much of the Australia, apart from western TAS. Again, the negative IOD values may be playing a role in this outlook.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Casterton Rain Forecast

    Casterton 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    24
    HIGH
    25
    HIGH
    26
    MEDIUM
    27
    MEDIUM
    28
    29
    30
    HIGH
    Jul 1
    HIGH
    2
    MEDIUM
    3
    LOW
    4
    LOW
    5
    MEDIUM
    6
    MEDIUM
    7
    8
    9
    MEDIUM
    10
    LOW
    11
    LOW
    12
    MEDIUM
    13
    MEDIUM
    14
    HIGH
    15
    HIGH
    16
    LOW
    17
    LOW
    18
    19
    MEDIUM
    20
    LOW
    21
    LOW
    22
    MEDIUM
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jun24

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the southwest Indian Ocean, Western Australia, the south Pacific, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 30 June to 4 July, 21 July to 25 July, and 25 July to 29 July. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 22 June to 26 June. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 29 June to 3 July, 3 July to 7 July, and 21 July to 25 July.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Casterton Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Sunday
    Jun 20     		5.7 °C 14.1 °C
    0.0 mm
    Monday
    Jun 21     		-0.2 °C 13.3 °C
    0.0 mm
    Tuesday
    Jun 22     		3.0 °C 12.1 °C
    0.0 mm
    Wednesday
    Jun 23     		8.2 °C 13.4 °C
    5.0 mm
    Thursday
    Jun 24     		7.8 °C 10.5 °C
    2.8 mm
    Legend

  14. Almanac

    Almanac

    Casterton minimum temp history (37.5842°S, 141.4059°E, 47m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 18.5° 07/06/2021 Coldest this month -0.2° 21/06/2021
    Hottest on record 22.4 08/06/2005 Coldest on record -3.1 10/06/2006
    Hottest this year 40.5° 24/01/2021 Coldest this year -1.1° 30/05/2021
    Long term average 13.7° Long term average 4.9°
    Average this month 14.0° Average this month 6.0°
    Hottest June On Record Avg. max. temp. 15.4° 2005 Coldest June on record Avg. min. temp. 2.3° 2006
    Casterton rainfall history (37.5842°S, 141.4059°E, 47m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 15.2mm 08/06/2021 Total This Month 60.2mm
    14.0 days
    Long Term Average 65.1mm 19.4 days Wettest June on record 121.6mm 2014
    Driest on record 12.0mm 2006

  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for Australia

  16. Year to Date

    Casterton Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Jun 273.7mm 74.1 day(s)
    Total For 2021 210.2mm 76.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2020 326.0mm 75.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 15.2mm Jun 8
    Lowest Temperature -1.1°C May30
    Highest Temperature 40.5°C Jan24

  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Casterton Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 28.1 27.1 24.8 20.4 16.2 13.7 13.1 14.2 16.2 19.3 22.5 25.2 20.0
    Mean Min (°C) 12.1 12.5 11.0 8.8 7.2 4.9 4.9 5.3 6.1 7.0 9.1 10.1 8.2
    Mean Rain (mm) 33.9 30.8 30.9 44.3 68.7 65.1 82.9 81.5 67.7 47.4 38.9 39.8 630.3
    Mean Rain Days 6.5 6.5 9.4 13.2 19.1 19.4 22.4 22.1 18.8 13.9 11.4 10.0 171.7

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