Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Victoria
Fire Weather Warning
for Mallee and Wimmera fire weather districts
Issued at 06:41 PM EDT on Friday 22 November 2024
Weather Situation
Fresh north to northwesterly winds will combine with hot and dry conditions leading to elevated fire dangers on Saturday over western parts of the state. A milder southwesterly change reaching the west during the afternoon. Showers and possible thunderstorms developing in the west during the afternoon.
For Saturday 23 November:
Extreme Fire Danger for the following areas:
Mallee and Wimmera
The CFA advises that you:
Action your Bushfire Survival Plan now.
Monitor the fire and weather situation through ABC Local Radio, commercial and designated community radio stations, or Sky News TV, www.emergency.vic.gov.au and www.bom.gov.au.
Call 000 (Triple Zero) in an emergency.
For information on preparing for bushfires go to www.cfa.vic.gov.au.
The next warning will be issued by 5:00 am EDT Saturday.
Forecast
Cannum (36.3101°S, 142.2437°E, 120m AMSL) set as my default location ›
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My MLA
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Current condition
TOMORROW22° 35° late shower Chance of rain: 70% Likely amount: 1-5mm First
lightLast light Sunrise Sunset 5:39am EDT 6:09am EDT 8:27pm EDT 8:57pm EDT NOW33.7° Feels Like: 29.9° Relative Humidity: 20% Dew: 7.6° Wind: N 17km/h Gust: 17km/h Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm Pressure: 1014.7hPa -
Today Weather
CannumNow34.3°cFeels Like:30.8°Wind:N 15km/hGusts:17km/hHumidity:19%22°Min35°MaxToday in CannumPartly cloudy. High chance of rain, most likely in the afternoon and evening. The chance of a thunderstorm in the NW in the afternoon and evening. Winds N 25 to 40 km/h shifting SW 25 to 35 km/h in the early afternoon. Overnight temperatures falling to the low 20s with daytime temperatures reaching 31 to 36.Tomorrow22°Min35°MaxCloudy. High chance of rain, most likely in the morning and afternoon. The chance of a thunderstorm. Light winds. Overnight temperatures falling to around 16 with daytime temperatures reaching the mid to high 20s. -
Radar
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Popup Radar
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Warnings
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7 day forecast
Today: Partly cloudy. High chance of rain, most likely in the afternoon and evening. The chance of a thunderstorm in the NW in the afternoon and evening. Winds N 25 to 40 km/h shifting SW 25 to 35 km/h in the early afternoon. Overnight temperatures falling to the low 20s with daytime temperatures reaching 31 to 36.
Forecast for Cannum (36.3101°S, 142.2437°E, 120m AMSL) Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Summary Minimum 22° 16° 15° 14° 11° 10° 9° Maximum 35° 26° 28° 28° 23° 26° 29° Chance of rain 70% 80% 70% 60% 60% 50% 70% Likely amount 1-5mm 1-5mm 1-5mm 1-5mm 5-10mm 1-5mm 1-5mm UV index Extreme Extreme Very High Very High Very High Very High Very High Fire Danger Rating Extreme Moderate Moderate High - - - Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 25
(km/h)24
(km/h)13
(km/h)13
(km/h)15
(km/h)14
(km/h)17
(km/h)19
(km/h)24
(km/h)26
(km/h)23
(km/h)23
(km/h)16
(km/h)17
(km/h)Wind direction N WNW SSW WSW E N NE NNW W W SSW S ESE E Relative humidity 24% 40% 77% 48% 73% 49% 73% 37% 72% 49% 68% 43% 66% 36% Dew point 8°C 15°C 17°C 13°C 17°C 16°C 16°C 11°C 14°C 10°C 11°C 11°C 12°C 11°C -
28 Day Rainfall forecast
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12 Month Rainfall Forecast
Cannum Rain Forecast
Cannum 12-month Rainfall ForecastNovDecJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct20242025787765676954105012 - 34 - 78 - 910Well below normalBelow normalNear normalAbove normalWell above normalIssue Notes - Issued Nov 18
ENSO status: La Niña Watch. IOD status: Neutral. SAM status: Positive. Trending positive. The El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is in a La Niña Watch, meaning there is approximately a 50% chance of a La Niña developing this year. The current technical definition of a La Niña is only a small chance to be met, although ocean and atmospheric conditions do resemble a La Niña pattern. Trade winds are still stronger than average along the western equatorial Pacific, and the Nino3.4 is low, but is above the threshold of -0.8C. However, the Relative-Nino Index (factors in equatorial ocean temperatures elsewhere around the world, compensating for the background warming signal) is below the threshold. A La Niña typically increases rainfall over northern and eastern Australia (especially eastern Qld) during summer, but has little effect for WA and SA. The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is in a neutral phase. Recent conditions have been similar to a negative IOD, but this has likely been heavily affected by veryactive bursts of tropical weather in mid-October and mid-late November. Regardless if these conditions continue, the arrival of the monsoon over northern Australia overwrites any IOD effects, so this driver is unlikely to significantly affect Australia this year. The Southern Annular Mode (SAM) is in a positive phase, having switched from the negative phase that persisted from July to October. This positive event is expected to persist through summer as a result of stratospheric moisture from the 2022 Tongan volcanic eruption (similar to the past two summers). A positive SAM decreases the frequency of cold fronts, with more regular high pressure systems and easterly winds. During summer, this increases rainfall over eastern Australia, and reduces rainfall over southeastern SA, western Vic and western Tas. Rainfall outlooks are showing above average rainfall over western, northern and eastern Australia, with strong signals over the Kimberley, Top End and Cape York Peninsula (likely related to forecastmonsoon activity). Drier conditions are expected for western Tas, with average conditions for SA and western Vic.
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Popup - Daily historical
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Long range rainfall forecast
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Past 5 Days
Cannum Past 5 Days
This MonthMinimum Maximum Rainfall Monday
Nov 1810.0 °C 24.0 °C 0.4 mmTuesday
Nov 194.0 °C 25.3 °C 0.0 mmWednesday
Nov 208.3 °C 28.8 °C -Thursday
Nov 218.7 °C - 0.0 mmFriday
Nov 2215.2 °C 37.5 °C -Legend -
Almanac
Almanac
Cannum minimum temp history (36.3101°S, 142.2437°E, 120m AMSL) MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE Hottest this month 37.6° 22/11/2024 Coldest this month 0.5° 01/11/2024 Hottest on record 42.3 29/11/2012 Coldest on record -2.0 11/11/2001 Hottest this year 41.5° 28/02/2024 Coldest this year -3.0° 03/06/2024 Long term average 25.9° Long term average 8.6° Average this month 26.7° Average this month 7.3° Hottest November On Record Avg. max. temp. 30.4° 2009 Coldest November on record Avg. min. temp. 6.7° 2001 Cannum rainfall history (36.3101°S, 142.2437°E, 120m AMSL) RAINFALL Wettest This Month 1.2mm 18/11/2024 Total This Month 2.8mm
4.0 daysLong Term Average 33.1mm 7.6 days Wettest November on record 61.8mm 2009 Driest on record 6.2mm 2006 -
Year to Date
Cannum Year To Date
Average Rainfall To Nov 353.3mm 115.6 day(s) Total For 2024 217.2mm 90.0 day(s) Total To This Day 2023 301.4mm 110.0 day(s) Wettest Day 24.2mm Apr 2 Lowest Temperature -3.0°C Jun 3 Highest Temperature 41.5°C Feb28 -
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Australia Radars
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Popup - Monthly historical
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Climatology
Climate History
Cannum Climatology
Cannum Long-Term Averages
Long-Term Averages Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann Mean Max (°C) 31.1 30.2 27.0 22.2 17.6 14.3 13.7 15.2 18.0 21.7 25.9 28.6 22.1 Mean Min (°C) 12.7 12.4 10.3 7.3 5.2 3.6 3.2 3.3 4.4 5.7 8.6 10.6 7.3 Mean Rain (mm) 32.3 19.9 14.4 26.8 33.3 40.8 39.0 40.9 37.5 35.3 33.1 23.9 379.6 Mean Rain Days 5.1 4.3 4.9 6.6 11.6 16.6 18.8 16.9 13.3 9.9 7.6 5.5 122.0