Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Victoria
Marine Wind Warning Summary for Victoria
Issued at 10:08 AM EDT on Wednesday 06 November 2024
for the period until midnight EDT Thursday 07 November 2024
Wind Warnings for Wednesday 06 November
Strong Wind Warning for the following areas:
Port Phillip, Western Port, Central Coast and East Gippsland Coast
Wind Warnings for Thursday 07 November
Strong Wind Warning for the following areas:
West Coast and East Gippsland Coast
The next marine wind warning summary will be issued by 4:40 pm EDT Wednesday.
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Check the latest Coastal Waters Forecast or Local
Waters Forecast at http://www.bom.gov.au/vic/forecasts/map.shtml for information on wind,
wave and weather conditions for these coastal zones.
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Forecast
Blairgowrie (38.3606°S, 144.7782°E, 0m AMSL) set as my default location ›
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My MLA
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Current condition
TODAY13° 31° late shower Chance of rain: 70% Likely amount: 1-5mm First
lightLast light Sunrise Sunset 5:38am EDT 6:06am EDT 8:01pm EDT 8:30pm EDT NOW27.8° Feels Like: 23.5° Relative Humidity: 27% Dew: 7.1° Wind: N 19km/h Gust: 32km/h Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm Pressure: 1004.2hPa -
Today Weather
BlairgowrieNow28.4°cFeels Like:21.8°Wind:N 30km/hGusts:43km/hHumidity:25%13°Min31°MaxToday in BlairgowriePartly cloudy. Medium chance of showers in the afternoon and evening. The chance of a thunderstorm in the afternoon and evening. Winds N/NW 25 to 40 km/h shifting SW 20 to 30 km/h in the late afternoon. Daytime maximum temperatures around 30.Tomorrow11°Min20°MaxPartly cloudy. Medium chance of showers, most likely in the afternoon and early evening. Winds S/SW 15 to 20 km/h turning W/NW 15 to 25 km/h in the late morning and afternoon. Overnight temperatures falling to between 8 and 11 with daytime temperatures reaching between 19 and 23. -
Radar
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Popup Radar
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Warnings
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7 day forecast
Today: Partly cloudy. Medium chance of showers in the afternoon and evening. The chance of a thunderstorm in the afternoon and evening. Winds N/NW 25 to 40 km/h shifting SW 20 to 30 km/h in the late afternoon. Daytime maximum temperatures around 30.
Forecast for Blairgowrie (38.3606°S, 144.7782°E, 0m AMSL) Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Summary Minimum 13° 11° 11° 9° 9° 8° 11° Maximum 31° 20° 19° 20° 19° 22° 24° Chance of rain 70% 30% 70% 30% 30% 10% 50% Likely amount 1-5mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm UV index Very High Very High Very High Very High Very High Very High Very High Fire Danger Rating Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate No Rating - - Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 25
(km/h)19
(km/h)7
(km/h)8
(km/h)31
(km/h)26
(km/h)12
(km/h)10
(km/h)10
(km/h)17
(km/h)6
(km/h)13
(km/h)5
(km/h)11
(km/h)Wind direction NNE NW SW WSW NW WSW WNW WSW SSW S E SSW ESE S Relative humidity 45% 50% 69% 53% 62% 49% 66% 51% 69% 57% 74% 59% 74% 63% Dew point 13°C 18°C 9°C 10°C 9°C 8°C 7°C 9°C 8°C 11°C 9°C 13°C 12°C 17°C -
28 Day Rainfall forecast
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12 Month Rainfall Forecast
Blairgowrie Rain Forecast
Blairgowrie 12-month Rainfall ForecastNovDecJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct20242025778665684845105012 - 34 - 78 - 910Well below normalBelow normalNear normalAbove normalWell above normalIssue Notes - Issued Oct 1
ENSO status: La Niña Watch. IOD status: Neutral. SAM status: Negative. Trending slightly negative. The El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is in a La Niña Watch, meaning there is approximately a 50% chance of a La Niña developing this year. Overall, models are now starting to look more like La Niña, with more widespread ocean cooling occurring in the South Pacific, helped by the consistently strong trade winds. While these are good signs that La Niña is starting to develop, a declaration would likely happen no earlier than November, meaning this is more likely to be a late and weaker event if it does eventuate. A La Niña typically increases rainfall over northern and southeastern Australia during spring, but has little effect for southwestern WA. The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is in a neutral phase and is now unlikely to develop into either phase this spring. Conditions are closer to a negative IOD at the moment, so there may be some minor increases in the frequency of northwest cloudbands impactingAustralia. A neutral IOD tends to bring a small increase in spring rainfall for southwest WA, but has little effect elsewhere. The Southern Annular Mode (SAM) is in a negative phase, continuing on from the initial sudden Stratospheric Warming (SW) events over Antarctica since mid-July. These events increase the chances of negative SAM events, but are having a lesser effect moving forward in October. A negative SAM increases the frequency of cold fronts. During spring, this increases rainfall over western Tas and southern Vic, but decreases rainfall over eastern Australia. Rainfall outlooks are showing close to average for most of the country during October, with a higher chance of above average rainfall for northern and eastern Australia, increasing further into November and December. Models are also hinting that rainfall is more likely to arrive in the form of showers and thunderstorms, rather than broad rainbands, meaning rainfall in practice will likely be hit-and-miss for most of Australia thisspring.
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Popup - Daily historical
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Long range rainfall forecast
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Past 5 Days
Blairgowrie Past 5 Days
This MonthMinimum Maximum Rainfall Saturday
Nov 023.8 °C 26.3 °C 0.0 mmSunday
Nov 0311.7 °C 18.5 °C 0.0 mmMonday
Nov 0410.0 °C 17.6 °C 0.0 mmTuesday
Nov 054.0 °C 22.6 °C 0.0 mmWednesday
Nov 0611.8 °C 27.8 °C 0.0 mmLegend -
Almanac
Almanac
Blairgowrie minimum temp history (38.3606°S, 144.7782°E, 0m AMSL) MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE Hottest this month 26.3° 02/11/2024 Coldest this month 3.8° 02/11/2024 Hottest on record 36.8 20/11/2009 Coldest on record 1.6 17/11/1992 Hottest this year 38.6° 10/03/2024 Coldest this year -2.0° 03/07/2024 Long term average 20.6° Long term average 10.7° Average this month 20.2° Average this month 8.1° Hottest November On Record Avg. max. temp. 23.9° 2009 Coldest November on record Avg. min. temp. 8.6° 2006 Blairgowrie rainfall history (38.3606°S, 144.7782°E, 0m AMSL) RAINFALL Wettest This Month 0.0mm 01/11/2024 Total This Month 0.0mm
0.0 daysLong Term Average 56.5mm 12.1 days Wettest November on record 109.0mm 2011 Driest on record 13.2mm 2001 -
Year to Date
Blairgowrie Year To Date
Average Rainfall To Nov 662.8mm 159.5 day(s) Total For 2024 470.0mm 127.0 day(s) Total To This Day 2023 562.8mm 158.0 day(s) Wettest Day 54.0mm Apr 2 Lowest Temperature -2.0°C Jul 3 Highest Temperature 38.6°C Mar10 -
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Popup - Monthly historical
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Climatology
Climate History
Blairgowrie Climatology
Blairgowrie Long-Term Averages
Long-Term Averages Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann Mean Max (°C) 24.6 24.9 23.2 19.9 16.7 14.3 13.7 14.7 16.6 18.6 20.6 22.5 19.2 Mean Min (°C) 14.1 14.2 12.6 10.1 8.3 6.8 6.4 6.7 7.7 8.8 10.7 12.0 9.9 Mean Rain (mm) 40.8 36.2 42.7 60.3 68.2 75.5 71.7 73.9 68.1 68.9 56.5 54.2 719.3 Mean Rain Days 8.1 7.3 10.5 14.5 17.4 18.8 19.7 19.3 16.4 15.4 12.1 10.9 170.0