Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Victoria
Frost Warning
for Northern Country, North Central, North East, South West, Central, West and South Gippsland and East Gippsland forecast districts
Issued at 02:12 PM EST on Sunday 22 May 2022
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Please be aware
Temperatures at ground level can be many degrees lower than those recorded
by standard weather stations, especially in calm conditions with very clear skies.
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Frost Warning for the following areas:
Northern Country, North Central, North East, South West, Central, West and South Gippsland and East Gippsland forecast districts
Frosts with temperatures down to 0 degrees are forecast for Monday morning in parts of the Northern Country, North Central, North East, South West, Central, West and South Gippsland and East Gippsland forecast districts
No further warnings will be issued for this event.
Forecast
Bendigo (36.7555°S, 144.2843°E, 210m AMSL) set as my default location ›
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My MLA
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Current condition
TODAY2° 17° Chance of rain: 5% Likely amount: < 1mm First
lightLast light Sunrise Sunset 6:51am EST 7:19am EST 5:19pm EST 5:47pm EST NOW4.3° Feels Like: 0.9° Relative Humidity: 86% Dew: 2.2° Wind: SE 9km/h Gust: 9km/h Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm Pressure: 1028.5hPa -
Today Weather
BendigoNow2.5°cFeels Like:-1.0°Wind:SW 9km/hGusts:11km/hHumidity:94%2°Min17°MaxToday in BendigoSunny. The chance of morning fog in the E. The chance of morning frost in the S. Light winds. Daytime maximum temperatures around 18.Tomorrow3°Min17°MaxSunny. The chance of morning frost. Light winds. Overnight temperatures falling to around 4 with daytime temperatures reaching around 18. -
Radar
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Popup Radar
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Warnings
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7 day forecast
Today: Sunny. The chance of morning fog in the E. The chance of morning frost in the S. Light winds. Daytime maximum temperatures around 18.
Forecast for Bendigo (36.7555°S, 144.2843°E, 210m AMSL) Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Summary Minimum 2° 3° 5° 8° 9° 7° 5° Maximum 17° 17° 17° 15° 15° 13° 13° Chance of rain 5% 5% 60% 80% 50% 40% 90% Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm 5-10mm < 1mm 1-5mm 5-10mm UV index Low Low Low Low Low - - Frost risk Moderate Moderate Slight Nil Nil Nil Slight 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 8
(km/h)6
(km/h)7
(km/h)11
(km/h)12
(km/h)16
(km/h)13
(km/h)13
(km/h)6
(km/h)9
(km/h)5
(km/h)11
(km/h)7
(km/h)14
(km/h)Wind direction ESE ENE ESE ENE E NE ENE NE NW W W NW N N Relative humidity 80% 58% 81% 57% 85% 61% 93% 87% 96% 77% 92% 68% 89% 69% Dew point 5°C 8°C 5°C 8°C 7°C 9°C 10°C 12°C 11°C 10°C 9°C 7°C 7°C 7°C -
28 Day Rainfall forecast
Bendigo Rain Forecast
Bendigo 28-day Rainfall ForecastSUNMONTUEWEDTHUFRISAT23
24
MEDIUM25
MEDIUM26
MEDIUM27
LOW28
LOW29
LOW30
31
LOWJun 1
LOW2
LOW3
LOW4
LOW5
MEDIUM6
LOW7
LOW8
MEDIUM9
MEDIUM10
LOW11
MEDIUM12
13
14
15
MEDIUM16
LOW17
LOW18
LOW19
HIGH20
MEDIUMCHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICTNIL < 25%LOW 25% to 50%MEDIUM 50% to 75%HIGH ≥ 75%Issued May22Issue Notes
The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, New Zealand, and South America.
Summary:
Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 24 May to 28 May, 6 June to 10 June, and 17 June to 21 June. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 22 May to 26 May, 1 June to 5 June, and 18 June to 22 June. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 24 May to 28 May, 9 June to 13 June, and 17 June to 21 June.
Forecast ExplanationThis forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.
The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.
In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.
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12 Month Rainfall Forecast
Bendigo Rain Forecast
Bendigo 12-month Rainfall ForecastMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarApr20222023789988866967105012 - 34 - 78 - 910Well below normalBelow normalNear normalAbove normalWell above normalIssue Notes - Issued May 11
ENSO status: La Niña, it is expected return to neutral state by early winter. IOD status: Neutral, models suggest it could enter a negative phase in the next month. SAM status: Positive and is expected to remain positive for the next month or so. The El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is in a La Niña phase and has not changed in strength during the past two weeks. La Niña events typically breaks down in autumn and while this current La Niña is persisting longer than usual, most models suggest it should end by early winter. However, one seasonal model operated by the U.S. National Weather Service’s Climate Prediction Centre (CPC) suggests that a La Niña-like signal could linger in the Pacific Ocean through the middle of the year and possibly remerge in the Southern Hemisphere’s spring. That being said, it is important to note that seasonal forecast models have lower accuracy at this time of year. This is called the autumn predictability barrier. The La Niña forecast will increase the likelihood of above-average rain in northern and eastern Australia during the remainder of Autumn, possibly into winter. Even as La Niña weakens it should continue to influence our climate. all five climate models suggest a negative phase will begin during late autumn or early winter. Climate models are forecasting strong negative IOD values by August, with the negative IOD event possibly lingering into spring. While a neutral IOD has little influence on our climate, a negative IOD increases the chance of above average autumn and winter rain for much of Australia. The rainfall outlooks are reflecting this, with above average rain forecast during winter for much of Australia, except southwest WA, parts of TAS and VIC. If a negative IOD does develop this winter, it will increase the risk of flooding over large areas of inland Australia, especially areas that had a wet summer and autumn.
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Popup - Daily historical
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Long range rainfall forecast
Bendigo Rain Forecast
Bendigo 28-day Rainfall ForecastSUNMONTUEWEDTHUFRISAT23
24
MEDIUM25
MEDIUM26
MEDIUM27
LOW28
LOW29
LOW30
31
LOWJun 1
LOW2
LOW3
LOW4
LOW5
MEDIUM6
LOW7
LOW8
MEDIUM9
MEDIUM10
LOW11
MEDIUM12
13
14
15
MEDIUM16
LOW17
LOW18
LOW19
HIGH20
MEDIUMCHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICTNIL < 25%LOW 25% to 50%MEDIUM 50% to 75%HIGH ≥ 75%Issued May22Issue Notes
The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, New Zealand, and South America.
Summary:
Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 24 May to 28 May, 6 June to 10 June, and 17 June to 21 June. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 22 May to 26 May, 1 June to 5 June, and 18 June to 22 June. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 24 May to 28 May, 9 June to 13 June, and 17 June to 21 June.
Forecast ExplanationThis forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.
The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.
In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.
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Past 5 Days
Bendigo Past 5 Days
This MonthMinimum Maximum Rainfall Wednesday
May 187.6 °C 14.3 °C 0.0 mmThursday
May 192.0 °C 15.3 °C 0.2 mmFriday
May 201.0 °C 14.8 °C 0.2 mmSaturday
May 216.3 °C 17.5 °C 0.0 mmSunday
May 225.7 °C 19.2 °C 0.2 mmLegend -
Almanac
Almanac
Bendigo minimum temp history (36.7555°S, 144.2843°E, 210m AMSL) MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE Hottest this month 19.5° 10/05/2022 Coldest this month -0.8° 06/05/2022 Hottest on record 26.3 07/05/2002 Coldest on record -4.6 31/05/2002 Hottest this year 38.2° 01/01/2022 Coldest this year -0.8° 06/05/2022 Long term average 16.7° Long term average 5.3° Average this month 16.5° Average this month 6.7° Hottest May On Record Avg. max. temp. 18.4° 2005 Coldest May on record Avg. min. temp. 3.5° 2004 Bendigo rainfall history (36.7555°S, 144.2843°E, 210m AMSL) RAINFALL Wettest This Month 4.2mm 13/05/2022 Total This Month 10.8mm
11.0 daysLong Term Average 47.2mm 12.9 days Wettest May on record 121.3mm 1992 Driest on record 6.6mm 2005 -
Year to Date
Bendigo Year To Date
Average Rainfall To May 179.6mm 36.8 day(s) Total For 2022 226.4mm 41.0 day(s) Total To This Day 2021 204.8mm 34.0 day(s) Wettest Day 38.0mm Apr19 Lowest Temperature -0.8°C May 6 Highest Temperature 38.2°C Jan 1 -
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Popup - Monthly historical
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Climatology
Climate History
Bendigo Climatology
Bendigo Long-Term Averages
Long-Term Averages Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann Mean Max (°C) 30.3 29.5 26.1 21.4 16.7 13.4 12.6 14.2 17.1 21.0 24.7 27.6 21.2 Mean Min (°C) 14.4 14.4 11.9 8.1 5.3 3.6 2.7 2.8 4.5 6.8 9.9 11.9 8.0 Mean Rain (mm) 35.6 29.1 32.1 35.6 47.2 50.8 53.7 51.3 50.9 41.8 45.9 36.8 510.0 Mean Rain Days 6.1 5.1 5.5 7.2 12.9 16.5 18.6 15.7 12.4 9.5 7.9 6.8 123.9