Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Victoria
Brown Rot Advice
for Mallee, Wimmera, Northern Country, North Central, North East, South West, Central, West and South Gippsland and East Gippsland forecast districts
Issued at 10:55 PM EDT on Saturday 23 November 2024
Severe Brown Rot Advice for the following areas:
Mallee, Wimmera, South West, Central and West and South Gippsland forecast districts
Stone fruit growers in the Wimmera forecast district and parts of the Mallee, South West, Central and West and South Gippsland forecast districts are advised that rainfall and accompanying high humidity during Saturday and Sunday are conducive to a heavy outbreak of brown rot.
Brown Rot Advice for the following areas:
Northern Country, North Central, North East and East Gippsland forecast districts
Stone fruit growers in the Northern Country, North Central and North East forecast districts and parts of the East Gippsland forecast district are advised that rainfall and accompanying high humidity during Saturday and Sunday may be conducive to an outbreak of brown rot.
The next warning will be issued by 5:00 am EDT Sunday.
Forecast
Bangerang (36.183°S, 142.5497°E, 103m AMSL) set as my default location ›
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My MLA
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Current condition
TODAY19° 26° possible shower Chance of rain: 50% Likely amount: 1-5mm First
lightLast light Sunrise Sunset 5:37am EDT 6:06am EDT 8:24pm EDT 8:54pm EDT NOW19.2° Feels Like: 21.2° Relative Humidity: 96% Dew: 18.5° Wind: SE 6km/h Gust: 6km/h Rainfall since 9am: 4.4mm Pressure: 1016.2hPa -
Today Weather
BangerangNow19.8°cFeels Like:22.7°Wind:SE 4km/hGusts:4km/hHumidity:100%19°Min26°MaxToday in BangerangCloudy. High chance of rain, most likely in the morning. The chance of a thunderstorm in the morning and afternoon. Light winds becoming S/SW 15 to 20 km/h in the late afternoon then tending S/SE in the evening. Overnight temperatures falling to around 16 with daytime temperatures reaching around 30.Tomorrow19°Min27°MaxPartly cloudy. Slight chance of a shower. The chance of a thunderstorm in the morning and afternoon. Light winds becoming E 15 to 20 km/h early in the morning then becoming light in the morning. Overnight temperatures falling to between 13 and 17 with daytime temperatures reaching around 30. -
Radar
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Popup Radar
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Warnings
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7 day forecast
Today: Cloudy. High chance of rain, most likely in the morning. The chance of a thunderstorm in the morning and afternoon. Light winds becoming S/SW 15 to 20 km/h in the late afternoon then tending S/SE in the evening. Overnight temperatures falling to around 16 with daytime temperatures reaching around 30.
Forecast for Bangerang (36.183°S, 142.5497°E, 103m AMSL) Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Summary Minimum 19° 19° 19° 19° 15° 16° 18° Maximum 26° 27° 29° 23° 24° 27° 27° Chance of rain 50% 70% 80% 80% 40% 60% 50% Likely amount 1-5mm 1-5mm 10-20mm 5-10mm 1-5mm 5-10mm < 1mm UV index Extreme Extreme Very High Very High Very High Very High Extreme Fire Danger Rating Moderate Moderate Moderate High No Rating - - Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 6
(km/h)5
(km/h)9
(km/h)10
(km/h)10
(km/h)12
(km/h)16
(km/h)19
(km/h)20
(km/h)20
(km/h)19
(km/h)18
(km/h)11
(km/h)15
(km/h)Wind direction S SE ESE ENE NE N NW WNW SSE SE E ENE NE N Relative humidity 88% 65% 80% 56% 83% 56% 76% 56% 69% 46% 70% 49% 72% 45% Dew point 19°C 19°C 17°C 17°C 19°C 19°C 16°C 14°C 12°C 11°C 14°C 15°C 16°C 14°C -
28 Day Rainfall forecast
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12 Month Rainfall Forecast
Bangerang Rain Forecast
Bangerang 12-month Rainfall ForecastNovDecJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct20242025787765676954105012 - 34 - 78 - 910Well below normalBelow normalNear normalAbove normalWell above normalIssue Notes - Issued Nov 18
ENSO status: La Niña Watch. IOD status: Neutral. SAM status: Positive. Trending positive. The El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is in a La Niña Watch, meaning there is approximately a 50% chance of a La Niña developing this year. The current technical definition of a La Niña is only a small chance to be met, although ocean and atmospheric conditions do resemble a La Niña pattern. Trade winds are still stronger than average along the western equatorial Pacific, and the Nino3.4 is low, but is above the threshold of -0.8C. However, the Relative-Nino Index (factors in equatorial ocean temperatures elsewhere around the world, compensating for the background warming signal) is below the threshold. A La Niña typically increases rainfall over northern and eastern Australia (especially eastern Qld) during summer, but has little effect for WA and SA. The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is in a neutral phase. Recent conditions have been similar to a negative IOD, but this has likely been heavily affected by veryactive bursts of tropical weather in mid-October and mid-late November. Regardless if these conditions continue, the arrival of the monsoon over northern Australia overwrites any IOD effects, so this driver is unlikely to significantly affect Australia this year. The Southern Annular Mode (SAM) is in a positive phase, having switched from the negative phase that persisted from July to October. This positive event is expected to persist through summer as a result of stratospheric moisture from the 2022 Tongan volcanic eruption (similar to the past two summers). A positive SAM decreases the frequency of cold fronts, with more regular high pressure systems and easterly winds. During summer, this increases rainfall over eastern Australia, and reduces rainfall over southeastern SA, western Vic and western Tas. Rainfall outlooks are showing above average rainfall over western, northern and eastern Australia, with strong signals over the Kimberley, Top End and Cape York Peninsula (likely related to forecastmonsoon activity). Drier conditions are expected for western Tas, with average conditions for SA and western Vic.
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Popup - Daily historical
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Long range rainfall forecast
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Past 5 Days
Bangerang Past 5 Days
This MonthMinimum Maximum Rainfall Tuesday
Nov 194.0 °C 25.3 °C 0.0 mmWednesday
Nov 208.3 °C 28.8 °C -Thursday
Nov 218.7 °C - 0.0 mmFriday
Nov 22- 37.5 °C -Saturday
Nov 2320.2 °C 35.6 °C 0.0 mmLegend -
Almanac
Almanac
Bangerang minimum temp history (36.183°S, 142.5497°E, 103m AMSL) MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE Hottest this month 38.5° 22/11/2024 Coldest this month 2.7° 09/11/2024 Hottest on record 45.0 29/11/2012 Coldest on record 0.3 01/11/2010 Hottest this year 43.2° 28/02/2024 Coldest this year -3.5° 29/07/2024 Long term average 28.0° Long term average 10.9° Average this month 28.6° Average this month 10.4° Hottest November On Record Avg. max. temp. 32.4° 2009 Coldest November on record Avg. min. temp. 8.6° 2013 Bangerang rainfall history (36.183°S, 142.5497°E, 103m AMSL) RAINFALL Wettest This Month 1.0mm 18/11/2024 Total This Month 1.8mm
3.0 daysLong Term Average 32.6mm 7.6 days Wettest November on record 88.0mm 2009 Driest on record 3.0mm 2013 -
Year to Date
Bangerang Year To Date
Average Rainfall To Nov 276.0mm 95.9 day(s) Total For 2024 180.2mm 66.0 day(s) Total To This Day 2023 191.4mm 91.0 day(s) Wettest Day 35.6mm Jan 8 Lowest Temperature -3.5°C Jul29 Highest Temperature 43.2°C Feb28 -
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Popup - Monthly historical
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Climatology
Climate History
Bangerang Climatology
Bangerang Long-Term Averages
Long-Term Averages Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann Mean Max (°C) 33.2 31.9 28.7 23.7 18.8 15.3 14.9 16.9 20.3 24.5 28.0 30.6 23.9 Mean Min (°C) 15.5 14.6 12.6 8.9 5.9 4.1 3.2 3.6 4.9 7.5 10.9 13.0 8.7 Mean Rain (mm) 29.1 17.1 14.7 23.7 25.0 26.5 25.7 26.1 27.2 28.3 32.6 27.5 303.9 Mean Rain Days 5.2 3.9 4.5 5.4 9.4 13.4 15.8 13.4 9.7 7.6 7.6 5.8 102.6