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Forecast

Noarlunga Centre (35.1396°S, 138.4932°E, 55m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Windy with showers 12° 19°
    windy with showers
    Chance of rain: 90%
    Likely amount: 5-10mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    6:47am CST 7:14am CST 5:12pm CST 5:40pm CST
    NOW
    14.9° Feels Like: 7.1°
    Relative Humidity: 47%
    Dew: 3.7°
    Wind: N 33km/h
    Gust: 43km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure:  
  3. Today Weather

    Noarlunga Centre
    Now
    14.5°c
    Feels Like:
    6.5°
    Wind:
    NNE 32km/h
    Gusts:
    48km/h
    Humidity:
    41%
    Windy with showers
     
    12°
    Min
    19°
    Max
    Today in Noarlunga Centre
    Windy. Sunny morning. Cloud increasing from midday with a very high chance of showers late this afternoon and evening. Winds N 30 to 45 km/h increasing to 40 to 55 km/h during the morning before turning NW 25 to 35 km/h during the late afternoon and evening.
    Tomorrow
    Showers increasing
    11°
    Min
    16°
    Max
    Partly cloudy. Very high chance of showers, most likely early morning and evening. Winds NW 20 to 30 km/h increasing to 30 to 40 km/h late morning then to 40 to 50 km/h late afternoon and evening.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Windy. Sunny morning. Cloud increasing from midday with a very high chance of showers late this afternoon and evening. Winds N 30 to 45 km/h increasing to 40 to 55 km/h during the morning before turning NW 25 to 35 km/h during the late afternoon and evening.

    Forecast for Noarlunga Centre (35.1396°S, 138.4932°E, 55m AMSL)
      Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri
    Summary Windy with showers Showers increasing Showers easing Showers Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
    Minimum 12° 11° 10°
    Maximum 19° 16° 13° 16° 16° 15° 15°
    Chance of rain 90% 90% 50% 40% 30% 10% 40%
    Likely amount 5-10mm 10-20mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm
    UV index Low Low Low Low Low - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 30
    (km/h)
    37
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    24
    (km/h)
    26
    (km/h)
    23
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    13
    (km/h)
    3
    (km/h)
    4
    (km/h)
    6
    (km/h)
    4
    (km/h)
    9
    (km/h)
    8
    (km/h)
    Wind direction N N WNW NW SW SW WSW WSW SE SW ENE NNW NNE NW
    Relative humidity 51% 63% 74% 70% 73% 64% 81% 79% 83% 73% 80% 68% 75% 67%
    Dew point 5°C 10°C 9°C 11°C 6°C 6°C 10°C 13°C 10°C 11°C 7°C 9°C 6°C 9°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Noarlunga Centre Rain Forecast


    Noarlunga Centre 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    30
    HIGH
    31
    HIGH
    Jun 1
    MEDIUM
    2
    MEDIUM
    3
    4
    5
    LOW
    6
    LOW
    7
    8
    9
    LOW
    10
    11
    LOW
    12
    LOW
    13
    LOW
    14
    MEDIUM
    15
    LOW
    16
    17
    MEDIUM
    18
    MEDIUM
    19
    MEDIUM
    20
    HIGH
    21
    22
    MEDIUM
    23
    HIGH
    24
    HIGH
    25
    MEDIUM
    26
    LOW
    27
    LOW
    28
    HIGH
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued May29

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively fast moving in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, New Zealand, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 20 June to 24 June, 25 June to 29 June, and 29 June to 3 July. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 8 June to 12 June, and 17 June to 21 June. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 8 June to 12 June, 20 June to 24 June, and 29 June to 3 July.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Noarlunga Centre Rain Forecast


    Noarlunga Centre 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    2020
    2021
    5
    7
    7
    6
    7
    7
    8
    8
    6
    6
    8
    6
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued May 13

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Trending neutral Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific remained stable throughout April with the Nino3.4 index registering a value of 0.5. On the other hand, the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -0.5 during the same month. The current outlook suggests slightly warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean during the end of autumn and early winter, potentially cooling by the second half of the austral winter. Eight out of eight international models continue to suggest a cooling trend of the NINO3.4 region throughout the Austral winter, with all models on the cooler side of neutral by September. The current International Research Institute for Climate and Society (IRI) suggests a 40:35 chance for neutral:La Nina conditions by the Austral spring. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains neutral, normal for this time of the year. All six main international models, however, continue to hint at a possible negative IOD establishing from mid-to-late winter. In terms of precipitation across Australia, the current medium term outlook continues to favour above average rainfall for most of the country. This outlook is mainly driven by warmer SSTs across northwestern Australia, enhanced soil moisture across some parts of the continent and early indications of a cool phase in the Pacific Ocean, which increases the moisture content across the northern tropics. Across parts of southern Vic, NSW and Qld (east of the Great Dividing Range), southwestern WA and Tasmania the outlook is for average-to-slightly below average rainfall over the coming months as these regions transition to their ‘drier’ part of the year (eastern seaboard) or tend to be less influenced by the IOD (SW WA and Tasmania) but more on the phases of the Southern Annular Mode (SAM). This doesn’t include any severe weather events like east coast lows.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Noarlunga Centre Rain Forecast


    Noarlunga Centre 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    30
    HIGH
    31
    HIGH
    Jun 1
    MEDIUM
    2
    MEDIUM
    3
    4
    5
    LOW
    6
    LOW
    7
    8
    9
    LOW
    10
    11
    LOW
    12
    LOW
    13
    LOW
    14
    MEDIUM
    15
    LOW
    16
    17
    MEDIUM
    18
    MEDIUM
    19
    MEDIUM
    20
    HIGH
    21
    22
    MEDIUM
    23
    HIGH
    24
    HIGH
    25
    MEDIUM
    26
    LOW
    27
    LOW
    28
    HIGH
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued May29

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively fast moving in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, New Zealand, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 20 June to 24 June, 25 June to 29 June, and 29 June to 3 July. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 8 June to 12 June, and 17 June to 21 June. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 8 June to 12 June, 20 June to 24 June, and 29 June to 3 July.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Noarlunga Centre Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Monday
    May 25
    7.9 °C 13.9 °C
    0.0 mm
    Tuesday
    May 26
    6.8 °C 15.9 °C
    0.0 mm
    Wednesday
    May 27
    10.6 °C 16.5 °C
    0.0 mm
    Thursday
    May 28
    11.7 °C 16.1 °C
    2.4 mm
    Friday
    May 29
    9.8 °C 18.1 °C
    0.2 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Noarlunga Centre minimum temp history (35.1396°S, 138.4932°E, 55m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 21.1° 18/05/2020 Coldest this month 6.8° 26/05/2020
    Hottest on record 29.2 08/05/2013 Coldest on record 4.4 25/05/2006
    Hottest this year 42.4° 30/01/2020 Coldest this year 6.8° 26/05/2020
    Long term average 18.5° Long term average 11.5°
    Average this month 16.8° Average this month 10.2°
    Hottest May On Record Avg. max. temp. 20.0° 2013 Coldest May on record Avg. min. temp. 9.9° 2006
    Noarlunga Centre rainfall history (35.1396°S, 138.4932°E, 55m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 17.8mm 09/05/2020 Total This Month 51.4mm
    15.0 days
    Long Term Average 53.9mm 13.5 days Wettest May on record 104.4mm 2003
    Driest on record 6.2mm 2005
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for SA

  16. Year to Date

    Noarlunga Centre Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To May 176.8mm 36.7 day(s)
    Total For 2020 199.8mm 39.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2019 100.2mm 32.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 30.2mm Apr26
    Lowest Temperature 6.8°C May26
    Highest Temperature 42.4°C Jan30
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Noarlunga Centre Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 28.7 27.7 25.7 22.3 18.5 15.5 14.7 15.9 18.6 21.3 24.8 26.4 21.8
    Mean Min (°C) 17.1 16.9 15.6 13.6 11.5 9.4 8.6 8.8 10.4 11.5 13.9 15.4 12.8
    Mean Rain (mm) 18.5 49.1 21.8 33.5 53.9 63.4 65.1 50.7 47.1 33.4 22.3 21.3 476.1
    Mean Rain Days 4.8 3.9 6.0 8.5 13.5 15.6 17.1 16.6 14.0 9.4 7.7 7.6 115.1