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Forecast

Noarlunga Centre (35.1396°S, 138.4932°E, 55m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Mostly sunny 17°
    mostly sunny
    Chance of rain: 20%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    5:33am CST 5:58am CST 6:16pm CST 6:42pm CST
    NOW
    13.6° Feels Like: 11.3°
    Relative Humidity: 62%
    Dew: 6.5°
    Wind: S 7km/h
    Gust: 9km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure:  
  3. Today Weather

    Noarlunga Centre
    Now
    13.1°c
    Feels Like:
    9.6°
    Wind:
    W 13km/h
    Gusts:
    15km/h
    Humidity:
    60%
    Mostly sunny
     
    Min
    17°
    Max
    Today in Noarlunga Centre
    Partly cloudy. Light winds becoming E 20 to 25 km/h in the late evening.
    Tomorrow
    Mostly sunny
    11°
    Min
    22°
    Max
    Slight chance of a shower in the morning. Mostly sunny afternoon. Winds NE 20 to 30 km/h.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

    There are no current warnings for Noarlunga Centre

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Partly cloudy. Light winds becoming E 20 to 25 km/h in the late evening.

    Forecast for Noarlunga Centre (35.1396°S, 138.4932°E, 55m AMSL)
      Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat
    Summary Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Showers Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Sunny Possible shower
    Minimum 11° 14° 12° 10° 13° 12°
    Maximum 17° 22° 20° 19° 20° 23° 23°
    Chance of rain 20% 30% 80% 60% 5% 10% 70%
    Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm 5-10mm 1-5mm < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm
    UV index High High High High High - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 2
    (km/h)
    5
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    18
    (km/h)
    23
    (km/h)
    17
    (km/h)
    20
    (km/h)
    19
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    15
    (km/h)
    18
    (km/h)
    20
    (km/h)
    19
    (km/h)
    20
    (km/h)
    Wind direction ENE SW NE NE NNE N NW WNW NW NNW NNE NNW NW SSW
    Relative humidity 63% 58% 57% 45% 54% 79% 80% 68% 75% 62% 53% 44% 61% 63%
    Dew point 6°C 9°C 8°C 10°C 10°C 15°C 12°C 13°C 10°C 13°C 9°C 10°C 11°C 14°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Noarlunga Centre Rain Forecast


    Noarlunga Centre 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    27
    LOW
    28
    LOW
    29
    HIGH
    30
    LOW
    Oct 1
    2
    LOW
    3
    MEDIUM
    4
    LOW
    5
    LOW
    6
    7
    8
    LOW
    9
    10
    11
    MEDIUM
    12
    MEDIUM
    13
    14
    15
    LOW
    16
    LOW
    17
    18
    19
    LOW
    20
    MEDIUM
    21
    LOW
    22
    LOW
    23
    LOW
    24
    LOW
    25
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Sep26

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the southwest Indian Ocean, the Indian Ocean, Western Australia, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 3 October to 7 October, 14 October to 18 October, and 21 October to 25 October. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 9 October to 13 October. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 3 October to 7 October, 14 October to 18 October, and 25 October to 29 October.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Noarlunga Centre Rain Forecast


    Noarlunga Centre 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    2020
    2021
    3
    7
    8
    7
    8
    6
    9
    5
    3
    7
    2
    5
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Sep 9

    ENSO status: La Niña Alert IOD status: Negative SAM status: Negative trending positive Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific have continued to cool through August, with the Nino3.4 index registering a value of -0.5. The Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of 9.8 in the same month, a significant increase compared to July, tipping over the La Niña threshold of +7. The current outlook suggests that cooler than average SSTs will continue across the equatorial pacific during the Austral spring, with a high chance of a weak La Niña forming. All eight international models continue to suggest further cooling during spring, with three of these indicating La Niña conditions in September. A further two exceeding the La Niña threshold in October, with six of the eight indicating La Niña by November. The current International Research Institute for Climate and Society (IRI) outlook suggests a 57:41 chance for La Niña:Neutral conditions by the end of the Australspring. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) has shifted into a negative phase. Four of the six international models indicate a negative IOD to be sustained for the duration of the Austral spring, with the remaining two indicating a neutral phase. Both of the models that indicate a neutral phase trend towards the negative side of neutral. In terms of precipitation over Australia, the current short term outlook favours above average rainfall over the interior over the remainder of the first month of spring, particularly eastern WA and the Kimberley, western NT and western SA Above average rainfall is also favoured, although not as pronounced, over inland NSW and QLD and parts of the NSW and VIC coastal area. Drier than average conditions are expected across western WA as well as parts of northern coastal QLD and parts of the southeast. The remainder of spring is then likely to be wetter than average for NSW, QLD, VIC, SA, TAS, the NT and eastern WA, whilst drier than averageconditions look to persist further west. There are then indications of increased rainfall over WA toward the end of spring and into early summer, with the eastern two thirds of the country remaining wetter than average.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Noarlunga Centre Rain Forecast


    Noarlunga Centre 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    27
    LOW
    28
    LOW
    29
    HIGH
    30
    LOW
    Oct 1
    2
    LOW
    3
    MEDIUM
    4
    LOW
    5
    LOW
    6
    7
    8
    LOW
    9
    10
    11
    MEDIUM
    12
    MEDIUM
    13
    14
    15
    LOW
    16
    LOW
    17
    18
    19
    LOW
    20
    MEDIUM
    21
    LOW
    22
    LOW
    23
    LOW
    24
    LOW
    25
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Sep26

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the southwest Indian Ocean, the Indian Ocean, Western Australia, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 3 October to 7 October, 14 October to 18 October, and 21 October to 25 October. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 9 October to 13 October. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 3 October to 7 October, 14 October to 18 October, and 25 October to 29 October.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Noarlunga Centre Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Wednesday
    Sep 23
    10.0 °C 14.8 °C
    6.2 mm
    Thursday
    Sep 24
    8.7 °C 14.9 °C
    3.6 mm
    Friday
    Sep 25
    6.9 °C 13.5 °C
    10.0 mm
    Saturday
    Sep 26
    6.0 °C 14.6 °C
    1.8 mm
    Sunday
    Sep 27
    5.9 °C 13.8 °C
    0.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Noarlunga Centre minimum temp history (35.1396°S, 138.4932°E, 55m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 29.4° 07/09/2020 Coldest this month 5.4° 01/09/2020
    Hottest on record 31.5 27/09/2008 Coldest on record 4.0 11/09/2002
    Hottest this year 42.4° 30/01/2020 Coldest this year 1.8° 05/08/2020
    Long term average 18.6° Long term average 10.4°
    Average this month 20.0° Average this month 11.4°
    Hottest September On Record Avg. max. temp. 21.2° 2013 Coldest September on record Avg. min. temp. 9.1° 2003
    Noarlunga Centre rainfall history (35.1396°S, 138.4932°E, 55m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 11.2mm 13/09/2020 Total This Month 42.4mm
    9.0 days
    Long Term Average 47.1mm 14.0 days Wettest September on record 123.2mm 2001
    Driest on record 18.0mm 2008
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for SA

  16. Year to Date

    Noarlunga Centre Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Sep 403.1mm 100.0 day(s)
    Total For 2020 411.4mm 86.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2019 289.8mm 88.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 30.2mm Apr26
    Lowest Temperature 1.8°C Aug 5
    Highest Temperature 42.4°C Jan30
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Noarlunga Centre Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 28.7 27.7 25.7 22.3 18.5 15.5 14.7 15.9 18.6 21.3 24.8 26.4 21.8
    Mean Min (°C) 17.1 16.9 15.6 13.6 11.5 9.4 8.6 8.8 10.4 11.5 13.9 15.4 12.8
    Mean Rain (mm) 18.5 49.1 21.8 33.5 53.9 63.4 65.1 50.7 47.1 33.4 22.3 21.3 476.1
    Mean Rain Days 4.8 3.9 6.0 8.5 13.5 15.6 17.1 16.6 14.0 9.4 7.7 7.6 115.1