Forecast
Mount Lofty (34.9848°S, 138.7085°E, 627m AMSL) set as my default location ›
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My MLA
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Current condition
TODAY9° 23° mostly sunny Chance of rain: 5% Likely amount: < 1mm First
lightLast light Sunrise Sunset 6:01am CDT 6:29am CDT 8:27pm CDT 8:54pm CDT NOW11.7° Feels Like: 9.0° Relative Humidity: 84% Dew: 9.1° Wind: E 13km/h Gust: 18km/h Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm Pressure: -
Today Weather
Mount LoftyNow12.8°cFeels Like:7.1°Wind:E 28km/hGusts:35km/hHumidity:77%9°Min23°MaxToday in Mount LoftySunny. Winds SE 25 to 35 km/h. Daytime maximum temperatures 22 to 27.Tomorrow13°Min28°MaxBecoming cloudy. Slight chance of a shower. Winds SE 20 to 25 km/h tending E 15 to 25 km/h before dawn then turning S/SE in the early afternoon. Overnight temperatures falling to between 13 and 16 with daytime temperatures reaching around 30. -
Radar
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Popup Radar
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Warnings
There are no current warnings for Mount Lofty
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7 day forecast
Today: Sunny. Winds SE 25 to 35 km/h. Daytime maximum temperatures 22 to 27.
Forecast for Mount Lofty (34.9848°S, 138.7085°E, 627m AMSL) Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Summary Minimum 9° 13° 15° 12° 10° 11° 9° Maximum 23° 28° 22° 21° 23° 21° 18° Chance of rain 5% 70% 40% 5% 5% 30% 10% Likely amount < 1mm 1-5mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm UV index Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme - - - Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 25
(km/h)15
(km/h)16
(km/h)10
(km/h)12
(km/h)17
(km/h)18
(km/h)20
(km/h)20
(km/h)15
(km/h)11
(km/h)21
(km/h)19
(km/h)22
(km/h)Wind direction ESE ESE ESE SE NW W SSW SSW SE SSE SE WSW S S Relative humidity 77% 46% 59% 35% 81% 61% 85% 60% 82% 46% 73% 55% 81% 53% Dew point 7°C 10°C 10°C 10°C 15°C 15°C 11°C 13°C 8°C 10°C 12°C 13°C 9°C 9°C -
28 Day Rainfall forecast
Mount Lofty Rain Forecast
Mount Lofty 28-day Rainfall ForecastSUNMONTUEWEDTHUFRISAT27
28
MEDIUM29
LOW30
31
Feb 1
LOW2
3
LOW4
5
LOW6
7
8
9
10
11
12
LOW13
LOW14
MEDIUM15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
LOW23
LOW24
LOWCHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICTNIL < 25%LOW 25% to 50%MEDIUM 50% to 75%HIGH ≥ 75%Issued Jan27Issue Notes
The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, Western Australia, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, and South America.
Summary:
Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 3 February to 7 February, 12 February to 16 February, and 21 February to 25 February. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 27 February to 3 March. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 3 February to 7 February, 12 February to 16 February, and 19 February to 23 February.
Forecast ExplanationThis forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.
The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.
In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.
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12 Month Rainfall Forecast
Mount Lofty Rain Forecast
Mount Lofty 12-month Rainfall ForecastJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec2021678557766666105012 - 34 - 78 - 910Well below normalBelow normalNear normalAbove normalWell above normalIssue Notes - Issued Jan 7
ENSO status: La Niña IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Positive La Niña is likely at its peak which has brought long periods of cloud and rain to eastern and northern Australia.The majority of models predict that La Niña will continue through February, with 3 of 8 predicting to March and most of the models indicating a return to neutral conditions (neither El Niño nor La Niña) in April. Neutral conditions are predicted to continue into the Australian winter. La Nina typically brings above normal rainfall across much of Australia. While La Niña is expected to weaken, above normal rainfall and typical La Niña impacts are still expected. La Niña typically favours periods of positive SAM, which can increase the amount of precipitation along the eastern half of the country, due to prevailing onshore winds. During summer, much of the country is likely to remain wetter than normal, however normal rainfall is expected for western TAS. La Niña typically increases the number of cyclones and brought anearly start to the wet season. During Autumn, many parts of Australia are likely to be wetter than normal, due to warmer waters off the northeast coast of Australia. Southern parts of SA, VIC and most of TAS are likely to observe normal precipitation for the time of year.
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Long range rainfall forecast
Mount Lofty Rain Forecast
Mount Lofty 28-day Rainfall ForecastSUNMONTUEWEDTHUFRISAT27
28
MEDIUM29
LOW30
31
Feb 1
LOW2
3
LOW4
5
LOW6
7
8
9
10
11
12
LOW13
LOW14
MEDIUM15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
LOW23
LOW24
LOWCHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICTNIL < 25%LOW 25% to 50%MEDIUM 50% to 75%HIGH ≥ 75%Issued Jan27Issue Notes
The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, Western Australia, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, and South America.
Summary:
Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 3 February to 7 February, 12 February to 16 February, and 21 February to 25 February. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 27 February to 3 March. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 3 February to 7 February, 12 February to 16 February, and 19 February to 23 February.
Forecast ExplanationThis forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.
The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.
In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.
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Popup - Daily historical
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Past 5 Days
Mount Lofty Past 5 Days
This MonthMinimum Maximum Rainfall Saturday
Jan 2317.5 °C 34.8 °C 0.0 mmSunday
Jan 2423.8 °C 37.2 °C 0.0 mmMonday
Jan 2518.9 °C 27.1 °C 0.4 mmTuesday
Jan 2612.7 °C 18.8 °C 30.2 mmWednesday
Jan 278.3 °C 11.9 °C 0.0 mmLegend -
Almanac
Almanac
Mount Lofty minimum temp history (34.9848°S, 138.7085°E, 627m AMSL) MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE Hottest this month 37.2° 24/01/2021 Coldest this month 8.0° 18/01/2021 Hottest on record 38.7 14/01/2014 Coldest on record 4.5 25/01/1996 Hottest this year 37.2° 24/01/2021 Coldest this year 8.0° 18/01/2021 Long term average 23.1° Long term average 12.6° Average this month 24.8° Average this month 12.6° Hottest January On Record Avg. max. temp. 26.8° 2014 Coldest January on record Avg. min. temp. 8.5° 1992 Mount Lofty rainfall history (34.9848°S, 138.7085°E, 627m AMSL) RAINFALL Wettest This Month 30.2mm 26/01/2021 Total This Month 33.0mm
7.0 daysLong Term Average 36.5mm 6.7 days Wettest January on record 79.6mm 2016 Driest on record 0.0mm 2019 -
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Year to Date
Mount Lofty Year To Date
Average Rainfall To Jan 36.5mm 6.7 day(s) Total For 2021 33.0mm 7.0 day(s) Total To This Day 2020 61.0mm 8.0 day(s) Wettest Day 30.2mm Jan26 Lowest Temperature 8.0°C Jan18 Highest Temperature 37.2°C Jan24 -
Popup - Monthly historical
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Climatology
Climate History
Mount Lofty Climatology
Mount Lofty Long-Term Averages
Long-Term Averages Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann Mean Max (°C) 23.1 22.9 20.1 16.5 12.4 9.7 9.0 9.9 12.8 15.9 18.7 20.9 16.0 Mean Min (°C) 12.6 12.9 11.3 9.9 7.8 5.7 5.0 5.1 6.3 7.7 9.4 10.9 8.7 Mean Rain (mm) 36.5 39.5 44.0 58.1 126.3 129.6 153.5 137.0 111.6 63.1 43.9 51.0 990.8 Mean Rain Days 6.7 8.0 10.6 11.8 20.0 19.8 22.6 21.3 17.9 13.4 11.2 10.8 174.7