Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
South Australia
Fire Weather Warning
for West Coast, Eastern Eyre Peninsula, Lower Eyre Peninsula, Flinders, Mid North, Mount Lofty Ranges, Yorke Peninsula, Riverland, Murraylands and Upper South East fire weather districts
Issued at 04:15 PM CDT on Friday 15 November 2024
Weather Situation
Hot and dry conditions coupled with strong and gusty northwesterly winds will drive Extreme to Catastrophic fire dangers over broad parts of South Australia during Saturday. Thunderstorms with possible dry lightning and gusty winds are possible with the change, mainly in the west.
For Saturday 16 November:
Catastrophic Fire Danger for the following areas:
Eastern Eyre Peninsula and Yorke Peninsula
Extreme Fire Danger for the following areas:
West Coast, Lower Eyre Peninsula, Flinders, Mid North, Mount Lofty Ranges, Riverland, Murraylands and Upper South East
The Country Fire Service advises you to:
Action your Bushfire Survival Plan now.
Monitor the fire and weather situation through your local radio station, www.cfs.sa.gov.au, and www.bom.gov.au.
Call 000 (Triple Zero) in an emergency.
For information on preparing for bushfires go to www.cfs.sa.gov.au.
The next warning will be issued by 7:00 am CDT Saturday.
Forecast
Mount Crawford (34.6817°S, 138.9475°E, 416m AMSL) set as my default location ›
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My MLA
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Current condition
TODAY7° 28° mostly sunny Chance of rain: 5% Likely amount: < 1mm First
lightLast light Sunrise Sunset 5:33am CDT 6:01am CDT 7:58pm CDT 8:26pm CDT NOW26.7° Feels Like: 23.6° Relative Humidity: 20% Dew: 1.9° Wind: SW 7km/h Gust: 9km/h Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm Pressure: 1015.2hPa -
Today Weather
Mount CrawfordNow30.1°cFeels Like:26.1°Wind:SE 13km/hGusts:15km/hHumidity:18%7°Min28°MaxToday in Mount CrawfordSunny. Winds E/NE 15 to 20 km/h becoming light in the middle of the day then becoming E/NE 15 to 20 km/h in the late evening. Daytime maximum temperatures 25 to 30.Tomorrow17°Min35°MaxMostly sunny morning. Medium chance of showers in the evening. Winds N/NE 25 to 40 km/h increasing to 45 km/h before shifting W/SW 25 to 35 km/h in the late afternoon. Overnight temperatures falling to between 14 and 18 with daytime temperatures reaching the mid to high 30s. -
Radar
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Popup Radar
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Warnings
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7 day forecast
Today: Sunny. Winds E/NE 15 to 20 km/h becoming light in the middle of the day then becoming E/NE 15 to 20 km/h in the late evening. Daytime maximum temperatures 25 to 30.
Forecast for Mount Crawford (34.6817°S, 138.9475°E, 416m AMSL) Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Summary Minimum 7° 17° 10° 8° 7° 8° 12° Maximum 28° 35° 17° 21° 23° 26° 31° Chance of rain 5% 70% 20% 5% 5% 5% 5% Likely amount < 1mm 1-5mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm UV index Very High Very High Very High Very High Very High Very High Extreme Fire Danger Rating Moderate Extreme High Moderate Moderate - - Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 15
(km/h)12
(km/h)29
(km/h)31
(km/h)32
(km/h)34
(km/h)17
(km/h)19
(km/h)18
(km/h)15
(km/h)22
(km/h)16
(km/h)22
(km/h)16
(km/h)Wind direction E N NNE NNW W W SW SW SE S SE ESE ENE NE Relative humidity 59% 30% 25% 16% 67% 49% 67% 47% 66% 41% 61% 32% 42% 23% Dew point 7°C 8°C 5°C 6°C 7°C 7°C 7°C 9°C 7°C 9°C 7°C 8°C 7°C 8°C -
28 Day Rainfall forecast
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12 Month Rainfall Forecast
Mount Crawford Rain Forecast
Mount Crawford 12-month Rainfall ForecastNovDecJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct202420256765756841064105012 - 34 - 78 - 910Well below normalBelow normalNear normalAbove normalWell above normalIssue Notes - Issued Oct 1
ENSO status: La Niña Watch. IOD status: Neutral. SAM status: Negative. Trending slightly negative. The El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is in a La Niña Watch, meaning there is approximately a 50% chance of a La Niña developing this year. Overall, models are now starting to look more like La Niña, with more widespread ocean cooling occurring in the South Pacific, helped by the consistently strong trade winds. While these are good signs that La Niña is starting to develop, a declaration would likely happen no earlier than November, meaning this is more likely to be a late and weaker event if it does eventuate. A La Niña typically increases rainfall over northern and southeastern Australia during spring, but has little effect for southwestern WA. The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is in a neutral phase and is now unlikely to develop into either phase this spring. Conditions are closer to a negative IOD at the moment, so there may be some minor increases in the frequency of northwest cloudbands impactingAustralia. A neutral IOD tends to bring a small increase in spring rainfall for southwest WA, but has little effect elsewhere. The Southern Annular Mode (SAM) is in a negative phase, continuing on from the initial sudden Stratospheric Warming (SW) events over Antarctica since mid-July. These events increase the chances of negative SAM events, but are having a lesser effect moving forward in October. A negative SAM increases the frequency of cold fronts. During spring, this increases rainfall over western Tas and southern Vic, but decreases rainfall over eastern Australia. Rainfall outlooks are showing close to average for most of the country during October, with a higher chance of above average rainfall for northern and eastern Australia, increasing further into November and December. Models are also hinting that rainfall is more likely to arrive in the form of showers and thunderstorms, rather than broad rainbands, meaning rainfall in practice will likely be hit-and-miss for most of Australia thisspring.
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Popup - Daily historical
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Long range rainfall forecast
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Past 5 Days
Mount Crawford Past 5 Days
This MonthMinimum Maximum Rainfall Monday
Nov 1112.3 °C 27.5 °C 0.4 mmTuesday
Nov 1213.7 °C 25.3 °C 1.4 mmWednesday
Nov 139.7 °C 20.0 °C 0.0 mmThursday
Nov 146.8 °C 20.3 °C 0.0 mmFriday
Nov 156.5 °C 26.9 °C 0.0 mmLegend -
Almanac
Almanac
Mount Crawford minimum temp history (34.6817°S, 138.9475°E, 416m AMSL) MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE Hottest this month 29.8° 02/11/2024 Coldest this month 4.9° 01/11/2024 Hottest on record 39.7 19/11/2009 Coldest on record 2.0 01/11/1998 Hottest this year 37.8° 23/01/2024 Coldest this year 0.8° 15/09/2024 Long term average 22.3° Long term average 10.6° Average this month 21.9° Average this month 9.4° Hottest November On Record Avg. max. temp. 27.1° 2009 Coldest November on record Avg. min. temp. 8.2° 1994 Mount Crawford rainfall history (34.6817°S, 138.9475°E, 416m AMSL) RAINFALL Wettest This Month 2.0mm 08/11/2024 Total This Month 6.0mm
5.0 daysLong Term Average 38.3mm 9.7 days Wettest November on record 76.2mm 2004 Driest on record 0.0mm 1996 -
Year to Date
Mount Crawford Year To Date
Average Rainfall To Nov 625.9mm 138.2 day(s) Total For 2024 413.0mm 117.0 day(s) Total To This Day 2023 517.4mm 142.0 day(s) Wettest Day 28.8mm Jan 7 Lowest Temperature 0.8°C Sep15 Highest Temperature 37.8°C Jan23 -
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Popup - Monthly historical
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Climatology
Climate History
Mount Crawford Climatology
Mount Crawford Long-Term Averages
Long-Term Averages Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann Mean Max (°C) 27.7 27.0 23.6 19.5 14.9 11.7 11.1 12.5 15.3 18.4 22.3 25.1 19.0 Mean Min (°C) 13.9 13.9 12.3 10.5 8.5 6.5 5.9 6.2 7.3 8.4 10.6 12.1 9.7 Mean Rain (mm) 25.1 24.2 26.3 42.1 69.5 91.7 99.0 89.7 71.9 48.1 38.3 32.6 657.4 Mean Rain Days 5.4 4.9 8.4 10.9 15.3 18.0 19.0 17.9 16.2 12.5 9.7 8.1 145.3