Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
South Australia
Fire Weather Warning
for West Coast, Eastern Eyre Peninsula and Lower Eyre Peninsula fire weather districts
Issued at 04:11 PM CDT on Thursday 21 November 2024
Weather Situation
Hot and dry with fresh and gusty north to northwesterly winds ahead of a cooler, west to southwesterly change extending from the west during the afternoon and evening. Showers and isolated thunderstorms developing from the west. Severe thunderstorm warning is possible in the far west in the afternoon and evening, please keep updated with latest severe weather warning.
For Friday 22 November:
Extreme Fire Danger for the following areas:
West Coast, Eastern Eyre Peninsula and Lower Eyre Peninsula
The Country Fire Service advises you to:
Action your Bushfire Survival Plan now.
Monitor the fire and weather situation through your local radio station, www.cfs.sa.gov.au, and www.bom.gov.au.
Call 000 (Triple Zero) in an emergency.
For information on preparing for bushfires go to www.cfs.sa.gov.au.
The next warning will be issued by 7:00 am CDT Friday.
Forecast
Ceduna (32.1261°S, 133.6752°E, 3m AMSL) set as my default location ›
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My MLA
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Current condition
TODAY16° 37° mostly cloudy Chance of rain: 5% Likely amount: < 1mm First
lightLast light Sunrise Sunset 5:57am CDT 6:24am CDT 8:19pm CDT 8:46pm CDT NOW38.4° Feels Like: 31.3° Relative Humidity: 7% Dew: -3.4° Wind: NE 24km/h Gust: 44km/h Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm Pressure: 1009.3hPa -
Today Weather
CedunaNow36.5°cFeels Like:29.4°Wind:N 22km/hGusts:32km/hHumidity:6%16°Min37°MaxToday in CedunaPartly cloudy. Slight chance of a shower W of Nullarbor, near zero chance elsewhere. Winds N/NE 15 to 25 km/h tending E/NE in the evening.Tomorrow22°Min38°MaxPartly cloudy. Very high chance of showers W of Nullarbor, medium chance elsewhere. The chance of a thunderstorm W of Ceduna. Heavy falls possible W of Nullarbor. Winds NE 25 to 35 km/h tending N 30 to 45 km/h in the morning then shifting S/SW 20 to 30 km/h in the late afternoon. Overnight temperatures falling to the low to mid 20s with daytime temperatures reaching 33 to 39. -
Radar
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Popup Radar
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Warnings
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7 day forecast
Today: Partly cloudy. Slight chance of a shower W of Nullarbor, near zero chance elsewhere. Winds N/NE 15 to 25 km/h tending E/NE in the evening.
Forecast for Ceduna (32.1261°S, 133.6752°E, 3m AMSL) Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Summary Minimum 16° 22° 17° 15° 14° 12° 11° Maximum 37° 38° 26° 24° 24° 23° 24° Chance of rain 5% 70% 50% 40% 10% 5% 30% Likely amount < 1mm 1-5mm 1-5mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm UV index Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme Very High Fire Danger Rating High Extreme Moderate Moderate High - - Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 26
(km/h)23
(km/h)32
(km/h)21
(km/h)14
(km/h)24
(km/h)20
(km/h)27
(km/h)14
(km/h)27
(km/h)25
(km/h)32
(km/h)23
(km/h)32
(km/h)Wind direction NE NE NE N SW SW S SSW S SW S SSW SSE S Relative humidity 26% 14% 30% 26% 76% 80% 83% 74% 81% 71% 71% 60% 65% 58% Dew point 5°C 6°C 11°C 14°C 18°C 22°C 17°C 18°C 17°C 18°C 13°C 14°C 11°C 14°C -
28 Day Rainfall forecast
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12 Month Rainfall Forecast
Ceduna Rain Forecast
Ceduna 12-month Rainfall ForecastNovDecJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct202420258977766761067105012 - 34 - 78 - 910Well below normalBelow normalNear normalAbove normalWell above normalIssue Notes - Issued Nov 18
ENSO status: La Niña Watch. IOD status: Neutral. SAM status: Positive. Trending positive. The El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is in a La Niña Watch, meaning there is approximately a 50% chance of a La Niña developing this year. The current technical definition of a La Niña is only a small chance to be met, although ocean and atmospheric conditions do resemble a La Niña pattern. Trade winds are still stronger than average along the western equatorial Pacific, and the Nino3.4 is low, but is above the threshold of -0.8C. However, the Relative-Nino Index (factors in equatorial ocean temperatures elsewhere around the world, compensating for the background warming signal) is below the threshold. A La Niña typically increases rainfall over northern and eastern Australia (especially eastern Qld) during summer, but has little effect for WA and SA. The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is in a neutral phase. Recent conditions have been similar to a negative IOD, but this has likely been heavily affected by veryactive bursts of tropical weather in mid-October and mid-late November. Regardless if these conditions continue, the arrival of the monsoon over northern Australia overwrites any IOD effects, so this driver is unlikely to significantly affect Australia this year. The Southern Annular Mode (SAM) is in a positive phase, having switched from the negative phase that persisted from July to October. This positive event is expected to persist through summer as a result of stratospheric moisture from the 2022 Tongan volcanic eruption (similar to the past two summers). A positive SAM decreases the frequency of cold fronts, with more regular high pressure systems and easterly winds. During summer, this increases rainfall over eastern Australia, and reduces rainfall over southeastern SA, western Vic and western Tas. Rainfall outlooks are showing above average rainfall over western, northern and eastern Australia, with strong signals over the Kimberley, Top End and Cape York Peninsula (likely related to forecastmonsoon activity). Drier conditions are expected for western Tas, with average conditions for SA and western Vic.
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Popup - Daily historical
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Long range rainfall forecast
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Past 5 Days
Ceduna Past 5 Days
This MonthMinimum Maximum Rainfall Sunday
Nov 1715.7 °C 21.5 °C 1.2 mmMonday
Nov 1812.8 °C 22.8 °C 0.0 mmTuesday
Nov 1910.8 °C 25.8 °C 0.0 mmWednesday
Nov 2010.6 °C 30.4 °C 0.0 mmThursday
Nov 2115.7 °C 40.0 °C 0.0 mmLegend -
Almanac
Almanac
Ceduna minimum temp history (32.1261°S, 133.6752°E, 3m AMSL) MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE Hottest this month 41.6° 02/11/2024 Coldest this month 3.6° 15/11/2024 Hottest on record 46.5 19/11/2009 Coldest on record 1.6 02/11/1960 Hottest this year 46.6° 23/01/2024 Coldest this year -3.9° 04/07/2024 Long term average 26.0° Long term average 12.4° Average this month 27.8° Average this month 12.3° Hottest November On Record Avg. max. temp. 30.2° 2009 Coldest November on record Avg. min. temp. 9.7° 1943 Ceduna rainfall history (32.1261°S, 133.6752°E, 3m AMSL) RAINFALL Wettest This Month 1.2mm 17/11/2024 Total This Month 2.2mm
4.0 daysLong Term Average 19.5mm 5.8 days Wettest November on record 63.2mm 1949 Driest on record 0.0mm 2016 -
Year to Date
Ceduna Year To Date
Average Rainfall To Nov 273.0mm 90.0 day(s) Total For 2024 113.4mm 51.0 day(s) Total To This Day 2023 162.4mm 86.0 day(s) Wettest Day 17.8mm Jul 7 Lowest Temperature -3.9°C Jul 4 Highest Temperature 46.6°C Jan23 -
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Popup - Monthly historical
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Climatology
Climate History
Ceduna Climatology
Ceduna Long-Term Averages
Long-Term Averages Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann Mean Max (°C) 28.6 28.2 26.7 24.3 20.9 18.2 17.5 18.8 21.6 24.0 26.0 27.4 23.5 Mean Min (°C) 15.3 15.1 13.3 10.8 8.5 6.5 5.8 6.2 7.9 10.0 12.4 14.1 10.5 Mean Rain (mm) 13.2 13.7 15.7 20.1 32.0 35.4 38.0 34.4 25.9 25.1 19.5 20.7 294.2 Mean Rain Days 3.7 3.5 4.2 7.1 10.8 11.7 13.6 12.4 9.4 7.8 5.8 5.1 95.1