Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
South Australia
Marine Wind Warning Summary for South Australia
Issued at 05:10 AM CDT on Wednesday 27 January 2021
for the period until midnight CDT Thursday 28 January 2021
Wind Warnings for Wednesday 27 January
Strong Wind Warning for the following areas:
South Central Coast, Upper South East Coast and Lower South East Coast
Wind Warnings for Thursday 28 January
Strong Wind Warning for the following areas:
South Central Coast and Lower South East Coast
The next marine wind warning summary will be issued by 3:50 pm CDT Wednesday.
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Check the latest Coastal Waters Forecast or Local
Waters Forecast at http://www.bom.gov.au/sa/forecasts/map.shtml for information on wind,
wave and weather conditions for these coastal zones.
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Forecast
Cape Willoughby (35.8433°S, 138.1314°E, 55m AMSL) set as my default location ›
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My MLA
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Current condition
TODAY15° 19° Chance of rain: 5% Likely amount: < 1mm First
lightLast light Sunrise Sunset 6:01am CDT 6:29am CDT 8:31pm CDT 8:59pm CDT NOW15.6° Feels Like: 9.3° Relative Humidity: 71% Dew: 10.5° Wind: SE 33km/h Gust: 43km/h Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm Pressure: -
Today Weather
Cape WilloughbyNow12.5°cFeels Like:6.7°Wind:SE 30km/hGusts:32km/hHumidity:83%15°Min19°MaxToday in Cape WilloughbyCloud clearing. Winds SE 25 to 40 km/h. Daytime maximum temperatures in the low to mid 20s.Tomorrow17°Min22°MaxPartly cloudy. Slight chance of a shower in the afternoon and evening. Winds E/SE 25 to 35 km/h tending S/SE 20 to 30 km/h in the early afternoon. Overnight temperatures falling to around 15 with daytime temperatures reaching the low to high 20s. -
Radar
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Popup Radar
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Warnings
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7 day forecast
Today: Cloud clearing. Winds SE 25 to 40 km/h. Daytime maximum temperatures in the low to mid 20s.
Forecast for Cape Willoughby (35.8433°S, 138.1314°E, 55m AMSL) Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Summary Minimum 15° 17° 17° 16° 15° 16° 15° Maximum 19° 22° 22° 20° 18° 20° 18° Chance of rain 5% 50% 20% 20% 5% 30% 10% Likely amount < 1mm 1-5mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm UV index Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme - - - Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 37
(km/h)28
(km/h)23
(km/h)18
(km/h)12
(km/h)23
(km/h)24
(km/h)27
(km/h)26
(km/h)25
(km/h)19
(km/h)30
(km/h)28
(km/h)28
(km/h)Wind direction ESE SE ESE SSE SW SW SSW S SE SSE S SSW S S Relative humidity 71% 62% 76% 76% 85% 79% 79% 77% 72% 72% 78% 73% 70% 66% Dew point 10°C 11°C 15°C 17°C 18°C 18°C 14°C 15°C 12°C 13°C 15°C 14°C 11°C 11°C -
28 Day Rainfall forecast
Cape Willoughby Rain Forecast
Cape Willoughby 28-day Rainfall ForecastSUNMONTUEWEDTHUFRISAT27
28
MEDIUM29
LOW30
31
Feb 1
2
3
LOW4
5
LOW6
7
8
9
10
11
12
LOW13
MEDIUM14
MEDIUM15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
LOW23
LOW24
LOWCHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICTNIL < 25%LOW 25% to 50%MEDIUM 50% to 75%HIGH ≥ 75%Issued Jan26Issue Notes
The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the southwest Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, and South America.
Summary:
Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 3 February to 7 February, 18 February to 22 February, and 26 February to 2 March. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 11 February to 15 February. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 3 February to 7 February, 22 February to 26 February, and 26 February to 2 March.
Forecast ExplanationThis forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.
The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.
In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.
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12 Month Rainfall Forecast
Cape Willoughby Rain Forecast
Cape Willoughby 12-month Rainfall ForecastJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec2021778657666676105012 - 34 - 78 - 910Well below normalBelow normalNear normalAbove normalWell above normalIssue Notes - Issued Jan 7
ENSO status: La Niña IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Positive La Niña is likely at its peak which has brought long periods of cloud and rain to eastern and northern Australia.The majority of models predict that La Niña will continue through February, with 3 of 8 predicting to March and most of the models indicating a return to neutral conditions (neither El Niño nor La Niña) in April. Neutral conditions are predicted to continue into the Australian winter. La Nina typically brings above normal rainfall across much of Australia. While La Niña is expected to weaken, above normal rainfall and typical La Niña impacts are still expected. La Niña typically favours periods of positive SAM, which can increase the amount of precipitation along the eastern half of the country, due to prevailing onshore winds. During summer, much of the country is likely to remain wetter than normal, however normal rainfall is expected for western TAS. La Niña typically increases the number of cyclones and brought anearly start to the wet season. During Autumn, many parts of Australia are likely to be wetter than normal, due to warmer waters off the northeast coast of Australia. Southern parts of SA, VIC and most of TAS are likely to observe normal precipitation for the time of year.
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Long range rainfall forecast
Cape Willoughby Rain Forecast
Cape Willoughby 28-day Rainfall ForecastSUNMONTUEWEDTHUFRISAT27
28
MEDIUM29
LOW30
31
Feb 1
2
3
LOW4
5
LOW6
7
8
9
10
11
12
LOW13
MEDIUM14
MEDIUM15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
LOW23
LOW24
LOWCHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICTNIL < 25%LOW 25% to 50%MEDIUM 50% to 75%HIGH ≥ 75%Issued Jan26Issue Notes
The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the southwest Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, and South America.
Summary:
Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 3 February to 7 February, 18 February to 22 February, and 26 February to 2 March. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 11 February to 15 February. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 3 February to 7 February, 22 February to 26 February, and 26 February to 2 March.
Forecast ExplanationThis forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.
The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.
In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.
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Popup - Daily historical
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Past 5 Days
Cape Willoughby Past 5 Days
This MonthMinimum Maximum Rainfall Friday
Jan 2216.2 °C 21.4 °C 0.0 mmSaturday
Jan 2316.8 °C 28.6 °C 0.0 mmSunday
Jan 2419.7 °C 37.8 °C 0.0 mmMonday
Jan 2520.4 °C 20.5 °C 0.0 mmTuesday
Jan 2616.2 °C 19.2 °C 16.6 mmLegend -
Almanac
Almanac
Cape Willoughby minimum temp history (35.8433°S, 138.1314°E, 55m AMSL) MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE Hottest this month 37.8° 24/01/2021 Coldest this month 13.1° 15/01/2021 Hottest on record 42.2 14/01/2014 Coldest on record 6.1 14/01/1968 Hottest this year 37.8° 24/01/2021 Coldest this year 13.1° 15/01/2021 Long term average 21.9° Long term average 15.9° Average this month 21.6° Average this month 15.8° Hottest January On Record Avg. max. temp. 23.6° 1982 Coldest January on record Avg. min. temp. 13.7° 1987 Cape Willoughby rainfall history (35.8433°S, 138.1314°E, 55m AMSL) RAINFALL Wettest This Month 16.6mm 26/01/2021 Total This Month 18.4mm
4.0 daysLong Term Average 18.1mm 4.6 days Wettest January on record 214.9mm 1946 Driest on record 0.0mm 1932 -
Popup - Radar
Weather Radar for Australia
Australia Radars
- Adelaide
- Adelaide Airport
- Adelaide Sellicks
- Albany
- Alice Springs
- Bairnsdale
- Bowen
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- Brisbane
- Brisbane Airport
- Brisbane Marburg
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- Cairns Airport
- Canberra
- Carnarvon
- Ceduna
- Coffs Harbour
- Dampier
- Darwin
- Darwin Airport
- Emerald
- Esperance
- Eucla
- Geraldton
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Year to Date
Cape Willoughby Year To Date
Average Rainfall To Jan 18.1mm 4.6 day(s) Total For 2021 18.4mm 4.0 day(s) Total To This Day 2020 15.6mm 5.0 day(s) Wettest Day 16.6mm Jan26 Lowest Temperature 13.1°C Jan15 Highest Temperature 37.8°C Jan24 -
Popup - Monthly historical
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Climatology
Climate History
Cape Willoughby Climatology
Cape Willoughby Long-Term Averages
Long-Term Averages Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann Mean Max (°C) 21.9 21.8 20.8 19.2 17.0 14.9 14.2 14.5 15.9 17.7 19.3 20.8 18.1 Mean Min (°C) 15.9 16.3 15.6 14.2 12.6 10.8 9.8 9.7 10.4 11.5 13.1 14.5 12.9 Mean Rain (mm) 18.1 18.1 21.5 39.3 62.3 75.8 82.2 74.5 56.2 41.7 28.0 22.8 542.9 Mean Rain Days 4.6 4.6 6.6 10.2 14.6 16.5 18.5 17.9 14.5 11.5 8.1 6.8 134.5