Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology, Queensland
This Flood Watch provides early advice of possible flooding within the specified catchments.
Final Flood Watch For Catchments Between St Lawrence And Brisbane
Issued at 12:55 PM EST on Sunday 22 May 2022
Flood Watch Number: 4
FURTHER FLOODING IS NO LONGER EXPECTED
The risk of further heavy rainfall has eased.
Flooding is generally easing and flood warnings are in place to cover impacted rivers.
Flood warnings are current for the following rivers: lower Dawson, upper Burnett, Mary and upper Brisbane.
Flooding or renewed flooding is no longer expected in the following catchments:
Dawson and Don Rivers
Mackenzie and Fitzroy Rivers and Shoalwater and Water Park Creeks
Calliope River
Boyne River
Burnett River
Burrum and Cherwell Rivers
Mary River
Noosa River
Sunshine Coast Rivers and Creeks
Pine and Caboolture Rivers
Upper Brisbane River
Lower Brisbane River
See www.bom.gov.au/qld/warnings to view the current flood and cyclone products for Queensland.
For more information on the Flood Watch Service: http://www.bom.gov.au/water/floods/floodWarningServices.shtml
Flood Safety Advice:
For flood emergency assistance contact the SES on 132 500.
For life threatening emergencies, call Triple Zero (000) immediately.
Current emergency information is available at www.qld.gov.au/alerts.
This advice is also available by dialling 1300 659 219 at a low call cost of 27.5 cents, more from mobile, public and satellite phones.
Warning, rainfall and river information are available at www.bom.gov.au/qld/flood/
This Flood Watch means that people living or working along rivers and creeks should monitor the latest weather forecasts and warnings.
Remember: If it's flooded, forget it.}
Next issue:
This is a final Flood Watch, no further watches will be issued for this event.
Forecast
Rockhampton (23.3789°S, 150.5123°E, 2m AMSL) set as my default location ›
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My MLA
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Current condition
TODAY17° 25° possible shower Chance of rain: 60% Likely amount: 1-5mm First
lightLast light Sunrise Sunset 6:04am EST 6:28am EST 5:21pm EST 5:46pm EST NOW18.1° Feels Like: 17.8° Relative Humidity: 81% Dew: 14.8° Wind: SE 9km/h Gust: 13km/h Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm Pressure: 1018.4hPa -
Today Weather
RockhamptonNow19.0°cFeels Like:19.4°Wind:SE 9km/hGusts:13km/hHumidity:86%17°Min25°MaxToday in RockhamptonPartly cloudy. Medium chance of showers, most likely during this afternoon and evening. The chance of a thunderstorm in the N. Winds SE 15 to 25 km/h. Daytime maximum temperatures in the low to mid 20s.Tomorrow17°Min24°MaxPartly cloudy. Slight chance of a shower in the late morning and afternoon. Light winds becoming SE 15 to 20 km/h in the morning then becoming light in the evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 14 and 18 with daytime temperatures reaching the low to mid 20s. -
Radar
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Popup Radar
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Warnings
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7 day forecast
Today: Partly cloudy. Medium chance of showers, most likely during this afternoon and evening. The chance of a thunderstorm in the N. Winds SE 15 to 25 km/h. Daytime maximum temperatures in the low to mid 20s.
Forecast for Rockhampton (23.3789°S, 150.5123°E, 2m AMSL) Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Summary Minimum 17° 17° 16° 16° 14° 14° 14° Maximum 25° 24° 24° 26° 26° 26° 26° Chance of rain 60% 60% 40% 70% 10% 20% 5% Likely amount 1-5mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm UV index Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate - - Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 14
(km/h)18
(km/h)16
(km/h)18
(km/h)13
(km/h)14
(km/h)9
(km/h)9
(km/h)4
(km/h)9
(km/h)3
(km/h)10
(km/h)2
(km/h)7
(km/h)Wind direction SSE SE SSE SE SE SE SSE SSE SSW SSW SW WSW WSW W Relative humidity 76% 71% 80% 68% 82% 66% 81% 63% 80% 56% 76% 49% 71% 48% Dew point 17°C 18°C 17°C 17°C 16°C 16°C 17°C 18°C 15°C 16°C 15°C 14°C 14°C 13°C -
28 Day Rainfall forecast
Rockhampton Rain Forecast
Rockhampton 28-day Rainfall ForecastSUNMONTUEWEDTHUFRISAT23
MEDIUM24
LOW25
HIGH26
LOW27
28
29
30
31
Jun 1
LOW2
MEDIUM3
HIGH4
HIGH5
MEDIUM6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICTNIL < 25%LOW 25% to 50%MEDIUM 50% to 75%HIGH ≥ 75%Issued May22Issue Notes
The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, New Zealand, and South America.
Summary:
Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 24 May to 28 May, 6 June to 10 June, and 17 June to 21 June. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 22 May to 26 May, 1 June to 5 June, and 18 June to 22 June. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 24 May to 28 May, 9 June to 13 June, and 17 June to 21 June.
Forecast ExplanationThis forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.
The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.
In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.
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12 Month Rainfall Forecast
Rockhampton Rain Forecast
Rockhampton 12-month Rainfall ForecastMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarApr202220231099988616777105012 - 34 - 78 - 910Well below normalBelow normalNear normalAbove normalWell above normalIssue Notes - Issued May 11
ENSO status: La Niña, it is expected return to neutral state by early winter. IOD status: Neutral, models suggest it could enter a negative phase in the next month. SAM status: Positive and is expected to remain positive for the next month or so. The El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is in a La Niña phase and has not changed in strength during the past two weeks. La Niña events typically breaks down in autumn and while this current La Niña is persisting longer than usual, most models suggest it should end by early winter. However, one seasonal model operated by the U.S. National Weather Service’s Climate Prediction Centre (CPC) suggests that a La Niña-like signal could linger in the Pacific Ocean through the middle of the year and possibly remerge in the Southern Hemisphere’s spring. That being said, it is important to note that seasonal forecast models have lower accuracy at this time of year. This is called the autumn predictability barrier. The La Niña forecast will increase the likelihood of above-average rain in northern and eastern Australia during the remainder of Autumn, possibly into winter. Even as La Niña weakens it should continue to influence our climate. all five climate models suggest a negative phase will begin during late autumn or early winter. Climate models are forecasting strong negative IOD values by August, with the negative IOD event possibly lingering into spring. While a neutral IOD has little influence on our climate, a negative IOD increases the chance of above average autumn and winter rain for much of Australia. The rainfall outlooks are reflecting this, with above average rain forecast during winter for much of Australia, except southwest WA, parts of TAS and VIC. If a negative IOD does develop this winter, it will increase the risk of flooding over large areas of inland Australia, especially areas that had a wet summer and autumn.
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Popup - Daily historical
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Long range rainfall forecast
Rockhampton Rain Forecast
Rockhampton 28-day Rainfall ForecastSUNMONTUEWEDTHUFRISAT23
MEDIUM24
LOW25
HIGH26
LOW27
28
29
30
31
Jun 1
LOW2
MEDIUM3
HIGH4
HIGH5
MEDIUM6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICTNIL < 25%LOW 25% to 50%MEDIUM 50% to 75%HIGH ≥ 75%Issued May22Issue Notes
The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, New Zealand, and South America.
Summary:
Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 24 May to 28 May, 6 June to 10 June, and 17 June to 21 June. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 22 May to 26 May, 1 June to 5 June, and 18 June to 22 June. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 24 May to 28 May, 9 June to 13 June, and 17 June to 21 June.
Forecast ExplanationThis forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.
The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.
In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.
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Past 5 Days
Rockhampton Past 5 Days
This MonthMinimum Maximum Rainfall Wednesday
May 1819.7 °C 27.9 °C 3.2 mmThursday
May 1919.2 °C 27.1 °C 5.2 mmFriday
May 2019.9 °C 22.2 °C 0.2 mmSaturday
May 2116.1 °C 21.8 °C 56.2 mmSunday
May 2217.1 °C 26.1 °C 15.2 mmLegend -
Almanac
Almanac
Rockhampton minimum temp history (23.3789°S, 150.5123°E, 2m AMSL) MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE Hottest this month 31.0° 05/05/2022 Coldest this month 16.1° 21/05/2022 Hottest on record 34.4 27/05/2016 Coldest on record 2.9 24/05/1957 Hottest this year 40.7° 03/03/2022 Coldest this year 14.0° 15/04/2022 Long term average 26.1° Long term average 14.3° Average this month 26.8° Average this month 19.2° Hottest May On Record Avg. max. temp. 29.2° 2016 Coldest May on record Avg. min. temp. 9.2° 1944 Rockhampton rainfall history (23.3789°S, 150.5123°E, 2m AMSL) RAINFALL Wettest This Month 56.2mm 21/05/2022 Total This Month 173.2mm
13.0 daysLong Term Average 44.6mm 6.3 days Wettest May on record 303.8mm 1989 Driest on record 0.0mm 2021 -
Year to Date
Rockhampton Year To Date
Average Rainfall To May 461.3mm 46.3 day(s) Total For 2022 418.2mm 42.0 day(s) Total To This Day 2021 207.6mm 38.0 day(s) Wettest Day 82.2mm Mar11 Lowest Temperature 14.0°C Apr15 Highest Temperature 40.7°C Mar 3 -
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Popup - Monthly historical
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Climatology
Climate History
Rockhampton Climatology
Rockhampton Long-Term Averages
Long-Term Averages Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann Mean Max (°C) 32.1 31.4 30.6 28.8 26.1 23.6 23.3 24.9 27.5 29.7 31.3 32.2 28.4 Mean Min (°C) 22.2 22.2 21.0 18.0 14.3 11.1 9.7 10.8 13.8 17.2 19.6 21.3 16.7 Mean Rain (mm) 126.8 142.5 104.8 42.6 44.6 37.9 32.1 27.3 23.9 50.4 67.3 102.5 804.6 Mean Rain Days 11.0 12.1 10.1 6.8 6.3 5.5 5.8 4.7 4.3 6.7 7.7 9.5 90.5