Forecast
Emerald (23.5269°S, 148.1611°E, 175m AMSL) set as my default location ›
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My MLA
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Current condition
TODAY23° 39° mostly sunny Chance of rain: 40% Likely amount: < 1mm First
lightLast light Sunrise Sunset 4:47am EST 5:13am EST 6:44pm EST 7:09pm EST NOW33.6° Feels Like: 32.5° Relative Humidity: 34% Dew: 16.0° Wind: NW 15km/h Gust: 24km/h Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm Pressure: 1011.7hPa -
Today Weather
EmeraldNow33.3°cFeels Like:32.0°Wind:N 17km/hGusts:24km/hHumidity:36%23°Min39°MaxToday in EmeraldHot and mostly sunny. Patchy fog in the southeast early this morning. Slight chance of a shower in the northeast during this afternoon and evening. Near zero chance of rain elsewhere. The chance of a thunderstorm in the late morning and afternoon, possibly severe in the east. Winds N/NW 15 to 20 km/h becoming light in the middle of the day then becoming N/NE 15 to 25 km/h in the late afternoon. Daytime maximum temperatures around 40.Tomorrow24°Min41°MaxHot and mostly sunny. Slight chance of a shower in the northeast, near zero chance elsewhere. The chance of a thunderstorm in the late morning and afternoon. Winds N/NW 15 to 25 km/h becoming light in the middle of the day then becoming N/NE 20 to 30 km/h in the late afternoon. Overnight temperatures falling to between 19 and 23 with daytime temperatures reaching around 40. -
Radar
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Popup Radar
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Warnings
There are no current warnings for Emerald
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7 day forecast
Today: Hot and mostly sunny. Patchy fog in the southeast early this morning. Slight chance of a shower in the northeast during this afternoon and evening. Near zero chance of rain elsewhere. The chance of a thunderstorm in the late morning and afternoon, possibly severe in the east. Winds N/NW 15 to 20 km/h becoming light in the middle of the day then becoming N/NE 15 to 25 km/h in the late afternoon. Daytime maximum temperatures around 40.
Forecast for Emerald (23.5269°S, 148.1611°E, 175m AMSL) Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Summary Minimum 23° 24° 25° 23° 22° 22° 23° Maximum 39° 41° 41° 39° 39° 40° 41° Chance of rain 40% 10% 10% 5% 5% 30% 30% Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm UV index Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme - - Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 13
(km/h)12
(km/h)17
(km/h)9
(km/h)14
(km/h)12
(km/h)20
(km/h)22
(km/h)18
(km/h)18
(km/h)15
(km/h)14
(km/h)16
(km/h)12
(km/h)Wind direction NNW NNW NNW NNW NNE NE ENE ENE ENE E NE ENE NE NE Relative humidity 47% 17% 39% 14% 33% 15% 45% 19% 48% 19% 45% 16% 41% 17% Dew point 19°C 10°C 17°C 9°C 14°C 10°C 17°C 12°C 17°C 12°C 17°C 10°C 17°C 12°C -
28 Day Rainfall forecast
Emerald Rain Forecast
Emerald 28-day Rainfall ForecastSUNMONTUEWEDTHUFRISAT6
MEDIUM7
LOW8
9
10
11
12
LOW13
MEDIUM14
HIGH15
LOW16
LOW17
18
19
20
21
LOW22
LOW23
24
LOW25
LOW26
LOW27
28
29
30
LOW31
LOWJan 1
LOW2
3
LOWCHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICTNIL < 25%LOW 25% to 50%MEDIUM 50% to 75%HIGH ≥ 75%Issued Dec 5Issue Notes
The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the southwest Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, South America, and the Atlantic Ocean.
Summary:
Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 15 December to 19 December, 22 December to 26 December, and 4 January to 8 January. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 12 December to 16 December. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 18 December to 22 December, 22 December to 26 December, and 4 January to 8 January.
Forecast ExplanationThis forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.
The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.
In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.
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12 Month Rainfall Forecast
Emerald Rain Forecast
Emerald 12-month Rainfall ForecastDecJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNov201920202355757871075105012 - 34 - 78 - 910Well below normalBelow normalNear normalAbove normalWell above normalIssue Notes - Issued Nov 8
ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Positive Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific warmed up slightly over the past few weeks. As a reflection, the Nino3.4 index lingered between 0.5 and 0.7 throughout the month of October. The Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -5.6 during the past month. The current outlook consensus suggests warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the coming months, but remaining within neutral values. Five out of eight international models maintain a warmer than average Pacific Ocean through the end of 2019 and first quarter of 2020, however, none of these reaching El Nino thresholds. The IRI ENSO forecast continues to suggest less than 40% of another El Nino developing over the next 12 months, with a neutral ENSO the most likely outcome. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains strongly positive, with the highest positive value since the early 2000s. All six international models maintain a strong positive event until December. In terms of rainfall, there is little variation to the outlook issued last month. The climate outlook for October continues to favour below average rainfall for most of Australia, in particular the eastern half of the continent. During Positive IODs, central and southeastern Australia tend to see a reduction in rainfall during spring, due to a reduction of moisture streaming from the northwest. For northern Australia, the current outlook is for a late onset of the wet season across the Northern Territory and Queensland. Thus far, Darwin and South Eastern Qld have seen the onset of the wet season this year though a week later than usual. Further south, a negative trend in the Southern Annular Mode (SAM) will continue to enhance frontal activity over the far south during October and early. This is likely to offset the Positive IOD in far southern Victoria and western Tasmania, which could see average-to-above average rainfall during October and early December. Looking further ahead, with no significant signature from ENSO, there are no significant climate drivers tilting the balance towards a drier or wetter summer. The current outlook suggest neutral odds.
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Long range rainfall forecast
Emerald Rain Forecast
Emerald 28-day Rainfall ForecastSUNMONTUEWEDTHUFRISAT6
MEDIUM7
LOW8
9
10
11
12
LOW13
MEDIUM14
HIGH15
LOW16
LOW17
18
19
20
21
LOW22
LOW23
24
LOW25
LOW26
LOW27
28
29
30
LOW31
LOWJan 1
LOW2
3
LOWCHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICTNIL < 25%LOW 25% to 50%MEDIUM 50% to 75%HIGH ≥ 75%Issued Dec 5Issue Notes
The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the southwest Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, South America, and the Atlantic Ocean.
Summary:
Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 15 December to 19 December, 22 December to 26 December, and 4 January to 8 January. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 12 December to 16 December. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 18 December to 22 December, 22 December to 26 December, and 4 January to 8 January.
Forecast ExplanationThis forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.
The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.
In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.
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Popup - Daily historical
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Past 5 Days
Emerald Past 5 Days
This MonthMinimum Maximum Rainfall Monday
Dec 0224.4 °C 37.3 °C 0.0 mmTuesday
Dec 0321.1 °C 37.4 °C 0.0 mmWednesday
Dec 0423.7 °C 38.5 °C 0.0 mmThursday
Dec 0522.6 °C 40 °C 0.0 mmFriday
Dec 0624 °C - 0.0 mmLegend -
Almanac
Almanac
Emerald minimum temp history (23.5269°S, 148.1611°E, 175m AMSL) MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE Hottest this month 38.0° 04/12/2019 Coldest this month 21.1° 03/12/2019 Hottest on record 43.0 25/12/2001 Coldest on record 12.3 27/12/2006 Hottest this year 43.2° 20/02/2019 Coldest this year 3.5° 22/06/2019 Long term average 34.2° Long term average 21.3° Average this month 37.6° Average this month 22.6° Hottest December On Record Avg. max. temp. 38.0° 2005 Coldest December on record Avg. min. temp. 19.7° 1999 Emerald rainfall history (23.5269°S, 148.1611°E, 175m AMSL) RAINFALL Wettest This Month 0.0mm 01/12/2019 Total This Month 0.0mm
0.0 daysLong Term Average 90.1mm 8.0 days Wettest December on record 263.8mm 2005 -
Popup - Radar
Weather Radar for QLD
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Year to Date
Emerald Year To Date
Average Rainfall To Dec 567.2mm 63.8 day(s) Total For 2019 264.0mm 44.0 day(s) Total To This Day 2018 411.6mm 54.0 day(s) Wettest Day 50.2mm Mar16 Lowest Temperature 3.5°C Jun22 Highest Temperature 43.2°C Feb20 -
Popup - Monthly historical
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Climatology
Emerald Climatology
Emerald Long-Term Averages
Long-Term Averages Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann Mean Max (°C) 34.4 33.6 32.8 29.9 26.4 23.3 23.2 25.3 28.9 31.7 33.4 34.2 29.8 Mean Min (°C) 22.2 21.9 20.4 16.9 13.1 10.3 9.0 10.0 13.5 16.9 19.5 21.3 16.3 Mean Rain (mm) 89.6 81.8 59.8 30.7 19.5 32.1 18.2 22.4 29.5 36.9 56.6 90.1 567.3 Mean Rain Days 8.0 8.4 5.9 4.0 3.3 4.5 2.7 2.8 3.6 5.2 7.4 8.0 61.2