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Forecast

Emerald (23.5269°S, 148.1611°E, 175m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Mostly sunny 24° 34°
    mostly sunny
    Chance of rain: 40%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light     		Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    5:19am EST 5:44am EST 6:57pm EST 7:21pm EST
    NOW
    32.6° Feels Like: 35.2°
    Relative Humidity: 54%
    Dew: 22.1°
    Wind: ENE 11km/h
    Gust: 22km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure: 1012.0hPa

  3. Today Weather

    Emerald
    Now
    32.0°c
    Feels Like:
    33.9°
    Wind:
    ENE 13km/h
    Gusts:
    18km/h
    Humidity:
    54%
    Mostly sunny
     
    24°
    Min
    34°
    Max
    Today in Emerald
    Partly cloudy. Medium chance of showers in the north. Near zero chance of rain elsewhere. The chance of a thunderstorm in the north. Winds E 15 to 20 km/h turning NE in the afternoon. Daytime maximum temperatures 31 to 37.
    Tomorrow
    Mostly sunny
    24°
    Min
    35°
    Max
    Partly cloudy. Slight chance of a shower in the northwest, near zero chance elsewhere. The chance of a thunderstorm in the northwest. Light winds becoming E/NE 15 to 20 km/h in the middle of the day. Overnight temperatures falling to the low to mid 20s with daytime temperatures reaching the low to high 30s.

  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours

  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Partly cloudy. Medium chance of showers in the north. Near zero chance of rain elsewhere. The chance of a thunderstorm in the north. Winds E 15 to 20 km/h turning NE in the afternoon. Daytime maximum temperatures 31 to 37.

    Forecast for Emerald (23.5269°S, 148.1611°E, 175m AMSL)
      Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue
    Summary Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Possible shower
    Minimum 24° 24° 23° 23° 23° 24° 25°
    Maximum 34° 35° 35° 35° 36° 37° 37°
    Chance of rain 40% 10% 30% 30% 5% 40% 60%
    Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm
    UV index Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 21
    (km/h)     		19
    (km/h)     		17
    (km/h)     		19
    (km/h)     		19
    (km/h)     		21
    (km/h)     		20
    (km/h)     		19
    (km/h)     		14
    (km/h)     		11
    (km/h)     		10
    (km/h)     		8
    (km/h)     		10
    (km/h)     		8
    (km/h)
    Wind direction E ENE E E E E E ENE E ENE N NE NE NNE
    Relative humidity 79% 58% 73% 40% 68% 44% 67% 45% 65% 35% 66% 36% 63% 36%
    Dew point 24°C 24°C 22°C 19°C 22°C 21°C 21°C 21°C 21°C 18°C 23°C 20°C 23°C 20°C

  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Emerald Rain Forecast

    Emerald 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    29
    MEDIUM
    30
    LOW
    31
    LOW
    Feb 1
    LOW
    2
    LOW
    3
    LOW
    4
    HIGH
    5
    LOW
    6
    LOW
    7
    LOW
    8
    LOW
    9
    MEDIUM
    10
    LOW
    11
    LOW
    12
    LOW
    13
    LOW
    14
    LOW
    15
    MEDIUM
    16
    17
    18
    19
    20
    21
    LOW
    22
    23
    24
    LOW
    25
    LOW
    26
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jan29

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are seven main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, Western Australia, eastern Australia, the southeast Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 7 February to 11 February, 19 February to 23 February, and 2 March to 6 March. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 7 February to 11 February, 25 February to 29 February, and 29 February to 4 March. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 5 February to 9 February, and 14 February to 18 February.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Emerald Rain Forecast

    Emerald 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    2020
    3
    5
    4
    7
    8
    9
    7
    7
    6
    7
    6
    6
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Jan 14

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Trending neutral Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific remained stable throughout December with the Nino3.4 index registering a value of 0.4 throughout the month. On the other hand, the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -5.5 in December. The current outlook suggests warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the coming months, but remaining within neutral values. Six out of eight international models maintain a warmer than average equatorial Pacific Ocean through the first two quarters of 2020, none of these reaching El Nino thresholds. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) has now returned to neutral, as waters off Western Australia have warmed up considerably. All six international models maintain neutral values until the austral winter with indications we could see another positive event later this year. In terms of rainfall across Australia, the current outlook favours a clearer below average rainfall signal for Western Australia and the Northern Territory through the remainder of January. This however, excludes any extreme weather events such as tropical cyclones. For the eastern states, there is a wetter than average signal for the coming weeks. Looking further ahead, with no significant signature from ENSO, there are no significant climate drivers tilting the balance towards a drier or wetter February. The current outlook suggests average-to-below average odds for February and March across the eastern states. The northern and western half of the country, however, could see a wet end to summer/start to autumn.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Emerald Rain Forecast

    Emerald 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    29
    MEDIUM
    30
    LOW
    31
    LOW
    Feb 1
    LOW
    2
    LOW
    3
    LOW
    4
    HIGH
    5
    LOW
    6
    LOW
    7
    LOW
    8
    LOW
    9
    MEDIUM
    10
    LOW
    11
    LOW
    12
    LOW
    13
    LOW
    14
    LOW
    15
    MEDIUM
    16
    17
    18
    19
    20
    21
    LOW
    22
    23
    24
    LOW
    25
    LOW
    26
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jan29

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are seven main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, Western Australia, eastern Australia, the southeast Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 7 February to 11 February, 19 February to 23 February, and 2 March to 6 March. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 7 February to 11 February, 25 February to 29 February, and 29 February to 4 March. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 5 February to 9 February, and 14 February to 18 February.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Emerald Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Saturday
    Jan 25     		24.5 °C 30.5 °C
    11.2 mm
    Sunday
    Jan 26     		24.1 °C 29.4 °C
    13.0 mm
    Monday
    Jan 27     		23.7 °C 29.9 °C
    19.4 mm
    Tuesday
    Jan 28     		23.9 °C 33.3 °C
    0.4 mm
    Wednesday
    Jan 29     		23.8 °C -
    0.2 mm
    Legend

  14. Almanac

    Almanac

    Emerald minimum temp history (23.5269°S, 148.1611°E, 175m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 39.0° 19/01/2020 Coldest this month 19.4° 17/01/2020
    Hottest on record 45.6 06/01/1994 Coldest on record 17.0 04/01/2001
    Hottest this year 39.0° 19/01/2020 Coldest this year 19.4° 17/01/2020
    Long term average 34.4° Long term average 22.2°
    Average this month 35.8° Average this month 23.7°
    Hottest January On Record Avg. max. temp. 37.9° 1994 Coldest January on record Avg. min. temp. 20.7° 2001
    Emerald rainfall history (23.5269°S, 148.1611°E, 175m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 76.4mm 17/01/2020 Total This Month 124.8mm
    10.0 days
    Long Term Average 89.6mm 8.0 days Wettest January on record 231.6mm 1994

  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for QLD

  16. Year to Date

    Emerald Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Jan 89.6mm 8.0 day(s)
    Total For 2020 124.8mm 10.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2019 8.0mm 2.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 76.4mm Jan17
    Lowest Temperature 19.4°C Jan17
    Highest Temperature 39.0°C Jan19

  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Emerald Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 34.4 33.6 32.8 29.9 26.4 23.3 23.2 25.3 28.9 31.7 33.4 34.2 29.8
    Mean Min (°C) 22.2 21.9 20.4 16.9 13.1 10.3 9.0 10.0 13.5 16.9 19.5 21.3 16.3
    Mean Rain (mm) 89.6 81.8 59.8 30.7 19.5 32.1 18.2 22.4 29.5 36.9 56.6 90.1 567.3
    Mean Rain Days 8.0 8.4 5.9 4.0 3.3 4.5 2.7 2.8 3.6 5.2 7.4 8.0 61.2

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