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Forecast

Emerald (23.5269°S, 148.1611°E, 175m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Late shower 16° 24°
    late shower
    Chance of rain: 50%
    Likely amount: 1-5mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    6:13am EST 6:37am EST 5:30pm EST 5:54pm EST
    NOW
    16.7° Feels Like: 15.7°
    Relative Humidity: 94%
    Dew: 15.7°
    Wind: SE 15km/h
    Gust: 20km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.2mm
    Pressure: 1017.9hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Emerald
    Now
    16.8°c
    Feels Like:
    15.0°
    Wind:
    S 17km/h
    Gusts:
    20km/h
    Humidity:
    87%
    Late shower
     
    16°
    Min
    24°
    Max
    Today in Emerald
    Cloudy. Slight chance of a shower during this afternoon and evening. Winds SE 15 to 20 km/h becoming light in the early afternoon. Daytime maximum temperatures 20 to 25.
    Tomorrow
    Possible shower
    16°
    Min
    24°
    Max
    Partly cloudy. Slight chance of a shower. Light winds becoming SE 15 to 20 km/h in the morning then becoming light in the late afternoon. Overnight temperatures falling to between 12 and 16 with daytime temperatures reaching the low to mid 20s.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Cloudy. Slight chance of a shower during this afternoon and evening. Winds SE 15 to 20 km/h becoming light in the early afternoon. Daytime maximum temperatures 20 to 25.

    Forecast for Emerald (23.5269°S, 148.1611°E, 175m AMSL)
      Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun
    Summary Late shower Possible shower Cloudy Mostly sunny Sunny Sunny Sunny
    Minimum 16° 16° 15° 15° 14° 13° 13°
    Maximum 24° 24° 23° 24° 25° 25° 25°
    Chance of rain 50% 40% 50% 30% 10% 5% 5%
    Likely amount 1-5mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm
    UV index Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 21
    (km/h)
    15
    (km/h)
    22
    (km/h)
    17
    (km/h)
    18
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    11
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    9
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    Wind direction SSE SE SSE SE SSE ESE SSE SSE S SSW S WSW SSW W
    Relative humidity 81% 69% 83% 66% 85% 66% 85% 62% 82% 56% 78% 48% 69% 46%
    Dew point 17°C 17°C 16°C 17°C 16°C 16°C 16°C 16°C 16°C 15°C 15°C 13°C 13°C 12°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Emerald Rain Forecast


    Emerald 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    23
    LOW
    24
    25
    26
    27
    28
    29
    30
    31
    Jun 1
    LOW
    2
    LOW
    3
    HIGH
    4
    LOW
    5
    MEDIUM
    6
    7
    8
    9
    10
    11
    12
    13
    14
    15
    16
    17
    18
    LOW
    19
    20
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued May22

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, New Zealand, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 24 May to 28 May, 6 June to 10 June, and 17 June to 21 June. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 22 May to 26 May, 1 June to 5 June, and 18 June to 22 June. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 24 May to 28 May, 9 June to 13 June, and 17 June to 21 June.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Emerald Rain Forecast


    Emerald 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    2022
    2023
    10
    9
    9
    9
    8
    8
    7
    2
    6
    6
    6
    8
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued May 11

    ENSO status: La Niña, it is expected return to neutral state by early winter. IOD status: Neutral, models suggest it could enter a negative phase in the next month. SAM status: Positive and is expected to remain positive for the next month or so. The El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is in a La Niña phase and has not changed in strength during the past two weeks. La Niña events typically breaks down in autumn and while this current La Niña is persisting longer than usual, most models suggest it should end by early winter. However, one seasonal model operated by the U.S. National Weather Service’s Climate Prediction Centre (CPC) suggests that a La Niña-like signal could linger in the Pacific Ocean through the middle of the year and possibly remerge in the Southern Hemisphere’s spring. That being said, it is important to note that seasonal forecast models have lower accuracy at this time of year. This is called the autumn predictability barrier. The La Niña forecast will increase the likelihood of above-average rain in northern and eastern Australia during the remainder of Autumn, possibly into winter. Even as La Niña weakens it should continue to influence our climate. all five climate models suggest a negative phase will begin during late autumn or early winter. Climate models are forecasting strong negative IOD values by August, with the negative IOD event possibly lingering into spring. While a neutral IOD has little influence on our climate, a negative IOD increases the chance of above average autumn and winter rain for much of Australia. The rainfall outlooks are reflecting this, with above average rain forecast during winter for much of Australia, except southwest WA, parts of TAS and VIC. If a negative IOD does develop this winter, it will increase the risk of flooding over large areas of inland Australia, especially areas that had a wet summer and autumn.

  11. Popup - Daily historical

  12. Long range rainfall forecast

    Emerald Rain Forecast


    Emerald 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    23
    LOW
    24
    25
    26
    27
    28
    29
    30
    31
    Jun 1
    LOW
    2
    LOW
    3
    HIGH
    4
    LOW
    5
    MEDIUM
    6
    7
    8
    9
    10
    11
    12
    13
    14
    15
    16
    17
    18
    LOW
    19
    20
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued May22

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, New Zealand, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 24 May to 28 May, 6 June to 10 June, and 17 June to 21 June. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 22 May to 26 May, 1 June to 5 June, and 18 June to 22 June. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 24 May to 28 May, 9 June to 13 June, and 17 June to 21 June.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  13. Past 5 Days

    Emerald Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Wednesday
    May 18
    17.0 °C 27.2 °C
    0.0 mm
    Thursday
    May 19
    14.2 °C 25.2 °C
    0.0 mm
    Friday
    May 20
    16.0 °C 24.2 °C
    0.0 mm
    Saturday
    May 21
    15.9 °C 20.9 °C
    7.4 mm
    Sunday
    May 22
    15.5 °C 24.8 °C
    0.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Emerald minimum temp history (23.5269°S, 148.1611°E, 175m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 30.4° 05/05/2022 Coldest this month 13.4° 08/05/2022
    Hottest on record 34.3 04/05/2007 Coldest on record 2.0 29/05/2000
    Hottest this year 42.1° 03/03/2022 Coldest this year 13.4° 08/05/2022
    Long term average 26.4° Long term average 13.1°
    Average this month 26.1° Average this month 17.6°
    Hottest May On Record Avg. max. temp. 29.5° 2016 Coldest May on record Avg. min. temp. 10.3° 2011
    Emerald rainfall history (23.5269°S, 148.1611°E, 175m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 63.4mm 11/05/2022 Total This Month 142.4mm
    7.0 days
    Long Term Average 18.2mm 3.5 days Wettest May on record 66.6mm 2005
    Driest on record 0.0mm 2016
  15. Year to Date

    Emerald Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To May 272.3mm 29.8 day(s)
    Total For 2022 294.6mm 25.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2021 171.6mm 31.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 63.4mm May11
    Lowest Temperature 13.4°C May 8
    Highest Temperature 42.1°C Mar 3
  16. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for Australia

  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Emerald Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 34.7 33.9 32.9 30.0 26.4 23.4 23.5 25.6 29.1 32.0 33.5 34.5 29.9
    Mean Min (°C) 22.3 22.1 20.5 17.1 13.1 10.3 9.1 10.1 13.6 17.2 19.6 21.5 16.3
    Mean Rain (mm) 80.4 84.8 58.9 30.0 18.2 29.1 16.6 19.9 25.1 44.4 55.8 80.1 549.9
    Mean Rain Days 7.6 8.5 6.0 4.2 3.5 4.4 2.8 2.8 3.2 5.6 7.2 7.8 64.1