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Forecast

Katherine (14.4646°S, 132.2646°E, 100m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Sunny 18° 39°
    Chance of rain: 5%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light     		Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    5:48am CST 6:10am CST 6:40pm CST 7:02pm CST
    NOW
    33.9° Feels Like: 27.7°
    Relative Humidity: 12%
    Dew: 0.5°
    Wind: ESE 22km/h
    Gust: 26km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure: 1013.0hPa

  3. Today Weather

    Katherine
    Now
    35.1°c
    Feels Like:
    33.6°
    Wind:
    ENE 11km/h
    Gusts:
    13km/h
    Humidity:
    25%
    Sunny
     
    18°
    Min
    39°
    Max
    Today in Katherine
    Sunny. Winds E 15 to 20 km/h tending NW/NE 20 to 30 km/h in the middle of the day then becoming light in the late evening.
    Tomorrow
    Sunny
    21°
    Min
    39°
    Max
    Mostly sunny. Light winds becoming E 15 to 25 km/h in the morning then tending NW/NE 20 to 30 km/h in the middle of the day.

  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours

  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Sunny. Winds E 15 to 20 km/h tending NW/NE 20 to 30 km/h in the middle of the day then becoming light in the late evening.

    Forecast for Katherine (14.4646°S, 132.2646°E, 100m AMSL)
      Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon
    Summary Sunny Sunny Sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
    Minimum 18° 21° 22° 22° 23° 22° 23°
    Maximum 39° 39° 39° 39° 39° 40° 40°
    Chance of rain 5% 30% 30% 30% 60% 70% 80%
    Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm 1-5mm 1-5mm
    UV index Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 14
    (km/h)     		20
    (km/h)     		11
    (km/h)     		19
    (km/h)     		8
    (km/h)     		15
    (km/h)     		12
    (km/h)     		12
    (km/h)     		13
    (km/h)     		10
    (km/h)     		11
    (km/h)     		12
    (km/h)     		10
    (km/h)     		12
    (km/h)
    Wind direction ESE E E ESE NE ESE NW E NW E NNW E SSE ESE
    Relative humidity 23% 14% 42% 15% 40% 15% 51% 25% 55% 29% 55% 25% 50% 21%
    Dew point 6°C 7°C 16°C 8°C 16°C 8°C 20°C 16°C 21°C 18°C 21°C 16°C 20°C 14°C

  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Katherine Rain Forecast

    Katherine 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    22
    23
    LOW
    24
    LOW
    25
    MEDIUM
    26
    MEDIUM
    27
    HIGH
    28
    MEDIUM
    29
    LOW
    30
    MEDIUM
    31
    LOW
    Nov 1
    LOW
    2
    HIGH
    3
    HIGH
    4
    MEDIUM
    5
    MEDIUM
    6
    LOW
    7
    LOW
    8
    LOW
    9
    LOW
    10
    LOW
    11
    LOW
    12
    13
    LOW
    14
    MEDIUM
    15
    16
    LOW
    17
    MEDIUM
    18
    LOW
    19
    MEDIUM
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Oct22

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, Western Australia, New Zealand, and the southeast Pacific.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 2 November to 6 November, 7 November to 11 November, and 13 November to 17 November. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 16 November to 20 November. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 1 November to 5 November, 7 November to 11 November, and 19 November to 23 November.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Katherine Rain Forecast

    Katherine 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    2019
    2020
    1
    2
    4
    6
    6
    6
    5
    9
    9
    10
    6
    8
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Oct 7

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Positive Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific remain within neutral values. The Nino3.4 index lingered between -0.2 and 0.2 through the month of September. The Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -12.4 during the past month. The current outlook consensus suggests warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the austral spring, but well within neutral values. Five out of eight international models maintain a slightly warmer than average Pacific Ocean through the end of 2019, none of these reaching El Nino thresholds during the 2019/2020 summer. The IRI ENSO forecast suggests less than 40% of another El Nino developing over the next 12 months, with a neutral ENSO the most likely outcome. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains strongly positive, with the highest positive value since the early 2000s. All six international models maintain a strong positive event until December. In terms of rainfall, there is little variation to the outlook issued last month. The climate outlook for spring continues to favour below average rainfall for most of Australia, in particular the eastern half of the continent. During Positive IODs, central and southeastern Australia tend to see a reduction in rainfall during spring, due to a reduction of moisture streaming from the northwest. For northern Australia, the current outlook is for a late onset of the wet season across the Northern Territory and Queensland. A negative trend in the Southern Annular Mode (SAM) on the other hand, is likely to enhance frontal activity over the far south during spring. This is likely to offset the Positive IOD in far southern Victoria and western Tasmania, which could see average-to-above average rainfall during the remainder of spring.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Katherine Rain Forecast

    Katherine 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    22
    23
    LOW
    24
    LOW
    25
    MEDIUM
    26
    MEDIUM
    27
    HIGH
    28
    MEDIUM
    29
    LOW
    30
    MEDIUM
    31
    LOW
    Nov 1
    LOW
    2
    HIGH
    3
    HIGH
    4
    MEDIUM
    5
    MEDIUM
    6
    LOW
    7
    LOW
    8
    LOW
    9
    LOW
    10
    LOW
    11
    LOW
    12
    13
    LOW
    14
    MEDIUM
    15
    16
    LOW
    17
    MEDIUM
    18
    LOW
    19
    MEDIUM
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Oct22

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, Western Australia, New Zealand, and the southeast Pacific.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 2 November to 6 November, 7 November to 11 November, and 13 November to 17 November. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 16 November to 20 November. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 1 November to 5 November, 7 November to 11 November, and 19 November to 23 November.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Katherine Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Friday
    Oct 18     		24.0 °C 42.6 °C
    0.0 mm
    Saturday
    Oct 19     		25.2 °C 41.4 °C
    0.0 mm
    Sunday
    Oct 20     		20.4 °C 42.2 °C
    0.0 mm
    Monday
    Oct 21     		18.2 °C 39.7 °C
    0.0 mm
    Tuesday
    Oct 22     		15.5 °C -
    0.0 mm
    Legend

  14. Almanac

    Almanac

    Katherine minimum temp history (14.4646°S, 132.2646°E, 100m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 42.7° 17/10/2019 Coldest this month 16.5° 12/10/2019
    Hottest on record 46.2 29/10/1991 Coldest on record 3.0 04/10/1990
    Hottest this year 42.7° 17/10/2019 Coldest this year 4.0° 26/06/2019
    Long term average 37.7° Long term average 23.9°
    Average this month 40.0° Average this month 20.1°
    Hottest October On Record Avg. max. temp. 39.4° 2013 Coldest October on record Avg. min. temp. 21.3° 2006
    Katherine rainfall history (14.4646°S, 132.2646°E, 100m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 0.0mm 01/10/2019 Total This Month 0.0mm
    0.0 days
    Long Term Average 29.8mm 3.6 days Wettest October on record 165.7mm 2013

  15. Popup - Radar

  16. Year to Date

    Katherine Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Oct 756.1mm 51.1 day(s)
    Total For 2019 522.2mm 47.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2018 577.6mm 57.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 56.4mm Feb 4
    Lowest Temperature 4.0°C Jun26
    Highest Temperature 42.7°C Oct17

  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Katherine Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 34.1 33.8 34.3 34.0 32.3 30.1 30.2 32.2 35.8 37.7 37.4 35.6 34.0
    Mean Min (°C) 24.3 24.0 23.1 20.6 17.5 14.3 13.6 15.0 19.9 23.9 24.9 24.8 20.5
    Mean Rain (mm) 268.0 234.7 167.7 39.5 2.3 0.8 2.8 1.2 9.3 29.8 93.3 231.0 1072.5
    Mean Rain Days 15.9 14.2 11.5 3.2 0.7 0.4 0.4 0.2 1.0 3.6 8.3 13.9 68.1

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