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Forecast

Katherine (14.4646°S, 132.2646°E, 100m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Sunny 15° 36°
    Chance of rain: 5%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    6:08am CST 6:29am CST 6:36pm CST 6:58pm CST
    NOW
    15.9° Feels Like: 12.7°
    Relative Humidity: 37%
    Dew: 1.2°
    Wind: S 7km/h
    Gust: 7km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure: 1013.5hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Katherine
    Now
    13.3°c
    Feels Like:
    11.8°
    Wind:
    NE 2km/h
    Gusts:
    4km/h
    Humidity:
    56%
    Sunny
     
    15°
    Min
    36°
    Max
    Today in Katherine
    More humid and mostly sunny. Light winds becoming N/NE 15 to 20 km/h in the middle of the day then becoming light in the evening.
    Tomorrow
    Mostly sunny
    21°
    Min
    37°
    Max
    Medium chance of showers in the early morning. Mostly sunny day. Light winds becoming NW/NE 15 to 20 km/h in the middle of the day then becoming light in the evening.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

    There are no current warnings for Katherine

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: More humid and mostly sunny. Light winds becoming N/NE 15 to 20 km/h in the middle of the day then becoming light in the evening.

    Forecast for Katherine (14.4646°S, 132.2646°E, 100m AMSL)
      Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu
    Summary Sunny Mostly sunny Sunny Sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
    Minimum 15° 21° 20° 21° 22° 22° 22°
    Maximum 36° 37° 38° 39° 40° 40° 39°
    Chance of rain 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 10% 40%
    Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm
    UV index Extreme Very High Very High Very High Extreme - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 8
    (km/h)
    9
    (km/h)
    4
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    4
    (km/h)
    15
    (km/h)
    4
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    8
    (km/h)
    13
    (km/h)
    8
    (km/h)
    8
    (km/h)
    8
    (km/h)
    5
    (km/h)
    Wind direction E ESE N SE NNE SE N ESE N ESE N ENE N ESE
    Relative humidity 50% 20% 51% 18% 52% 17% 54% 17% 55% 16% 53% 19% 52% 25%
    Dew point 14°C 10°C 18°C 9°C 18°C 9°C 19°C 10°C 20°C 10°C 20°C 12°C 19°C 16°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Katherine Rain Forecast


    Katherine 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    24
    LOW
    25
    LOW
    26
    27
    LOW
    28
    LOW
    29
    MEDIUM
    30
    Oct 1
    2
    3
    4
    5
    6
    7
    8
    9
    10
    11
    12
    MEDIUM
    13
    LOW
    14
    MEDIUM
    15
    LOW
    16
    LOW
    17
    18
    MEDIUM
    19
    MEDIUM
    20
    LOW
    21
    LOW
    22
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Sep23

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively fast moving in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 7 October to 11 October, 13 October to 17 October, and 22 October to 26 October. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 5 October to 9 October, and 14 October to 18 October. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 28 September to 2 October, 8 October to 12 October, and 14 October to 18 October.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Katherine Rain Forecast


    Katherine 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    2021
    2022
    9
    9
    10
    8
    6
    7
    6
    8
    7
    8
    7
    5
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Sep 16

    ENSO status: Neutral, however five of seven models suggest La Niña thresholds may be met again between October and January. IOD status: Neutral, returning from negative values in the recent weeks. SAM status: Positive. The El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is currently neutral. However, there are growing signs that La Niña could redevelop in the Pacific Ocean later this year, which has prompted the US Climate Prediction Centre to increase its prediction of La Niña occurring this year to 70-80 percent. However their thresholds are lower than the Bureau of Meteorology's. Five of seven models forecast temperatures may reach or exceed La Niña thresholds between October and January. Three of seven predicted an established event, which requires La Nina thresholds to be met for three months. La Niña typically brings above average rainfall in northern and eastern Australia. The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is currently neutral, returning from negative values in the recent weeks. Three of five models areforecasting the IOD event will officially end in October, with all models ending the event in December. A negative IOD generates above average rain to southern and eastern Australia. As such, average to above average rainfall is predicted across much of the country this winter and spring.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Katherine Rain Forecast


    Katherine 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    24
    LOW
    25
    LOW
    26
    27
    LOW
    28
    LOW
    29
    MEDIUM
    30
    Oct 1
    2
    3
    4
    5
    6
    7
    8
    9
    10
    11
    12
    MEDIUM
    13
    LOW
    14
    MEDIUM
    15
    LOW
    16
    LOW
    17
    18
    MEDIUM
    19
    MEDIUM
    20
    LOW
    21
    LOW
    22
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Sep23

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively fast moving in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 7 October to 11 October, 13 October to 17 October, and 22 October to 26 October. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 5 October to 9 October, and 14 October to 18 October. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 28 September to 2 October, 8 October to 12 October, and 14 October to 18 October.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Katherine Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Sunday
    Sep 19
    17.9 °C 37.1 °C
    0.0 mm
    Monday
    Sep 20
    19.6 °C 36.2 °C
    0.0 mm
    Tuesday
    Sep 21
    19.5 °C 38.1 °C
    0.0 mm
    Wednesday
    Sep 22
    21.0 °C 32.2 °C
    0.0 mm
    Thursday
    Sep 23
    10.7 °C 32.7 °C
    0.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Katherine minimum temp history (14.4646°S, 132.2646°E, 100m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 38.7° 14/09/2021 Coldest this month 10.7° 23/09/2021
    Hottest on record 40.0 27/09/2012 Coldest on record 0.0 14/09/1990
    Hottest this year 38.7° 14/09/2021 Coldest this year 9.2° 07/08/2021
    Long term average 35.9° Long term average 19.7°
    Average this month 35.8° Average this month 20.3°
    Hottest September On Record Avg. max. temp. 37.3° 2012 Coldest September on record Avg. min. temp. 15.0° 1990
    Katherine rainfall history (14.4646°S, 132.2646°E, 100m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 0.0mm 23/09/2021 Total This Month 0.0mm
    0.0 days
    Long Term Average 8.4mm 1.0 days Wettest September on record 68.2mm 2016
    Driest on record 0.0mm 2019
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for Australia

  16. Year to Date

    Katherine Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Sep 707.6mm 49.9 day(s)
    Total For 2021 875.2mm 51.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2020 392.2mm 53.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 107.0mm Mar18
    Lowest Temperature 9.2°C Aug 7
    Highest Temperature 38.7°C Sep14
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Katherine Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 34.3 33.9 34.5 34.1 32.4 30.2 30.5 32.4 35.9 37.8 37.6 35.9 34.1
    Mean Min (°C) 24.4 24.1 23.2 20.6 17.4 14.2 13.6 14.9 19.7 23.9 25.0 24.8 20.4
    Mean Rain (mm) 258.9 236.5 160.1 37.4 2.3 0.6 2.4 1.0 8.4 31.8 96.6 219.7 1053.9
    Mean Rain Days 17.4 15.1 11.5 3.2 0.8 0.4 0.3 0.2 1.0 3.8 8.6 14.8 76.1