Forecast
Central Arnhem Plateau AWS (13.3275°S, 133.0861°E, 416m AMSL) set as my default location ›
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My MLA
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Current condition
TODAY23° 31° Chance of rain: 70% Likely amount: 5-10mm First
lightLast light Sunrise Sunset 6:06am CST 6:28am CST 7:12pm CST 7:35pm CST NOW24.3° Feels Like: 26.5° Relative Humidity: 84% Dew: 21.4° Wind: NW 11km/h Gust: 17km/h Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm Pressure: 1005.6hPa -
Today Weather
Central Arnhem Plateau AWSNow27.1°cFeels Like:31.9°Wind:E 9km/hGusts:11km/hHumidity:90%23°Min31°MaxToday in Central Arnhem Plateau AWSPartly cloudy. High chance of showers, most likely during this afternoon and evening. The chance of a thunderstorm. Light winds becoming NW 15 to 20 km/h in the middle of the day then becoming light in the evening.Tomorrow23°Min30°MaxPartly cloudy. High chance of showers, most likely from the late morning. The chance of a thunderstorm. Light winds becoming NW 15 to 25 km/h in the morning then becoming light in the evening. -
Radar
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Popup Radar
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Warnings
There are no current warnings for Central Arnhem Plateau AWS
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7 day forecast
Today: Partly cloudy. High chance of showers, most likely during this afternoon and evening. The chance of a thunderstorm. Light winds becoming NW 15 to 20 km/h in the middle of the day then becoming light in the evening.
Forecast for Central Arnhem Plateau AWS (13.3275°S, 133.0861°E, 416m AMSL) Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Summary Minimum 23° 23° 23° 23° 23° 23° 23° Maximum 31° 30° 31° 31° 31° 30° 30° Chance of rain 70% 70% 90% 80% 80% 90% 90% Likely amount 5-10mm 5-10mm 5-10mm 5-10mm 5-10mm 10-20mm 10-20mm UV index - - - - - - - Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 17
(km/h)20
(km/h)19
(km/h)23
(km/h)19
(km/h)23
(km/h)20
(km/h)25
(km/h)20
(km/h)25
(km/h)19
(km/h)23
(km/h)19
(km/h)24
(km/h)Wind direction NW NW NW WNW WNW WNW WNW WNW WNW WNW NW NW WNW WNW Relative humidity 84% 64% 87% 73% 83% 68% 82% 71% 82% 70% 84% 71% 83% 72% Dew point 23°C 24°C 23°C 24°C 23°C 25°C 23°C 24°C 23°C 25°C 23°C 24°C 24°C 25°C -
28 Day Rainfall forecast
Central Arnhem Plateau AWS Rain Forecast
Central Arnhem Plateau AWS 28-day Rainfall ForecastSUNMONTUEWEDTHUFRISAT27
MEDIUM28
MEDIUM29
MEDIUM30
MEDIUM31
HIGHFeb 1
HIGH2
HIGH3
MEDIUM4
LOW5
6
LOW7
LOW8
LOW9
LOW10
11
12
13
14
MEDIUM15
MEDIUM16
LOW17
LOW18
LOW19
LOW20
MEDIUM21
22
LOW23
24
MEDIUMCHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICTNIL < 25%LOW 25% to 50%MEDIUM 50% to 75%HIGH ≥ 75%Issued Jan27Issue Notes
The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, Western Australia, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, and South America.
Summary:
Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 3 February to 7 February, 12 February to 16 February, and 21 February to 25 February. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 27 February to 3 March. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 3 February to 7 February, 12 February to 16 February, and 19 February to 23 February.
Forecast ExplanationThis forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.
The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.
In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.
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12 Month Rainfall Forecast
Central Arnhem Plateau AWS Rain Forecast
Central Arnhem Plateau AWS 12-month Rainfall ForecastJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec20216678581097868105012 - 34 - 78 - 910Well below normalBelow normalNear normalAbove normalWell above normalIssue Notes - Issued Jan 7
ENSO status: La Niña IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Positive La Niña is likely at its peak which has brought long periods of cloud and rain to eastern and northern Australia.The majority of models predict that La Niña will continue through February, with 3 of 8 predicting to March and most of the models indicating a return to neutral conditions (neither El Niño nor La Niña) in April. Neutral conditions are predicted to continue into the Australian winter. La Nina typically brings above normal rainfall across much of Australia. While La Niña is expected to weaken, above normal rainfall and typical La Niña impacts are still expected. La Niña typically favours periods of positive SAM, which can increase the amount of precipitation along the eastern half of the country, due to prevailing onshore winds. During summer, much of the country is likely to remain wetter than normal, however normal rainfall is expected for western TAS. La Niña typically increases the number of cyclones and brought anearly start to the wet season. During Autumn, many parts of Australia are likely to be wetter than normal, due to warmer waters off the northeast coast of Australia. Southern parts of SA, VIC and most of TAS are likely to observe normal precipitation for the time of year.
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Long range rainfall forecast
Central Arnhem Plateau AWS Rain Forecast
Central Arnhem Plateau AWS 28-day Rainfall ForecastSUNMONTUEWEDTHUFRISAT27
MEDIUM28
MEDIUM29
MEDIUM30
MEDIUM31
HIGHFeb 1
HIGH2
HIGH3
MEDIUM4
LOW5
6
LOW7
LOW8
LOW9
LOW10
11
12
13
14
MEDIUM15
MEDIUM16
LOW17
LOW18
LOW19
LOW20
MEDIUM21
22
LOW23
24
MEDIUMCHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICTNIL < 25%LOW 25% to 50%MEDIUM 50% to 75%HIGH ≥ 75%Issued Jan27Issue Notes
The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, Western Australia, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, and South America.
Summary:
Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 3 February to 7 February, 12 February to 16 February, and 21 February to 25 February. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 27 February to 3 March. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 3 February to 7 February, 12 February to 16 February, and 19 February to 23 February.
Forecast ExplanationThis forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.
The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.
In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.
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Popup - Daily historical
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Past 5 Days
Central Arnhem Plateau AWS Past 5 Days
This MonthMinimum Maximum Rainfall Friday
Jan 2223.6 °C 30.5 °C 4.4 mmSaturday
Jan 2323.2 °C 29.2 °C 9.4 mmSunday
Jan 2423.0 °C 29.9 °C 5.4 mmMonday
Jan 2521.9 °C 28.3 °C 3.0 mmTuesday
Jan 2622.9 °C 29.7 °C 2.4 mmLegend -
Almanac
Almanac
Central Arnhem Plateau AWS minimum temp history (13.3275°S, 133.0861°E, 416m AMSL) MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE Hottest this month 35.0° 11/01/2021 Coldest this month 21.6° 05/01/2021 Hottest on record 37.9 08/01/2014 Coldest on record 20.2 06/01/2004 Hottest this year 35.0° 11/01/2021 Coldest this year 21.6° 05/01/2021 Long term average 31.9° Long term average 23.3° Average this month 32.3° Average this month 23.5° Hottest January On Record Avg. max. temp. 34.3° 2016 Coldest January on record Avg. min. temp. 22.7° 2011 Central Arnhem Plateau AWS rainfall history (13.3275°S, 133.0861°E, 416m AMSL) RAINFALL Wettest This Month 34.0mm 15/01/2021 Total This Month 146.8mm
20.0 daysLong Term Average 270.7mm 21.0 days Wettest January on record 503.8mm 2010 Driest on record 8.6mm 2016 -
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Year to Date
Central Arnhem Plateau AWS Year To Date
Average Rainfall To Jan 270.7mm 21.0 day(s) Total For 2021 146.8mm 20.0 day(s) Total To This Day 2020 179.6mm 16.0 day(s) Wettest Day 34.0mm Jan15 Lowest Temperature 21.6°C Jan 5 Highest Temperature 35.0°C Jan11 -
Popup - Monthly historical
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Climatology
Climate History
Central Arnhem Plateau AWS Climatology
Central Arnhem Plateau AWS Long-Term Averages
Long-Term Averages Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann Mean Max (°C) 31.9 32.1 32.4 32.5 30.7 28.6 29.1 30.8 33.9 35.6 35.4 33.4 32.2 Mean Min (°C) 23.3 23.1 23.0 21.6 19.6 16.3 15.8 15.9 19.1 22.0 23.5 23.6 20.5 Mean Rain (mm) 270.7 252.8 225.9 67.6 10.7 0.1 1.7 0.7 5.0 32.3 117.4 244.1 1148.3 Mean Rain Days 21.0 17.7 15.7 5.3 2.3 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.8 3.8 10.5 17.6 91.5