Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
New South Wales
Marine Wind Warning Summary for New South Wales
Issued at 04:05 PM EDT on Sunday 01 March 2020
for the period until midnight EDT Monday 02 March 2020
Wind Warnings for Sunday 01 March
Strong Wind Warning for the following areas:
Batemans Coast
Wind Warnings for Monday 02 March
Gale Warning for the following areas:
Eden Coast
Strong Wind Warning for the following areas:
Sydney Closed Waters, Hunter Coast, Sydney Coast, Illawarra Coast and Batemans Coast
The next marine wind warning summary will be issued by 4:10 am EDT Monday.
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Check the latest Coastal Waters Forecast or Local
Waters Forecast at http://www.bom.gov.au/nsw/forecasts/map.shtml for information on wind,
wave and weather conditions for these coastal zones.
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Forecast
Sydney (33.8671°S, 151.2071°E, 74m AMSL) set as my default location ›
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My MLA
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Current condition
TOMORROW21° 36° Chance of rain: 20% Likely amount: < 1mm First
light
Last light Sunrise Sunset 6:19am EDT 6:44am EDT 7:30pm EDT 7:55pm EDT NOW25.8° Feels Like: 22.3° Relative Humidity: 64% Dew: 18.5° Wind: NNE 33km/h Gust: 37km/h Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm Pressure: 1008.3hPa -
Today Weather
SydneyNow27.0°cFeels Like:22.1°Wind:NNE 44km/hGusts:52km/hHumidity:66%21°Min36°MaxToday in SydneyHot and mostly sunny. Light winds becoming W 25 to 40 km/h in the morning then shifting gusty S/SE 35 to 50 km/h in the late afternoon.Tomorrow21°Min36°MaxCloudy. High chance of rain, most likely in the afternoon and evening. Winds S 15 to 20 km/h becoming light before dawn then becoming S/SE 15 to 20 km/h in the middle of the day. -
Radar
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Popup Radar
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Warnings
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7 day forecast
Today: Hot and mostly sunny. Light winds becoming W 25 to 40 km/h in the morning then shifting gusty S/SE 35 to 50 km/h in the late afternoon.
Forecast for Sydney (33.8671°S, 151.2071°E, 74m AMSL) Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Summary Minimum 21° 19° 20° 21° 20° 20° 19° Maximum 36° 23° 25° 26° 27° 26° 24° Chance of rain 20% 90% 60% 80% 70% 90% 90% Likely amount < 1mm 5-10mm 5-10mm 10-20mm 1-5mm 5-10mm 5-10mm UV index Very High Very High Very High Extreme - - - Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 12
(km/h)17
(km/h)15
(km/h)19
(km/h)16
(km/h)22
(km/h)18
(km/h)23
(km/h)9
(km/h)17
(km/h)15
(km/h)23
(km/h)21
(km/h)27
(km/h)Wind direction NW SSW S S ENE ENE NE NE N SE SSW S S S Relative humidity 54% 34% 66% 66% 78% 71% 76% 73% 77% 67% 70% 60% 70% 60% Dew point 16°C 17°C 15°C 16°C 19°C 19°C 19°C 20°C 18°C 20°C 17°C 18°C 16°C 16°C -
28 Day Rainfall forecast
Sydney Rain Forecast
Sydney 28-day Rainfall ForecastSUNMONTUEWEDTHUFRISATMar 1
2
3
HIGH4
MEDIUM5
HIGH6
MEDIUM7
HIGH8
LOW9
LOW10
LOW11
LOW12
13
LOW14
MEDIUM15
LOW16
LOW17
LOW18
LOW19
LOW20
LOW21
LOW22
23
LOW24
LOW25
26
LOW27
LOW28
29
30
LOWCHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICTNIL < 25%LOW 25% to 50%MEDIUM 50% to 75%HIGH ≥ 75%Issued Mar 1Issue Notes
The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively fast moving in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, the southeast Pacific, South America, and the Atlantic Ocean.
Summary:
Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 16 March to 20 March, 26 March to 30 March, and 30 March to 3 April. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 10 March to 14 March, and 4 April to 8 April. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 8 March to 12 March, 16 March to 20 March, and 26 March to 30 March.
Forecast ExplanationThis forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.
The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.
In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.
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12 Month Rainfall Forecast
Sydney Rain Forecast
Sydney 12-month Rainfall ForecastMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJan2020202147768865744105012 - 34 - 78 - 910Well below normalBelow normalNear normalAbove normalWell above normalIssue Notes - Issued Feb 12
ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Trending neutral Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific remained stable throughout January with the Nino3.4 index registering a value of 0.4 as per December. On the other hand, the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of 1.3 in January. The current outlook suggests warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the austral autumn, cooling even further by mid 2020. Six out of eight international models continue to maintain a warmer than average equatorial Pacific Ocean through the first half of the year, none of these reaching El Nino thresholds. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains neutral, which is what you will expect for this time of the year. All six international models maintain neutral IOD values until the austral winter, with indications we could see another positive event late winter/spring. However, the skill of the models is low at this time of the year. In terms of rainfall across Australia, the current outlook favours average-to-below average rainfall for parts of inland NSW and Qld for the end of summer and autumn. This however, excludes any extreme weather events such as tropical cyclones or East Coast Lows. Across the north, the North Australian Monsoon (NAM) had its latest onset on record in early February at Darwin (by its technical definition) with the current prognosis suggesting another below average wet season for northern Australia. The northern half of the country however, could see a wet end to the wet season compared to the season thus far. Looking further ahead, with no significant signature from ENSO, there are no significant climate drivers tilting the balance towards a drier or wetter end of autumn/winter.
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Long range rainfall forecast
Sydney Rain Forecast
Sydney 28-day Rainfall ForecastSUNMONTUEWEDTHUFRISATMar 1
2
3
HIGH4
MEDIUM5
HIGH6
MEDIUM7
HIGH8
LOW9
LOW10
LOW11
LOW12
13
LOW14
MEDIUM15
LOW16
LOW17
LOW18
LOW19
LOW20
LOW21
LOW22
23
LOW24
LOW25
26
LOW27
LOW28
29
30
LOWCHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICTNIL < 25%LOW 25% to 50%MEDIUM 50% to 75%HIGH ≥ 75%Issued Mar 1Issue Notes
The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively fast moving in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, the southeast Pacific, South America, and the Atlantic Ocean.
Summary:
Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 16 March to 20 March, 26 March to 30 March, and 30 March to 3 April. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 10 March to 14 March, and 4 April to 8 April. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 8 March to 12 March, 16 March to 20 March, and 26 March to 30 March.
Forecast ExplanationThis forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.
The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.
In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.
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Popup - Daily historical
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Past 5 Days
Sydney Past 5 Days
This MonthMinimum Maximum Rainfall Wednesday
Feb 2622.0 °C 33.0 °C 0.0 mmThursday
Feb 2720.2 °C 25.8 °C 0.2 mmFriday
Feb 2818.7 °C 26.0 °C 0.0 mmSaturday
Feb 2919.3 °C 26.2 °C 0.0 mmSunday
Mar 0119.0 °C 28 °C 0.0 mmLegend -
Almanac
Almanac
Sydney minimum temp history (33.8671°S, 151.2071°E, 74m AMSL) MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE Hottest this month - Coldest this month 19.0° 01/03/2020 Hottest on record 39.8 09/03/1983 Coldest on record 9.3 14/03/1886 Hottest this year 41.3° 23/01/2020 Coldest this year 17.4° 13/01/2020 Long term average 24.8° Long term average 17.6° Average this month - Average this month 19.0° Hottest March On Record Avg. max. temp. 27.1° 2006 Coldest March on record Avg. min. temp. 15.0° 1871 Sydney rainfall history (33.8671°S, 151.2071°E, 74m AMSL) RAINFALL Wettest This Month 0.0mm 01/03/2020 Total This Month 0.0mm
0.0 daysLong Term Average 130.9mm 13.7 days Wettest March on record 521.4mm 1942 Driest on record 8.4mm 1965 -
Popup - Radar
Weather Radar for NSW/ACT
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Year to Date
Sydney Year To Date
Average Rainfall To Mar 350.7mm 38.4 day(s) Total For 2020 513.0mm 31.0 day(s) Total To This Day 2019 134.2mm 22.0 day(s) Wettest Day 176.0mm Feb10 Lowest Temperature 17.4°C Jan13 Highest Temperature 41.3°C Jan23 -
Popup - Monthly historical
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Climatology
Climate History
Sydney Climatology
Sydney Long-Term Averages
Long-Term Averages Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann Mean Max (°C) 26.0 25.8 24.8 22.5 19.5 17.0 16.4 17.9 20.1 22.2 23.7 25.2 21.7 Mean Min (°C) 18.7 18.8 17.6 14.7 11.6 9.3 8.1 9.0 11.1 13.6 15.7 17.5 13.8 Mean Rain (mm) 102.2 117.6 130.9 128.5 118.6 133.0 97.1 81.1 68.4 76.4 83.8 77.6 1215.0 Mean Rain Days 12.2 12.5 13.7 12.9 13.1 12.7 11.3 10.4 10.6 11.6 11.7 11.5 143.1