Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
New South Wales
Hazardous Surf Warning for New South Wales
Issued at 04:01 AM EST on Monday 23 May 2022
Weather Situation
Surf and swell conditions are expected to become hazardous for coastal activities such as rock fishing, boating, and swimming in the following areas.
Hazardous Surf Warning for the following areas:
Byron Coast, Coffs Coast, Macquarie Coast, Hunter Coast, Sydney Coast, Illawarra Coast and Batemans Coast
Warnings for Tuesday 24 May
Hazardous Surf Warning for the following areas:
Byron Coast, Coffs Coast, Macquarie Coast, Hunter Coast, Sydney Coast and Illawarra Coast
NSW Police Force, Marine Area Command advise that:
People should consider staying out of the water and avoid walking near surf-exposed areas.
Rock fishers should avoid coastal rock platforms exposed to the ocean and seek a safe location that is sheltered from the surf.
Boaters planning to cross shallow water and ocean bars should consider changing or delaying their voyage.
Boaters already on the water should carry the appropriate safety equipment and wear a lifejacket.
Boaters should remember to log on with their local Marine Rescue radio base, via VHF Radio or the Marine Rescue APP, and consider their safety management plan.
The next warning will be issued by 5:00 pm EST Monday.
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Check the Coastal Waters Forecast for information
on wind, wave and weather conditions for
these areas at http://www.bom.gov.au/nsw/ or on marine
radio.
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Forecast
Sydney (33.8671°S, 151.2071°E, 74m AMSL) set as my default location ›
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My MLA
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Current condition
TODAY13° 19° Chance of rain: 80% Likely amount: 10-20mm First
lightLast light Sunrise Sunset 6:18am EST 6:45am EST 4:58pm EST 5:25pm EST NOW12.5° Feels Like: 10.0° Relative Humidity: 100% Dew: 12.5° Wind: W 17km/h Gust: 20km/h Rainfall since 9am: 15.0mm Pressure: 1027.6hPa -
Today Weather
SydneyNow12.7°cFeels Like:10.1°Wind:W 17km/hGusts:19km/hHumidity:96%13°Min19°MaxToday in SydneyCloudy. Very high chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm, mainly near the coast. Light winds.Tomorrow13°Min20°MaxCloudy. High chance of showers. Light winds. -
Radar
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Popup Radar
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Warnings
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7 day forecast
Today: Cloudy. Very high chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm, mainly near the coast. Light winds.
Forecast for Sydney (33.8671°S, 151.2071°E, 74m AMSL) Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Summary Minimum 13° 13° 13° 12° 11° 12° 10° Maximum 19° 20° 20° 21° 21° 21° 21° Chance of rain 80% 80% 80% 40% 40% 60% 40% Likely amount 10-20mm 5-10mm 1-5mm < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm < 1mm UV index Moderate Moderate Moderate Low Moderate - - Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 14
(km/h)12
(km/h)13
(km/h)11
(km/h)9
(km/h)7
(km/h)9
(km/h)5
(km/h)10
(km/h)4
(km/h)13
(km/h)8
(km/h)18
(km/h)11
(km/h)Wind direction SSW SSE SW S SW SE W ENE WNW ENE W SW W WSW Relative humidity 95% 79% 91% 71% 96% 75% 99% 74% 99% 70% 92% 68% 84% 57% Dew point 14°C 14°C 14°C 14°C 14°C 14°C 14°C 15°C 13°C 14°C 13°C 14°C 11°C 11°C -
28 Day Rainfall forecast
Sydney Rain Forecast
Sydney 28-day Rainfall ForecastSUNMONTUEWEDTHUFRISAT23
HIGH24
LOW25
26
27
28
LOW29
LOW30
LOW31
MEDIUMJun 1
LOW2
3
HIGH4
MEDIUM5
MEDIUM6
LOW7
LOW8
9
10
LOW11
LOW12
LOW13
LOW14
LOW15
LOW16
LOW17
LOW18
LOW19
LOW20
LOWCHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICTNIL < 25%LOW 25% to 50%MEDIUM 50% to 75%HIGH ≥ 75%Issued May22Issue Notes
The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, New Zealand, and South America.
Summary:
Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 24 May to 28 May, 6 June to 10 June, and 17 June to 21 June. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 22 May to 26 May, 1 June to 5 June, and 18 June to 22 June. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 24 May to 28 May, 9 June to 13 June, and 17 June to 21 June.
Forecast ExplanationThis forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.
The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.
In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.
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12 Month Rainfall Forecast
Sydney Rain Forecast
Sydney 12-month Rainfall ForecastMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarApr20222023788898735857105012 - 34 - 78 - 910Well below normalBelow normalNear normalAbove normalWell above normalIssue Notes - Issued May 11
ENSO status: La Niña, it is expected return to neutral state by early winter. IOD status: Neutral, models suggest it could enter a negative phase in the next month. SAM status: Positive and is expected to remain positive for the next month or so. The El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is in a La Niña phase and has not changed in strength during the past two weeks. La Niña events typically breaks down in autumn and while this current La Niña is persisting longer than usual, most models suggest it should end by early winter. However, one seasonal model operated by the U.S. National Weather Service’s Climate Prediction Centre (CPC) suggests that a La Niña-like signal could linger in the Pacific Ocean through the middle of the year and possibly remerge in the Southern Hemisphere’s spring. That being said, it is important to note that seasonal forecast models have lower accuracy at this time of year. This is called the autumn predictability barrier. The La Niña forecast will increase the likelihood of above-average rain in northern and eastern Australia during the remainder of Autumn, possibly into winter. Even as La Niña weakens it should continue to influence our climate. all five climate models suggest a negative phase will begin during late autumn or early winter. Climate models are forecasting strong negative IOD values by August, with the negative IOD event possibly lingering into spring. While a neutral IOD has little influence on our climate, a negative IOD increases the chance of above average autumn and winter rain for much of Australia. The rainfall outlooks are reflecting this, with above average rain forecast during winter for much of Australia, except southwest WA, parts of TAS and VIC. If a negative IOD does develop this winter, it will increase the risk of flooding over large areas of inland Australia, especially areas that had a wet summer and autumn.
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Popup - Daily historical
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Long range rainfall forecast
Sydney Rain Forecast
Sydney 28-day Rainfall ForecastSUNMONTUEWEDTHUFRISAT23
HIGH24
LOW25
26
27
28
LOW29
LOW30
LOW31
MEDIUMJun 1
LOW2
3
HIGH4
MEDIUM5
MEDIUM6
LOW7
LOW8
9
10
LOW11
LOW12
LOW13
LOW14
LOW15
LOW16
LOW17
LOW18
LOW19
LOW20
LOWCHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICTNIL < 25%LOW 25% to 50%MEDIUM 50% to 75%HIGH ≥ 75%Issued May22Issue Notes
The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, New Zealand, and South America.
Summary:
Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 24 May to 28 May, 6 June to 10 June, and 17 June to 21 June. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 22 May to 26 May, 1 June to 5 June, and 18 June to 22 June. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 24 May to 28 May, 9 June to 13 June, and 17 June to 21 June.
Forecast ExplanationThis forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.
The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.
In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.
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Past 5 Days
Sydney Past 5 Days
This MonthMinimum Maximum Rainfall Wednesday
May 189.4 °C 20.7 °C 0.0 mmThursday
May 199.0 °C 20.1 °C 0.0 mmFriday
May 2010.6 °C 14.9 °C 4.4 mmSaturday
May 2111.2 °C 18.4 °C 28.2 mmSunday
May 2213.3 °C 18.4 °C 22.8 mmLegend -
Almanac
Almanac
Sydney minimum temp history (33.8671°S, 151.2071°E, 74m AMSL) MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE Hottest this month 26.8° 04/05/2022 Coldest this month 8.5° 07/05/2022 Hottest on record Coldest on record Hottest this year 31.9° 01/02/2022 Coldest this year 8.5° 07/05/2022 Long term average 19.5° Long term average 11.6° Average this month 21.5° Average this month 13.2° Hottest - On Record Avg. max. temp. - - Coldest - on record Avg. min. temp. - - Sydney rainfall history (33.8671°S, 151.2071°E, 74m AMSL) RAINFALL Wettest This Month 31.4mm 12/05/2022 Total This Month 132.8mm
12.0 daysLong Term Average 117.2mm 13.0 days Wettest - on record - - Driest on record 3.0mm 2008 -
Year to Date
Sydney Year To Date
Average Rainfall To May 602.5mm 64.5 day(s) Total For 2022 1476.2mm 94.0 day(s) Total To This Day 2021 714.0mm 64.0 day(s) Wettest Day 114.8mm Apr 7 Lowest Temperature 8.5°C May 7 Highest Temperature 31.9°C Feb 1 -
Popup - Radar
Weather Radar for Australia
Australia Radars
- Adelaide
- Adelaide Airport
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Popup - Monthly historical
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Climatology
Climate History
Sydney Climatology
Sydney Long-Term Averages
Long-Term Averages Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann Mean Max (°C) 26.0 25.8 24.8 22.5 19.5 17.0 16.4 17.9 20.1 22.2 23.7 25.3 21.8 Mean Min (°C) 18.8 18.9 17.6 14.7 11.6 9.3 8.1 9.0 11.2 13.7 15.7 17.6 13.8 Mean Rain (mm) 101.7 120.8 136.1 126.7 117.2 133.1 96.1 80.2 67.7 76.7 84.1 77.7 1214.2 Mean Rain Days 12.2 12.6 13.9 12.8 13.0 12.8 11.1 10.3 10.6 11.6 11.7 11.6 143.9