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Forecast

Green Cape (37.261°S, 150.0493°E, 31m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Late shower 11° 22°
    late shower
    Chance of rain: 90%
    Likely amount: 1-5mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    5:22am EST 5:48am EST 5:58pm EST 6:24pm EST
    NOW
    12.7° Feels Like: 11.7°
    Relative Humidity: 99%
    Dew: 12.5°
    Wind: N 9km/h
    Gust: 11km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure:  
  3. Today Weather

    Green Cape
    Now
    12.1°c
    Feels Like:
    8.1°
    Wind:
    NE 22km/h
    Gusts:
    26km/h
    Humidity:
    93%
    Late shower
     
    11°
    Min
    22°
    Max
    Today in Green Cape
    Mostly sunny. Medium chance of showers near the Victorian border, most likely in the late afternoon and evening. Winds W/NW 25 to 40 km/h tending W/SW 15 to 20 km/h in the late evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 7 and 11 with daytime temperatures reaching 20 to 26.
    Tomorrow
    Windy with showers
    Min
    12°
    Max
    Partly cloudy. Slight chance of a shower. Winds W/SW 15 to 20 km/h tending S/SW 25 to 35 km/h in the morning then becoming light in the late evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 4 and 9 with daytime temperatures reaching between 11 and 18.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Mostly sunny. Medium chance of showers near the Victorian border, most likely in the late afternoon and evening. Winds W/NW 25 to 40 km/h tending W/SW 15 to 20 km/h in the late evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 7 and 11 with daytime temperatures reaching 20 to 26.

    Forecast for Green Cape (37.261°S, 150.0493°E, 31m AMSL)
      Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu
    Summary Late shower Windy with showers Mostly sunny Windy Mostly sunny Possible shower Thunderstorms
    Minimum 11° 10° 13° 13°
    Maximum 22° 12° 13° 17° 18° 19° 19°
    Chance of rain 90% 90% 20% 5% 60% 50% 60%
    Likely amount 1-5mm 1-5mm < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm 1-5mm 1-5mm
    UV index High Moderate Moderate High High - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 23
    (km/h)
    34
    (km/h)
    43
    (km/h)
    49
    (km/h)
    25
    (km/h)
    24
    (km/h)
    27
    (km/h)
    41
    (km/h)
    20
    (km/h)
    37
    (km/h)
    33
    (km/h)
    43
    (km/h)
    25
    (km/h)
    30
    (km/h)
    Wind direction N SW WSW WSW W SSE N NE NNE NE NE NNE N ENE
    Relative humidity 69% 64% 72% 65% 69% 66% 65% 72% 73% 76% 87% 84% 83% 86%
    Dew point 12°C 11°C 5°C 4°C 6°C 6°C 8°C 11°C 11°C 13°C 15°C 14°C 15°C 15°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Green Cape Rain Forecast


    Green Cape 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    24
    LOW
    25
    LOW
    26
    27
    28
    LOW
    29
    MEDIUM
    30
    HIGH
    Oct 1
    LOW
    2
    LOW
    3
    LOW
    4
    LOW
    5
    6
    MEDIUM
    7
    MEDIUM
    8
    MEDIUM
    9
    10
    MEDIUM
    11
    MEDIUM
    12
    MEDIUM
    13
    MEDIUM
    14
    LOW
    15
    LOW
    16
    MEDIUM
    17
    MEDIUM
    18
    MEDIUM
    19
    20
    MEDIUM
    21
    HIGH
    22
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Sep23

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively fast moving in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 7 October to 11 October, 13 October to 17 October, and 22 October to 26 October. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 5 October to 9 October, and 14 October to 18 October. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 28 September to 2 October, 8 October to 12 October, and 14 October to 18 October.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Green Cape Rain Forecast


    Green Cape 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    2021
    2022
    7
    8
    8
    8
    8
    6
    6
    7
    6
    7
    7
    4
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Sep 16

    ENSO status: Neutral, however five of seven models suggest La Niña thresholds may be met again between October and January. IOD status: Neutral, returning from negative values in the recent weeks. SAM status: Positive. The El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is currently neutral. However, there are growing signs that La Niña could redevelop in the Pacific Ocean later this year, which has prompted the US Climate Prediction Centre to increase its prediction of La Niña occurring this year to 70-80 percent. However their thresholds are lower than the Bureau of Meteorology's. Five of seven models forecast temperatures may reach or exceed La Niña thresholds between October and January. Three of seven predicted an established event, which requires La Nina thresholds to be met for three months. La Niña typically brings above average rainfall in northern and eastern Australia. The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is currently neutral, returning from negative values in the recent weeks. Three of five models areforecasting the IOD event will officially end in October, with all models ending the event in December. A negative IOD generates above average rain to southern and eastern Australia. As such, average to above average rainfall is predicted across much of the country this winter and spring.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Green Cape Rain Forecast


    Green Cape 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    24
    LOW
    25
    LOW
    26
    27
    28
    LOW
    29
    MEDIUM
    30
    HIGH
    Oct 1
    LOW
    2
    LOW
    3
    LOW
    4
    LOW
    5
    6
    MEDIUM
    7
    MEDIUM
    8
    MEDIUM
    9
    10
    MEDIUM
    11
    MEDIUM
    12
    MEDIUM
    13
    MEDIUM
    14
    LOW
    15
    LOW
    16
    MEDIUM
    17
    MEDIUM
    18
    MEDIUM
    19
    20
    MEDIUM
    21
    HIGH
    22
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Sep23

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively fast moving in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 7 October to 11 October, 13 October to 17 October, and 22 October to 26 October. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 5 October to 9 October, and 14 October to 18 October. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 28 September to 2 October, 8 October to 12 October, and 14 October to 18 October.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Green Cape Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Sunday
    Sep 19
    8.6 °C 18.7 °C
    0.6 mm
    Monday
    Sep 20
    12.7 °C 15.2 °C
    0.0 mm
    Tuesday
    Sep 21
    8.5 °C 13.8 °C
    0.0 mm
    Wednesday
    Sep 22
    9.9 °C 17.8 °C
    0.0 mm
    Thursday
    Sep 23
    10.0 °C 19.9 °C
    0.2 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Green Cape minimum temp history (37.261°S, 150.0493°E, 31m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 26.6° 11/09/2021 Coldest this month 8.5° 21/09/2021
    Hottest on record 30.3 12/09/2009 Coldest on record 6.5 02/09/2003
    Hottest this year 29.0° 24/01/2021 Coldest this year 6.6° 02/08/2021
    Long term average 17.8° Long term average 10.8°
    Average this month 17.2° Average this month 11.1°
    Hottest September On Record Avg. max. temp. 18.7° 2009 Coldest September on record Avg. min. temp. 9.8° 2003
    Green Cape rainfall history (37.261°S, 150.0493°E, 31m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 22.6mm 05/09/2021 Total This Month 46.0mm
    12.0 days
    Long Term Average 37.4mm 9.9 days Wettest September on record 110.6mm 2016
    Driest on record 0.0mm 1995
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for Australia

  16. Year to Date

    Green Cape Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Sep 443.5mm 88.2 day(s)
    Total For 2021 596.2mm 103.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2020 362.6mm 98.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 68.8mm May12
    Lowest Temperature 6.6°C Aug 2
    Highest Temperature 29.0°C Jan24
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Green Cape Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 23.7 23.7 22.8 20.9 18.2 16.1 15.6 16.2 17.8 19.1 20.7 22.2 19.7
    Mean Min (°C) 17.4 17.4 16.5 14.7 12.2 10.4 9.3 9.4 10.8 12.2 14.3 15.8 13.4
    Mean Rain (mm) 57.3 46.3 46.6 59.2 48.8 65.2 46.4 36.3 37.4 50.5 61.5 47.8 602.2
    Mean Rain Days 8.9 8.8 9.8 9.3 9.9 12.0 9.8 9.8 9.9 11.3 10.8 9.2 119.3