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Forecast

Evans Head (29.1157°S, 153.4291°E, 0m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Sunny 15° 27°
    Chance of rain: 30%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light     		Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    5:13am EST 5:36am EST 5:42pm EST 6:05pm EST
    NOW
    18.2° Feels Like: 18.3°
    Relative Humidity: 96%
    Dew: 17.6°
    Wind: N 13km/h
    Gust: 19km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.2mm
    Pressure: 1015.8hPa

  3. Today Weather

    Evans Head
    Now
    19.8°c
    Feels Like:
    19.7°
    Wind:
    N 15km/h
    Gusts:
    17km/h
    Humidity:
    90%
    Sunny
     
    15°
    Min
    27°
    Max
    Today in Evans Head
    Mostly sunny. The chance of fog in the early morning. The chance of a thunderstorm in the south in the afternoon. Light winds becoming N 15 to 25 km/h in the middle of the day. Overnight temperatures falling to between 14 and 17 with daytime temperatures reaching around 30.
    Tomorrow
    Possible shower
    16°
    Min
    27°
    Max
    Partly cloudy. Medium chance of showers, most likely in the late afternoon and evening. The chance of a thunderstorm from the late morning. Winds N 15 to 25 km/h tending NW in the middle of the day then becoming light in the late afternoon. Overnight temperatures falling to around 17 with daytime temperatures reaching around 30.

  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours

  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Mostly sunny. The chance of fog in the early morning. The chance of a thunderstorm in the south in the afternoon. Light winds becoming N 15 to 25 km/h in the middle of the day. Overnight temperatures falling to between 14 and 17 with daytime temperatures reaching around 30.

    Forecast for Evans Head (29.1157°S, 153.4291°E, 0m AMSL)
      Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun
    Summary Sunny Possible shower Mostly sunny Sunny Sunny Mostly sunny Sunny
    Minimum 15° 16° 15° 13° 10° 12° 8°
    Maximum 27° 27° 26° 25° 25° 25° 20°
    Chance of rain 30% 40% 10% 5% 30% 40% 20%
    Likely amount < 1mm 1-5mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm
    UV index Very High Very High Very High Very High - - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 18
    (km/h)     		33
    (km/h)     		22
    (km/h)     		25
    (km/h)     		9
    (km/h)     		19
    (km/h)     		13
    (km/h)     		18
    (km/h)     		9
    (km/h)     		29
    (km/h)     		22
    (km/h)     		24
    (km/h)     		14
    (km/h)     		18
    (km/h)
    Wind direction NNE NE N NNE SW ENE SW E NNW NE NW WNW SW SE
    Relative humidity 72% 67% 77% 66% 67% 55% 46% 40% 49% 47% 50% 35% 47% 41%
    Dew point 18°C 18°C 19°C 19°C 16°C 15°C 9°C 9°C 9°C 12°C 9°C 8°C 5°C 6°C

  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Evans Head Rain Forecast

    Evans Head 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    21
    LOW
    22
    MEDIUM
    23
    24
    25
    MEDIUM
    26
    27
    28
    29
    LOW
    30
    MEDIUM
    Oct 1
    2
    3
    LOW
    4
    5
    6
    7
    LOW
    8
    HIGH
    9
    LOW
    10
    LOW
    11
    12
    LOW
    13
    LOW
    14
    LOW
    15
    MEDIUM
    16
    LOW
    17
    MEDIUM
    18
    LOW
    19
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Sep20

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, and eastern Australia.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 29 September to 3 October, 19 October to 23 October, and 24 October to 28 October. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 27 September to 1 October, 1 October to 5 October, and 15 October to 19 October. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 30 September to 4 October, 18 October to 22 October, and 24 October to 28 October.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Evans Head Rain Forecast

    Evans Head 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    2020
    2021
    6
    7
    7
    8
    7
    6
    6
    4
    7
    7
    4
    6
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Sep 9

    ENSO status: La Niña Alert IOD status: Negative SAM status: Negative trending positive Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific have continued to cool through August, with the Nino3.4 index registering a value of -0.5. The Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of 9.8 in the same month, a significant increase compared to July, tipping over the La Niña threshold of +7. The current outlook suggests that cooler than average SSTs will continue across the equatorial pacific during the Austral spring, with a high chance of a weak La Niña forming. All eight international models continue to suggest further cooling during spring, with three of these indicating La Niña conditions in September. A further two exceeding the La Niña threshold in October, with six of the eight indicating La Niña by November. The current International Research Institute for Climate and Society (IRI) outlook suggests a 57:41 chance for La Niña:Neutral conditions by the end of the Australspring. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) has shifted into a negative phase. Four of the six international models indicate a negative IOD to be sustained for the duration of the Austral spring, with the remaining two indicating a neutral phase. Both of the models that indicate a neutral phase trend towards the negative side of neutral. In terms of precipitation over Australia, the current short term outlook favours above average rainfall over the interior over the remainder of the first month of spring, particularly eastern WA and the Kimberley, western NT and western SA Above average rainfall is also favoured, although not as pronounced, over inland NSW and QLD and parts of the NSW and VIC coastal area. Drier than average conditions are expected across western WA as well as parts of northern coastal QLD and parts of the southeast. The remainder of spring is then likely to be wetter than average for NSW, QLD, VIC, SA, TAS, the NT and eastern WA, whilst drier than averageconditions look to persist further west. There are then indications of increased rainfall over WA toward the end of spring and into early summer, with the eastern two thirds of the country remaining wetter than average.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Evans Head Rain Forecast

    Evans Head 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    21
    LOW
    22
    MEDIUM
    23
    24
    25
    MEDIUM
    26
    27
    28
    29
    LOW
    30
    MEDIUM
    Oct 1
    2
    3
    LOW
    4
    5
    6
    7
    LOW
    8
    HIGH
    9
    LOW
    10
    LOW
    11
    12
    LOW
    13
    LOW
    14
    LOW
    15
    MEDIUM
    16
    LOW
    17
    MEDIUM
    18
    LOW
    19
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Sep20

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, and eastern Australia.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 29 September to 3 October, 19 October to 23 October, and 24 October to 28 October. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 27 September to 1 October, 1 October to 5 October, and 15 October to 19 October. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 30 September to 4 October, 18 October to 22 October, and 24 October to 28 October.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Evans Head Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Wednesday
    Sep 16     		14.9 °C 23.9 °C
    0.6 mm
    Thursday
    Sep 17     		13.4 °C 25.2 °C
    0.2 mm
    Friday
    Sep 18     		14.3 °C 23.9 °C
    0.2 mm
    Saturday
    Sep 19     		16.0 °C 23.6 °C
    0.0 mm
    Sunday
    Sep 20     		16.0 °C 25.1 °C
    5.6 mm
    Legend

  14. Almanac

    Almanac

    Evans Head minimum temp history (29.1157°S, 153.4291°E, 0m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 28.7° 05/09/2020 Coldest this month 10.8° 09/09/2020
    Hottest on record 38.1 25/09/2003 Coldest on record 7.3 15/09/2004
    Hottest this year 38.3° 19/02/2020 Coldest this year 4.9° 05/07/2020
    Long term average 24.0° Long term average 13.3°
    Average this month 23.2° Average this month 13.8°
    Hottest September On Record Avg. max. temp. 26.9° 2003 Coldest September on record Avg. min. temp. 12.1° 2012
    Evans Head rainfall history (29.1157°S, 153.4291°E, 0m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 20.2mm 10/09/2020 Total This Month 59.6mm
    13.0 days
    Long Term Average 54.0mm 9.7 days Wettest September on record 157.6mm 1998
    Driest on record 1.6mm 2003

  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for NSW/ACT

  16. Year to Date

    Evans Head Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Sep 1229.6mm 114.7 day(s)
    Total For 2020 1448.2mm 120.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2019 740.8mm 104.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 199.8mm Feb 7
    Lowest Temperature 4.9°C Jul 5
    Highest Temperature 38.3°C Feb19

  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Evans Head Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 28.4 27.9 26.9 24.6 22.0 19.9 19.6 21.2 24.0 25.6 26.6 28.0 24.5
    Mean Min (°C) 19.9 19.8 18.9 16.4 13.3 11.3 10.2 10.8 13.3 15.0 16.9 18.6 15.3
    Mean Rain (mm) 168.0 168.2 209.2 169.3 105.9 189.8 75.4 89.8 54.0 86.0 129.1 97.1 1543.7
    Mean Rain Days 13.7 13.5 16.6 14.8 13.3 13.2 10.3 9.6 9.7 11.4 12.7 12.5 146.4

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