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Forecast

Evans Head (29.1157°S, 153.4291°E, 0m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Increasing sunshine 16° 29°
    increasing sunshine
    Chance of rain: 5%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light     		Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    5:15am EDT 5:41am EDT 7:22pm EDT 7:48pm EDT
    NOW
    19.3° Feels Like: 18.5°
    Relative Humidity: 83%
    Dew: 16.3°
    Wind: NNW 15km/h
    Gust: 17km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure: 1017.1hPa

  3. Today Weather

    Evans Head
    Now
    21.3°c
    Feels Like:
    18.7°
    Wind:
    N 28km/h
    Gusts:
    35km/h
    Humidity:
    82%
    Increasing sunshine
     
    16°
    Min
    29°
    Max
    Today in Evans Head
    Mostly sunny. Areas of smoke haze. Winds N 15 to 20 km/h becoming light early in the morning then becoming N 25 to 35 km/h in the morning. Overnight temperatures falling to between 14 and 17 with daytime temperatures reaching 30 to 35.
    Tomorrow
    Mostly sunny
    16°
    Min
    29°
    Max
    Sunny. Areas of smoke haze, mainly inland. Winds N 15 to 20 km/h becoming light early in the morning then becoming N 20 to 30 km/h in the morning. Overnight temperatures falling to between 15 and 18 with daytime temperatures reaching 30 to 35.

  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours

  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Mostly sunny. Areas of smoke haze. Winds N 15 to 20 km/h becoming light early in the morning then becoming N 25 to 35 km/h in the morning. Overnight temperatures falling to between 14 and 17 with daytime temperatures reaching 30 to 35.

    Forecast for Evans Head (29.1157°S, 153.4291°E, 0m AMSL)
      Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu
    Summary Increasing sunshine Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
    Minimum 16° 16° 16° 15° 16° 17° 16°
    Maximum 29° 29° 29° 28° 30° 27° 28°
    Chance of rain 5% 10% 10% 20% 40% 70% 40%
    Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm 1-5mm
    UV index Very High Extreme Extreme Extreme - - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 23
    (km/h)     		37
    (km/h)     		22
    (km/h)     		37
    (km/h)     		20
    (km/h)     		32
    (km/h)     		17
    (km/h)     		33
    (km/h)     		23
    (km/h)     		39
    (km/h)     		15
    (km/h)     		29
    (km/h)     		15
    (km/h)     		25
    (km/h)
    Wind direction NNE NE NNE NE NNE NE NNE NE NNE NNE SSW SSE SSE E
    Relative humidity 64% 60% 65% 61% 67% 61% 64% 61% 68% 62% 76% 75% 72% 69%
    Dew point 18°C 20°C 18°C 20°C 19°C 20°C 17°C 19°C 20°C 22°C 22°C 21°C 19°C 21°C

  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Evans Head Rain Forecast

    Evans Head 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    22
    23
    24
    25
    26
    LOW
    27
    LOW
    28
    LOW
    29
    MEDIUM
    30
    LOW
    Dec 1
    LOW
    2
    LOW
    3
    MEDIUM
    4
    LOW
    5
    6
    7
    MEDIUM
    8
    9
    10
    LOW
    11
    12
    LOW
    13
    LOW
    14
    LOW
    15
    MEDIUM
    16
    MEDIUM
    17
    18
    19
    LOW
    20
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Nov21

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the southwest Indian Ocean, Western Australia, the south Pacific, the southeast Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 26 November to 30 November, 11 December to 15 December, and 21 December to 25 December. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 26 November to 30 November, 2 December to 6 December, and 12 December to 16 December. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 28 November to 2 December, 16 December to 20 December, and 21 December to 25 December.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Evans Head Rain Forecast

    Evans Head 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    2019
    2020
    2
    4
    5
    6
    6
    7
    7
    7
    6
    6
    6
    7
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Nov 8

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Positive Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific warmed up slightly over the past few weeks. As a reflection, the Nino3.4 index lingered between 0.5 and 0.7 throughout the month of October. The Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -5.6 during the past month. The current outlook consensus suggests warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the coming months, but remaining within neutral values. Five out of eight international models maintain a warmer than average Pacific Ocean through the end of 2019 and first quarter of 2020, however, none of these reaching El Nino thresholds. The IRI ENSO forecast continues to suggest less than 40% of another El Nino developing over the next 12 months, with a neutral ENSO the most likely outcome. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains strongly positive, with the highest positive value since the early 2000s. All six international models maintain a strong positive event until December. In terms of rainfall, there is little variation to the outlook issued last month. The climate outlook for October continues to favour below average rainfall for most of Australia, in particular the eastern half of the continent. During Positive IODs, central and southeastern Australia tend to see a reduction in rainfall during spring, due to a reduction of moisture streaming from the northwest. For northern Australia, the current outlook is for a late onset of the wet season across the Northern Territory and Queensland. Thus far, Darwin and South Eastern Qld have seen the onset of the wet season this year though a week later than usual. Further south, a negative trend in the Southern Annular Mode (SAM) will continue to enhance frontal activity over the far south during October and early. This is likely to offset the Positive IOD in far southern Victoria and western Tasmania, which could see average-to-above average rainfall during October and early December. Looking further ahead, with no significant signature from ENSO, there are no significant climate drivers tilting the balance towards a drier or wetter summer. The current outlook suggest neutral odds.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Evans Head Rain Forecast

    Evans Head 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    22
    23
    24
    25
    26
    LOW
    27
    LOW
    28
    LOW
    29
    MEDIUM
    30
    LOW
    Dec 1
    LOW
    2
    LOW
    3
    MEDIUM
    4
    LOW
    5
    6
    7
    MEDIUM
    8
    9
    10
    LOW
    11
    12
    LOW
    13
    LOW
    14
    LOW
    15
    MEDIUM
    16
    MEDIUM
    17
    18
    19
    LOW
    20
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Nov21

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the southwest Indian Ocean, Western Australia, the south Pacific, the southeast Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 26 November to 30 November, 11 December to 15 December, and 21 December to 25 December. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 26 November to 30 November, 2 December to 6 December, and 12 December to 16 December. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 28 November to 2 December, 16 December to 20 December, and 21 December to 25 December.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Evans Head Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Sunday
    Nov 17     		17.3 °C 27.0 °C
    0.0 mm
    Monday
    Nov 18     		17.5 °C 25.6 °C
    0.0 mm
    Tuesday
    Nov 19     		14.7 °C 30.8 °C
    0.0 mm
    Wednesday
    Nov 20     		17.5 °C 27.3 °C
    0.2 mm
    Thursday
    Nov 21     		19.8 °C 31 °C
    0.0 mm
    Legend

  14. Almanac

    Almanac

    Evans Head minimum temp history (29.1157°S, 153.4291°E, 0m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 41.5° 08/11/2019 Coldest this month 12.0° 10/11/2019
    Hottest on record 42.2 15/11/2014 Coldest on record 10.6 17/11/2006
    Hottest this year 41.5° 08/11/2019 Coldest this year 4.7° 16/07/2019
    Long term average 26.6° Long term average 16.9°
    Average this month 29.6° Average this month 16.5°
    Hottest November On Record Avg. max. temp. 29.1° 2009 Coldest November on record Avg. min. temp. 15.6° 1999
    Evans Head rainfall history (29.1157°S, 153.4291°E, 0m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 2.6mm 06/11/2019 Total This Month 4.2mm
    4.0 days
    Long Term Average 129.1mm 12.7 days Wettest November on record 300.4mm 2009

  15. Popup - Radar

  16. Year to Date

    Evans Head Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Nov 1444.7mm 138.8 day(s)
    Total For 2019 780.2mm 120.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2018 1277.8mm 143.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 59.0mm Jun27
    Lowest Temperature 4.7°C Jul16
    Highest Temperature 41.5°C Nov 8

  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Evans Head Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 28.4 27.9 26.9 24.6 22.0 19.9 19.6 21.2 24.0 25.6 26.6 28.0 24.5
    Mean Min (°C) 19.9 19.8 18.9 16.4 13.3 11.3 10.2 10.8 13.3 15.0 16.9 18.6 15.3
    Mean Rain (mm) 168.0 168.2 209.2 169.3 105.9 189.8 75.4 89.8 54.0 86.0 129.1 97.1 1543.7
    Mean Rain Days 13.7 13.5 16.6 14.8 13.3 13.2 10.3 9.6 9.7 11.4 12.7 12.5 146.4

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