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Forecast

Evans Head (29.1157°S, 153.4291°E, 0m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Showers 19° 25°
    Chance of rain: 80%
    Likely amount: 1-5mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    6:15am EDT 6:39am EDT 7:16pm EDT 7:40pm EDT
    NOW
    20.8° Feels Like: 21.4°
    Relative Humidity: 84%
    Dew: 18.0°
    Wind: SW 11km/h
    Gust: 13km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure: 1013.8hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Evans Head
    Now
    22.4°c
    Feels Like:
    23.6°
    Wind:
    SE 7km/h
    Gusts:
    11km/h
    Humidity:
    75%
    Showers
     
    19°
    Min
    25°
    Max
    Today in Evans Head
    Partly cloudy. High chance of showers during the morning and afternoon. Light winds. Daytime maximum temperatures in the mid 20s.
    Tomorrow
    Sunny
    18°
    Min
    28°
    Max
    Mostly sunny. The chance of fog inland in the early morning. Slight chance of a shower along the coastal fringe at night. Near zero chance of rain elsewhere. Light winds becoming E 15 to 20 km/h in the late afternoon then becoming light in the evening. Overnight temperatures falling to around 16 with daytime temperatures reaching around 30.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Partly cloudy. High chance of showers during the morning and afternoon. Light winds. Daytime maximum temperatures in the mid 20s.

    Forecast for Evans Head (29.1157°S, 153.4291°E, 0m AMSL)
      Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed
    Summary Showers Sunny Possible shower Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Possible shower Possible shower
    Minimum 19° 18° 20° 19° 19° 21° 21°
    Maximum 25° 28° 25° 26° 28° 30° 27°
    Chance of rain 80% 70% 70% 60% 30% 80% 90%
    Likely amount 1-5mm 1-5mm 1-5mm < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm 10-20mm
    UV index Very High Very High Very High Extreme Extreme - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 4
    (km/h)
    17
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    13
    (km/h)
    22
    (km/h)
    27
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    17
    (km/h)
    9
    (km/h)
    22
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    21
    (km/h)
    13
    (km/h)
    19
    (km/h)
    Wind direction SSE SE WNW ENE S S SW SSE NNW NE N NNE W SE
    Relative humidity 93% 66% 71% 54% 79% 72% 75% 65% 71% 61% 73% 63% 80% 77%
    Dew point 18°C 17°C 18°C 17°C 19°C 19°C 18°C 18°C 18°C 19°C 20°C 21°C 21°C 22°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Evans Head Rain Forecast


    Evans Head 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    4
    MEDIUM
    5
    MEDIUM
    6
    MEDIUM
    7
    LOW
    8
    LOW
    9
    HIGH
    10
    HIGH
    11
    MEDIUM
    12
    LOW
    13
    LOW
    14
    MEDIUM
    15
    MEDIUM
    16
    LOW
    17
    LOW
    18
    LOW
    19
    MEDIUM
    20
    LOW
    21
    MEDIUM
    22
    MEDIUM
    23
    MEDIUM
    24
    MEDIUM
    25
    LOW
    26
    MEDIUM
    27
    MEDIUM
    28
    LOW
    29
    30
    31
    Apr 1
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Mar 4

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the southeast Pacific, South America, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 12 March to 16 March, 29 March to 2 April, and 5 April to 9 April. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 11 March to 15 March, 17 March to 21 March, and 7 April to 11 April. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 23 March to 27 March, 30 March to 3 April, and 6 April to 10 April.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Evans Head Rain Forecast


    Evans Head 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    2021
    2022
    7
    8
    8
    6
    7
    7
    6
    8
    7
    5
    7
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Feb 5

    ENSO status: La Niña IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Positive La Niña is likely at its peak which has brought long periods of cloud and rain to eastern and northern Australia.The majority of models predict that La Niña will continue through February, with 3 of 8 predicting to March and most of the models indicating a return to neutral conditions (neither El Niño nor La Niña) in April. Neutral conditions are predicted to continue into the Australian winter. La Nina typically brings above normal rainfall across much of Australia. While La Niña is expected to weaken, above normal rainfall and typical La Niña impacts are still expected. La Niña typically favours periods of positive SAM, which can increase the amount of precipitation along the eastern half of the country, due to prevailing onshore winds. During summer, much of the country is likely to remain wetter than normal, however normal rainfall is expected for western TAS. La Niña typically increases the number of cyclones and brought anearly start to the wet season. During Autumn, many parts of Australia are likely to be wetter than normal, due to warmer waters off the northeast coast of Australia. Southern parts of SA, VIC and most of TAS are likely to observe normal precipitation for the time of year.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Evans Head Rain Forecast


    Evans Head 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    4
    MEDIUM
    5
    MEDIUM
    6
    MEDIUM
    7
    LOW
    8
    LOW
    9
    HIGH
    10
    HIGH
    11
    MEDIUM
    12
    LOW
    13
    LOW
    14
    MEDIUM
    15
    MEDIUM
    16
    LOW
    17
    LOW
    18
    LOW
    19
    MEDIUM
    20
    LOW
    21
    MEDIUM
    22
    MEDIUM
    23
    MEDIUM
    24
    MEDIUM
    25
    LOW
    26
    MEDIUM
    27
    MEDIUM
    28
    LOW
    29
    30
    31
    Apr 1
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Mar 4

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the southeast Pacific, South America, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 12 March to 16 March, 29 March to 2 April, and 5 April to 9 April. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 11 March to 15 March, 17 March to 21 March, and 7 April to 11 April. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 23 March to 27 March, 30 March to 3 April, and 6 April to 10 April.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Evans Head Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Sunday
    Feb 28
    21.6 °C 33.9 °C
    0.0 mm
    Monday
    Mar 01
    21.4 °C 28.3 °C
    0.2 mm
    Tuesday
    Mar 02
    19.3 °C 29.9 °C
    0.4 mm
    Wednesday
    Mar 03
    20.6 °C 24.6 °C
    0.8 mm
    Thursday
    Mar 04
    17.8 °C 21.2 °C
    34.4 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Evans Head minimum temp history (29.1157°S, 153.4291°E, 0m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 29.9° 02/03/2021 Coldest this month 19.3° 02/03/2021
    Hottest on record 37.8 16/03/2014 Coldest on record 12.9 31/03/2008
    Hottest this year 35.1° 05/01/2021 Coldest this year 16.5° 22/01/2021
    Long term average 27.0° Long term average 19.0°
    Average this month 27.3° Average this month 20.4°
    Hottest March On Record Avg. max. temp. 28.7° 2015 Coldest March on record Avg. min. temp. 17.2° 2008
    Evans Head rainfall history (29.1157°S, 153.4291°E, 0m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 0.8mm 03/03/2021 Total This Month 1.4mm
    3.0 days
    Long Term Average 204.5mm 17.4 days Wettest March on record 781.2mm 2017
    Driest on record 58.4mm 2008
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for Australia

  16. Year to Date

    Evans Head Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Mar 518.6mm 45.3 day(s)
    Total For 2021 414.2mm 37.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2020 620.0mm 27.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 99.4mm Feb20
    Lowest Temperature 16.5°C Jan22
    Highest Temperature 35.1°C Jan 5
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Evans Head Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 28.7 28.0 27.0 24.7 22.1 20.0 19.9 21.4 24.2 25.7 26.9 28.2 24.7
    Mean Min (°C) 19.8 19.9 19.0 16.5 13.4 11.4 10.3 10.7 13.3 15.1 17.0 18.8 15.4
    Mean Rain (mm) 141.8 172.3 204.5 162.7 99.7 192.6 77.1 79.3 52.4 93.5 112.3 107.5 1487.0
    Mean Rain Days 13.2 14.7 17.4 15.1 13.5 13.7 10.7 8.9 9.7 11.5 12.1 12.9 151.9