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Forecast

Evans Head (29.1157°S, 153.4291°E, 0m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Possible shower 12° 23°
    possible shower
    Chance of rain: 90%
    Likely amount: 10-20mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    5:04am EST 5:28am EST 5:45pm EST 6:09pm EST
    NOW
    13.2° Feels Like: 11.2°
    Relative Humidity: 84%
    Dew: 10.6°
    Wind: N 11km/h
    Gust: 13km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure: 1020.8hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Evans Head
    Now
    11.3°c
    Feels Like:
    11.5°
    Wind:
    N 0km/h
    Gusts:
    0km/h
    Humidity:
    95%
    Possible shower
     
    12°
    Min
    23°
    Max
    Today in Evans Head
    Cloudy. Medium chance of showers, most likely in the late afternoon and evening. Light winds becoming N 15 to 25 km/h in the morning. Overnight temperatures falling to between 9 and 13 with daytime temperatures reaching the low to mid 20s.
    Tomorrow
    Possible thunderstorm
    13°
    Min
    24°
    Max
    Cloudy. Very high chance of rain, most likely in the morning. The chance of a thunderstorm from the late morning. Winds N 15 to 25 km/h becoming light in the evening then becoming N 15 to 20 km/h in the late evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 11 and 14 with daytime temperatures reaching the low to mid 20s.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

    There are no current warnings for Evans Head

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Cloudy. Medium chance of showers, most likely in the late afternoon and evening. Light winds becoming N 15 to 25 km/h in the morning. Overnight temperatures falling to between 9 and 13 with daytime temperatures reaching the low to mid 20s.

    Forecast for Evans Head (29.1157°S, 153.4291°E, 0m AMSL)
      Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue
    Summary Possible shower Possible thunderstorm Possible thunderstorm Mostly sunny Sunny Mostly sunny Sunny
    Minimum 12° 13° 14° 13° 13° 14° 13°
    Maximum 23° 24° 26° 26° 27° 31° 28°
    Chance of rain 90% 80% 90% 30% 5% 5% 10%
    Likely amount 10-20mm 10-20mm 1-5mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm
    UV index High High High High - - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 19
    (km/h)
    29
    (km/h)
    25
    (km/h)
    28
    (km/h)
    18
    (km/h)
    18
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    13
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    15
    (km/h)
    15
    (km/h)
    25
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    20
    (km/h)
    Wind direction NE NE NNE N N N W NNW WNW ENE NNW WNW W W
    Relative humidity 61% 61% 82% 72% 71% 75% 55% 55% 63% 47% 56% 34% 49% 32%
    Dew point 13°C 13°C 17°C 17°C 17°C 18°C 14°C 15°C 13°C 13°C 14°C 12°C 10°C 9°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Evans Head Rain Forecast


    Evans Head 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    29
    HIGH
    30
    HIGH
    Oct 1
    HIGH
    2
    MEDIUM
    3
    4
    5
    6
    7
    LOW
    8
    LOW
    9
    LOW
    10
    LOW
    11
    MEDIUM
    12
    MEDIUM
    13
    LOW
    14
    HIGH
    15
    LOW
    16
    17
    LOW
    18
    LOW
    19
    MEDIUM
    20
    LOW
    21
    22
    LOW
    23
    LOW
    24
    MEDIUM
    25
    MEDIUM
    26
    27
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Sep28

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively fast moving in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the Indian Ocean, Western Australia, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, South America, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 5 October to 9 October, 19 October to 23 October, and 29 October to 2 November. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 9 October to 13 October, 22 October to 26 October, and 29 October to 2 November. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 5 October to 9 October, 14 October to 18 October, and 28 October to 1 November.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Evans Head Rain Forecast


    Evans Head 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    2021
    2022
    7
    8
    7
    7
    7
    6
    6
    8
    7
    7
    4
    6
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Sep 16

    ENSO status: Neutral, however five of seven models suggest La Niña thresholds may be met again between October and January. IOD status: Neutral, returning from negative values in the recent weeks. SAM status: Positive. The El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is currently neutral. However, there are growing signs that La Niña could redevelop in the Pacific Ocean later this year, which has prompted the US Climate Prediction Centre to increase its prediction of La Niña occurring this year to 70-80 percent. However their thresholds are lower than the Bureau of Meteorology's. Five of seven models forecast temperatures may reach or exceed La Niña thresholds between October and January. Three of seven predicted an established event, which requires La Nina thresholds to be met for three months. La Niña typically brings above average rainfall in northern and eastern Australia. The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is currently neutral, returning from negative values in the recent weeks. Three of five models areforecasting the IOD event will officially end in October, with all models ending the event in December. A negative IOD generates above average rain to southern and eastern Australia. As such, average to above average rainfall is predicted across much of the country this winter and spring.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Evans Head Rain Forecast


    Evans Head 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    29
    HIGH
    30
    HIGH
    Oct 1
    HIGH
    2
    MEDIUM
    3
    4
    5
    6
    7
    LOW
    8
    LOW
    9
    LOW
    10
    LOW
    11
    MEDIUM
    12
    MEDIUM
    13
    LOW
    14
    HIGH
    15
    LOW
    16
    17
    LOW
    18
    LOW
    19
    MEDIUM
    20
    LOW
    21
    22
    LOW
    23
    LOW
    24
    MEDIUM
    25
    MEDIUM
    26
    27
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Sep28

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively fast moving in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the Indian Ocean, Western Australia, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, South America, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 5 October to 9 October, 19 October to 23 October, and 29 October to 2 November. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 9 October to 13 October, 22 October to 26 October, and 29 October to 2 November. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 5 October to 9 October, 14 October to 18 October, and 28 October to 1 November.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Evans Head Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Friday
    Sep 24
    13.2 °C 32.0 °C
    0.0 mm
    Saturday
    Sep 25
    14.1 °C 27.6 °C
    0.0 mm
    Sunday
    Sep 26
    15.8 °C 20.4 °C
    9.6 mm
    Monday
    Sep 27
    12.7 °C 20.8 °C
    17.6 mm
    Tuesday
    Sep 28
    13.3 °C 21.8 °C
    0.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Evans Head minimum temp history (29.1157°S, 153.4291°E, 0m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 32.8° 12/09/2021 Coldest this month 9.7° 11/09/2021
    Hottest on record 38.1 25/09/2003 Coldest on record 7.3 15/09/2004
    Hottest this year 35.1° 05/01/2021 Coldest this year 5.1° 10/06/2021
    Long term average 24.2° Long term average 13.3°
    Average this month 24.1° Average this month 13.0°
    Hottest September On Record Avg. max. temp. 26.9° 2003 Coldest September on record Avg. min. temp. 12.1° 2012
    Evans Head rainfall history (29.1157°S, 153.4291°E, 0m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 17.6mm 27/09/2021 Total This Month 41.8mm
    8.0 days
    Long Term Average 52.4mm 9.7 days Wettest September on record 157.6mm 1998
    Driest on record 1.6mm 2003
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for Australia

  16. Year to Date

    Evans Head Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Sep 1198.7mm 117.2 day(s)
    Total For 2021 1514.2mm 124.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2020 1452.8mm 122.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 135.6mm Mar22
    Lowest Temperature 5.1°C Jun10
    Highest Temperature 35.1°C Jan 5
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Evans Head Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 28.7 28.0 27.0 24.7 22.1 20.0 19.9 21.4 24.2 25.7 26.9 28.2 24.7
    Mean Min (°C) 19.8 19.9 19.0 16.5 13.4 11.4 10.3 10.8 13.3 15.1 17.0 18.8 15.4
    Mean Rain (mm) 141.8 178.0 221.7 165.4 99.7 186.8 76.0 76.9 52.4 93.5 112.3 107.5 1487.0
    Mean Rain Days 13.2 14.8 17.6 15.0 13.6 13.7 10.8 8.8 9.7 11.5 12.1 12.9 151.9