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Forecast

Dalgety (36.5023°S, 148.8346°E, 747m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TOMORROW
    Mostly sunny 10° 28°
    mostly sunny
    Chance of rain: 5%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light     		Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    5:14am EDT 5:43am EDT 7:56pm EDT 8:26pm EDT
    NOW
    18.9° Feels Like: 12.7°
    Relative Humidity: 46%
    Dew: 7.0°
    Wind: SE 28km/h
    Gust: 32km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure: 1014.1hPa

  3. Today Weather

    Dalgety
    Now
    16.0°c
    Feels Like:
    11.3°
    Wind:
    SE 17km/h
    Gusts:
    20km/h
    Humidity:
    44%
    Mostly sunny
     
    10°
    Min
    28°
    Max
    Today in Dalgety
    Mostly sunny. Light winds becoming NW/SW 15 to 20 km/h in the middle of the day then tending N/NE in the evening.
    Tomorrow
    Mostly sunny
    10°
    Min
    28°
    Max
    Hot and mostly sunny. Slight chance of a shower about the alpine peaks, most likely in the late afternoon and evening. Near zero chance of rain elsewhere. The chance of a thunderstorm in the afternoon and evening. Winds N/NW 25 to 40 km/h.

  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours

  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Mostly sunny. Light winds becoming NW/SW 15 to 20 km/h in the middle of the day then tending N/NE in the evening.

    Forecast for Dalgety (36.5023°S, 148.8346°E, 747m AMSL)
      Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue
    Summary Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Late thunder Mostly sunny Late shower Mostly sunny Wind and rain increasing
    Minimum 10° 17° 14° 12° 12° 13° 16°
    Maximum 28° 34° 27° 26° 24° 27° 23°
    Chance of rain 5% 10% 80% 30% 40% 30% 90%
    Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm
    UV index - - - - - - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 13
    (km/h)     		6
    (km/h)     		20
    (km/h)     		26
    (km/h)     		7
    (km/h)     		12
    (km/h)     		8
    (km/h)     		13
    (km/h)     		12
    (km/h)     		9
    (km/h)     		12
    (km/h)     		16
    (km/h)     		21
    (km/h)     		21
    (km/h)
    Wind direction NNE SW N NNW SSW E WSW W NE ENE NNW WNW NW W
    Relative humidity 66% 17% 31% 13% 62% 35% 68% 21% 68% 35% 51% 16% 52% 50%
    Dew point 9°C 1°C 8°C 2°C 9°C 10°C 10°C 3°C 9°C 8°C 9°C -0°C 11°C 10°C

  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Dalgety Rain Forecast

    Dalgety 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    19
    20
    21
    LOW
    22
    LOW
    23
    24
    LOW
    25
    LOW
    26
    MEDIUM
    27
    LOW
    28
    LOW
    29
    LOW
    30
    Dec 1
    2
    MEDIUM
    3
    HIGH
    4
    LOW
    5
    LOW
    6
    LOW
    7
    LOW
    8
    9
    10
    11
    LOW
    12
    MEDIUM
    13
    LOW
    14
    15
    MEDIUM
    16
    17
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Nov19

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, New Zealand, the south Pacific, South America, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 24 November to 28 November, 2 December to 6 December, and 6 December to 10 December. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 26 November to 30 November, 30 November to 4 December, and 4 December to 8 December. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 7 December to 11 December, 11 December to 15 December, and 17 December to 21 December.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Dalgety Rain Forecast

    Dalgety 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    2019
    2020
    3
    4
    7
    5
    5
    7
    7
    8
    6
    4
    4
    3
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Nov 8

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Positive Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific warmed up slightly over the past few weeks. As a reflection, the Nino3.4 index lingered between 0.5 and 0.7 throughout the month of October. The Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -5.6 during the past month. The current outlook consensus suggests warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the coming months, but remaining within neutral values. Five out of eight international models maintain a warmer than average Pacific Ocean through the end of 2019 and first quarter of 2020, however, none of these reaching El Nino thresholds. The IRI ENSO forecast continues to suggest less than 40% of another El Nino developing over the next 12 months, with a neutral ENSO the most likely outcome. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains strongly positive, with the highest positive value since the early 2000s. All six international models maintain a strong positive event until December. In terms of rainfall, there is little variation to the outlook issued last month. The climate outlook for October continues to favour below average rainfall for most of Australia, in particular the eastern half of the continent. During Positive IODs, central and southeastern Australia tend to see a reduction in rainfall during spring, due to a reduction of moisture streaming from the northwest. For northern Australia, the current outlook is for a late onset of the wet season across the Northern Territory and Queensland. Thus far, Darwin and South Eastern Qld have seen the onset of the wet season this year though a week later than usual. Further south, a negative trend in the Southern Annular Mode (SAM) will continue to enhance frontal activity over the far south during October and early. This is likely to offset the Positive IOD in far southern Victoria and western Tasmania, which could see average-to-above average rainfall during October and early December. Looking further ahead, with no significant signature from ENSO, there are no significant climate drivers tilting the balance towards a drier or wetter summer. The current outlook suggest neutral odds.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Dalgety Rain Forecast

    Dalgety 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    19
    20
    21
    LOW
    22
    LOW
    23
    24
    LOW
    25
    LOW
    26
    MEDIUM
    27
    LOW
    28
    LOW
    29
    LOW
    30
    Dec 1
    2
    MEDIUM
    3
    HIGH
    4
    LOW
    5
    LOW
    6
    LOW
    7
    LOW
    8
    9
    10
    11
    LOW
    12
    MEDIUM
    13
    LOW
    14
    15
    MEDIUM
    16
    17
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Nov19

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, New Zealand, the south Pacific, South America, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 24 November to 28 November, 2 December to 6 December, and 6 December to 10 December. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 26 November to 30 November, 30 November to 4 December, and 4 December to 8 December. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 7 December to 11 December, 11 December to 15 December, and 17 December to 21 December.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Dalgety Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Friday
    Nov 15     		10.5 °C 21.3 °C
    0.0 mm
    Saturday
    Nov 16     		3.3 °C 22.7 °C
    0.0 mm
    Sunday
    Nov 17     		6.3 °C 19.8 °C
    0.0 mm
    Monday
    Nov 18     		4.7 °C 25.9 °C
    0.0 mm
    Tuesday
    Nov 19     		12.5 °C -
    0.0 mm
    Legend

  14. Almanac

    Almanac

    Dalgety minimum temp history (36.5023°S, 148.8346°E, 747m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 29.0° 01/11/2019 Coldest this month -0.1° 09/11/2019
    Hottest on record 35.9 26/11/1997 Coldest on record -5.6 01/11/1999
    Hottest this year 37.9° 16/01/2019 Coldest this year -10.3° 23/08/2019
    Long term average 21.3° Long term average 6.3°
    Average this month 20.5° Average this month 6.6°
    Hottest November On Record Avg. max. temp. 26.6° 2009 Coldest November on record Avg. min. temp. 2.8° 1999
    Dalgety rainfall history (36.5023°S, 148.8346°E, 747m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 11.6mm 04/11/2019 Total This Month 23.0mm
    5.0 days
    Long Term Average 69.5mm 11.1 days Wettest November on record 166.5mm 2009

  15. Popup - Radar

  16. Year to Date

    Dalgety Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Nov 486.7mm 114.7 day(s)
    Total For 2019 311.0mm 127.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2018 288.0mm 100.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 22.4mm Mar30
    Lowest Temperature -10.3°C Aug23
    Highest Temperature 37.9°C Jan16

  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Dalgety Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 26.6 25.1 22.4 18.0 14.2 10.8 10.1 11.9 15.0 18.2 21.3 24.1 18.1
    Mean Min (°C) 10.7 10.4 7.7 3.6 0.6 -0.8 -1.9 -1.5 1.1 3.3 6.3 8.5 4.0
    Mean Rain (mm) 54.9 50.8 50.2 43.6 27.9 43.3 29.5 31.2 40.0 45.8 69.5 55.2 542.1
    Mean Rain Days 8.5 9.4 9.6 10.5 10.2 11.9 11.6 10.3 10.9 10.7 11.1 9.7 113.8

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